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Bundesliga · Matchweek 27

Momentum

FCBFCU
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
27

Venue

Stadium
Allianz Arena, Munich
Capacity
75,024
Surface
grass
Attendance
75,000

Teams

Coaches
Vincent Kompany · Steffen Baumgart
Position
1 · 9
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Patrick Ittrich

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
9.4° (feels 6.6°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
64%

Where to watch · 397

  • Algeria beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports English · beIN Sports English 2 · beIN Sports HD 2 · beIN Sports HD 3 · TOD
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  • Zimbabwe New World Sport1 · New World Sport2 · New World Sport4

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Bayern München

WWWDW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 18 GA 6 · xG 13.14–10.21 · xPts 8.55

  • W H Atalanta 4–1 xG 3.13–2.34 UEFA CL
  • D A Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 xG 1.28–2.86 GER BI
  • W A Atalanta 6–1 xG 3.81–2.25 UEFA CL
  • W H Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–1 xG 2.71–1.24 GER BI
  • W A Borussia Dortmund 3–2 xG 2.21–1.53 GER BI

FC Union Berlin

LWLLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 4.83–8.67 · xPts 4.54

  • W A SC Freiburg 1–0 xG 0.64–1.39 GER BI
  • L H Werder Bremen 1–4 xG 1.23–1.94 GER BI
  • L A Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–1 xG 0.14–2.42 GER BI
  • W H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 xG 1.0–1.19 GER BI
  • L A Hamburger SV 2–3 xG 1.84–1.72 GER BI

All meetings · 14 matches since 2019

FC Bayern München 95 draws0 FC Union Berlin

Goals 35–10 · 3.21 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 57%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Bayern München 73 draws0 FC Union Berlin

Goals 29–7 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Bayern München 32 draws0 FC Union Berlin

Goals 15–4 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W FC Bayern München 4–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Union Berlin 2–2 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Union Berlin 1–1 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Bayern München 3–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Union Berlin 1–5 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Bayern München 1–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Bayern München 3–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Union Berlin 1–1 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Bayern München 4–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Union Berlin 2–5 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
MetricFC Bayern München all · 34FC Bayern München at home · 17FC Union Berlin all · 34FC Union Berlin away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.622.591.151.00
W / D / L28 / 5 / 114 / 2 / 110 / 9 / 155 / 2 / 10
Goals for / match3.594.001.291.06
Goals against / match1.061.121.711.88
Clean sheets35%29%21%18%
Failed to score0%0%24%29%
Both teams scored65%71%62%53%
Over 2.594%100%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.702.941.371.17
xG against / match1.220.991.481.79
xG difference1.481.94-0.11-0.62
Finishing vs xG0.891.06-0.07-0.11
xPts / match2.152.351.371.09
Points vs xPts0.470.24-0.22-0.09
Game state
Scored first65%76%41%35%
PPG when scoring first2.772.622.212.50
PPG when conceding first2.332.500.330.18
Came back from behind93%83%29%17%
Leads held90%88%71%83%
Minutes leading50%59%18%10%
Minutes level36%31%50%54%
Minutes trailing14%10%31%36%
First goal (min)32255363
First goal conceded (min)38414343
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%47%66%72%
Goals conceded in 2nd half47%47%53%50%
Late goals for (76'+)1.030.820.500.47
Late goals against0.320.410.410.35
Style
Possession67%68%40%39%
Shots19.221.512.511.7
On target8.58.93.93.5
Shot conversion19%19%10%9%
Shots inside box68%66%73%74%
Big chances created4.95.52.21.9
Corners6.47.65.04.8
xG from set plays23%24%48%46%
Goals from headers11%9%21%18%
Pressure index27.530.19.18.5
Dominant minutes74.279.834.732.1
Pass accuracy90%91%72%72%
Fouls8.88.512.312.5
Cards1.791.352.151.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Bayern München

0–15'95
16–30'188
31–45'236
46–60'173
61–75'203
76–90'3511

FC Union Berlin

0–15'34
16–30'65
31–45'618
46–60'611
61–75'66
76–90'1714

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Bayern München · 4 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.85) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.24

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.854
Early press (0-15, level)+1.044

Game state

When ahead+0.823
When level+0.874
10 min after conceding+0.432
10 min after scoring+1.243

Situations

At home+0.622
Away+1.042
4+ days rest+0.753

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.622
As favourite+0.854

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.434
Conceded when ahead-0.473
Conceded late (76+)-0.774

Congested vs rested +0.36 · Ahead vs level -0.05

FC Union Berlin · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.073
Early press (0-15, level)-0.563
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.182

Game state

When level-0.513
When behind+0.023
10 min after conceding-0.403
10 min after scoring-0.202

Situations

At home-0.052
4+ days rest-0.073

Opposition

Evenly matched-0.052

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.173
Conceded late (76+)-0.362

Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level +0.53

FC Bayern München

Current: unbeaten 8 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-133 97%2.673.611.02.721.2
4-3-1-21 3%1.03.03.02.21.95

FC Union Berlin

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-119 56%1.211.211.471.441.36
3-5-26 18%0.51.172.670.932.24
5-3-25 15%0.81.02.21.161.45
4-2-3-12 6%3.03.50.52.551.07
4-2-2-21 3%3.01.00.00.641.39

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.5h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.14Home 82% P 84%9.0Draw 10% P 10%13.0Away 7% P 6%

Double Chance

1.04Bayern Munich or Draw 46% P 47%1.07Bayern Munich or Union Berlin 45% P 45%5.0Draw or Union Berlin 10% P 8%

Draw No Bet

1.051 91%11.02 9%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 49%1.9No 50% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.3Over 73% P 72%3.5Under 27% P 28%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.629 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

2.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 82.5–85% · away 5–7.5% · 243 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home84%84%86%+2.5
Draw10%11%9%-1.4
Away6%6%5%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.7 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 70%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes49%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 477 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.572%71%70%-1.4

Patrick Ittrich

Career
94 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.19 (4.03 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
27.2 · 6.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.37
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 43 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.74.14-1.147
Fouls / match24.022.3+1.43
Fouls per card6.65.4+1.86 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.350.32+0.2256
Time added6.76.8-0.2233
First card
34' on average
Card timing
21% in first 30' · 28% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.47

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-01 10 220 19'10
2026-02-07 40 222 60'9
2026-01-14 · FC Bayern München 7 15
2025-12-13 10 140 28'10
2025-11-29 · FC Union Berlin 50 230 14'10
2025-11-08 50 180 6'10
2025-10-18 40 200 11'12