Rating 6.96 (83th pct) · G+A 3 + 4 (14% of team goals) · 93% of minutes
Bundesliga · Matchweek 27
Momentum
– St. PauliSC Freiburg –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| St. Pauli | at home | Stat | league | away | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.4 #14 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 48.0 #9 |
| 10.3 #18 | – | Shots total | 13.3 | – | 12.3 #12 |
| 3.4 #18 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 4.2 #11 |
| 4.7 #9 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 4.1 #16 |
| 9.6 #12 | – | Fouls | 10.4 | – | 9.3 #14 |
| 1.9 #6 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 2.0 #5 |
| 16.9 #2 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 14.4 #13 |
| 92.7 #11 | – | Attacks | 98.2 | – | 85.9 #15 |
| 42.1 #13 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.7 | – | 40.5 #14 |
| 427.7 #10 | – | Passes | 456.1 | – | 406.5 #12 |
| 1.6 #15 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.6 #17 |
| 0.0 #11 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #5 |
| 0.6 #18 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.0 #10 |
| – #15 | – | Btts | 61.8 | – | – #8 |
| – #13 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #10 |
| – #7 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #7 |
| 1.0 #18 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.5 #8 |
| -0.1 #15 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | -0.0 #7 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #7 |
| 0.8 #18 | 1.0 | Goals | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.5 #8 |
| 1.8 #6 | 1.8 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.7 #9 |
| 0.1 #18 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #14 |
| 9.5 #5 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 8.8 #12 |
| – #1 | – | Lost | 37.7 | – | – #11 |
| 0.1 #9 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #7 |
| 6.7 #16 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #13 |
| 3.1 #14 | – | Shots blocked | 3.5 | – | 3.4 #9 |
| 6.1 #18 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.0 | – | 8.4 #10 |
| 3.8 #18 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 4.6 #14 |
| 4.2 #10 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 3.9 #14 |
| – #17 | – | Win | 37.7 | – | – #7 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.24 (home 1.78 · away 1.46)
- Home / draw / away
- 44% · 25% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 62% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 3.9 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
St. Pauli
No ranked players yet.
SC Freiburg · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 6.93 (69th pct) · G+A 7 + 4 (22% of team goals) · 56% of minutes
Team 1.57 ppg with (21) · 1.08 without (13)
Rating 6.94 (62th pct) · G+A 11 + 2 (25% of team goals) · 51% of minutes
Team 1.64 ppg with (14) · 1.2 without (20)
Absences
St. Pauli
- injury James Sands midfielder · Ankle Injury · 13 missed · until 2026-07-21
SC Freiburg
- injury Max Rosenfelder #18 key player defender · Hamstring Injury · 17 missed · until 2026-05-08
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 27
Venue
- Stadium
- Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
- Capacity
- 29,546
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 29,546
Teams
- Coaches
- Alexander Blessin · Julian Schuster
- Position
- 16 · 8
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Florian Badstübner
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 11.2° (feels 9.6°)
- Wind
- 1.0
- Humidity
- 50%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Bayern München |
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | LWLWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig |
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart |
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 5 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | LWWLD |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg |
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | LDLLD |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | DLWLW |
| 11 |  FC Union Berlin |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | LLDWW |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | DDWLW |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | LLWWD |
| 14 |  FC Köln |
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg |
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WDDLW |
| 17 |  FC Heidenheim |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  St. Pauli |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 44 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 41 | LWLWW |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 39 | LDDWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 6 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 31 | LWWLD |
| 8 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 25 | LDLLD |
| 10 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 24 | DDWLW |
| 12 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 22 | LLDWW |
| 13 | FC Köln |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 | DLDLL |
| 14 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 19 | WDLLL |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 | DLWLW |
| 16 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 17 | St. Pauli |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 18 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 10 | WDDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 45 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 32 | LWLWW |
| 3 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 28 | LWWLD |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 23 | LDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 19 | LDLLD |
| 9 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 19 | WDDLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 11 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 | LLDWW |
| 12 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | WDLLL |
| 16 | FC Köln |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 17 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 | LWDWL |
| 18 | St. Pauli |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 9 | DLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
St. Pauli
LWWDL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 3 GA 7 · xG 3.1–7.48 · xPts 4.02
- L
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0–2
xG 0.64–0.69
GER BI
- D
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
0–0
xG 0.59–0.67
GER BI
- W
A
TSG Hoffenheim
1–0
xG 0.81–2.84
GER BI
- W
H
Werder Bremen
2–1
xG 0.41–1.62
GER BI
- L
A
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–4
xG 0.65–1.65
GER BI
LDDLWLWWDL 3W 3D 4L · 12 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 9 GA 14 · xG 9.98–13.42 · xPts 11.44
- L
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0–2
xG 0.64–0.69
GER BI
- D
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
0–0
xG 0.59–0.67
GER BI
- W
A
TSG Hoffenheim
1–0
xG 0.81–2.84
GER BI
- W
H
Werder Bremen
2–1
xG 0.41–1.62
GER BI
- L
A
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–4
xG 0.65–1.65
GER BI
- W
H
VfB Stuttgart
2–1
xG 1.9–0.62
GER BI
- L
A
FC Augsburg
1–2
xG 2.55–0.98
GER BI
- D
H
RB Leipzig
1–1
xG 1.23–1.45
GER BI
- D
H
Hamburger SV
0–0
xG 0.31–0.37
GER BI
- L
A
Borussia Dortmund
2–3
xG 0.89–2.53
GER BI
SC Freiburg
LDLLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 8.3–6.54 · xPts 7.5
- W
H
Genk
5–1
xG 2.95–1.73
UEFA EL - L
H
FC Union Berlin
0–1
xG 1.39–0.64
GER BI
- L
A
Genk
0–1
xG 0.3–1.03
UEFA EL
- D
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–3
xG 3.04–1.81
GER BI
- L
A
Eintracht Frankfurt
0–2
xG 0.61–1.34
GER BI
LLWLWLDLLW 3W 1D 6L · 10 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 14 · xG 12.9–14.92 · xPts 11.8
- W
H
Genk
5–1
xG 2.95–1.73
UEFA EL
- L
H
FC Union Berlin
0–1
xG 1.39–0.64
GER BI
- L
A
Genk
0–1
xG 0.3–1.03
UEFA EL
- D
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–3
xG 3.04–1.81
GER BI
- L
A
Eintracht Frankfurt
0–2
xG 0.61–1.34
GER BI
- W
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2–1
xG 1.88–1.3
GER BI
- L
A
TSG Hoffenheim
0–3
xG 1.02–2.31
GER BI
- W
H
Werder Bremen
1–0
xG 0.56–1.3
GER BI
- L
A
VfB Stuttgart
0–1
xG 0.82–2.15
GER BI
- L
A
LOSC Lille
0–1
xG 0.31–1.32
UEFA EL
All meetings · 6 matches since 2010
Goals 10–8 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 83%
Last 10 · 6 matches
Goals 10–8 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 83%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 7–7 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- L St. Pauli 1–2 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
- L SC Freiburg 2–1 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
- L St. Pauli 0–1 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
- W SC Freiburg 0–3 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
- D St. Pauli 2–2 SC Freiburg neutral GER BI · Regular Season
- W SC Freiburg 1–3 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | St. Pauli all · 34 | St. Pauli at home · 17 | SC Freiburg all · 34 | SC Freiburg away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 0.76 | 1.00 | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 8 / 20 | 4 / 5 / 8 | 13 / 8 / 13 | 4 / 3 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 0.85 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.06 |
| Goals against / match | 1.76 | 1.82 | 1.68 | 2.06 |
| Clean sheets | 15% | 12% | 18% | 24% |
| Failed to score | 38% | 35% | 26% | 47% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 65% | 62% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 71% | 65% | 59% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.99 | 1.13 | 1.51 | 1.14 |
| xG against / match | 1.67 | 1.63 | 1.52 | 1.74 |
| xG difference | -0.68 | -0.50 | -0.01 | -0.59 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.14 | -0.13 | -0.01 | -0.08 |
| xPts / match | 0.97 | 1.11 | 1.36 | 1.01 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.21 | -0.11 | 0.02 | -0.12 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 29% | 29% | 44% | 29% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.70 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.29 | 0.50 | 0.88 | 0.40 |
| Came back from behind | 17% | 27% | 44% | 23% |
| Leads held | 54% | 67% | 68% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 13% | 14% | 22% | 12% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 53% | 54% | 59% |
| Minutes trailing | 37% | 33% | 23% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 50 | 53 | 38 | 40 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 45 | 42 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | 71% | 61% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 68% | 61% | 71% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.21 | 0.29 | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| Late goals against | 0.38 | 0.41 | 0.38 | 0.47 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 45% | 48% | 45% |
| Shots | 10.3 | 10.6 | 12.3 | 10.3 |
| On target | 3.4 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 3.3 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 9% | 12% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 59% | 61% | 69% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 3.7 |
| xG from set plays | 34% | 46% | 42% | 43% |
| Goals from headers | 24% | 24% | 14% | 24% |
| Pressure index | 8.4 | 10.5 | 14.3 | 10.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 38.2 | 44.4 | 51.0 | 43.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 77% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 9.6 | 9.5 | 9.4 | 9.8 |
| Cards | 1.68 | 1.82 | 1.62 | 1.59 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
St. Pauli
0–15'17
16–30'33
31–45'713
46–60'614
61–75'510
76–90'713
SC Freiburg
0–15'76
16–30'65
31–45'711
46–60'1017
61–75'95
76–90'1213
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
St. Pauli
No pressure profile yet.
SC Freiburg · 5 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.62) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.87
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.625
Early press (0-15, level)+0.185
Game state
When ahead+0.375
When level+0.615
10 min after conceding+0.982
10 min after scoring+0.875
Situations
Against ten men+0.493
At home+0.663
Away+0.582
4+ days rest+0.594
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.202
As favourite+0.625
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.315
Conceded when ahead-0.235
Conceded late (76+)-0.324
Congested vs rested +0.28 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level +2.14
St. Pauli
Current: winless 10 · scoring 3 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 18 53% | 0.89 | 0.83 | 1.89 | 1.01 | 1.79 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 10 29% | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.24 | 1.61 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.69 | 1.33 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.37 | 1.94 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.43 | 0.85 |
SC Freiburg
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 31 91% | 1.32 | 1.39 | 1.61 | 1.45 | 1.52 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 6% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 1.39 | 2.28 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.72 | 0.09 |
| Metric | St. Pauli all · 10 | St. Pauli at home · 10 | SC Freiburg all · 10 | SC Freiburg away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.30 | 1.00 | 2.20 | 1.50 |
| W / D / L | 0 / 3 / 7 | 2 / 4 / 4 | 7 / 1 / 2 | 5 / 0 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 0.60 | 0.90 | 2.70 | 1.30 |
| Goals against / match | 2.00 | 1.60 | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 30% | 10% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% | 70% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% | 80% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.98 | 1.11 | 1.85 | 1.10 |
| xG against / match | 1.95 | 1.72 | 0.99 | 1.49 |
| xG difference | -0.97 | -0.61 | 0.86 | -0.39 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.38 | -0.21 | 0.85 | 0.20 |
| xPts / match | 0.83 | 1.04 | 1.78 | 1.11 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.53 | -0.04 | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 40% | 60% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.67 | 1.75 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.86 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 20% | 50% | 29% |
| Leads held | 0% | 50% | 100% | 100% |
| Minutes leading | 9% | 16% | 44% | 22% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 57% | 42% | 47% |
| Minutes trailing | 45% | 27% | 14% | 31% |
| First goal (min) | 58 | 60 | 27 | 33 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 53 | 40 | 29 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 67% | 78% | 56% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 65% | 75% | 50% | 47% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | 41% | 56% | 46% |
| Shots | 10.0 | 9.8 | 15.9 | 10.5 |
| On target | 2.9 | 3.7 | 6.1 | 4.3 |
| Shot conversion | 6% | 9% | 17% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 63% | 64% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 5.0 | 4.2 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 39% | 49% | 37% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 33% | 33% | 41% | 31% |
| Pressure index | 9.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 10.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 39.9 | 38.4 | 58.0 | 45.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 76% | 85% | 82% |
| Fouls | 8.3 | 8.9 | 10.8 | 10.8 |
| Cards | 2.00 | 1.60 | 1.00 | 1.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
St. Pauli
0–15'03
16–30'20
31–45'04
46–60'14
61–75'14
76–90'25
SC Freiburg
0–15'12
16–30'91
31–45'23
46–60'42
61–75'52
76–90'62
St. Pauli
Current: winless 10 · scoring 3 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 80% | 0.38 | 0.5 | 1.88 | 0.94 | 1.72 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.62 | 3.46 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.65 | 2.23 |
SC Freiburg
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 2.2 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 1.85 | 0.99 |
| Metric | St. Pauli all · 31 | St. Pauli at home · 15 | SC Freiburg all · 51 | SC Freiburg away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 31 | 15 | 51 | 25 |
| Points per game | 0.61 | 0.87 | 1.73 | 1.16 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 7 / 20 | 3 / 4 / 8 | 26 / 10 / 15 | 8 / 5 / 12 |
| Goals for / match | 0.71 | 0.80 | 1.73 | 1.16 |
| Goals against / match | 1.81 | 1.80 | 1.27 | 1.56 |
| Clean sheets | 13% | 13% | 26% | 24% |
| Failed to score | 42% | 40% | 26% | 44% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 60% | 55% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 67% | 61% | 52% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.92 | 1.02 | 1.61 | 1.20 |
| xG against / match | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.35 | 1.56 |
| xG difference | -0.83 | -0.68 | 0.26 | -0.36 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.21 | -0.22 | 0.12 | -0.04 |
| xPts / match | 0.87 | 1.00 | 1.49 | 1.14 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.26 | -0.13 | 0.23 | 0.02 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 29% | 33% | 53% | 28% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.56 | 2.00 | 2.44 | 2.14 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.90 | 0.73 |
| Came back from behind | 9% | 11% | 44% | 33% |
| Leads held | 44% | 60% | 81% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 11% | 14% | 32% | 17% |
| Minutes level | 51% | 53% | 53% | 60% |
| Minutes trailing | 38% | 33% | 16% | 23% |
| First goal (min) | 52 | 54 | 32 | 33 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 48 | 45 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 59% | 67% | 52% | 52% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 70% | 60% | 64% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.31 | 0.16 |
| Late goals against | 0.42 | 0.47 | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 44% | 49% | 44% |
| Shots | 9.9 | 10.5 | 13.3 | 10.8 |
| On target | 3.0 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 3.9 |
| Shot conversion | 7% | 8% | 13% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 60% | 67% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 6.1 | 4.3 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 43% | 38% | 45% |
| Goals from headers | 27% | 25% | 21% | 18% |
| Pressure index | 8.0 | 10.1 | 14.9 | 9.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 36.3 | 42.4 | 50.5 | 41.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 77% | 81% | 79% |
| Fouls | 9.2 | 9.3 | 10.4 | 11.1 |
| Cards | 1.65 | 1.87 | 1.55 | 1.72 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
St. Pauli
0–15'17
16–30'22
31–45'612
46–60'414
61–75'58
76–90'413
SC Freiburg
0–15'98
16–30'178
31–45'1610
46–60'1816
61–75'125
76–90'1618
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
St. Pauli · 31 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.16) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.37
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1631
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0931
Late push (76+, level)-0.3711
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2819
Game state
When ahead-0.289
When level-0.1431
When behind-0.1522
10 min after conceding-0.3527
10 min after scoring-0.1718
Situations
With ten men-0.292
At home-0.1315
Away-0.1916
4+ days rest-0.1530
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3411
v mid-tier opponents-0.1011
v bottom-tier opponents-0.015
Evenly matched-0.1013
As underdog-0.2417
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2831
Conceded when ahead+0.479
Conceded late (76+)+0.2328
Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.01
SC Freiburg · 51 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: against ten men +0.54
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1151
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0851
Late push (76+, level)+0.1321
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3915
Game state
When ahead+0.1032
When level+0.1851
When behind-0.1727
10 min after conceding-0.2037
10 min after scoring+0.4738
Situations
With ten men-0.313
Against ten men+0.548
At home+0.1626
Away+0.0625
3 days rest or fewer+0.0914
4+ days rest+0.1137
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1813
v mid-tier opponents+0.0415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.189
As favourite+0.3522
Evenly matched+0.0116
As underdog-0.1913
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0351
Conceded when ahead-0.0032
Conceded late (76+)+0.0044
Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.35
St. Pauli
Current: winless 10 · scoring 3 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 18 58% | 0.89 | 0.83 | 1.89 | 1.01 | 1.79 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 7 23% | 0.14 | 0.43 | 1.86 | 1.03 | 1.94 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.69 | 1.33 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.37 | 1.94 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.43 | 0.85 |
SC Freiburg
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 48 94% | 1.71 | 1.67 | 1.21 | 1.57 | 1.34 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 1.39 | 2.28 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.72 | 0.09 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -1.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.62Home 36% P 35%3.1Draw 31% P 31%2.9Away 33% P 33%
Double Chance
1.4St Pauli or Draw 33% P 33%1.36St Pauli or SC Freiburg 34% P 34%1.44Draw or SC Freiburg 32% P 32%
Draw No Bet
1.81 51%1.92 49%
Both Teams To Score
2.0Yes 47% P 48%1.75No 53% P 52%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.37Over 40% P 40%1.57Under 60% P 60%
Total Corners
7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%15.0Over 14 6%
Number of Cards
3.52.0Over 46% P 40%1.72Under 54% P 60%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 32.5–35% · 702 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 35% | 36% | 35% | -1.6 |
| Draw | 31% | 30% | 32% | +2.1 |
| Away | 33% | 34% | 33% | -0.6 |
In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 46%
Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48% | 49% | 49% | +0.0 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 39% | 39% | +0.7 |
Florian Badstübner
- Career
- 85 matches · 7 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.53 (3.39 yellow · 0.05 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.6 · 6.4 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.31
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 66 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.71 | 4.15 | -1.12 | 7 |
| Fouls / match | 22.0 | 22.3 | -0.34 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.1 | 5.4 | +1.04 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.32 | 0.33 | -0.15 | 33 |
| Time added | 6.0 | 6.8 | -0.97 | 11 |
- First card
- 39' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 27% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 50% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.33
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 72' | 10 |
| 2026-02-14 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 50' | 10 |
| 2026-02-01 · SC Freiburg | 4 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 52' | 5 |
| 2026-01-15 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 53' | 12 |
| 2026-01-11 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 45' | 9 |
| 2025-12-21 | – | – | 14 | – | – | 5 |
| 2025-12-11 | 5 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 10' | 5 |
| 2025-12-07 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 65' | 7 |
| 2025-11-22 | – | – | 11 | – | – | 12 |
| 2025-11-01 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 45' | 6 |