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Bundesliga · Matchweek 23

Momentum

FCBSGE
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
23

Venue

Stadium
Allianz Arena, Munich
Capacity
75,024
Surface
grass
Attendance
75,000

Teams

Coaches
Vincent Kompany · Riera
Position
1 · 7
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Tobias Reichel

Weather

Conditions
shower rain
Temperature
5.0° (feels 2.1°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
95%

Where to watch · 433

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Bayern München

LWDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 13 GA 6 · xG 14.19–6.88 · xPts 10.29

  • W A Werder Bremen 3–0 xG 1.94–0.89 GER BI
  • W H TSG Hoffenheim 5–1 xG 5.76–1.33 GER BI
  • D A Hamburger SV 2–2 xG 2.41–2.56 GER BI
  • W A PSV 2–1 xG 2.06–0.77 UEFA CL
  • L H FC Augsburg 1–2 xG 2.0–1.33 GER BI

Eintracht Frankfurt

LLLDW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 3.58–7.03 · xPts 4.23

  • W H Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–0 xG 1.15–1.76 GER BI
  • D A FC Union Berlin 1–1 xG 0.24–1.37 GER BI
  • L H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–3 xG 0.93–1.06 GER BI
  • L H Tottenham Hotspur 0–2 xG 0.47–1.5 UEFA CL
  • L H TSG Hoffenheim 1–3 xG 0.79–1.33 GER BI

All meetings · 40 matches since 2005

FC Bayern München 286 draws6 Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals 97–38 · 3.38 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 68%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Bayern München 62 draws2 Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals 25–15 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Bayern München 41 draws0 Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals 15–6 · 4.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W FC Bayern München 3–2 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 0–3 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Bayern München 4–0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 3–3 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Bayern München 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Eintracht Frankfurt 5–1 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Bayern München 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 1–6 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 0–1 FC Bayern München neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Bayern München 1–2 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
MetricFC Bayern München all · 34FC Bayern München at home · 17Eintracht Frankfurt all · 34Eintracht Frankfurt away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.622.591.291.12
W / D / L28 / 5 / 114 / 2 / 111 / 11 / 124 / 7 / 6
Goals for / match3.594.001.791.88
Goals against / match1.061.121.912.24
Clean sheets35%29%21%6%
Failed to score0%0%9%12%
Both teams scored65%71%74%88%
Over 2.594%100%68%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.702.941.351.21
xG against / match1.220.991.501.76
xG difference1.481.94-0.15-0.55
Finishing vs xG0.891.060.450.67
xPts / match2.152.351.311.06
Points vs xPts0.470.24-0.020.05
Game state
Scored first65%76%50%41%
PPG when scoring first2.772.621.941.57
PPG when conceding first2.332.500.630.78
Came back from behind93%83%43%50%
Leads held90%88%55%44%
Minutes leading50%59%25%28%
Minutes level36%31%46%42%
Minutes trailing14%10%29%30%
First goal (min)32254133
First goal conceded (min)38413536
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%47%56%44%
Goals conceded in 2nd half47%47%58%55%
Late goals for (76'+)1.030.820.380.35
Late goals against0.320.410.560.82
Style
Possession67%68%55%56%
Shots19.221.512.010.9
On target8.58.94.63.9
Shot conversion19%19%15%17%
Shots inside box68%66%67%66%
Big chances created4.95.52.52.4
Corners6.47.64.73.9
xG from set plays23%24%28%22%
Goals from headers11%9%12%12%
Pressure index27.530.112.812.3
Dominant minutes74.279.848.544.5
Pass accuracy90%91%83%83%
Fouls8.88.510.410.6
Cards1.791.352.062.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Bayern München

0–15'95
16–30'188
31–45'236
46–60'173
61–75'203
76–90'3511

Eintracht Frankfurt

0–15'59
16–30'118
31–45'1110
46–60'119
61–75'1010
76–90'1319

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Bayern München · 4 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.85) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.24

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.854
Early press (0-15, level)+1.044

Game state

When ahead+0.823
When level+0.874
10 min after conceding+0.432
10 min after scoring+1.243

Situations

At home+0.622
Away+1.042
4+ days rest+0.753

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.622
As favourite+0.854

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.434
Conceded when ahead-0.473
Conceded late (76+)-0.774

Congested vs rested +0.36 · Ahead vs level -0.05

Eintracht Frankfurt · 3 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.76

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.183
Early press (0-15, level)-0.023

Game state

When ahead+0.253
When level-0.193
When behind+0.102
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.763

Situations

Away+0.042
4+ days rest+0.183

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.223
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.253

Ahead vs level +0.45 · Behind vs level +0.29

FC Bayern München

Current: unbeaten 8 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-133 97%2.673.611.02.721.2
4-3-1-21 3%1.03.03.02.21.95

Eintracht Frankfurt

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-110 29%0.71.52.51.321.98
4-2-3-110 29%1.51.71.61.211.39
4-3-34 12%1.01.251.51.380.87
4-1-4-14 12%2.02.51.751.791.21
4-5-12 6%1.53.53.01.551.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.6h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.1Home 78% P 89%11.0Draw 8% P 7%17.0Away 5% P 4%9.5Tie 9%

Double Chance

1.02Bayern Munich or Draw 31% P 47%1.05Bayern Munich or Eintracht Frankfurt 30% P 46%1.02Bayern Munich or Tie 31% P 46%7.0Tie or Eintracht Frankfurt 4% P 46%7.0Draw or Eintracht Frankfurt 4% P 6%

Draw No Bet

1.031 94%15.02 6%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 56%2.1No 44% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.14Over 83%5.5Under 17%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.629 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

2.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
3.52.25Over 41%1.57Under 59%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 87.5–90% · away 2.5–5% · 198 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home89%89%90%+1.8
Draw7%8%8%-0.3
Away4%4%2%-1.5

In those fixtures: 4.2 goals a game · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 78%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Tobias Reichel

Career
59 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
3.93 (3.81 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
24.9 · 6.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.32
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 52 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.064.14-0.3444
Fouls / match24.722.3+2.07
Fouls per card6.15.4+1.00 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.330.32-0.0344
Time added7.46.8+0.5182
First card
37' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.59

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-24 50 150 78'10
2025-12-06 10 120 90'5
2025-11-08 20 220 12'8
2025-10-17 80 360 36'7
2025-09-27 31 260 43'10
2025-08-31 30 210 29'11
2025-05-17 80 272 40'15
2025-04-27 51 250 63'8
2025-03-29 30 261 34'5
2025-03-02 40 280 40'8