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Bundesliga · Matchweek 26

Momentum

TSGWOB
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
26

Venue

Stadium
PreZero Arena, Sinsheim
Capacity
30,150
Surface
grass
Attendance
26,252

Teams

Coaches
Christian Ilzer · Dieter Hecking
Position
3 · 17
Formation
4-1-4-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Tobias Reichel

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
6.1° (feels 2.5°)
Wind
5.6
Humidity
72%

Where to watch · 397

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

TSG Hoffenheim

LWDLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 10 · xG 11.39–9.52 · xPts 9.32

  • W A FC Heidenheim 4–2 xG 2.63–1.03 GER BI
  • L H St. Pauli 0–1 xG 2.84–0.81 GER BI
  • D A FC Köln 2–2 xG 2.28–0.89 GER BI
  • W H SC Freiburg 3–0 xG 2.31–1.02 GER BI
  • L A FC Bayern München 1–5 xG 1.33–5.76 GER BI

VfL Wolfsburg

LDLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 13 · xG 6.65–12.05 · xPts 4.35

  • L H Hamburger SV 1–2 xG 2.18–1.92 GER BI
  • L A VfB Stuttgart 0–4 xG 1.01–3.64 GER BI
  • L H FC Augsburg 2–3 xG 1.64–1.87 GER BI
  • D A RB Leipzig 2–2 xG 0.65–2.82 GER BI
  • L H Borussia Dortmund 1–2 xG 1.17–1.8 GER BI

All meetings · 36 matches since 2008

TSG Hoffenheim 1110 draws15 VfL Wolfsburg

Goals 58–67 · 3.47 per match · BTTS 81% · over 2.5 81%

Last 10 · 10 matches

TSG Hoffenheim 43 draws3 VfL Wolfsburg

Goals 18–15 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 90% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

TSG Hoffenheim 13 draws1 VfL Wolfsburg

Goals 8–8 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D TSG Hoffenheim 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • D VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • L TSG Hoffenheim 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • D VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • W TSG Hoffenheim 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • L TSG Hoffenheim 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • W TSG Hoffenheim 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg neutral GER BI · Regular Season
MetricTSG Hoffenheim all · 34TSG Hoffenheim at home · 17VfL Wolfsburg all · 34VfL Wolfsburg away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.791.880.851.12
W / D / L18 / 7 / 910 / 2 / 57 / 8 / 195 / 4 / 8
Goals for / match1.912.061.321.41
Goals against / match1.531.242.032.18
Clean sheets21%24%6%6%
Failed to score18%12%24%18%
Both teams scored65%65%74%76%
Over 2.571%71%65%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.711.861.391.20
xG against / match1.461.211.892.10
xG difference0.250.65-0.50-0.89
Finishing vs xG0.200.20-0.070.21
xPts / match1.581.781.140.93
Points vs xPts0.210.10-0.280.19
Game state
Scored first47%59%53%71%
PPG when scoring first2.752.801.441.58
PPG when conceding first0.940.570.130.00
Came back from behind47%29%10%0%
Leads held86%91%35%42%
Minutes leading37%46%27%36%
Minutes level40%35%43%38%
Minutes trailing22%19%30%26%
First goal (min)34363532
First goal conceded (min)37474348
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%40%51%46%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%62%62%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.290.410.210.18
Late goals against0.350.350.560.65
Style
Possession55%57%45%42%
Shots14.116.211.910.2
On target5.25.94.23.7
Shot conversion14%13%11%14%
Shots inside box69%68%64%60%
Big chances created2.83.12.62.2
Corners5.86.44.43.5
xG from set plays35%36%32%32%
Goals from headers22%21%25%17%
Pressure index14.516.69.15.6
Dominant minutes56.963.438.129.8
Pass accuracy80%82%78%76%
Fouls13.913.411.511.0
Cards2.261.822.152.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

TSG Hoffenheim

0–15'59
16–30'1210
31–45'197
46–60'145
61–75'59
76–90'1012

VfL Wolfsburg

0–15'96
16–30'710
31–45'610
46–60'811
61–75'813
76–90'719

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

TSG Hoffenheim · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: when behind +0.94

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.374
Early press (0-15, level)+0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.532
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.073

Game state

When ahead-0.103
When level+0.374
When behind+0.943
10 min after conceding-0.124
10 min after scoring+0.013

Situations

At home-0.012
Away+0.762
4+ days rest+0.374

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.184
Conceded when ahead-0.033
Conceded late (76+)-0.154

Ahead vs level -0.47 · Behind vs level +0.57

VfL Wolfsburg

No pressure profile yet.

TSG Hoffenheim

Current: winless 1 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-19 26%1.891.781.562.051.33
4-4-25 15%1.82.22.21.461.69
4-3-1-24 12%1.752.251.02.011.21
4-3-34 12%2.252.251.251.471.11
3-5-1-12 6%3.03.01.51.641.43

VfL Wolfsburg

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%0.831.382.211.261.97
3-4-2-16 18%0.671.332.171.361.86
3-5-22 6%0.50.51.01.91.72
3-1-4-22 6%2.01.50.52.551.19

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.45Home 65% P 66%4.75Draw 20% P 19%6.25Away 15% P 15%

Double Chance

1.1TSG Hoffenheim or Draw 43% P 43%1.16TSG Hoffenheim or Wolfsburg 41% P 41%3.0Draw or Wolfsburg 16% P 17%

Draw No Bet

1.121 84%6.02 16%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 62%2.2No 42% P 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.4Over 68% P 68%3.0Under 32% P 32%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 13%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 47%1.72Under 54% P 53%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 12.5–15% · 566 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home66%66%69%+3.3
Draw19%20%20%-0.7
Away15%14%11%-2.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 58%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes62%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.568%69%69%+0.6

Tobias Reichel

Career
59 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
3.93 (3.81 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
24.9 · 6.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.32
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 52 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.064.14-0.3444
Fouls / match24.722.3+2.07
Fouls per card6.15.4+1.00 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.330.32-0.0344
Time added7.46.8+0.5182
First card
37' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.59

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-21 30 191 43'7
2026-01-24 50 150 78'10
2025-12-06 10 120 90'5
2025-11-08 20 220 12'8
2025-10-17 80 360 36'7
2025-09-27 31 260 43'10
2025-08-31 30 210 29'11
2025-05-17 80 272 40'15
2025-04-27 51 250 63'8
2025-03-29 · TSG Hoffenheim 30 261 34'5