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Bundesliga · Matchweek 24

Momentum

SVWHeidenheim
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
24

Venue

Stadium
Wohninvest Weserstadion, Bremen
Capacity
42,100
Surface
grass
Attendance
40,000

Teams

Coaches
Daniel Thioune · Frank Schmidt
Position
17 · 18
Formation
4-3-2-1 · 4-3-2-1

Referee

Florian Badstübner

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
12.9° (feels 11.8°)
Wind
7.7
Humidity
58%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Werder Bremen

LDLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 2 GA 9 · xG 7.38–4.51 · xPts 9.01

  • L A St. Pauli 1–2 xG 1.62–0.41 GER BI
  • L H FC Bayern München 0–3 xG 0.89–1.94 GER BI
  • L A SC Freiburg 0–1 xG 1.3–0.56 GER BI
  • D H Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 xG 1.68–0.8 GER BI
  • L H TSG Hoffenheim 0–2 xG 1.89–0.79 GER BI

Heidenheim

LLLLD 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 12 · xG 7.82–12.17 · xPts 4.65

  • D H VfB Stuttgart 3–3 xG 2.35–2.08 GER BI
  • L A FC Augsburg 0–1 xG 0.96–2.0 GER BI
  • L H Hamburger SV 0–2 xG 1.63–1.84 GER BI
  • L A Borussia Dortmund 2–3 xG 2.25–4.1 GER BI
  • L H RB Leipzig 0–3 xG 0.64–2.15 GER BI

All meetings · 6 matches since 2023

Werder Bremen 22 draws2 Heidenheim

Goals 14–12 · 4.33 per match · BTTS 83% · over 2.5 83%

Last 10 · 6 matches

Werder Bremen 22 draws2 Heidenheim

Goals 14–12 · 4.33 per match · BTTS 83% · over 2.5 83%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Werder Bremen 22 draws1 Heidenheim

Goals 12–8 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Werder Bremen 2–0 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Heidenheim 2–2 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Heidenheim 1–4 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Werder Bremen 3–3 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Werder Bremen 1–2 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Heidenheim 4–2 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
MetricWerder Bremen all · 34Werder Bremen at home · 17Heidenheim all · 34Heidenheim away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.941.120.760.53
W / D / L8 / 8 / 185 / 4 / 86 / 8 / 202 / 3 / 12
Goals for / match1.091.121.211.06
Goals against / match1.761.822.122.06
Clean sheets18%18%3%0%
Failed to score38%35%35%35%
Both teams scored47%47%62%65%
Over 2.553%53%68%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.211.421.361.27
xG against / match1.581.351.911.89
xG difference-0.370.07-0.55-0.62
Finishing vs xG-0.12-0.30-0.16-0.21
xPts / match1.211.471.101.04
Points vs xPts-0.27-0.35-0.33-0.51
Game state
Scored first29%29%24%18%
PPG when scoring first2.102.602.001.67
PPG when conceding first0.430.500.380.29
Came back from behind25%33%23%14%
Leads held62%71%46%33%
Minutes leading16%17%15%12%
Minutes level41%38%48%50%
Minutes trailing43%46%37%39%
First goal (min)52544553
First goal conceded (min)35333941
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half70%74%61%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half57%52%54%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.590.320.24
Late goals against0.320.290.440.35
Style
Possession51%54%42%43%
Shots13.115.411.411.3
On target4.14.73.63.3
Shot conversion8%7%11%9%
Shots inside box62%63%69%72%
Big chances created1.71.92.52.4
Corners4.64.94.54.4
xG from set plays24%23%33%27%
Goals from headers19%32%15%17%
Pressure index12.617.07.78.0
Dominant minutes47.860.435.333.2
Pass accuracy82%82%76%76%
Fouls9.910.39.810.3
Cards2.472.591.441.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Werder Bremen

0–15'27
16–30'49
31–45'510
46–60'48
61–75'815
76–90'1411

Heidenheim

0–15'45
16–30'611
31–45'617
46–60'713
61–75'711
76–90'1115

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Werder Bremen · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.133
Early press (0-15, level)+0.063

Game state

When level-0.183
When behind+0.412
10 min after conceding-0.493
10 min after scoring-0.302

Situations

Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.133

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.472
As underdog-0.133

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.202

Ahead vs level -0.41 · Behind vs level +0.60

Heidenheim

No pressure profile yet.

Werder Bremen

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-115 44%1.01.22.071.121.76
3-4-2-16 18%0.51.172.171.221.4
4-1-4-13 9%1.01.01.331.111.63
4-3-33 9%2.332.331.01.651.78
3-5-23 9%0.330.01.01.21.19

Heidenheim

Current: winless 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-16 18%0.671.332.331.541.71
4-3-2-15 15%0.81.02.41.362.26
4-4-24 12%1.52.01.51.861.09
4-2-3-14 12%0.250.252.00.792.1
4-3-34 12%1.01.752.251.01.59

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.61Home 39% P 60%4.33Draw 14% P 22%4.75Away 13% P 18%3.75Match nul 17%3.75Tie 17%

Double Chance

1.18Werder Bremen or Draw 15% P 41%1.18Werder Bremen or Tie 15% P 39%2.1Tie or Heidenheim 9% P 39%1.2Werder Bremen or Heidenheim 15% P 39%2.25Draw or Heidenheim 8% P 20%2.1Match nul ou Heidenheim 9%1.25Werder Bremen ou Heidenheim 14%1.18Werder Bremen ou match nul 15%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 29% P 57%2.2No 21% P 43%2.05Non 23%1.7Oui 27%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 31% P 59%2.5Under 19% P 41%2.1Moins de 23%1.72Plus de 28%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 21%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 17.5–20% · 511 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home60%59%60%+1.3
Draw22%23%24%+1.3
Away18%18%16%-2.6

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes57%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.559%59%60%+0.8

Florian Badstübner

Career
85 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
3.53 (3.39 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
22.6 · 6.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 66 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.714.15-1.127
Fouls / match22.022.3-0.34
Fouls per card6.15.4+1.04 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.320.33-0.1533
Time added6.06.8-0.9711
First card
39' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 27% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.33

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-14 30 191 50'10
2026-02-01 40 280 52'5
2026-01-15 11 270 53'12
2026-01-11 10 130 45'9
2025-12-21 · Heidenheim 14 5
2025-12-11 50 180 10'5
2025-12-07 20 160 65'7
2025-11-22 11 12
2025-11-01 · Werder Bremen 40 300 45'6
2025-10-18 20 200 6'8