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Bundesliga · Matchweek 27

Momentum

FC AugsburgVFB
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
27

Venue

Stadium
WWK Arena, Augsburg
Capacity
30,660
Surface
grass
Attendance
30,660

Teams

Coaches
Manuel Baum · Sebastian Hoeneß
Position
9 · 4
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Felix Zwayer

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
4.8° (feels 2.1°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
66%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Augsburg

WWWLL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 8.91–7.72 · xPts 7.86

  • L A Borussia Dortmund 0–2 xG 0.5–2.56 GER BI
  • L A RB Leipzig 1–2 xG 3.26–2.07 GER BI
  • W H FC Köln 2–0 xG 1.27–0.49 GER BI
  • W A VfL Wolfsburg 3–2 xG 1.87–1.64 GER BI
  • W H FC Heidenheim 1–0 xG 2.0–0.96 GER BI

VfB Stuttgart

WDLWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 8.47–7.83 · xPts 7.04

  • L A Porto 0–2 xG 1.62–1.59 UEFA EL
  • W H RB Leipzig 1–0 xG 1.32–1.0 GER BI
  • L H Porto 1–2 xG 0.71–1.33 UEFA EL
  • D A FSV Mainz 05 2–2 xG 1.17–2.91 GER BI
  • W H VfL Wolfsburg 4–0 xG 3.64–1.01 GER BI

All meetings · 26 matches since 2011

FC Augsburg 92 draws15 VfB Stuttgart

Goals 40–42 · 3.15 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 69%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Augsburg 11 draws8 VfB Stuttgart

Goals 12–24 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Augsburg 00 draws5 VfB Stuttgart

Goals 4–14 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L FC Augsburg 2–5 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfB Stuttgart 3–2 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfB Stuttgart 4–0 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Augsburg 0–1 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Augsburg 0–1 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfB Stuttgart 3–0 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Augsburg 1–1 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfB Stuttgart 2–1 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfB Stuttgart 3–2 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Augsburg 4–1 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
MetricFC Augsburg all · 34FC Augsburg at home · 17VfB Stuttgart all · 34VfB Stuttgart away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.261.531.821.35
W / D / L12 / 7 / 157 / 5 / 518 / 8 / 86 / 5 / 6
Goals for / match1.321.472.092.41
Goals against / match1.791.651.441.94
Clean sheets15%29%32%18%
Failed to score26%18%9%0%
Both teams scored62%59%62%82%
Over 2.562%53%74%100%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.391.351.801.61
xG against / match1.841.521.541.89
xG difference-0.46-0.170.26-0.28
Finishing vs xG-0.060.120.280.80
xPts / match1.171.311.581.30
Points vs xPts0.100.220.240.05
Game state
Scored first50%59%53%53%
PPG when scoring first1.762.202.331.89
PPG when conceding first0.750.501.270.75
Came back from behind21%17%56%46%
Leads held57%64%75%54%
Minutes leading24%29%32%34%
Minutes level46%48%47%36%
Minutes trailing30%23%21%30%
First goal (min)42454038
First goal conceded (min)41453838
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half53%60%54%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half49%46%53%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.290.290.650.76
Late goals against0.290.180.500.53
Style
Possession44%45%58%57%
Shots13.213.215.213.8
On target4.65.16.16.0
Shot conversion10%11%14%18%
Shots inside box64%66%66%66%
Big chances created2.22.53.32.9
Corners4.65.25.75.5
xG from set plays31%25%24%26%
Goals from headers16%12%9%8%
Pressure index9.512.119.220.8
Dominant minutes40.546.961.559.6
Pass accuracy78%79%84%84%
Fouls11.011.39.69.9
Cards2.472.651.911.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Augsburg

0–15'68
16–30'610
31–45'913
46–60'911
61–75'59
76–90'1010

VfB Stuttgart

0–15'66
16–30'126
31–45'1511
46–60'95
61–75'74
76–90'2217

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Augsburg · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.17) · stands out: when level -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.173
Early press (0-15, level)-0.343

Game state

When ahead+0.113
When level-0.493
When behind-0.482
10 min after conceding-0.592
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home-0.172
4+ days rest-0.173

Opposition

As underdog-0.332

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.523
Conceded when ahead+0.173
Conceded late (76+)+0.323

Ahead vs level +0.59 · Behind vs level +0.00

VfB Stuttgart · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.07) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.29

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.074
Early press (0-15, level)-0.144
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead+0.132
When level+0.174
When behind-0.072
10 min after conceding-0.154
10 min after scoring+0.294

Situations

At home+0.152
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.003

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.193
As favourite+0.152

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.044
Conceded when ahead+0.192
Conceded late (76+)-0.124

Congested vs rested +0.26 · Ahead vs level -0.03 · Behind vs level -0.24

FC Augsburg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-129 85%1.241.341.931.381.93
5-4-12 6%0.50.51.01.590.84
3-4-32 6%3.02.00.51.421.83
3-3-3-11 3%0.01.02.00.931.31

VfB Stuttgart

Current: winless 1 · scoring 10 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-121 62%1.812.141.621.751.74
3-4-2-16 18%1.671.831.01.590.99
3-4-1-25 15%2.02.21.22.091.45
4-2-2-21 3%3.03.02.02.820.88
4-4-21 3%1.01.01.01.751.72

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.5Home 27% P 27%3.8Draw 25% P 26%2.0Away 48% P 48%

Double Chance

1.7Augsburg or Draw 27% P 26%1.25Augsburg or VfB Stuttgart 37% P 37%1.33Draw or VfB Stuttgart 35% P 37%

Draw No Bet

2.371 39%1.532 61%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62% P 64%2.5No 38% P 36%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 61%2.37Under 40% P 39%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 47.5–50% · 285 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home27%26%24%-2.2
Draw26%25%27%+1.9
Away48%49%49%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 56%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes64%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.5

Felix Zwayer

Career
349 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
4.57 (4.39 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
21.0 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 77 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.224.14+0.0152
Fouls / match21.822.3-0.57
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.34 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.310.32-0.2030
Time added6.96.8-0.0144
First card
34' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-19 60 380 51'11
2026-03-08 30 210 62'12
2026-02-26 51 241 16'9
2026-02-15 · FC Augsburg 30 181 79'5
2026-01-31 10 240 44'6
2026-01-28 90 300 29'8
2026-01-17 80 160 18'6
2026-01-10 · VfB Stuttgart 60 242 38'6
2025-12-14 51 210 11'8
2025-12-09 50 251 13'13