Rating 7.32 (99th pct) · G+A 5 + 1 (9% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 2.11 ppg with (28) · 2.33 without (6)
Bundesliga · Matchweek 24
Momentum
– BVBFCB –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Borussia Dortmund | at home | Stat | league | away | FC Bayern München |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.2 #7 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 67.4 #1 |
| 13.1 #9 | – | Shots total | 13.3 | – | 19.2 #1 |
| 4.8 #6 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 8.5 #1 |
| 5.3 #5 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 6.3 #1 |
| 11.6 #4 | – | Fouls | 10.4 | – | 8.8 #16 |
| 1.2 #18 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 2.4 #1 |
| 14.4 #13 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 12.9 #18 |
| 106.2 #5 | – | Attacks | 98.2 | – | 136.3 #1 |
| 56.9 #2 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.7 | – | 70.8 #1 |
| 493.3 #6 | – | Passes | 456.1 | – | 700.9 #1 |
| 1.9 #11 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.7 #13 |
| 0.1 #5 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.0 #11 |
| 1.6 #3 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 2.8 #1 |
| – #16 | – | Btts | 61.8 | – | – #4 |
| – #1 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #3 |
| – #14 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #17 |
| 1.8 #4 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 2.7 #1 |
| 0.2 #4 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | 0.9 #1 |
| – #17 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #18 |
| 2.1 #3 | 2.4 | Goals | 1.6 | 3.2 | 3.6 #1 |
| 1.0 #18 | 0.9 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.1 #17 |
| 0.4 #3 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.5 #1 |
| 8.3 #17 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 8.6 #13 |
| – #17 | – | Lost | 37.7 | – | – #18 |
| 0.2 #4 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.3 #1 |
| 6.9 #5 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.1 #1 |
| 3.6 #7 | – | Shots blocked | 3.5 | – | 4.9 #1 |
| 9.7 #5 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.0 | – | 13.0 #1 |
| 4.7 #12 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 5.8 #2 |
| 3.4 #17 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 6.2 #1 |
| – #2 | – | Win | 37.7 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.24 (home 1.78 · away 1.46)
- Home / draw / away
- 44% · 25% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 62% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 3.9 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Borussia Dortmund · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 6.99 (72th pct) · G+A 17 + 2 (27% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 2.15 ppg with (27) · 2.14 without (7)
Rating 7.01 (80th pct) · G+A 0 + 16 (23% of team goals) · 74% of minutes
Team 2.15 ppg with (26) · 2.12 without (8)
FC Bayern München · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.87 (100th pct) · G+A 36 + 5 (34% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Team 2.64 ppg with (25) · 2.56 without (9)
Rating 7.81 (100th pct) · G+A 15 + 19 (28% of team goals) · 76% of minutes
Team 2.52 ppg with (23) · 2.82 without (11)
Rating 7.45 (98th pct) · G+A 16 + 14 (25% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Team 2.74 ppg with (27) · 2.14 without (7)
Absences
Borussia Dortmund
- injury Carney Chukwuemeka #15 key player midfielder · Muscular problems · 2 missed · until 2026-03-11
FC Bayern München
- injury Hiroki Ito #16 key player defender · Torn Muscle Fiber · 4 missed · until 2026-03-16
- injury Leon Klanac goalkeeper · Hamstring Injury · 28 missed · until 2026-05-08
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 24
Venue
- Stadium
- Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
- Capacity
- 81,365
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 81,365
Teams
- Coaches
- Niko Kovač · Vincent Kompany
- Position
- 2 · 1
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Sven Jablonski
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 8.7° (feels 5.5°)
- Wind
- 6.2
- Humidity
- 79%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Bayern München |
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | LWLWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig |
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart |
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 5 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | LWWLD |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg |
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | LDLLD |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | DLWLW |
| 11 |  FC Union Berlin |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | LLDWW |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | DDWLW |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | LLWWD |
| 14 |  FC Köln |
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg |
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WDDLW |
| 17 |  FC Heidenheim |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  St. Pauli |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 44 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 41 | LWLWW |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 39 | LDDWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 6 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 31 | LWWLD |
| 8 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 25 | LDLLD |
| 10 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 24 | DDWLW |
| 12 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 22 | LLDWW |
| 13 | FC Köln |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 | DLDLL |
| 14 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 19 | WDLLL |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 | DLWLW |
| 16 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 17 | St. Pauli |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 18 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 10 | WDDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 45 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 32 | LWLWW |
| 3 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 28 | LWWLD |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 23 | LDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 19 | LDLLD |
| 9 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 19 | WDDLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 11 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 | LLDWW |
| 12 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | WDLLL |
| 16 | FC Köln |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 17 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 | LWDWL |
| 18 | St. Pauli |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 9 | DLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Borussia Dortmund
WWWDL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 7 · xG 8.83–8.6 · xPts 7.41
- L
A
Atalanta
1–4
xG 1.09–2.71
UEFA CL - D
A
RB Leipzig
2–2
xG 1.49–2.77
GER BI
- W
H
Atalanta
2–0
xG 1.86–0.54
UEFA CL
- W
H
FSV Mainz 05
4–0
xG 2.59–1.41
GER BI
- W
A
VfL Wolfsburg
2–1
xG 1.8–1.17
GER BI
WLWLWWWWDL 6W 1D 3L · 19 pts (1.9 ppg) · GF 20 GA 15 · xG 18.43–16.36 · xPts 15.02
- L
A
Atalanta
1–4
xG 1.09–2.71
UEFA CL
- D
A
RB Leipzig
2–2
xG 1.49–2.77
GER BI
- W
H
Atalanta
2–0
xG 1.86–0.54
UEFA CL
- W
H
FSV Mainz 05
4–0
xG 2.59–1.41
GER BI
- W
A
VfL Wolfsburg
2–1
xG 1.8–1.17
GER BI
- W
H
FC Heidenheim
3–2
xG 4.1–2.25
GER BI
- L
H
Inter
0–2
xG 0.62–1.28
UEFA CL - W
A
FC Union Berlin
3–0
xG 1.94–1.22
GER BI
- L
A
Tottenham Hotspur
0–2
xG 0.41–2.13
UEFA CL - W
H
St. Pauli
3–2
xG 2.53–0.89
GER BI
FC Bayern München
WDWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 15 GA 6 · xG 14.91–7.79 · xPts 10.14
- W
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
3–2
xG 2.73–2.24
GER BI
- W
A
Werder Bremen
3–0
xG 1.94–0.89
GER BI
- W
H
TSG Hoffenheim
5–1
xG 5.76–1.33
GER BI
- D
A
Hamburger SV
2–2
xG 2.41–2.56
GER BI
- W
A
PSV
2–1
xG 2.06–0.77
UEFA CL
WWWWLWDWWW 8W 1D 1L · 25 pts (2.5 ppg) · GF 34 GA 11 · xG 28.05–13.53 · xPts 21.12
- W
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
3–2
xG 2.73–2.24
GER BI
- W
A
Werder Bremen
3–0
xG 1.94–0.89
GER BI
- W
H
TSG Hoffenheim
5–1
xG 5.76–1.33
GER BI
- D
A
Hamburger SV
2–2
xG 2.41–2.56
GER BI
- W
A
PSV
2–1
xG 2.06–0.77
UEFA CL
- L
H
FC Augsburg
1–2
xG 2.0–1.33
GER BI
- W
H
Union Saint-Gilloise
2–0
xG 3.42–0.65
UEFA CL - W
A
RB Leipzig
5–1
xG 3.88–2.25
GER BI
- W
A
FC Köln
3–1
xG 1.5–0.6
GER BI
- W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
8–1
xG 2.33–0.92
GER BI
All meetings · 43 matches since 2005
Goals 51–98 · 3.47 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 67%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 15–24 · 3.9 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 8–8 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L Borussia Dortmund 2–3 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
- L FC Bayern München 2–1 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
- D FC Bayern München 2–2 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
- D Borussia Dortmund 1–1 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
- W FC Bayern München 0–2 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
- L Borussia Dortmund 0–4 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
- L FC Bayern München 4–2 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
- D Borussia Dortmund 2–2 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
- L FC Bayern München 3–1 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
- L Borussia Dortmund 2–3 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | Borussia Dortmund all · 34 | Borussia Dortmund at home · 17 | FC Bayern München all · 34 | FC Bayern München away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 2.15 | 2.41 | 2.62 | 2.65 |
| W / D / L | 22 / 7 / 5 | 13 / 2 / 2 | 28 / 5 / 1 | 14 / 3 / 0 |
| Goals for / match | 2.06 | 2.35 | 3.59 | 3.18 |
| Goals against / match | 1.00 | 0.94 | 1.06 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 44% | 53% | 35% | 41% |
| Failed to score | 6% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 41% | 65% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 59% | 94% | 88% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.83 | 2.25 | 2.70 | 2.47 |
| xG against / match | 1.25 | 1.08 | 1.22 | 1.46 |
| xG difference | 0.58 | 1.18 | 1.48 | 1.01 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.23 | 0.10 | 0.89 | 0.71 |
| xPts / match | 1.69 | 2.01 | 2.15 | 1.95 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.46 | 0.40 | 0.47 | 0.70 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 76% | 76% | 65% | 53% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.50 | 2.62 | 2.77 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 1.75 | 2.33 | 2.25 |
| Came back from behind | 54% | 67% | 93% | 100% |
| Leads held | 79% | 87% | 90% | 93% |
| Minutes leading | 42% | 48% | 50% | 41% |
| Minutes level | 46% | 40% | 36% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 12% | 13% | 14% | 17% |
| First goal (min) | 39 | 34 | 32 | 40 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 48 | 35 | 38 | 35 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 54% | 50% | 59% | 74% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 68% | 62% | 47% | 47% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.59 | 0.65 | 1.03 | 1.24 |
| Late goals against | 0.35 | 0.18 | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 56% | 67% | 67% |
| Shots | 13.1 | 14.8 | 19.2 | 16.8 |
| On target | 4.8 | 5.4 | 8.5 | 8.1 |
| Shot conversion | 16% | 16% | 19% | 19% |
| Shots inside box | 74% | 72% | 68% | 70% |
| Big chances created | 3.2 | 3.9 | 4.9 | 4.2 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 7.2 | 6.4 | 5.1 |
| xG from set plays | 36% | 38% | 23% | 22% |
| Goals from headers | 23% | 20% | 11% | 13% |
| Pressure index | 16.8 | 21.5 | 27.5 | 25.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 55.4 | 64.5 | 74.2 | 68.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 85% | 90% | 89% |
| Fouls | 11.6 | 11.5 | 8.8 | 9.1 |
| Cards | 1.91 | 1.59 | 1.79 | 2.24 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Borussia Dortmund
0–15'92
16–30'54
31–45'185
46–60'85
61–75'106
76–90'2012
FC Bayern München
0–15'95
16–30'188
31–45'236
46–60'173
61–75'203
76–90'3511
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Borussia Dortmund · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.39
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.014
Early press (0-15, level)-0.394
Late push (76+, level)-0.062
Game state
When ahead+0.154
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.432
10 min after scoring+0.384
Situations
At home+0.093
4+ days rest-0.053
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.062
As favourite+0.093
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.054
Conceded when ahead-0.184
Conceded late (76+)-0.374
Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.34
FC Bayern München · 4 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.85) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.24
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.854
Early press (0-15, level)+1.044
Game state
When ahead+0.823
When level+0.874
10 min after conceding+0.432
10 min after scoring+1.243
Situations
At home+0.622
Away+1.042
4+ days rest+0.753
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.622
As favourite+0.854
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.434
Conceded when ahead-0.473
Conceded late (76+)-0.774
Congested vs rested +0.36 · Ahead vs level -0.05
Borussia Dortmund
Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 6 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 25 74% | 2.12 | 2.08 | 1.0 | 1.72 | 1.35 |
| 3-4-3 | 4 12% | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.75 | 1.87 | 0.97 |
| 3-5-2 | 3 9% | 3.0 | 2.33 | 0.67 | 2.96 | 0.8 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.21 | 0.67 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.56 | 1.77 |
FC Bayern München
Current: unbeaten 8 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 33 97% | 2.67 | 3.61 | 1.0 | 2.72 | 1.2 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.95 |
| Metric | Borussia Dortmund all · 10 | Borussia Dortmund at home · 10 | FC Bayern München all · 10 | FC Bayern München away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.10 | 2.40 | 2.10 | 2.30 |
| W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 3 | 8 / 0 / 2 | 6 / 3 / 1 | 7 / 2 / 1 |
| Goals for / match | 2.10 | 2.40 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| Goals against / match | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 50% | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% | 70% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 60% | 70% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.78 | 2.34 | 2.30 | 2.49 |
| xG against / match | 1.19 | 0.94 | 1.44 | 1.82 |
| xG difference | 0.59 | 1.40 | 0.87 | 0.67 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.32 | 0.06 | 0.70 | 0.31 |
| xPts / match | 1.76 | 2.12 | 1.91 | 1.78 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.34 | 0.28 | 0.19 | 0.52 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 70% | 60% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.57 | 2.50 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.20 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| Came back from behind | 40% | 50% | 75% | 75% |
| Leads held | 100% | 89% | 86% | 88% |
| Minutes leading | 39% | 57% | 32% | 34% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 25% | 40% | 41% |
| Minutes trailing | 17% | 18% | 28% | 25% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 26 | 40 | 40 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 48 | 37 | 28 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | 50% | 73% | 71% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 60% | 33% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.80 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 52% | 54% | 69% | 67% |
| Shots | 13.7 | 15.4 | 18.6 | 17.7 |
| On target | 5.1 | 5.1 | 7.5 | 7.7 |
| Shot conversion | 15% | 16% | 16% | 16% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 73% | 59% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 3.6 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 6.3 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 29% | 24% | 22% |
| Goals from headers | 10% | 18% | 11% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 13.8 | 17.3 | 22.0 | 18.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 52.5 | 60.0 | 68.1 | 63.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 85% | 89% | 90% |
| Fouls | 11.5 | 11.9 | 7.7 | 9.5 |
| Cards | 1.80 | 1.70 | 1.20 | 2.30 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Borussia Dortmund
0–15'41
16–30'00
31–45'43
46–60'21
61–75'31
76–90'84
FC Bayern München
0–15'22
16–30'44
31–45'24
46–60'63
61–75'61
76–90'101
Borussia Dortmund
Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 6 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 80% | 2.25 | 2.38 | 1.13 | 1.89 | 1.31 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.21 | 0.67 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.47 | 0.78 |
FC Bayern München
Current: unbeaten 8 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 2.22 | 3.0 | 1.33 | 2.32 | 1.38 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.95 |
| Metric | Borussia Dortmund all · 44 | Borussia Dortmund at home · 24 | FC Bayern München all · 48 | FC Bayern München away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 44 | 24 | 48 | 25 |
| Points per game | 2.07 | 2.38 | 2.52 | 2.44 |
| W / D / L | 28 / 7 / 9 | 18 / 3 / 3 | 38 / 7 / 3 | 19 / 4 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 2.07 | 2.37 | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| Goals against / match | 1.18 | 0.96 | 1.15 | 1.16 |
| Clean sheets | 39% | 50% | 29% | 32% |
| Failed to score | 9% | 8% | 2% | 4% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 42% | 71% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 58% | 90% | 88% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.79 | 2.19 | 2.64 | 2.39 |
| xG against / match | 1.26 | 1.03 | 1.27 | 1.47 |
| xG difference | 0.52 | 1.15 | 1.37 | 0.92 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.28 | 0.19 | 0.69 | 0.61 |
| xPts / match | 1.66 | 2.00 | 2.10 | 1.90 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.41 | 0.37 | 0.42 | 0.54 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 70% | 79% | 65% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.58 | 2.63 | 2.74 | 2.80 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.85 | 1.40 | 2.19 | 2.00 |
| Came back from behind | 44% | 57% | 84% | 80% |
| Leads held | 82% | 86% | 90% | 90% |
| Minutes leading | 41% | 52% | 46% | 42% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 39% | 38% | 43% |
| Minutes trailing | 16% | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 30 | 33 | 36 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 46 | 44 | 43 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 59% | 53% | 61% | 65% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 70% | 49% | 52% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.66 | 0.71 | 0.94 | 0.88 |
| Late goals against | 0.36 | 0.25 | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 52% | 55% | 66% | 65% |
| Shots | 13.0 | 14.9 | 19.2 | 17.0 |
| On target | 4.7 | 5.6 | 8.3 | 7.9 |
| Shot conversion | 16% | 16% | 17% | 18% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 70% | 68% | 70% |
| Big chances created | 3.2 | 3.9 | 4.8 | 4.4 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 6.8 | 6.4 | 5.5 |
| xG from set plays | 35% | 36% | 24% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 19% | 20% | 11% | 9% |
| Pressure index | 15.8 | 20.7 | 25.8 | 23.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 52.9 | 61.6 | 70.2 | 64.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 85% | 90% | 89% |
| Fouls | 11.5 | 11.6 | 9.0 | 9.3 |
| Cards | 1.89 | 1.58 | 1.69 | 2.04 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Borussia Dortmund
0–15'124
16–30'86
31–45'1710
46–60'127
61–75'139
76–90'2916
FC Bayern München
0–15'137
16–30'2111
31–45'2810
46–60'266
61–75'277
76–90'4514
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Borussia Dortmund · 44 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.60
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1844
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0144
Late push (76+, level)+0.3416
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2712
Game state
When ahead+0.2633
When level+0.1844
When behind-0.0416
10 min after conceding-0.1026
10 min after scoring+0.6039
Situations
With ten men-0.024
Against ten men-0.353
At home+0.3224
Away+0.0220
3 days rest or fewer+0.258
4+ days rest+0.1636
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0114
v mid-tier opponents+0.1415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.307
As favourite+0.3331
Evenly matched-0.079
As underdog-0.444
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0744
Conceded when ahead-0.1933
Conceded late (76+)-0.2041
Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.22
FC Bayern München · 48 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.69) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.06
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.6948
Early press (0-15, level)+0.6048
Late push (76+, level)+0.9014
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.5010
Game state
When ahead+0.7542
When level+0.7248
When behind+0.5019
10 min after conceding+0.2930
10 min after scoring+1.0647
Situations
With ten men+0.363
Against ten men+0.455
At home+0.7723
Away+0.6325
3 days rest or fewer+0.8314
4+ days rest+0.6334
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.4521
v mid-tier opponents+0.8212
v bottom-tier opponents+0.686
As favourite+0.7744
Evenly matched+0.123
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2548
Conceded when ahead-0.3542
Conceded late (76+)-0.5035
Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.22
Borussia Dortmund
Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 6 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 36 82% | 2.0 | 2.11 | 1.28 | 1.72 | 1.34 |
| 3-4-3 | 4 9% | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.75 | 1.61 | 1.06 |
| 3-5-2 | 3 7% | 3.0 | 2.33 | 0.67 | 2.96 | 0.8 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.21 | 0.67 |
FC Bayern München
Current: unbeaten 8 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 47 98% | 2.55 | 3.34 | 1.11 | 2.65 | 1.25 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.95 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 218.1h before kick-off · stale. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
4.2Home 9% P 22%4.5Draw 8% P 22%1.65Away 22% P 56%1.7Bayern de Munique 22%1.7Bayern Munich 22%4.2Empate 9%4.2Tie 9%
Double Chance
2.15Borussia Dortmund or Draw 8% P 22%1.18Borussia Dortmund or Bayern Munich 15% P 39%2.25Borussia Dortmund or Tie 8% P 39%1.18Tie or Bayern Munich 15% P 39%1.22Draw or Bayern Munich 15% P 39%1.22Borussia Dortmund ou Bayern de Munique 15%2.1Borussia Dortmund ou Empate 9%1.22Empate ou Bayern de Munique 15%
Draw No Bet
3.41 11%1.32 30%1.33Bayern de Munique 29%1.33Bayern Munich 29%
Both Teams To Score
1.4Yes 33% P 69%2.75No 17% P 31%3.0Não 16%1.36Sim 34%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.36Over 35% P 71%3.2Under 15% P 29%1.36Mais de 35%3.2Menos de 15%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%
Number of Cards
3.51.72Over 54% P 56%2.0Under 46% P 44%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 20–22.5% · away 55–57.5% · 207 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 22% | 21% | 18% | -2.6 |
| Draw | 22% | 23% | 25% | +2.1 |
| Away | 56% | 56% | 57% | +0.4 |
In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 63%
Both teams to score · yes 67.5–70% · 136 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 69% | 69% | 68% | -0.9 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 477 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 71% | 70% | -1.4 |
Sven Jablonski
- Career
- 115 matches · 10 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.53 (3.45 yellow · 0.03 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.7 · 6.4 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.22
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 77 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.78 | 4.14 | -0.96 | 15 |
| Fouls / match | 20.6 | 22.3 | -1.67 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.5 | 5.4 | +0.09 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.23 | 0.32 | -1.08 | 18 |
| Time added | 6.2 | 6.8 | -0.75 | 15 |
- First card
- 34' on average
- Card timing
- 21% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 50% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.22
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-19 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 37' | 12 |
| 2026-02-14 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 90' | 4 |
| 2026-01-24 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 44' | 8 |
| 2026-01-20 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 61' | 5 |
| 2026-01-13 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 45' | 9 |
| 2025-12-19 · Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 53' | 8 |
| 2025-12-10 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 65' | 7 |
| 2025-12-06 | 7 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 10' | 9 |
| 2025-11-25 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 69' | 4 |
| 2025-11-22 · FC Bayern München | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 40' | 10 |