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Bundesliga · Matchweek 26

Momentum

BMGSt. Pauli
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
26

Venue

Stadium
Stadion im Borussia-Park, Mönchengladbach
Capacity
54,057
Surface
grass
Attendance
49,202

Teams

Coaches
Eugen Polanski · Alexander Blessin
Position
12 · 16
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Daniel Schlager

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
4.6° (feels 3.5°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
95%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Borussia Mönchengladbach

DLLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 10 · xG 7.35–6.58 · xPts 7.42

  • L A FC Bayern München 1–4 xG 1.24–2.71 GER BI
  • W H FC Union Berlin 1–0 xG 2.42–0.14 GER BI
  • L A SC Freiburg 1–2 xG 1.3–1.88 GER BI
  • L A Eintracht Frankfurt 0–3 xG 1.76–1.15 GER BI
  • D H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 xG 0.63–0.7 GER BI

St. Pauli

WLWWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 4.36–7.4 · xPts 5.01

  • D H Eintracht Frankfurt 0–0 xG 0.59–0.67 GER BI
  • W A TSG Hoffenheim 1–0 xG 0.81–2.84 GER BI
  • W H Werder Bremen 2–1 xG 0.41–1.62 GER BI
  • L A Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–4 xG 0.65–1.65 GER BI
  • W H VfB Stuttgart 2–1 xG 1.9–0.62 GER BI

All meetings · 6 matches since 2010

Borussia Mönchengladbach 31 draws2 St. Pauli

Goals 11–6 · 2.83 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 6 matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach 31 draws2 St. Pauli

Goals 11–6 · 2.83 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach 31 draws1 St. Pauli

Goals 10–4 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–0 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
  • W St. Pauli 0–4 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • D St. Pauli 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–0 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
  • L St. Pauli 3–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
MetricBorussia Mönchengladbach all · 34Borussia Mönchengladbach at home · 17St. Pauli all · 34St. Pauli away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.121.410.760.53
W / D / L9 / 11 / 146 / 6 / 56 / 8 / 202 / 3 / 12
Goals for / match1.241.410.850.71
Goals against / match1.561.411.761.71
Clean sheets38%47%15%18%
Failed to score35%35%38%41%
Both teams scored41%35%56%47%
Over 2.553%53%56%41%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.390.990.85
xG against / match1.511.431.671.70
xG difference-0.16-0.04-0.68-0.86
Finishing vs xG-0.120.02-0.14-0.14
xPts / match1.271.340.970.83
Points vs xPts-0.150.07-0.21-0.31
Game state
Scored first41%53%29%29%
PPG when scoring first2.292.331.701.40
PPG when conceding first0.070.000.290.09
Came back from behind18%17%17%8%
Leads held64%67%54%40%
Minutes leading19%25%13%12%
Minutes level52%53%50%47%
Minutes trailing28%22%37%40%
First goal (min)48375047
First goal conceded (min)40424034
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%54%62%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half45%46%62%55%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.410.210.12
Late goals against0.350.240.380.35
Style
Possession47%46%44%44%
Shots11.611.510.39.9
On target4.14.53.42.5
Shot conversion11%12%8%7%
Shots inside box66%64%59%57%
Big chances created1.92.21.71.5
Corners3.83.34.73.6
xG from set plays34%39%34%19%
Goals from headers20%26%24%25%
Pressure index9.910.58.46.2
Dominant minutes41.942.838.232.0
Pass accuracy82%82%77%77%
Fouls10.810.69.69.7
Cards1.852.001.681.53

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Borussia Mönchengladbach

0–15'68
16–30'59
31–45'612
46–60'32
61–75'910
76–90'1312

St. Pauli

0–15'17
16–30'33
31–45'713
46–60'614
61–75'510
76–90'713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Borussia Mönchengladbach · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.223
Early press (0-15, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-1.122

Game state

When level+0.163
When behind-0.463
10 min after conceding-0.463

Situations

Away-0.222
4+ days rest-0.223

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.222
As underdog-0.222

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.243
Conceded late (76+)+0.152

Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level -0.62

St. Pauli

No pressure profile yet.

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 38%1.461.851.621.461.33
4-2-3-14 12%1.01.01.751.231.43
5-4-14 12%1.00.752.251.222.09
4-4-23 9%0.670.331.00.741.35
3-1-4-22 6%0.50.01.51.261.39

St. Pauli

Current: winless 10 · scoring 3 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-118 53%0.890.831.891.011.79
3-4-1-210 29%0.81.01.71.241.61
5-4-12 6%0.51.02.00.371.94
3-4-32 6%0.50.51.00.430.85
3-5-22 6%0.00.51.50.691.33

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.95Home 49% P 50%3.4Draw 28% P 29%4.1Away 23% P 22%

Double Chance

1.22Borussia M'gladbach or Draw 38% P 39%1.3Borussia M'gladbach or St Pauli 36% P 36%1.83Draw or St Pauli 26% P 25%

Draw No Bet

1.361 69%3.02 31%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47% P 48%1.75No 53% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 43%1.66Under 57% P 57%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

2.51.57Over 59%2.25Under 41%
3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 20–22.5% · 338 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home50%49%47%-2.2
Draw29%29%33%+3.5
Away22%22%20%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.543%44%43%-1.2

Daniel Schlager

Career
120 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.56 (4.36 yellow · 0.07 red)
Fouls / match
23.0 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 71 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.624.14+0.8985
Fouls / match22.022.3-0.38
Fouls per card4.95.4-0.87 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.32+0.5874
Time added7.26.8+0.3067
First card
32' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.18

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-21 70 261 17'10
2026-01-31 40 171 38'10
2026-01-17 30 240 48'11
2026-01-09 60 201 29'7
2025-12-12 40 150 37'5
2025-11-30 21 210 28'7
2025-11-06 41 200 23'6
2025-11-02 72 260 10'15
2025-10-24 40 190 23'9
2025-10-05 · Borussia Mönchengladbach 40 220 54'4