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Bundesliga · Matchweek 27

Momentum

FC KölnBMG
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
27

Venue

Stadium
RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne
Capacity
50,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
50,000

Teams

Coaches
Lukas Kwasniok · Eugen Polanski
Position
14 · 12
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Sören Storks

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
13.3° (feels 12.1°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
54%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Köln

LDLLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 5.58–7.28 · xPts 5.9

  • D A Hamburger SV 1–1 xG 1.13–0.33 GER BI
  • L H Borussia Dortmund 1–2 xG 1.57–1.48 GER BI
  • L A FC Augsburg 0–2 xG 0.49–1.27 GER BI
  • D H TSG Hoffenheim 2–2 xG 0.89–2.28 GER BI
  • L A VfB Stuttgart 1–3 xG 1.49–1.93 GER BI

Borussia Mönchengladbach

LLWLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 9 · xG 7.42–6.52 · xPts 7.53

  • W H St. Pauli 2–0 xG 0.69–0.64 GER BI
  • L A FC Bayern München 1–4 xG 1.24–2.71 GER BI
  • W H FC Union Berlin 1–0 xG 2.42–0.14 GER BI
  • L A SC Freiburg 1–2 xG 1.3–1.88 GER BI
  • L A Eintracht Frankfurt 0–3 xG 1.76–1.15 GER BI

All meetings · 30 matches since 2005

FC Köln 96 draws15 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 38–56 · 3.13 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Köln 43 draws3 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 22–21 · 4.3 per match · BTTS 90% · over 2.5 90%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Köln 13 draws1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 10–10 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D FC Köln 3–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–3 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Köln 3–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Köln 0–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Mönchengladbach 5–2 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–3 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Köln 4–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Köln 1–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
MetricFC Köln all · 34FC Köln at home · 17Borussia Mönchengladbach all · 34Borussia Mönchengladbach away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.941.121.120.82
W / D / L7 / 11 / 165 / 4 / 89 / 11 / 143 / 5 / 9
Goals for / match1.441.761.241.06
Goals against / match1.851.761.561.71
Clean sheets9%6%38%29%
Failed to score12%6%35%35%
Both teams scored79%88%41%47%
Over 2.565%76%53%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.491.591.351.31
xG against / match1.661.441.511.59
xG difference-0.180.14-0.16-0.28
Finishing vs xG-0.050.18-0.12-0.25
xPts / match1.271.441.271.21
Points vs xPts-0.33-0.32-0.15-0.38
Game state
Scored first41%53%41%29%
PPG when scoring first1.571.562.292.20
PPG when conceding first0.500.630.070.10
Came back from behind38%33%18%18%
Leads held44%46%64%60%
Minutes leading19%27%19%14%
Minutes level51%47%52%52%
Minutes trailing30%26%28%35%
First goal (min)42364858
First goal conceded (min)44464040
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%63%60%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%57%45%45%
Late goals for (76'+)0.560.650.380.35
Late goals against0.350.290.350.47
Style
Possession47%49%47%48%
Shots13.415.211.611.7
On target4.75.64.13.8
Shot conversion11%12%11%9%
Shots inside box70%69%66%68%
Big chances created2.52.91.91.6
Corners4.64.83.84.2
xG from set plays27%25%34%29%
Goals from headers16%17%20%12%
Pressure index11.013.39.99.3
Dominant minutes42.849.941.940.9
Pass accuracy80%80%82%81%
Fouls8.38.510.811.0
Cards2.002.061.851.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Köln

0–15'98
16–30'69
31–45'411
46–60'78
61–75'415
76–90'1912

Borussia Mönchengladbach

0–15'68
16–30'59
31–45'612
46–60'32
61–75'910
76–90'1312

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Köln · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.59

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.033
Early press (0-15, level)-0.053
Late push (76+, level)+0.022

Game state

When ahead-0.222
When level-0.153
When behind+0.382
10 min after conceding+0.073
10 min after scoring+0.593

Situations

At home-0.182
4+ days rest-0.033

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.182

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.273
Conceded when ahead+0.502
Conceded late (76+)-0.423

Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level +0.54

Borussia Mönchengladbach · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.223
Early press (0-15, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-1.122

Game state

When level+0.163
When behind-0.463
10 min after conceding-0.463

Situations

Away-0.222
4+ days rest-0.223

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.222
As underdog-0.222

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.243
Conceded late (76+)+0.152

Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level -0.62

FC Köln

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 13 · conceding 17

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-18 24%0.751.631.881.541.26
3-4-36 18%1.01.171.671.381.2
3-4-2-16 18%1.330.831.00.791.64
5-3-25 15%0.41.63.01.592.41
4-4-24 12%1.751.51.02.081.56

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 38%1.461.851.621.461.33
4-2-3-14 12%1.01.01.751.231.43
5-4-14 12%1.00.752.251.222.09
4-4-23 9%0.670.331.00.741.35
3-5-22 6%0.51.01.50.961.29

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -3.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.3Home 41% P 40%3.4Draw 28% P 28%3.1Away 31% P 31%

Double Chance

1.36Cologne or Draw 34% P 34%1.3Cologne or Borussia M'gladbach 36% P 36%1.57Draw or Borussia M'gladbach 30% P 30%

Draw No Bet

1.611 58%2.22 42%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55% P 56%2.05No 45% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 50%1.9Under 50% P 50%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
5.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home40%41%41%-0.1
Draw28%28%26%-1.9
Away31%31%33%+2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.550%51%51%-0.1

Sören Storks

Career
70 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.16 (3.97 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
23.0 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 30 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.234.15+2.22100
Fouls / match20.822.3-1.47
Fouls per card4.15.4-2.09 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.170.33-1.850
Time added7.86.8+0.9389
First card
38' on average
Card timing
10% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.18

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-04 20 230 40'10
2026-02-22 70 160 7'7
2026-02-06 71 201 25'12
2026-01-25 · Borussia Mönchengladbach 20 181 43'8
2025-12-13 51 210 25'9
2025-11-30 61 280 23'7
2025-11-01 70 330 1'10
2025-10-04 40 170 68'9
2025-08-31 81 291 40'16
2025-05-03 50 170 45'7