Rating 7.14 (88th pct) · G+A 13 + 9 (33% of team goals) · 91% of minutes
Bundesliga · Matchweek 27
Momentum
– RB LeipzigTSG –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| RB Leipzig | at home | Stat | league | away | TSG Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.9 #6 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 55.2 #4 |
| 15.8 #2 | – | Shots total | 13.3 | – | 14.1 #5 |
| 6.0 #3 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 5.2 #4 |
| 5.3 #6 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 5.8 #2 |
| 9.3 #15 | – | Fouls | 10.4 | – | 13.9 #1 |
| 1.4 #14 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.7 #11 |
| 15.2 #10 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 15.5 #7 |
| 105.0 #6 | – | Attacks | 98.2 | – | 108.2 #4 |
| 49.9 #6 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.7 | – | 53.1 #4 |
| 502.9 #4 | – | Passes | 456.1 | – | 472.5 #8 |
| 1.6 #15 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.2 #2 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #5 |
| 1.5 #4 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.4 #6 |
| – #8 | – | Btts | 61.8 | – | – #4 |
| – #4 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #7 |
| – #17 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #14 |
| 2.1 #2 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.7 #6 |
| -0.1 #14 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | 0.2 #5 |
| – #14 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #11 |
| 1.9 #5 | 2.4 | Goals | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.9 #6 |
| 1.4 #15 | 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.5 #13 |
| 0.2 #16 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #8 |
| 9.1 #9 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 8.3 #16 |
| – #13 | – | Lost | 37.7 | – | – #13 |
| 0.0 #18 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #4 |
| 7.0 #3 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #6 |
| 4.2 #2 | – | Shots blocked | 3.5 | – | 3.4 #10 |
| 11.3 #2 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.0 | – | 9.7 #5 |
| 5.6 #3 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 5.6 #3 |
| 4.5 #6 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 4.4 #7 |
| – #3 | – | Win | 37.7 | – | – #4 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.24 (home 1.78 · away 1.46)
- Home / draw / away
- 44% · 25% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 62% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 3.9 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
RB Leipzig · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.44 (100th pct) · G+A 3 + 7 (15% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Team 2.0 ppg with (29) · 1.4 without (5)
Rating 7.19 (96th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (3% of team goals) · 96% of minutes
TSG Hoffenheim · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.09 (92th pct) · G+A 1 + 8 (14% of team goals) · 99% of minutes
Rating 7.12 (85th pct) · G+A 4 + 6 (15% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Rating 7.18 (94th pct) · G+A 14 + 6 (31% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 2.08 ppg with (26) · 0.88 without (8)
Absences
TSG Hoffenheim
- injury Adam Hlozek attacker · Calf Injury · 16 missed · until 2026-04-20
- injury Valentin Gendrey defender · Ankle Injury · 10 missed · until 2026-07-18
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 27
Venue
- Stadium
- Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
- Capacity
- 47,069
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 40,980
Teams
- Coaches
- Ole Werner · Christian Ilzer
- Position
- 5 · 3
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 4-4-2
Referee
Sven Jablonski
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 7.8° (feels 6.2°)
- Wind
- 2.6
- Humidity
- 76%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Bayern München |
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | LWLWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig |
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart |
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 5 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | LWWLD |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg |
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | LDLLD |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | DLWLW |
| 11 |  FC Union Berlin |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | LLDWW |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | DDWLW |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | LLWWD |
| 14 |  FC Köln |
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg |
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WDDLW |
| 17 |  FC Heidenheim |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  St. Pauli |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 44 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 41 | LWLWW |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 39 | LDDWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 6 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 31 | LWWLD |
| 8 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 25 | LDLLD |
| 10 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 24 | DDWLW |
| 12 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 22 | LLDWW |
| 13 | FC Köln |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 | DLDLL |
| 14 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 19 | WDLLL |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 | DLWLW |
| 16 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 17 | St. Pauli |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 18 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 10 | WDDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 45 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 32 | LWLWW |
| 3 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 28 | LWWLD |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 23 | LDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 19 | LDLLD |
| 9 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 19 | WDDLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 11 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 | LLDWW |
| 12 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | WDLLL |
| 16 | FC Köln |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 17 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 | LWDWL |
| 18 | St. Pauli |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 9 | DLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
RB Leipzig
DDWWL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 7 · xG 12.06–7.26 · xPts 9.41
- L
A
VfB Stuttgart
0–1
xG 1.0–1.32
GER BI
- W
H
FC Augsburg
2–1
xG 2.07–3.26
GER BI
- W
A
Hamburger SV
2–1
xG 3.39–0.54
GER BI
- D
H
Borussia Dortmund
2–2
xG 2.77–1.49
GER BI
- D
H
VfL Wolfsburg
2–2
xG 2.82–0.65
GER BI
LWDLWDDWWL 4W 3D 3L · 15 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 16 GA 16 · xG 22.6–16.37 · xPts 17.51
- L
A
VfB Stuttgart
0–1
xG 1.0–1.32
GER BI
- W
H
FC Augsburg
2–1
xG 2.07–3.26
GER BI
- W
A
Hamburger SV
2–1
xG 3.39–0.54
GER BI
- D
H
Borussia Dortmund
2–2
xG 2.77–1.49
GER BI
- D
H
VfL Wolfsburg
2–2
xG 2.82–0.65
GER BI
- W
A
FC Köln
2–1
xG 2.79–1.36
GER BI
- L
H
FSV Mainz 05
1–2
xG 1.92–2.0
GER BI
- D
A
St. Pauli
1–1
xG 1.45–1.23
GER BI
- W
A
FC Heidenheim
3–0
xG 2.15–0.64
GER BI
- L
H
FC Bayern München
1–5
xG 2.25–3.88
GER BI
TSG Hoffenheim
WDLWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 10 GA 6 · xG 11.98–4.13 · xPts 11.65
- D
H
VfL Wolfsburg
1–1
xG 1.92–0.37
GER BI
- W
A
FC Heidenheim
4–2
xG 2.63–1.03
GER BI
- L
H
St. Pauli
0–1
xG 2.84–0.81
GER BI
- D
A
FC Köln
2–2
xG 2.28–0.89
GER BI
- W
H
SC Freiburg
3–0
xG 2.31–1.02
GER BI
WWWWLWDLWD 6W 2D 2L · 20 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 20 GA 13 · xG 18.45–14.96 · xPts 17.38
- D
H
VfL Wolfsburg
1–1
xG 1.92–0.37
GER BI
- W
A
FC Heidenheim
4–2
xG 2.63–1.03
GER BI
- L
H
St. Pauli
0–1
xG 2.84–0.81
GER BI
- D
A
FC Köln
2–2
xG 2.28–0.89
GER BI
- W
H
SC Freiburg
3–0
xG 2.31–1.02
GER BI
- L
A
FC Bayern München
1–5
xG 1.33–5.76
GER BI
- W
H
FC Union Berlin
3–1
xG 1.64–1.45
GER BI
- W
A
Werder Bremen
2–0
xG 0.79–1.89
GER BI
- W
A
Eintracht Frankfurt
3–1
xG 1.33–0.79
GER BI
- W
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–0
xG 1.38–0.94
GER BI
All meetings · 20 matches since 2016
Goals 38–28 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 65%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 23–13 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 13–9 · 4.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- W RB Leipzig 5–0 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
- L TSG Hoffenheim 3–1 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
- W RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
- L TSG Hoffenheim 4–3 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
- D TSG Hoffenheim 1–1 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
- W RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
- W RB Leipzig 1–0 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
- W TSG Hoffenheim 1–3 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
- W RB Leipzig 3–0 TSG Hoffenheim neutral GER BI · Regular Season
- L TSG Hoffenheim 2–0 RB Leipzig neutral GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | RB Leipzig all · 34 | RB Leipzig at home · 17 | TSG Hoffenheim all · 34 | TSG Hoffenheim away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.91 | 2.24 | 1.79 | 1.71 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 5 / 9 | 12 / 2 / 3 | 18 / 7 / 9 | 8 / 5 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.94 | 2.35 | 1.91 | 1.76 |
| Goals against / match | 1.38 | 1.18 | 1.53 | 1.82 |
| Clean sheets | 32% | 35% | 21% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 9% | 0% | 18% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 65% | 65% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 76% | 71% | 71% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.07 | 2.44 | 1.71 | 1.56 |
| xG against / match | 1.42 | 1.43 | 1.46 | 1.70 |
| xG difference | 0.65 | 1.01 | 0.25 | -0.14 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.13 | -0.09 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| xPts / match | 1.76 | 1.96 | 1.58 | 1.38 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.16 | 0.27 | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 74% | 88% | 47% | 35% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.28 | 2.27 | 2.75 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.87 | 2.00 | 0.94 | 1.20 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 40% | 47% | 60% |
| Leads held | 74% | 75% | 86% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 37% | 42% | 37% | 28% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 47% | 40% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 16% | 11% | 22% | 26% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 41 | 34 | 33 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 48 | 52 | 37 | 27 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 52% | 45% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 64% | 75% | 50% | 42% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.29 | 0.47 | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| Late goals against | 0.44 | 0.47 | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 56% | 55% | 54% |
| Shots | 15.8 | 17.3 | 14.1 | 12.0 |
| On target | 6.0 | 7.3 | 5.2 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 14% | 14% | 15% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 77% | 69% | 70% |
| Big chances created | 3.6 | 4.7 | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 5.9 | 5.8 | 5.2 |
| xG from set plays | 22% | 24% | 35% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 18% | 22% | 23% |
| Pressure index | 16.1 | 20.1 | 14.5 | 12.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 54.5 | 61.8 | 56.9 | 50.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 85% | 80% | 79% |
| Fouls | 9.3 | 8.1 | 13.9 | 14.5 |
| Cards | 1.53 | 1.35 | 2.26 | 2.71 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
RB Leipzig
0–15'70
16–30'118
31–45'149
46–60'139
61–75'116
76–90'1015
TSG Hoffenheim
0–15'59
16–30'1210
31–45'197
46–60'145
61–75'59
76–90'1012
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
RB Leipzig · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.50
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.504
Late chase (76+, behind)+1.252
Game state
When ahead+0.222
When level-0.504
When behind+0.572
10 min after conceding+0.082
10 min after scoring+0.394
Situations
At home-0.002
Away+0.452
4+ days rest+0.383
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents-0.002
As favourite+0.303
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.214
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.672
Congested vs rested -0.56 · Ahead vs level +0.72 · Behind vs level +1.07
TSG Hoffenheim · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: when behind +0.94
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.374
Early press (0-15, level)+0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.532
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.073
Game state
When ahead-0.103
When level+0.374
When behind+0.943
10 min after conceding-0.124
10 min after scoring+0.013
Situations
At home-0.012
Away+0.762
4+ days rest+0.374
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.053
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.184
Conceded when ahead-0.033
Conceded late (76+)-0.154
Ahead vs level -0.47 · Behind vs level +0.57
RB Leipzig
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 29 85% | 1.83 | 1.93 | 1.48 | 2.01 | 1.42 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 9% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.33 | 2.51 | 1.22 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.92 | 2.0 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.53 | 1.26 |
TSG Hoffenheim
Current: winless 1 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 26% | 1.89 | 1.78 | 1.56 | 2.05 | 1.33 |
| 4-4-2 | 5 15% | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.46 | 1.69 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 12% | 2.25 | 2.25 | 1.25 | 1.47 | 1.11 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 4 12% | 1.75 | 2.25 | 1.0 | 2.01 | 1.21 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 2 6% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.64 | 1.43 |
| Metric | RB Leipzig all · 10 | RB Leipzig at home · 10 | TSG Hoffenheim all · 10 | TSG Hoffenheim away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.30 | 1.40 | 1.10 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 0 / 4 | 7 / 2 / 1 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 2 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 2.10 | 2.60 | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.80 | 0.90 | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 20% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 90% | 80% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.17 | 2.57 | 1.84 | 1.67 |
| xG against / match | 1.32 | 1.30 | 1.44 | 1.93 |
| xG difference | 0.85 | 1.27 | 0.40 | -0.26 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.07 | 0.03 | -0.24 | -0.17 |
| xPts / match | 1.85 | 2.08 | 1.64 | 1.37 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.05 | 0.22 | -0.24 | -0.27 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 80% | 70% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.38 | 1.86 | 2.25 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 67% | 20% | 29% |
| Leads held | 100% | 78% | 57% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 32% | 45% | 40% | 23% |
| Minutes level | 36% | 43% | 40% | 40% |
| Minutes trailing | 32% | 12% | 20% | 38% |
| First goal (min) | 48 | 41 | 27 | 33 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 58 | 40 | 28 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | 50% | 31% | 33% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 78% | 65% | 46% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 60% | 57% | 56% |
| Shots | 18.1 | 18.0 | 16.3 | 13.8 |
| On target | 7.1 | 7.7 | 5.3 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 14% | 10% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 76% | 60% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 3.8 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 6.2 | 6.6 | 6.1 |
| xG from set plays | 20% | 22% | 35% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 12% | 12% | 20% |
| Pressure index | 18.0 | 18.7 | 15.2 | 13.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 60.2 | 66.2 | 58.9 | 48.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 86% | 82% | 81% |
| Fouls | 8.5 | 7.8 | 15.1 | 15.0 |
| Cards | 1.70 | 1.40 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
RB Leipzig
0–15'02
16–30'63
31–45'23
46–60'32
61–75'52
76–90'56
TSG Hoffenheim
0–15'23
16–30'43
31–45'51
46–60'22
61–75'24
76–90'17
RB Leipzig
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 8 80% | 1.88 | 2.13 | 1.63 | 2.25 | 1.25 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.53 | 1.26 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.19 | 1.94 |
TSG Hoffenheim
Current: winless 1 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.83 | 2.04 | 1.2 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.54 | 1.8 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.64 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.22 | 1.99 |
| Metric | RB Leipzig all · 35 | RB Leipzig at home · 18 | TSG Hoffenheim all · 35 | TSG Hoffenheim away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 18 | 35 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.86 | 2.28 | 1.66 | 1.35 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 5 / 10 | 13 / 2 / 3 | 17 / 7 / 11 | 6 / 5 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 2.09 | 2.56 | 1.83 | 1.53 |
| Goals against / match | 1.37 | 1.11 | 1.57 | 1.94 |
| Clean sheets | 31% | 39% | 20% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 6% | 0% | 20% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 66% | 61% | 63% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 83% | 69% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.12 | 2.48 | 1.74 | 1.59 |
| xG against / match | 1.39 | 1.41 | 1.45 | 1.61 |
| xG difference | 0.73 | 1.08 | 0.29 | -0.03 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.03 | 0.07 | 0.09 | -0.06 |
| xPts / match | 1.80 | 1.99 | 1.60 | 1.45 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.06 | 0.29 | 0.05 | -0.10 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 71% | 89% | 51% | 35% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.28 | 2.31 | 2.44 | 2.17 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.78 | 2.00 | 0.81 | 0.90 |
| Came back from behind | 23% | 40% | 39% | 46% |
| Leads held | 74% | 76% | 77% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 37% | 46% | 37% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 44% | 42% | 47% |
| Minutes trailing | 19% | 11% | 21% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 39 | 38 | 32 | 32 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 45 | 52 | 40 | 29 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 52% | 44% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 65% | 75% | 56% | 46% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.31 | 0.44 | 0.23 | 0.12 |
| Late goals against | 0.46 | 0.44 | 0.43 | 0.47 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | 55% | 56% | 55% |
| Shots | 16.1 | 17.7 | 14.8 | 13.0 |
| On target | 6.3 | 7.6 | 5.2 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 76% | 67% | 67% |
| Big chances created | 3.7 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 5.6 |
| xG from set plays | 23% | 25% | 33% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 16% | 22% | 27% |
| Pressure index | 16.7 | 19.4 | 15.1 | 13.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 56.2 | 59.8 | 57.6 | 52.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 85% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 9.2 | 8.4 | 14.1 | 14.9 |
| Cards | 1.54 | 1.28 | 2.29 | 2.71 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
RB Leipzig
0–15'72
16–30'147
31–45'138
46–60'1410
61–75'145
76–90'1116
TSG Hoffenheim
0–15'68
16–30'129
31–45'187
46–60'135
61–75'711
76–90'815
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
RB Leipzig · 35 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2535
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1735
Late push (76+, level)+0.066
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1911
Game state
When ahead+0.1727
When level+0.2835
When behind+0.3013
10 min after conceding-0.0924
10 min after scoring+0.3533
Situations
At home+0.2618
Away+0.2417
3 days rest or fewer+0.263
4+ days rest+0.2532
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1310
v mid-tier opponents+0.1712
v bottom-tier opponents+0.278
As favourite+0.3424
Evenly matched+0.168
As underdog-0.133
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1335
Conceded when ahead-0.2327
Conceded late (76+)-0.3628
Congested vs rested +0.01 · Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level +0.02
TSG Hoffenheim · 35 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2135
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2935
Late push (76+, level)-0.1611
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0110
Game state
When ahead+0.1322
When level+0.2135
When behind+0.3318
10 min after conceding-0.1026
10 min after scoring+0.5528
Situations
With ten men+0.203
Against ten men-0.013
At home+0.0418
Away+0.3917
3 days rest or fewer+0.182
4+ days rest+0.2133
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.0713
v mid-tier opponents+0.4310
v bottom-tier opponents+0.325
As favourite+0.3318
Evenly matched+0.1112
As underdog-0.025
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2035
Conceded when ahead-0.1422
Conceded late (76+)-0.1530
Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.11
RB Leipzig
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 31 89% | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.29 | 2.1 | 1.35 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.53 | 1.26 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.92 | 2.0 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 1.49 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.19 | 1.94 |
TSG Hoffenheim
Current: winless 1 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 29% | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.14 |
| 4-4-2 | 7 20% | 1.29 | 2.14 | 2.43 | 1.48 | 1.72 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 4 11% | 1.75 | 2.25 | 1.0 | 2.01 | 1.21 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 2 6% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.64 | 1.43 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 6% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.97 | 1.24 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.8h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.95Home 49% P 50%4.0Draw 24% P 24%3.5Away 27% P 26%
Double Chance
1.28RB Leipzig or Draw 37% P 37%1.25RB Leipzig or TSG Hoffenheim 37% P 38%1.8Draw or TSG Hoffenheim 26% P 25%
Draw No Bet
1.441 65%2.622 35%
Both Teams To Score
1.4Yes 66% P 68%2.75No 34% P 32%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.4Over 68% P 67%3.0Under 32% P 33%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%
Number of Cards
3.51.9Over 49% P 47%1.8Under 51% P 53%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 50–60% · away 20–30% · 2,464 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 50% | 53% | 56% | +3.0 |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | 24% | -1.1 |
| Away | 26% | 22% | 20% | -1.8 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 53%
Both teams to score · yes 67.5–70% · 136 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 68% | 69% | 68% | -0.9 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 66% | 69% | +3.2 |
Sven Jablonski
- Career
- 115 matches · 10 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.53 (3.45 yellow · 0.03 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.7 · 6.4 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.22
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 77 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.78 | 4.15 | -0.96 | 15 |
| Fouls / match | 20.6 | 22.3 | -1.66 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.5 | 5.4 | +0.10 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.23 | 0.33 | -1.10 | 18 |
| Time added | 6.2 | 6.8 | -0.76 | 15 |
- First card
- 34' on average
- Card timing
- 21% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 50% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.22
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 17' | 15 |
| 2026-03-12 | 5 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 13' | 5 |
| 2026-02-28 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 20' | 11 |
| 2026-02-19 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 37' | 12 |
| 2026-02-14 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 90' | 4 |
| 2026-01-24 · TSG Hoffenheim | 4 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 44' | 8 |
| 2026-01-20 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 61' | 5 |
| 2026-01-13 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 45' | 9 |
| 2025-12-19 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 53' | 8 |
| 2025-12-10 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 65' | 7 |