Rating 7.11 (85th pct) · G+A 10 + 2 (32% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Team 0.97 ppg with (29) · 0.8 without (5)
Bundesliga · Matchweek 26
Momentum
– SVWFSV Mainz 05 –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Werder Bremen | at home | Stat | league | away | FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.2 #8 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 43.9 #16 |
| 13.1 #8 | – | Shots total | 13.3 | – | 12.1 #13 |
| 4.1 #14 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 4.2 #13 |
| 4.6 #13 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 5.1 #7 |
| 9.9 #10 | – | Fouls | 10.4 | – | 11.0 #7 |
| 1.8 #9 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 2.3 #2 |
| 17.1 #1 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 15.3 #9 |
| 97.6 #9 | – | Attacks | 98.2 | – | 100.0 #7 |
| 45.4 #8 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.7 | – | 49.7 #7 |
| 481.1 #7 | – | Passes | 456.1 | – | 370.8 #16 |
| 2.2 #2 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.0 #7 |
| 0.1 #5 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #1 |
| 0.8 #15 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 0.8 #17 |
| – #17 | – | Btts | 61.8 | – | – #8 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #15 |
| – #7 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #5 |
| 1.2 #17 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.6 #7 |
| -0.1 #13 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | -0.3 #18 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #5 |
| 1.1 #17 | 1.1 | Goals | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 #12 |
| 1.8 #6 | 1.8 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 #11 |
| 0.3 #9 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #16 |
| 9.8 #2 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 10.5 #1 |
| – #4 | – | Lost | 37.7 | – | – #8 |
| 0.1 #14 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #2 |
| 6.8 #8 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #9 |
| 3.9 #3 | – | Shots blocked | 3.5 | – | 3.4 #11 |
| 8.2 #12 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.0 | – | 9.2 #8 |
| 5.1 #8 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 4.6 #15 |
| 4.9 #4 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 2.9 #18 |
| – #14 | – | Win | 37.7 | – | – #10 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.24 (home 1.78 · away 1.46)
- Home / draw / away
- 44% · 25% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 62% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 3.9 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Werder Bremen · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 6.83 (52th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (3% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Team 0.93 ppg with (29) · 1.0 without (5)
Rating 6.81 (46th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (11% of team goals) · 66% of minutes
Team 1.0 ppg with (23) · 0.82 without (11)
FSV Mainz 05 · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.41 (96th pct) · G+A 12 + 2 (32% of team goals) · 68% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (24) · 1.5 without (10)
Rating 6.97 (76th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (7% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.9 (61th pct) · G+A 5 + 2 (16% of team goals) · 68% of minutes
Team 1.12 ppg with (24) · 1.3 without (10)
Absences
FSV Mainz 05
- injury Andreas Hanche-Olsen defender · Muscular problems · 8 missed · until 2026-04-08
- injury Benedict Hollerbach #15 key player attacker · Achilles tendon rupture · 23 missed
- injury Nadiem Amiri #1 key player midfielder · Heel Injury · 7 missed · until 2026-04-08
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 26
Venue
- Stadium
- Wohninvest Weserstadion, Bremen
- Capacity
- 42,100
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 41,800
Teams
- Coaches
- Daniel Thioune · Urs Fischer
- Position
- 14 · 15
- Formation
- 4-5-1 · 3-5-2
Referee
Sascha Stegemann
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 8.0° (feels 5.7°)
- Wind
- 3.6
- Humidity
- 71%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Bayern München |
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | LWLWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig |
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart |
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 5 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | LWWLD |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg |
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | LDLLD |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | DLWLW |
| 11 |  FC Union Berlin |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | LLDWW |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | DDWLW |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | LLWWD |
| 14 |  FC Köln |
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg |
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WDDLW |
| 17 |  FC Heidenheim |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  St. Pauli |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 44 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 41 | LWLWW |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 39 | LDDWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 6 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 31 | LWWLD |
| 8 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 25 | LDLLD |
| 10 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 24 | DDWLW |
| 12 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 22 | LLDWW |
| 13 | FC Köln |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 | DLDLL |
| 14 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 19 | WDLLL |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 | DLWLW |
| 16 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 17 | St. Pauli |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 18 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 10 | WDDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 45 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 32 | LWLWW |
| 3 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 28 | LWWLD |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 23 | LDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 19 | LDLLD |
| 9 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 19 | WDDLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 11 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 | LLDWW |
| 12 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | WDLLL |
| 16 | FC Köln |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 17 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 | LWDWL |
| 18 | St. Pauli |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 9 | DLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Werder Bremen
LLLWW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 7.41–5.33 · xPts 8.44
- W
A
FC Union Berlin
4–1
xG 1.94–1.23
GER BI
- W
H
FC Heidenheim
2–0
xG 1.66–1.18
GER BI
- L
A
St. Pauli
1–2
xG 1.62–0.41
GER BI
- L
H
FC Bayern München
0–3
xG 0.89–1.94
GER BI
- L
A
SC Freiburg
0–1
xG 1.3–0.56
GER BI
LDLLDLLLWW 2W 2D 6L · 8 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 11 GA 17 · xG 13.96–11.4 · xPts 15.73
- W
A
FC Union Berlin
4–1
xG 1.94–1.23
GER BI
- W
H
FC Heidenheim
2–0
xG 1.66–1.18
GER BI
- L
A
St. Pauli
1–2
xG 1.62–0.41
GER BI
- L
H
FC Bayern München
0–3
xG 0.89–1.94
GER BI
- L
A
SC Freiburg
0–1
xG 1.3–0.56
GER BI
- D
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1–1
xG 1.68–0.8
GER BI
- L
H
TSG Hoffenheim
0–2
xG 1.89–0.79
GER BI
- L
A
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–1
xG 1.04–1.71
GER BI
- D
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
3–3
xG 1.56–0.84
GER BI
- L
A
Borussia Dortmund
0–3
xG 0.38–1.94
GER BI
FSV Mainz 05
LDDDD 0W 4D 1L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 7.67–7.45 · xPts 7.04
- D
A
Sigma Olomouc
0–0
xG 0.59–0.68
UEFA ECL - D
H
VfB Stuttgart
2–2
xG 2.91–1.17
GER BI
- D
A
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–1
xG 0.88–2.28
GER BI
- D
H
Hamburger SV
1–1
xG 1.88–0.73
GER BI
- L
A
Borussia Dortmund
0–4
xG 1.41–2.59
GER BI
WLWWWLDDDD 4W 4D 2L · 16 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 14 GA 13 · xG 17.51–14.27 · xPts 15.54
- D
A
Sigma Olomouc
0–0
xG 0.59–0.68
UEFA ECL
- D
H
VfB Stuttgart
2–2
xG 2.91–1.17
GER BI
- D
A
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–1
xG 0.88–2.28
GER BI
- D
H
Hamburger SV
1–1
xG 1.88–0.73
GER BI
- L
A
Borussia Dortmund
0–4
xG 1.41–2.59
GER BI
- W
H
FC Augsburg
2–0
xG 2.23–0.77
GER BI
- W
A
RB Leipzig
2–1
xG 2.0–1.92
GER BI
- W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
3–1
xG 3.51–1.08
GER BI
- L
A
FC Köln
1–2
xG 0.83–2.03
GER BI
- W
H
FC Heidenheim
2–1
xG 1.27–1.02
GER BI
All meetings · 36 matches since 2005
Goals 58–47 · 2.92 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 58%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 12–9 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 30%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–4 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%
Recent meetings
- L Werder Bremen 0–2 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- D FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
- W Werder Bremen 1–0 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- W FSV Mainz 05 1–2 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
- W FSV Mainz 05 0–1 Werder Bremen neutral GER BI · Regular Season
- W Werder Bremen 4–0 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- D FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
- L Werder Bremen 0–2 FSV Mainz 05 neutral GER BI · Regular Season
- L Werder Bremen 0–1 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- W FSV Mainz 05 0–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | Werder Bremen all · 34 | Werder Bremen at home · 17 | FSV Mainz 05 all · 34 | FSV Mainz 05 away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 0.94 | 1.12 | 1.18 | 1.35 |
| W / D / L | 8 / 8 / 18 | 5 / 4 / 8 | 10 / 10 / 14 | 6 / 5 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 1.09 | 1.12 | 1.29 | 1.35 |
| Goals against / match | 1.76 | 1.82 | 1.56 | 1.65 |
| Clean sheets | 18% | 18% | 12% | 12% |
| Failed to score | 38% | 35% | 29% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 47% | 62% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 53% | 53% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.21 | 1.42 | 1.58 | 1.41 |
| xG against / match | 1.58 | 1.35 | 1.65 | 1.89 |
| xG difference | -0.37 | 0.07 | -0.07 | -0.48 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.12 | -0.30 | -0.28 | -0.06 |
| xPts / match | 1.21 | 1.47 | 1.39 | 1.18 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.27 | -0.35 | -0.22 | 0.17 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 29% | 29% | 47% | 53% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.10 | 2.60 | 1.81 | 1.89 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.43 | 0.50 | 0.59 | 0.75 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 33% | 33% | 40% |
| Leads held | 62% | 71% | 53% | 54% |
| Minutes leading | 16% | 17% | 28% | 34% |
| Minutes level | 41% | 38% | 43% | 36% |
| Minutes trailing | 43% | 46% | 29% | 30% |
| First goal (min) | 52 | 54 | 37 | 37 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 35 | 33 | 44 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 70% | 74% | 48% | 44% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 52% | 57% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.41 | 0.59 | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| Late goals against | 0.32 | 0.29 | 0.59 | 0.65 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | 54% | 44% | 42% |
| Shots | 13.1 | 15.4 | 12.1 | 10.5 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.7 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 7% | 11% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 63% | 76% | 75% |
| Big chances created | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3.2 | 3.0 |
| Corners | 4.6 | 4.9 | 5.1 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 23% | 39% | 40% |
| Goals from headers | 19% | 32% | 18% | 22% |
| Pressure index | 12.6 | 17.0 | 10.9 | 8.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.8 | 60.4 | 44.0 | 37.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 82% | 75% | 74% |
| Fouls | 9.9 | 10.3 | 11.0 | 10.1 |
| Cards | 2.47 | 2.59 | 2.24 | 2.53 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Werder Bremen
0–15'27
16–30'49
31–45'510
46–60'48
61–75'815
76–90'1411
FSV Mainz 05
0–15'810
16–30'56
31–45'107
46–60'57
61–75'73
76–90'920
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Werder Bremen · 3 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.133
Early press (0-15, level)+0.063
Game state
When level-0.183
When behind+0.412
10 min after conceding-0.493
10 min after scoring-0.302
Situations
Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.133
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.462
As underdog-0.133
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.202
Ahead vs level -0.41 · Behind vs level +0.60
FSV Mainz 05 · 3 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: when level +0.32
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.113
Early press (0-15, level)+0.223
Game state
When level+0.323
10 min after scoring+0.242
Situations
At home+0.032
4+ days rest+0.113
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.302
As favourite+0.032
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.193
Conceded late (76+)-0.422
Ahead vs level -0.34 · Behind vs level -0.58
Werder Bremen
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 15 44% | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2.07 | 1.12 | 1.76 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 18% | 0.5 | 1.17 | 2.17 | 1.22 | 1.4 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 9% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.11 | 1.63 |
| 3-5-2 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.19 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 9% | 2.33 | 2.33 | 1.0 | 1.65 | 1.78 |
FSV Mainz 05
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 17 50% | 1.82 | 1.71 | 1.41 | 1.87 | 1.7 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 11 32% | 0.45 | 0.91 | 2.0 | 1.26 | 1.72 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.56 | 1.4 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.16 | 0.45 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.54 | 3.86 |
| Metric | Werder Bremen all · 10 | Werder Bremen at home · 10 | FSV Mainz 05 all · 10 | FSV Mainz 05 away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 | 1.10 | 1.80 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 6 | 3 / 1 / 6 | 3 / 2 / 5 | 5 / 3 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.20 | 1.10 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.90 | 1.70 | 1.70 | 1.20 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 10% | 30% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 50% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% | 60% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.05 | 1.32 | 1.91 | 1.66 |
| xG against / match | 1.95 | 1.44 | 1.55 | 1.54 |
| xG difference | -0.90 | -0.12 | 0.36 | 0.11 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.15 | -0.22 | -0.41 | -0.16 |
| xPts / match | 0.91 | 1.35 | 1.63 | 1.48 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.11 | -0.35 | -0.53 | 0.33 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 30% | 40% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | 3.00 | 2.25 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| Came back from behind | 14% | 14% | 17% | 33% |
| Leads held | 67% | 100% | 75% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | 18% | 17% | 34% | 41% |
| Minutes level | 33% | 38% | 34% | 34% |
| Minutes trailing | 49% | 44% | 32% | 25% |
| First goal (min) | 54 | 57 | 39 | 30 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 36 | 40 | 38 | 40 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 75% | 82% | 40% | 47% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 53% | 65% | 42% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 54% | 48% | 44% |
| Shots | 11.6 | 15.8 | 15.9 | 11.6 |
| On target | 4.4 | 5.0 | 5.5 | 4.9 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 7% | 9% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 59% | 63% | 69% | 76% |
| Big chances created | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3.8 | 3.7 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 4.9 | 5.7 | 3.8 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 12% | 31% | 35% |
| Goals from headers | 25% | 36% | 7% | 20% |
| Pressure index | 9.9 | 14.7 | 14.4 | 10.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 44.7 | 58.2 | 51.0 | 44.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 81% | 80% | 78% |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 10.6 | 10.7 | 9.5 |
| Cards | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.70 | 1.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Werder Bremen
0–15'13
16–30'13
31–45'13
46–60'14
61–75'43
76–90'43
FSV Mainz 05
0–15'32
16–30'21
31–45'43
46–60'23
61–75'03
76–90'45
Werder Bremen
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.75 | 1.12 | 2.07 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 30% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.11 | 1.63 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.04 | 2.2 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.66 | 1.91 |
FSV Mainz 05
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 6 60% | 1.5 | 2.17 | 2.0 | 2.07 | 1.88 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 3 30% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.98 | 1.21 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.74 | 0.61 |
| Metric | Werder Bremen all · 34 | Werder Bremen at home · 17 | FSV Mainz 05 all · 44 | FSV Mainz 05 away · 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 44 | 22 |
| Points per game | 0.94 | 1.24 | 1.43 | 1.36 |
| W / D / L | 8 / 8 / 18 | 6 / 3 / 8 | 17 / 12 / 15 | 8 / 6 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.00 | 1.12 | 1.36 | 1.32 |
| Goals against / match | 1.74 | 1.71 | 1.36 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 15% | 18% | 27% | 23% |
| Failed to score | 38% | 35% | 27% | 32% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 47% | 52% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 53% | 50% | 59% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.16 | 1.36 | 1.60 | 1.35 |
| xG against / match | 1.58 | 1.33 | 1.56 | 1.81 |
| xG difference | -0.42 | 0.03 | 0.04 | -0.46 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.16 | -0.24 | -0.24 | -0.04 |
| xPts / match | 1.18 | 1.44 | 1.44 | 1.18 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.24 | -0.20 | -0.01 | 0.18 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 29% | 35% | 52% | 54% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.10 | 2.67 | 2.09 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.43 | 0.45 | 0.67 | 0.56 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 27% | 32% | 27% |
| Leads held | 62% | 75% | 63% | 57% |
| Minutes leading | 17% | 22% | 30% | 31% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 38% | 45% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 42% | 40% | 25% | 23% |
| First goal (min) | 54 | 50 | 37 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 37 | 40 | 42 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 74% | 74% | 50% | 45% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 55% | 55% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.38 | 0.53 | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| Late goals against | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.43 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | 53% | 44% | 42% |
| Shots | 13.1 | 15.4 | 12.4 | 10.5 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.8 | 4.3 | 4.0 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 7% | 11% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 62% | 74% | 74% |
| Big chances created | 1.6 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 4.0 |
| xG from set plays | 21% | 19% | 38% | 35% |
| Goals from headers | 26% | 37% | 17% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 13.1 | 17.1 | 12.1 | 10.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 48.7 | 60.4 | 46.3 | 41.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 82% | 76% | 75% |
| Fouls | 10.2 | 10.4 | 11.5 | 10.6 |
| Cards | 2.29 | 2.29 | 2.20 | 2.55 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Werder Bremen
0–15'27
16–30'38
31–45'410
46–60'39
61–75'913
76–90'1312
FSV Mainz 05
0–15'910
16–30'98
31–45'129
46–60'88
61–75'96
76–90'1319
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Werder Bremen · 34 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.40
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0634
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1034
Late push (76+, level)-0.0810
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1318
Game state
When ahead+0.0113
When level+0.0534
When behind+0.1024
10 min after conceding-0.2029
10 min after scoring+0.4020
Situations
With ten men-0.163
Against ten men+0.085
At home+0.1517
Away-0.0317
3 days rest or fewer+0.582
4+ days rest+0.0332
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.0813
v mid-tier opponents+0.3110
v bottom-tier opponents+0.105
As favourite+0.113
Evenly matched+0.1616
As underdog-0.0515
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0534
Conceded when ahead+0.1013
Conceded late (76+)-0.0930
Congested vs rested +0.55 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.05
FSV Mainz 05 · 44 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.28
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0344
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0244
Late push (76+, level)-0.2519
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2314
Game state
When ahead-0.0126
When level+0.0644
When behind+0.0322
10 min after conceding-0.2131
10 min after scoring+0.2831
Situations
With ten men+0.065
Against ten men-0.172
At home+0.0222
Away+0.0522
3 days rest or fewer-0.0911
4+ days rest+0.0733
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2511
v mid-tier opponents-0.2713
v bottom-tier opponents+0.258
As favourite+0.0817
Evenly matched+0.2412
As underdog-0.1815
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0844
Conceded when ahead+0.0326
Conceded late (76+)-0.0138
Congested vs rested -0.16 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.03
Werder Bremen
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 41% | 1.07 | 1.0 | 1.86 | 1.03 | 1.74 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 18% | 0.5 | 1.17 | 2.17 | 1.22 | 1.4 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 12% | 1.75 | 2.0 | 1.75 | 1.4 | 1.81 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 9% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.11 | 1.63 |
| 3-5-2 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.19 |
FSV Mainz 05
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 22 50% | 1.86 | 1.73 | 1.27 | 1.77 | 1.56 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 10 23% | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.22 | 1.86 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 4 9% | 0.5 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 1.69 | 1.42 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 7% | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.67 | 1.35 | 1.23 |
| 3-4-3 | 3 7% | 2.0 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 1.96 | 0.57 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.25Home 42% P 42%3.5Draw 27% P 28%3.1Away 31% P 30%
Double Chance
1.28Werder Bremen or Draw 36% P 35%1.28Werder Bremen or Mainz 36% P 36%1.72Draw or Mainz 27% P 29%
Draw No Bet
1.51 62%2.52 38%
Both Teams To Score
1.61Yes 58% P 61%2.2No 42% P 39%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.72Over 55% P 56%2.1Under 45% P 44%
Total Corners
8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%11.0Over 14 8%
Number of Cards
4.51.83Over 50% P 49%1.83Under 50% P 51%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 42% | 41% | 41% | -0.1 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 26% | -1.9 |
| Away | 30% | 31% | 33% | +2.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%
Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61% | 61% | 62% | +0.7 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 56% | 56% | -0.2 |
Sascha Stegemann
- Career
- 194 matches · 13 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.22 (4.04 yellow · 0.09 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.3 · 5.3 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.23
- Cards to home side
- 45%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 72 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.96 | 4.14 | -0.56 | 26 |
| Fouls / match | 21.6 | 22.3 | -0.75 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.5 | 5.4 | +0.13 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.22 | 0.32 | -1.22 | 15 |
| Time added | 6.8 | 6.8 | -0.12 | 41 |
- First card
- 36' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 46% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.31
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 72' | 13 |
| 2026-01-31 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 29' | 8 |
| 2026-01-22 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 55' | 4 |
| 2026-01-17 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 29' | 9 |
| 2025-12-20 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 82' | 11 |
| 2025-12-07 · Werder Bremen | 8 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 32' | 8 |
| 2025-11-27 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 11' | 6 |
| 2025-11-21 · FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 24' | 11 |
| 2025-10-25 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 19' | 16 |
| 2025-10-04 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 6' | 9 |