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Bundesliga · Matchweek 26

Momentum

SGEHeidenheim
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
26

Venue

Stadium
Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main
Capacity
58,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
58,700

Teams

Coaches
Riera · Frank Schmidt
Position
7 · 18
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-3-3

Referee

Harm Osmers

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
5.8° (feels 1.9°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
82%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Eintracht Frankfurt

DWLWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 4 · xG 5.65–7.06 · xPts 5.9

  • D A St. Pauli 0–0 xG 0.67–0.59 GER BI
  • W H SC Freiburg 2–0 xG 1.34–0.61 GER BI
  • L A FC Bayern München 2–3 xG 2.24–2.73 GER BI
  • W H Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–0 xG 1.15–1.76 GER BI
  • D A FC Union Berlin 1–1 xG 0.24–1.37 GER BI

Heidenheim

LLDLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 12 · xG 7.15–10.21 · xPts 5.14

  • L H TSG Hoffenheim 2–4 xG 1.03–2.63 GER BI
  • L A Werder Bremen 0–2 xG 1.18–1.66 GER BI
  • D H VfB Stuttgart 3–3 xG 2.35–2.08 GER BI
  • L A FC Augsburg 0–1 xG 0.96–2.0 GER BI
  • L H Hamburger SV 0–2 xG 1.63–1.84 GER BI

All meetings · 6 matches since 2023

Eintracht Frankfurt 51 draws0 Heidenheim

Goals 13–2 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 6 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt 51 draws0 Heidenheim

Goals 13–2 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt 41 draws0 Heidenheim

Goals 11–2 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Heidenheim 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 3–0 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Heidenheim 0–4 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Heidenheim 1–2 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 2–0 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
MetricEintracht Frankfurt all · 34Eintracht Frankfurt at home · 17Heidenheim all · 34Heidenheim away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.291.470.760.53
W / D / L11 / 11 / 127 / 4 / 66 / 8 / 202 / 3 / 12
Goals for / match1.791.711.211.06
Goals against / match1.911.592.122.06
Clean sheets21%35%3%0%
Failed to score9%6%35%35%
Both teams scored74%59%62%65%
Over 2.568%65%68%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.481.361.27
xG against / match1.501.241.911.89
xG difference-0.150.24-0.55-0.62
Finishing vs xG0.450.23-0.16-0.21
xPts / match1.311.561.101.04
Points vs xPts-0.02-0.08-0.33-0.51
Game state
Scored first50%59%24%18%
PPG when scoring first1.942.202.001.67
PPG when conceding first0.630.430.380.29
Came back from behind43%33%23%14%
Leads held55%64%46%33%
Minutes leading25%22%15%12%
Minutes level46%49%48%50%
Minutes trailing29%29%37%39%
First goal (min)41494553
First goal conceded (min)35343941
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%69%61%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%63%54%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.410.320.24
Late goals against0.560.290.440.35
Style
Possession55%54%42%43%
Shots12.013.211.411.3
On target4.65.33.63.3
Shot conversion15%13%11%9%
Shots inside box67%68%69%72%
Big chances created2.52.72.52.4
Corners4.75.44.54.4
xG from set plays28%32%33%27%
Goals from headers12%10%15%17%
Pressure index12.813.47.78.0
Dominant minutes48.552.435.333.2
Pass accuracy83%84%76%76%
Fouls10.410.19.810.3
Cards2.062.121.441.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Eintracht Frankfurt

0–15'59
16–30'118
31–45'1110
46–60'119
61–75'1010
76–90'1319

Heidenheim

0–15'45
16–30'611
31–45'617
46–60'713
61–75'711
76–90'1115

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Eintracht Frankfurt · 3 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.76

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.183
Early press (0-15, level)-0.023

Game state

When ahead+0.253
When level-0.193
When behind+0.102
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.763

Situations

Away+0.042
4+ days rest+0.183

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.223
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.253

Ahead vs level +0.45 · Behind vs level +0.29

Heidenheim

No pressure profile yet.

Eintracht Frankfurt

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-110 29%0.71.52.51.321.98
4-2-3-110 29%1.51.71.61.211.39
4-1-4-14 12%2.02.51.751.791.21
4-3-34 12%1.01.251.51.380.87
4-5-12 6%1.53.53.01.551.11

Heidenheim

Current: winless 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-16 18%0.671.332.331.541.71
4-3-2-15 15%0.81.02.41.362.26
4-2-3-14 12%0.250.252.00.792.1
4-4-24 12%1.52.01.51.861.09
4-3-34 12%1.01.752.251.01.59

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.65Home 58% P 58%4.33Draw 22% P 22%4.75Away 20% P 20%

Double Chance

1.16Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw 40% P 40%1.18Eintracht Frankfurt or Heidenheim 40% P 39%2.3Draw or Heidenheim 20% P 21%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 61%2.2No 42% P 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 62% P 63%2.5Under 38% P 37%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 17.5–20% · 511 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home58%59%60%+1.3
Draw22%23%24%+1.3
Away20%18%16%-2.6

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes61%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.563%64%63%-0.4

Harm Osmers

Career
165 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
4.11 (3.93 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
22.7 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 73 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.154.14-0.1448
Fouls / match21.422.3-0.93
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.47 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.340.32+0.1452
Time added6.76.8-0.2233
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.22

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-21 70 220 3'12
2026-01-31 100 281 23'15
2026-01-22 61 200 29'13
2026-01-17 40 201 16'7
2026-01-11 10 251 54'6
2025-12-13 30 140 5'5
2025-11-30 · Eintracht Frankfurt 50 161 56'6
2025-11-27 50 240 33'6
2025-11-09 50 231 17'12
2025-10-26 31 170 15'9