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Bundesliga · Matchweek 24

Momentum

FC AugsburgFC Köln
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
24

Venue

Stadium
WWK Arena, Augsburg
Capacity
30,660
Surface
grass
Attendance
30,660

Teams

Coaches
Manuel Baum · Lukas Kwasniok
Position
10 · 12
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Tobias Welz

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
7.7° (feels 6.5°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
81%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Augsburg

WWLWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 6.95–9.38 · xPts 5.62

  • W A VfL Wolfsburg 3–2 xG 1.87–1.64 GER BI
  • W H FC Heidenheim 1–0 xG 2.0–0.96 GER BI
  • L A FSV Mainz 05 0–2 xG 0.77–2.23 GER BI
  • W H St. Pauli 2–1 xG 0.98–2.55 GER BI
  • W A FC Bayern München 2–1 xG 1.33–2.0 GER BI

FC Köln

LWLLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 6.73–10.59 · xPts 4.75

  • D H TSG Hoffenheim 2–2 xG 0.89–2.28 GER BI
  • L A VfB Stuttgart 1–3 xG 1.49–1.93 GER BI
  • L H RB Leipzig 1–2 xG 1.36–2.79 GER BI
  • W H VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 xG 1.13–1.29 GER BI
  • L A SC Freiburg 1–2 xG 1.85–2.3 GER BI

All meetings · 22 matches since 2011

FC Augsburg 89 draws5 FC Köln

Goals 27–25 · 2.36 per match · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 41%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Augsburg 33 draws4 FC Köln

Goals 14–16 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Augsburg 13 draws1 FC Köln

Goals 6–6 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W FC Augsburg 2–0 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Köln 1–1 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Augsburg 1–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Köln 1–1 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Augsburg 1–3 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Köln 3–2 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Augsburg 1–4 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Köln 0–2 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Augsburg 2–3 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Köln 0–1 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
MetricFC Augsburg all · 34FC Augsburg at home · 17FC Köln all · 34FC Köln away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.261.530.940.76
W / D / L12 / 7 / 157 / 5 / 57 / 11 / 162 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match1.321.471.441.12
Goals against / match1.791.651.851.94
Clean sheets15%29%9%12%
Failed to score26%18%12%18%
Both teams scored62%59%79%71%
Over 2.562%53%65%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.391.351.491.39
xG against / match1.841.521.661.88
xG difference-0.46-0.17-0.18-0.49
Finishing vs xG-0.060.12-0.05-0.27
xPts / match1.171.311.271.10
Points vs xPts0.100.22-0.33-0.34
Game state
Scored first50%59%41%29%
PPG when scoring first1.762.201.571.60
PPG when conceding first0.750.500.500.42
Came back from behind21%17%38%43%
Leads held57%64%44%40%
Minutes leading24%29%19%11%
Minutes level46%48%51%55%
Minutes trailing30%23%30%34%
First goal (min)42454248
First goal conceded (min)41454442
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half53%60%61%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half49%46%56%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.290.290.560.47
Late goals against0.290.180.350.41
Style
Possession44%45%47%46%
Shots13.213.213.411.7
On target4.65.14.73.8
Shot conversion10%11%11%10%
Shots inside box64%66%70%71%
Big chances created2.22.52.52.1
Corners4.65.24.64.4
xG from set plays31%25%27%29%
Goals from headers16%12%16%16%
Pressure index9.512.111.08.6
Dominant minutes40.546.942.835.8
Pass accuracy78%79%80%80%
Fouls11.011.38.38.1
Cards2.472.652.001.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Augsburg

0–15'68
16–30'610
31–45'913
46–60'911
61–75'59
76–90'1010

FC Köln

0–15'98
16–30'69
31–45'411
46–60'78
61–75'415
76–90'1912

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Augsburg · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.17) · stands out: when level -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.173
Early press (0-15, level)-0.343

Game state

When ahead+0.103
When level-0.493
When behind-0.482
10 min after conceding-0.592
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home-0.172
4+ days rest-0.173

Opposition

As underdog-0.332

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.523
Conceded when ahead+0.173
Conceded late (76+)+0.323

Ahead vs level +0.59 · Behind vs level +0.00

FC Köln · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.59

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.033
Early press (0-15, level)-0.053
Late push (76+, level)+0.022

Game state

When ahead-0.222
When level-0.153
When behind+0.382
10 min after conceding+0.073
10 min after scoring+0.593

Situations

At home-0.182
4+ days rest-0.033

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.182

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.273
Conceded when ahead+0.502
Conceded late (76+)-0.423

Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level +0.54

FC Augsburg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-129 85%1.241.341.931.381.93
3-4-32 6%3.02.00.51.421.83
5-4-12 6%0.50.51.01.590.84
3-3-3-11 3%0.01.02.00.931.31

FC Köln

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 13 · conceding 17

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-18 24%0.751.631.881.541.26
3-4-2-16 18%1.330.831.00.791.64
3-4-36 18%1.01.171.671.381.2
5-3-25 15%0.41.63.01.592.41
4-4-24 12%1.751.51.02.081.56

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 21% P 43%3.4Draw 14% P 28%3.25Away 14% P 29%2.25Augsburg 21%3.2Cologne 15%3.2Tie 15%

Double Chance

1.33Augsburg or Draw 22% P 36%1.61Tie or Cologne 18% P 36%1.28Augsburg or Cologne 22% P 36%1.36Augsburg or Tie 21% P 36%1.66Draw or Cologne 17% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.531 30%2.372 20%1.61Augsburg 29%2.2Cologne 21%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 28% P 59%2.1No 22% P 41%2.25Non 21%1.57Oui 29%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 26% P 53%2.0Under 24% P 47%2.1Moins de 23%1.72Plus de 28%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%44%43%-0.3
Draw28%28%30%+2.4
Away29%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes59%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%55%+0.8

Tobias Welz

Career
167 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.16 (3.96 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 4.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.41
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 49 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.614.15+0.8682
Fouls / match23.522.3+0.93
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.40 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.33-0.5126
Time added7.06.8+0.0952
First card
26' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.18

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-13 50 150 9'8
2026-01-23 20 280 7'7
2026-01-17 70 220 16'6
2025-12-20 · FC Augsburg 70 300 45'10
2025-11-29 70 160 11'7
2025-10-18 40 250 18'10
2025-09-27 · FC Augsburg 70 360 4'12
2025-09-13 11 252 57'12
2025-05-17 50 221 39'4
2025-04-25 40 300 21'9