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Bundesliga · Matchweek 23

Momentum

WOBFC Augsburg
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
23

Venue

Stadium
Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
Capacity
30,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
19,631

Teams

Coaches
Daniel Bauer · Manuel Baum
Position
15 · 11
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Daniel Schlager

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
9.0° (feels 6.5°)
Wind
4.5
Humidity
88%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

VfL Wolfsburg

DLLLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 9 · xG 5.32–10.37 · xPts 4.45

  • D A RB Leipzig 2–2 xG 0.65–2.82 GER BI
  • L H Borussia Dortmund 1–2 xG 1.17–1.8 GER BI
  • L A FC Köln 0–1 xG 1.29–1.13 GER BI
  • L A FSV Mainz 05 1–3 xG 1.08–3.51 GER BI
  • D H FC Heidenheim 1–1 xG 1.13–1.11 GER BI

FC Augsburg

DWWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 6.24–9.25 · xPts 5.22

  • W H FC Heidenheim 1–0 xG 2.0–0.96 GER BI
  • L A FSV Mainz 05 0–2 xG 0.77–2.23 GER BI
  • W H St. Pauli 2–1 xG 0.98–2.55 GER BI
  • W A FC Bayern München 2–1 xG 1.33–2.0 GER BI
  • D H SC Freiburg 2–2 xG 1.17–1.51 GER BI

All meetings · 30 matches since 2011

VfL Wolfsburg 810 draws12 FC Augsburg

Goals 36–38 · 2.47 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 10 matches

VfL Wolfsburg 13 draws6 FC Augsburg

Goals 11–20 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

VfL Wolfsburg 01 draws4 FC Augsburg

Goals 5–11 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Augsburg 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Augsburg 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • D VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Augsburg 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • D VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 FC Augsburg neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Augsburg 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Augsburg 3–0 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 FC Augsburg neutral GER BI · Regular Season
MetricVfL Wolfsburg all · 34VfL Wolfsburg at home · 17FC Augsburg all · 34FC Augsburg away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.850.591.261.00
W / D / L7 / 8 / 192 / 4 / 1112 / 7 / 155 / 2 / 10
Goals for / match1.321.241.321.18
Goals against / match2.031.881.791.94
Clean sheets6%6%15%0%
Failed to score24%29%26%35%
Both teams scored74%71%62%65%
Over 2.565%65%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.391.581.391.42
xG against / match1.891.691.842.17
xG difference-0.50-0.11-0.46-0.75
Finishing vs xG-0.07-0.35-0.06-0.24
xPts / match1.141.341.171.02
Points vs xPts-0.28-0.750.10-0.02
Game state
Scored first53%35%50%41%
PPG when scoring first1.441.171.761.14
PPG when conceding first0.130.200.750.90
Came back from behind10%15%21%23%
Leads held35%25%57%50%
Minutes leading27%18%24%18%
Minutes level43%48%46%44%
Minutes trailing30%34%30%38%
First goal (min)35384240
First goal conceded (min)43384138
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%57%53%45%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%56%49%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.240.290.29
Late goals against0.560.470.290.41
Style
Possession45%48%44%43%
Shots11.913.613.213.2
On target4.24.74.64.2
Shot conversion11%9%10%9%
Shots inside box64%66%64%62%
Big chances created2.63.02.21.9
Corners4.45.44.64.0
xG from set plays32%32%31%36%
Goals from headers25%33%16%20%
Pressure index9.112.79.56.9
Dominant minutes38.146.340.534.2
Pass accuracy78%80%78%78%
Fouls11.512.111.010.8
Cards2.152.292.472.29

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

VfL Wolfsburg

0–15'96
16–30'710
31–45'610
46–60'811
61–75'813
76–90'719

FC Augsburg

0–15'68
16–30'610
31–45'913
46–60'911
61–75'59
76–90'1010

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

VfL Wolfsburg

No pressure profile yet.

FC Augsburg · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.17) · stands out: when level -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.173
Early press (0-15, level)-0.343

Game state

When ahead+0.113
When level-0.493
When behind-0.482
10 min after conceding-0.592
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home-0.172
4+ days rest-0.173

Opposition

As underdog-0.332

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.523
Conceded when ahead+0.173
Conceded late (76+)+0.323

Ahead vs level +0.59 · Behind vs level +0.00

VfL Wolfsburg

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%0.831.382.211.261.97
3-4-2-16 18%0.671.332.171.361.86
3-1-4-22 6%2.01.50.52.551.19
3-5-22 6%0.50.51.01.91.72

FC Augsburg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-129 85%1.241.341.931.381.93
5-4-12 6%0.50.51.01.590.84
3-4-32 6%3.02.00.51.421.83
3-3-3-11 3%0.01.02.00.931.31

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 46.9h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 22% P 43%3.4Draw 14% P 28%3.2Away 15% P 29%3.6Augsburg 13%3.4Tie 14%2.1Wolfsburg 23%

Double Chance

1.33Wolfsburg or Draw 21% P 36%1.28Wolfsburg or Tie 22% P 36%1.66Tie or Augsburg 17% P 36%1.3Wolfsburg or Augsburg 22% P 36%1.66Draw or Augsburg 17% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.531 31%2.372 20%2.5Augsburg 19%1.5Wolfsburg 31%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 29% P 61%2.25No 21% P 39%2.25Não 21%1.57Sim 29%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 27% P 55%2.1Under 23% P 45%1.72Mais de 27%2.1Menos de 23%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 21%2.69 - 11 28%4.012 - 14 18%8.0Over 14 9%8.0Mais de 14 9%11.0Menos de 6 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%44%43%-0.3
Draw28%28%30%+2.4
Away29%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes61%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%56%56%-0.2

Daniel Schlager

Career
120 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.56 (4.36 yellow · 0.07 red)
Fouls / match
23.0 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 71 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.624.14+0.8985
Fouls / match22.022.3-0.38
Fouls per card4.95.4-0.87 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.32+0.5874
Time added7.26.8+0.3067
First card
32' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.18

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-31 40 171 38'10
2026-01-17 30 240 48'11
2026-01-09 60 201 29'7
2025-12-12 40 150 37'5
2025-11-30 21 210 28'7
2025-11-06 41 200 23'6
2025-11-02 72 260 10'15
2025-10-24 40 190 23'9
2025-10-05 40 220 54'4
2025-10-02 51 210 2'10