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Bundesliga · Matchweek 27

Momentum

HeidenheimB04
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
27

Venue

Stadium
Walter-Birkhold-Jugendstadion, Heidenheim an der Brenz
Capacity
15,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
15,000

Teams

Coaches
Frank Schmidt · Kasper Hjulmand
Position
18 · 6
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Robin Braun

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
7.3° (feels 6.2°)
Wind
1.8
Humidity
77%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Heidenheim

LDLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 11 · xG 5.6–9.56 · xPts 4.26

  • L A Eintracht Frankfurt 0–1 xG 0.08–1.19 GER BI
  • L H TSG Hoffenheim 2–4 xG 1.03–2.63 GER BI
  • L A Werder Bremen 0–2 xG 1.18–1.66 GER BI
  • D H VfB Stuttgart 3–3 xG 2.35–2.08 GER BI
  • L A FC Augsburg 0–1 xG 0.96–2.0 GER BI

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

WDDDL 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 7.9–9.36 · xPts 5.98

  • L A Arsenal 0–2 xG 0.64–2.02 UEFA CL
  • D H FC Bayern München 1–1 xG 2.86–1.28 GER BI
  • D H Arsenal 1–1 xG 0.73–1.61 UEFA CL
  • D A SC Freiburg 3–3 xG 1.81–3.04 GER BI
  • W A Hamburger SV 1–0 xG 1.87–1.41 GER BI

All meetings · 6 matches since 2023

Heidenheim 01 draws5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Goals 7–21 · 4.67 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 83%

Last 10 · 6 matches

Heidenheim 01 draws5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Goals 7–21 · 4.67 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 83%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Heidenheim 01 draws4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Goals 6–17 · 4.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D FC Heidenheim 3–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 6–0 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Heidenheim 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–2 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Heidenheim 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–1 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
MetricHeidenheim all · 34Heidenheim at home · 17Bayer 04 Leverkusen all · 34Bayer 04 Leverkusen away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.761.001.741.65
W / D / L6 / 8 / 204 / 5 / 817 / 8 / 98 / 4 / 5
Goals for / match1.211.352.001.76
Goals against / match2.122.181.381.65
Clean sheets3%6%24%12%
Failed to score35%35%12%24%
Both teams scored62%59%65%65%
Over 2.568%71%59%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.361.461.911.40
xG against / match1.911.931.401.71
xG difference-0.55-0.470.51-0.30
Finishing vs xG-0.16-0.110.090.36
xPts / match1.101.151.651.21
Points vs xPts-0.33-0.150.080.44
Game state
Scored first24%29%65%59%
PPG when scoring first2.002.202.232.30
PPG when conceding first0.380.500.830.71
Came back from behind23%33%40%38%
Leads held46%57%68%67%
Minutes leading15%18%40%39%
Minutes level48%46%39%36%
Minutes trailing37%36%20%25%
First goal (min)45363429
First goal conceded (min)39383934
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%61%41%30%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%54%45%43%
Late goals for (76'+)0.320.410.350.24
Late goals against0.440.530.260.35
Style
Possession42%42%59%57%
Shots11.411.515.211.7
On target3.63.95.23.8
Shot conversion11%12%13%15%
Shots inside box69%66%64%61%
Big chances created2.52.73.73.1
Corners4.54.65.64.5
xG from set plays33%38%27%26%
Goals from headers15%13%19%14%
Pressure index7.77.416.111.6
Dominant minutes35.337.557.149.4
Pass accuracy76%76%88%87%
Fouls9.89.48.68.5
Cards1.441.182.182.24

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Heidenheim

0–15'45
16–30'611
31–45'617
46–60'713
61–75'711
76–90'1115

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0–15'116
16–30'116
31–45'1814
46–60'86
61–75'86
76–90'129

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Heidenheim

No pressure profile yet.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 4 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: when level +0.81

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.594
Early press (0-15, level)+0.664
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.872

Game state

When ahead+0.453
When level+0.814
When behind+0.702
10 min after conceding-0.082
10 min after scoring+0.784

Situations

At home+0.392
Away+0.762
4+ days rest+0.594

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.762
As favourite+0.594

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.314
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.593

Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.12

Heidenheim

Current: winless 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-16 18%0.671.332.331.541.71
4-3-2-15 15%0.81.02.41.362.26
4-3-34 12%1.01.752.251.01.59
4-2-3-14 12%0.250.252.00.792.1
4-4-24 12%1.52.01.51.861.09

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-131 91%1.842.01.231.971.37
4-2-3-12 6%1.03.03.01.761.64
5-4-11 3%0.00.03.00.581.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -3.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

5.0Home 19% P 16%4.5Draw 21% P 20%1.57Away 60% P 63%

Double Chance

2.3Heidenheim or Draw 20% P 18%1.18Heidenheim or Bayer Leverkusen 40% P 40%1.16Draw or Bayer Leverkusen 40% P 42%

Draw No Bet

4.01 23%1.222 77%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 61%2.25No 41% P 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 66% P 66%2.75Under 34% P 34%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 15–17.5% · away 62.5–65% · 188 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home16%16%17%+1.1
Draw20%21%26%+4.9
Away63%63%57%-6.0

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes61%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.566%66%69%+3.2

Robin Braun

Career
13 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.23 (4.0 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
21.5 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.54
Cards to home side
53%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 13 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.624.14+0.8985
Fouls / match21.522.3-0.86
Fouls per card4.75.4-1.25 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.540.32+2.37100
Time added8.56.8+1.6696
First card
32' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
53% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-20 50 290 12'14
2026-01-31 40 291 8'9
2025-12-14 40 151 50'8
2025-11-22 51 230 34'7
2025-10-25 10 170 37'4
2025-09-27 40 161 24'8
2025-08-30 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 71 212 37'14