Rating 7.17 (92th pct) · G+A 7 + 5 (30% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (25) · 1.33 without (9)
Bundesliga · Matchweek 26
Momentum
– Hamburger SVFC Köln –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Hamburger SV | at home | Stat | league | away | FC Köln |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.4 #12 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 47.1 #10 |
| 12.3 #11 | – | Shots total | 13.3 | – | 13.4 #6 |
| 4.6 #10 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 4.7 #7 |
| 3.7 #18 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 4.6 #11 |
| 11.8 #3 | – | Fouls | 10.4 | – | 8.3 #18 |
| 1.7 #11 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.8 #9 |
| 15.0 #11 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 14.2 #16 |
| 82.8 #18 | – | Attacks | 98.2 | – | 91.3 #13 |
| 34.3 #18 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.7 | – | 44.2 #10 |
| 390.1 #15 | – | Passes | 456.1 | – | 408.4 #11 |
| 2.1 #4 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.9 #10 |
| 0.1 #2 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #5 |
| 0.9 #12 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.1 #8 |
| – #4 | – | Btts | 61.8 | – | – #1 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #16 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #1 |
| 1.3 #16 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.5 #9 |
| -0.1 #16 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | -0.0 #8 |
| – #5 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #12 |
| 1.2 #16 | 1.5 | Goals | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 #9 |
| 1.6 #10 | 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.9 #4 |
| 0.2 #14 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.5 #1 |
| 9.2 #8 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 8.4 #15 |
| – #8 | – | Lost | 37.7 | – | – #5 |
| 0.1 #9 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #14 |
| 6.8 #9 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #14 |
| 3.1 #15 | – | Shots blocked | 3.5 | – | 3.9 #3 |
| 8.1 #13 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.0 | – | 9.4 #7 |
| 4.7 #13 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 4.9 #11 |
| 4.3 #9 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 4.0 #11 |
| – #12 | – | Win | 37.7 | – | – #15 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.24 (home 1.78 · away 1.46)
- Home / draw / away
- 44% · 25% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 62% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 3.9 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Hamburger SV · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 6.94 (78th pct) · G+A 0 + 4 (10% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (27) · 1.43 without (7)
Rating 6.9 (67th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (5% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
FC Köln · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 6.92 (56th pct) · G+A 7 + 4 (22% of team goals) · 56% of minutes
Team 0.83 ppg with (18) · 1.06 without (16)
Rating 6.78 (41th pct) · G+A 13 + 5 (37% of team goals) · 64% of minutes
Team 0.85 ppg with (20) · 1.07 without (14)
Rating 6.88 (56th pct) · G+A 5 + 4 (18% of team goals) · 52% of minutes
Team 0.89 ppg with (18) · 1.0 without (16)
Absences
Hamburger SV
- injury Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit #12 key player attacker · Fitness
- injury Bakery Jatta #10 key player midfielder · Torn Muscle Fiber · 4 missed · until 2026-04-07
- injury Fernando Dickes goalkeeper · Shoulder Injury · 13 missed
FC Köln
- injury Malek El Mala attacker · Muscle Injury · 27 missed
- injury Timo Hübers #12 key player defender · Knee Injury · 30 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 26
Venue
- Stadium
- Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
- Capacity
- 57,000
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 57,000
Teams
- Coaches
- Merlin Polzin · Lukas Kwasniok
- Position
- 10 · 14
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Tobias Welz
Weather
- Conditions
- light intensity drizzle
- Temperature
- 4.2° (feels 4.2°)
- Wind
- 1.0
- Humidity
- 91%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Bayern München |
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | LWLWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig |
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart |
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 5 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | LWWLD |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg |
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | LDLLD |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | DLWLW |
| 11 |  FC Union Berlin |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | LLDWW |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | DDWLW |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | LLWWD |
| 14 |  FC Köln |
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg |
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WDDLW |
| 17 |  FC Heidenheim |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  St. Pauli |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 44 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 41 | LWLWW |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 39 | LDDWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 6 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 31 | LWWLD |
| 8 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 25 | LDLLD |
| 10 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 24 | DDWLW |
| 12 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 22 | LLDWW |
| 13 | FC Köln |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 | DLDLL |
| 14 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 19 | WDLLL |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 | DLWLW |
| 16 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 17 | St. Pauli |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 18 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 10 | WDDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 45 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 32 | LWLWW |
| 3 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 28 | LWWLD |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 23 | LDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 19 | LDLLD |
| 9 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 19 | WDDLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 11 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 | LLDWW |
| 12 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | WDLLL |
| 16 | FC Köln |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 17 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 | LWDWL |
| 18 | St. Pauli |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 9 | DLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Hamburger SV
WDLLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 6.32–11.15 · xPts 4.47
- W
A
VfL Wolfsburg
2–1
xG 1.92–2.18
GER BI
- L
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–1
xG 1.41–1.87
GER BI
- L
H
RB Leipzig
1–2
xG 0.54–3.39
GER BI
- D
A
FSV Mainz 05
1–1
xG 0.73–1.88
GER BI
- W
H
FC Union Berlin
3–2
xG 1.72–1.84
GER BI
LDDDWWDLLW 3W 4D 3L · 13 pts (1.3 ppg) · GF 12 GA 11 · xG 12.95–18.55 · xPts 11.04
- W
A
VfL Wolfsburg
2–1
xG 1.92–2.18
GER BI
- L
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–1
xG 1.41–1.87
GER BI
- L
H
RB Leipzig
1–2
xG 0.54–3.39
GER BI
- D
A
FSV Mainz 05
1–1
xG 0.73–1.88
GER BI
- W
H
FC Union Berlin
3–2
xG 1.72–1.84
GER BI
- W
A
FC Heidenheim
2–0
xG 1.84–1.63
GER BI
- D
H
FC Bayern München
2–2
xG 2.56–2.41
GER BI
- D
A
St. Pauli
0–0
xG 0.37–0.31
GER BI
- D
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0–0
xG 1.29–0.54
GER BI
- L
A
SC Freiburg
1–2
xG 0.58–2.49
GER BI
FC Köln
LLDLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 11 · xG 5.8–9.74 · xPts 4.52
- L
H
Borussia Dortmund
1–2
xG 1.57–1.48
GER BI
- L
A
FC Augsburg
0–2
xG 0.49–1.27
GER BI
- D
H
TSG Hoffenheim
2–2
xG 0.89–2.28
GER BI
- L
A
VfB Stuttgart
1–3
xG 1.49–1.93
GER BI
- L
H
RB Leipzig
1–2
xG 1.36–2.79
GER BI
DLWLWLLDLL 2W 2D 6L · 8 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 12 GA 19 · xG 14.07–17.42 · xPts 11.68
- L
H
Borussia Dortmund
1–2
xG 1.57–1.48
GER BI
- L
A
FC Augsburg
0–2
xG 0.49–1.27
GER BI
- D
H
TSG Hoffenheim
2–2
xG 0.89–2.28
GER BI
- L
A
VfB Stuttgart
1–3
xG 1.49–1.93
GER BI
- L
H
RB Leipzig
1–2
xG 1.36–2.79
GER BI
- W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
1–0
xG 1.13–1.29
GER BI
- L
A
SC Freiburg
1–2
xG 1.85–2.3
GER BI
- W
H
FSV Mainz 05
2–1
xG 2.03–0.83
GER BI
- L
H
FC Bayern München
1–3
xG 0.6–1.5
GER BI
- D
A
FC Heidenheim
2–2
xG 2.65–1.76
GER BI
All meetings · 20 matches since 2005
Goals 33–33 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 60%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 9–17 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 7–9 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- D Hamburger SV 1–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
- L FC Köln 4–1 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- L Hamburger SV 0–2 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
- W FC Köln 1–3 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- W Hamburger SV 2–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
- L FC Köln 3–0 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- D Hamburger SV 1–1 FC Köln neutral GER BI · Regular Season
- L FC Köln 2–1 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- L Hamburger SV 0–2 FC Köln neutral GER BI · Regular Season
- D FC Köln 0–0 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | Hamburger SV all · 34 | Hamburger SV at home · 17 | FC Köln all · 34 | FC Köln away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.12 | 1.41 | 0.94 | 0.76 |
| W / D / L | 9 / 11 / 14 | 6 / 6 / 5 | 7 / 11 / 16 | 2 / 7 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.18 | 1.47 | 1.44 | 1.12 |
| Goals against / match | 1.59 | 1.29 | 1.85 | 1.94 |
| Clean sheets | 18% | 12% | 9% | 12% |
| Failed to score | 29% | 24% | 12% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 71% | 79% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 53% | 65% | 53% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.31 | 1.50 | 1.49 | 1.39 |
| xG against / match | 1.81 | 1.54 | 1.66 | 1.88 |
| xG difference | -0.50 | -0.03 | -0.18 | -0.49 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.14 | -0.03 | -0.05 | -0.27 |
| xPts / match | 1.14 | 1.36 | 1.27 | 1.10 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.02 | 0.05 | -0.33 | -0.34 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 35% | 47% | 41% | 29% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.58 | 1.88 | 1.57 | 1.60 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.83 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.42 |
| Came back from behind | 36% | 50% | 38% | 43% |
| Leads held | 56% | 60% | 44% | 40% |
| Minutes leading | 16% | 19% | 19% | 11% |
| Minutes level | 58% | 58% | 51% | 55% |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | 24% | 30% | 34% |
| First goal (min) | 43 | 36 | 42 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 40 | 44 | 42 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | 52% | 61% | 58% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 54% | 46% | 56% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.56 | 0.47 |
| Late goals against | 0.38 | 0.24 | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 45% | 45% | 47% | 46% |
| Shots | 12.3 | 13.3 | 13.4 | 11.7 |
| On target | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 70% | 70% | 71% |
| Big chances created | 1.9 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 3.7 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 28% | 27% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 8% | 8% | 16% | 16% |
| Pressure index | 9.1 | 10.4 | 11.0 | 8.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 38.3 | 41.4 | 42.8 | 35.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 12.1 | 8.3 | 8.1 |
| Cards | 2.68 | 2.47 | 2.00 | 1.94 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Hamburger SV
0–15'34
16–30'411
31–45'1010
46–60'910
61–75'86
76–90'613
FC Köln
0–15'98
16–30'69
31–45'411
46–60'78
61–75'415
76–90'1912
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Hamburger SV · 3 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.223
Early press (0-15, level)-0.203
Game state
When level-0.253
When behind-0.213
10 min after conceding-0.453
Situations
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.223
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.172
As underdog-0.172
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.163
Behind vs level +0.04
FC Köln · 3 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.59
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.033
Early press (0-15, level)-0.053
Late push (76+, level)+0.022
Game state
When ahead-0.222
When level-0.153
When behind+0.382
10 min after conceding+0.073
10 min after scoring+0.593
Situations
At home-0.182
4+ days rest-0.033
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.182
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.273
Conceded when ahead+0.492
Conceded late (76+)-0.423
Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level +0.54
Hamburger SV
Current: winless 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 17 50% | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.35 | 1.32 | 1.54 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 10 29% | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.46 | 2.13 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 9% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.96 | 1.67 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.77 | 2.73 |
FC Köln
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 13 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 24% | 0.75 | 1.63 | 1.88 | 1.54 | 1.26 |
| 3-4-3 | 6 18% | 1.0 | 1.17 | 1.67 | 1.38 | 1.2 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 18% | 1.33 | 0.83 | 1.0 | 0.79 | 1.64 |
| 5-3-2 | 5 15% | 0.4 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 1.59 | 2.41 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 12% | 1.75 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.08 | 1.56 |
| Metric | Hamburger SV all · 10 | Hamburger SV at home · 10 | FC Köln all · 10 | FC Köln away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 6 | 2 / 4 / 4 | 2 / 4 / 4 | 0 / 5 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 0.90 | 1.20 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals against / match | 2.60 | 1.80 | 2.30 | 2.40 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 30% | 0% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 60% | 80% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.23 | 1.39 | 2.00 | 1.62 |
| xG against / match | 2.02 | 1.91 | 1.93 | 1.96 |
| xG difference | -0.79 | -0.52 | 0.07 | -0.35 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.33 | -0.19 | -0.40 | -0.42 |
| xPts / match | 0.97 | 1.15 | 1.44 | 1.23 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.17 | -0.15 | -0.44 | -0.73 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 20% | 40% | 30% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 1.25 | 1.67 | 0.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | 0.80 | 0.71 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 43% | 43% | 44% |
| Leads held | 67% | 40% | 50% | 0% |
| Minutes leading | 8% | 11% | 23% | 6% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 62% | 43% | 55% |
| Minutes trailing | 48% | 27% | 34% | 39% |
| First goal (min) | 44 | 34 | 44 | 49 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 28 | 33 | 48 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 67% | 42% | 69% | 58% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 44% | 65% | 58% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.70 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | 46% | 46% | 45% |
| Shots | 11.8 | 12.6 | 16.2 | 12.9 |
| On target | 3.9 | 4.1 | 6.0 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 10% | 10% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 60% | 68% | 71% | 75% |
| Big chances created | 1.5 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 2.2 |
| Corners | 3.9 | 3.7 | 5.3 | 5.4 |
| xG from set plays | 22% | 27% | 30% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 9% | 0% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 6.9 | 10.9 | 12.8 | 11.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 37.1 | 41.8 | 47.0 | 43.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80% | 82% | 80% |
| Fouls | 12.7 | 12.2 | 8.6 | 7.0 |
| Cards | 1.90 | 2.30 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Hamburger SV
0–15'11
16–30'07
31–45'25
46–60'34
61–75'32
76–90'07
FC Köln
0–15'33
16–30'13
31–45'12
46–60'12
61–75'410
76–90'63
Hamburger SV
Current: winless 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 60% | 0.83 | 0.83 | 2.67 | 1.44 | 2.09 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 30% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.69 | 0.71 |
FC Köln
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 13 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 0.5 | 1.25 | 2.0 | 1.83 | 1.42 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.67 | 1.33 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 1.75 | 2.68 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.91 | 2.79 |
| Metric | Hamburger SV all · 34 | Hamburger SV at home · 17 | FC Köln all · 34 | FC Köln away · 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 16 |
| Points per game | 1.09 | 1.41 | 0.85 | 0.56 |
| W / D / L | 9 / 10 / 15 | 6 / 6 / 5 | 6 / 11 / 17 | 1 / 6 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.18 | 1.47 | 1.35 | 1.00 |
| Goals against / match | 1.74 | 1.47 | 1.94 | 2.13 |
| Clean sheets | 15% | 12% | 6% | 6% |
| Failed to score | 29% | 24% | 12% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 71% | 82% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 59% | 65% | 56% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.32 | 1.50 | 1.52 | 1.43 |
| xG against / match | 1.84 | 1.62 | 1.71 | 1.99 |
| xG difference | -0.51 | -0.12 | -0.20 | -0.56 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.15 | -0.03 | -0.16 | -0.43 |
| xPts / match | 1.14 | 1.34 | 1.27 | 1.08 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.05 | 0.08 | -0.41 | -0.52 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 35% | 47% | 35% | 19% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.58 | 1.88 | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.79 | 1.00 | 0.59 | 0.38 |
| Came back from behind | 35% | 50% | 37% | 36% |
| Leads held | 56% | 60% | 40% | 33% |
| Minutes leading | 16% | 19% | 18% | 9% |
| Minutes level | 56% | 58% | 50% | 53% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 24% | 32% | 38% |
| First goal (min) | 43 | 36 | 42 | 51 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 40 | 43 | 42 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | 52% | 61% | 56% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 48% | 56% | 56% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.50 | 0.38 |
| Late goals against | 0.47 | 0.35 | 0.32 | 0.44 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 46% | 47% | 45% |
| Shots | 12.4 | 13.5 | 13.6 | 11.9 |
| On target | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 3.7 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 11% | 10% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 70% | 70% | 72% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 3.7 | 3.9 | 5.0 | 4.8 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 28% | 29% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 8% | 8% | 13% | 12% |
| Pressure index | 9.4 | 10.3 | 11.7 | 9.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 39.6 | 40.5 | 43.9 | 37.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 12.1 | 12.1 | 8.1 | 7.6 |
| Cards | 2.56 | 2.24 | 1.94 | 1.94 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Hamburger SV
0–15'33
16–30'411
31–45'1012
46–60'910
61–75'87
76–90'616
FC Köln
0–15'98
16–30'610
31–45'311
46–60'69
61–75'517
76–90'1711
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Hamburger SV · 34 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.77
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0634
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0334
Late push (76+, level)+0.0114
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2112
Game state
When ahead-0.3416
When level+0.0634
When behind-0.1323
10 min after conceding-0.3029
10 min after scoring-0.1322
Situations
With ten men+0.016
Against ten men-0.223
At home-0.0717
Away-0.0417
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest-0.0432
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2713
v mid-tier opponents-0.1213
v bottom-tier opponents+0.773
Evenly matched+0.0616
As underdog-0.1517
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2034
Conceded when ahead+0.3816
Conceded late (76+)+0.0129
Congested vs rested -0.28 · Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level -0.18
FC Köln · 34 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.30
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0334
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0234
Late push (76+, level)-0.1617
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0720
Game state
When ahead-0.1315
When level-0.0634
When behind+0.0926
10 min after conceding-0.0831
10 min after scoring+0.3030
Situations
With ten men-0.033
Against ten men-0.022
At home-0.0218
Away-0.0416
4+ days rest-0.0433
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.0212
v mid-tier opponents-0.1511
v bottom-tier opponents-0.066
As favourite+0.196
Evenly matched-0.1013
As underdog-0.0515
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1734
Conceded when ahead+0.1415
Conceded late (76+)-0.0233
Congested vs rested +0.39 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level +0.15
Hamburger SV
Current: winless 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 15 44% | 1.4 | 1.47 | 1.4 | 1.45 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 13 38% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.27 | 2.11 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 9% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.56 | 2.41 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.37 | 0.31 |
FC Köln
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 13 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 24% | 0.5 | 1.25 | 1.88 | 1.53 | 1.26 |
| 3-4-3 | 6 18% | 1.0 | 1.17 | 1.67 | 1.38 | 1.2 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 15% | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.71 | 1.58 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 12% | 0.75 | 2.0 | 3.25 | 1.71 | 2.77 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 12% | 1.75 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.08 | 1.56 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.3Home 41% P 41%3.5Draw 27% P 28%2.9Away 32% P 32%
Double Chance
1.4Hamburg or Draw 33% P 34%1.28Hamburg or Cologne 37% P 36%1.57Draw or Cologne 30% P 30%
Draw No Bet
1.721 54%2.02 46%
Both Teams To Score
1.66Yes 56% P 58%2.1No 44% P 42%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.8Over 53% P 53%2.0Under 47% P 47%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%
Number of Cards
4.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%
5.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 41% | 41% | 41% | -0.1 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 26% | -1.9 |
| Away | 32% | 31% | 33% | +2.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%
Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58% | 59% | 60% | +1.5 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 54% | 54% | +0.8 |
Tobias Welz
- Career
- 167 matches · 15 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.16 (3.96 yellow · 0.11 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.7 · 4.3 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.41
- Cards to home side
- 45%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 50 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.56 | 4.14 | +0.76 | 82 |
| Fouls / match | 23.3 | 22.3 | +0.77 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.2 | 5.4 | -0.37 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.28 | 0.32 | -0.56 | 22 |
| Time added | 6.9 | 6.8 | -0.01 | 44 |
- First card
- 26' on average
- Card timing
- 18% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.17
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 · FC Köln | 5 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 15' | 10 |
| 2026-02-13 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 9' | 8 |
| 2026-01-23 · Hamburger SV | 2 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7' | 7 |
| 2026-01-17 | 7 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 16' | 6 |
| 2025-12-20 | 7 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 45' | 10 |
| 2025-11-29 | 7 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 11' | 7 |
| 2025-10-18 · Hamburger SV | 4 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 18' | 10 |
| 2025-09-27 | 7 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 4' | 12 |
| 2025-09-13 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 2 | 57' | 12 |
| 2025-05-17 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 39' | 4 |