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Bundesliga · Matchweek 24

Momentum

SGESC Freiburg
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
24

Venue

Stadium
Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main
Capacity
58,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
59,000

Teams

Coaches
Riera · Julian Schuster
Position
8 · 7
Formation
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Christian Dingert

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
8.5° (feels 7.9°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
72%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Eintracht Frankfurt

LLDWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 5.04–8.42 · xPts 4.44

  • L A FC Bayern München 2–3 xG 2.24–2.73 GER BI
  • W H Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–0 xG 1.15–1.76 GER BI
  • D A FC Union Berlin 1–1 xG 0.24–1.37 GER BI
  • L H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–3 xG 0.93–1.06 GER BI
  • L H Tottenham Hotspur 0–2 xG 0.47–1.5 UEFA CL

SC Freiburg

LLWLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 6 · xG 4.6–8.38 · xPts 4.3

  • W H Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–1 xG 1.88–1.3 GER BI
  • L A TSG Hoffenheim 0–3 xG 1.02–2.31 GER BI
  • W H Werder Bremen 1–0 xG 0.56–1.3 GER BI
  • L A VfB Stuttgart 0–1 xG 0.82–2.15 GER BI
  • L A LOSC Lille 0–1 xG 0.31–1.32 UEFA EL

All meetings · 30 matches since 2009

Eintracht Frankfurt 1211 draws7 SC Freiburg

Goals 45–35 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt 54 draws1 SC Freiburg

Goals 20–11 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt 32 draws0 SC Freiburg

Goals 14–7 · 4.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 2–0 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • D SC Freiburg 2–2 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W SC Freiburg 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 4–1 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • D SC Freiburg 3–3 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 0–0 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 2–1 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • D SC Freiburg 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 SC Freiburg neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • W SC Freiburg 0–2 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
MetricEintracht Frankfurt all · 34Eintracht Frankfurt at home · 17SC Freiburg all · 34SC Freiburg away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.291.471.380.88
W / D / L11 / 11 / 127 / 4 / 613 / 8 / 134 / 3 / 10
Goals for / match1.791.711.501.06
Goals against / match1.911.591.682.06
Clean sheets21%35%18%24%
Failed to score9%6%26%47%
Both teams scored74%59%62%41%
Over 2.568%65%65%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.481.511.14
xG against / match1.501.241.521.74
xG difference-0.150.24-0.01-0.59
Finishing vs xG0.450.23-0.01-0.08
xPts / match1.311.561.361.01
Points vs xPts-0.02-0.080.02-0.12
Game state
Scored first50%59%44%29%
PPG when scoring first1.942.202.001.80
PPG when conceding first0.630.430.880.40
Came back from behind43%33%44%23%
Leads held55%64%68%67%
Minutes leading25%22%22%12%
Minutes level46%49%54%59%
Minutes trailing29%29%23%29%
First goal (min)41493840
First goal conceded (min)35344238
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%69%61%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%63%61%71%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.410.350.24
Late goals against0.560.290.380.47
Style
Possession55%54%48%45%
Shots12.013.212.310.3
On target4.65.34.23.3
Shot conversion15%13%12%10%
Shots inside box67%68%69%68%
Big chances created2.52.72.31.7
Corners4.75.44.13.7
xG from set plays28%32%42%43%
Goals from headers12%10%14%24%
Pressure index12.813.414.310.3
Dominant minutes48.552.451.043.8
Pass accuracy83%84%80%80%
Fouls10.410.19.49.8
Cards2.062.121.621.59

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Eintracht Frankfurt

0–15'59
16–30'118
31–45'1110
46–60'119
61–75'1010
76–90'1319

SC Freiburg

0–15'76
16–30'65
31–45'711
46–60'1017
61–75'95
76–90'1213

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Eintracht Frankfurt · 3 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.76

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.183
Early press (0-15, level)-0.023

Game state

When ahead+0.253
When level-0.193
When behind+0.102
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.763

Situations

Away+0.042
4+ days rest+0.183

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.223
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.253

Ahead vs level +0.45 · Behind vs level +0.29

SC Freiburg · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.62) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.87

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.625
Early press (0-15, level)+0.185

Game state

When ahead+0.375
When level+0.615
10 min after conceding+0.982
10 min after scoring+0.875

Situations

Against ten men+0.493
At home+0.663
Away+0.582
4+ days rest+0.594

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.202
As favourite+0.625

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.315
Conceded when ahead-0.235
Conceded late (76+)-0.324

Congested vs rested +0.28 · Ahead vs level -0.24 · Behind vs level +2.14

Eintracht Frankfurt

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-110 29%1.51.71.61.211.39
3-4-2-110 29%0.71.52.51.321.98
4-1-4-14 12%2.02.51.751.791.21
4-3-34 12%1.01.251.51.380.87
4-5-12 6%1.53.53.01.551.11

SC Freiburg

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-131 91%1.321.391.611.451.52
4-4-22 6%1.52.03.51.392.28
4-4-1-11 3%3.04.00.03.720.09

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.25Home 27% P 42%3.5Draw 17% P 28%3.1Away 19% P 30%3.0SC Freiburg 20%3.5Tie 17%

Double Chance

1.3Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw 22% P 35%1.28Eintracht Frankfurt or SC Freiburg 22% P 36%1.36Eintracht Frankfurt or Tie 21% P 36%1.66Tie or SC Freiburg 17% P 36%1.7Draw or SC Freiburg 17% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.51 43%2.52 26%2.1SC Freiburg 31%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 60%2.1No 44% P 40%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 54%2.0Under 47% P 46%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home42%41%41%-0.1
Draw28%28%26%-1.9
Away30%31%33%+2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes60%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%54%+0.8

Christian Dingert

Career
227 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
4.45 (4.29 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
20.6 · 4.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.32
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 63 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.434.14+0.4767
Fouls / match23.122.3+0.60
Fouls per card5.45.4-0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.330.32+0.0448
Time added7.16.8+0.1963
First card
34' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 40% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.28

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-07 50 180 27'8
2026-01-14 20 261 5'9
2025-12-20 71 270 13'7
2025-11-29 10 260 74'6
2025-11-01 · Eintracht Frankfurt 20 180 29'14
2025-10-04 40 240 45'7
2025-08-29 61 320 7'11
2025-05-11 · Eintracht Frankfurt 40 230 78'9
2025-04-26 10 200 83'6
2025-04-06 20 190 47'4