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Bundesliga · Matchweek 27

Momentum

WOBSVW
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
27

Venue

Stadium
Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
Capacity
30,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
28,917

Teams

Coaches
Dieter Hecking · Daniel Thioune
Position
17 · 15
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Benjamin Brand

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
9.8° (feels 8.9°)
Wind
2.2
Humidity
64%

Where to watch · 397

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

VfL Wolfsburg

DLLLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 12 · xG 5.85–12.18 · xPts 3.75

  • D A TSG Hoffenheim 1–1 xG 0.37–1.92 GER BI
  • L H Hamburger SV 1–2 xG 2.18–1.92 GER BI
  • L A VfB Stuttgart 0–4 xG 1.01–3.64 GER BI
  • L H FC Augsburg 2–3 xG 1.64–1.87 GER BI
  • D A RB Leipzig 2–2 xG 0.65–2.82 GER BI

Werder Bremen

LLWWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 7.44–6.26 · xPts 7.78

  • L H FSV Mainz 05 0–2 xG 1.33–1.49 GER BI
  • W A FC Union Berlin 4–1 xG 1.94–1.23 GER BI
  • W H FC Heidenheim 2–0 xG 1.66–1.18 GER BI
  • L A St. Pauli 1–2 xG 1.62–0.41 GER BI
  • L H FC Bayern München 0–3 xG 0.89–1.94 GER BI

All meetings · 40 matches since 2005

VfL Wolfsburg 159 draws16 Werder Bremen

Goals 72–67 · 3.47 per match · BTTS 72% · over 2.5 68%

Last 10 · 10 matches

VfL Wolfsburg 42 draws4 Werder Bremen

Goals 19–18 · 3.7 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

VfL Wolfsburg 20 draws3 Werder Bremen

Goals 7–8 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Werder Bremen 2–1 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Werder Bremen 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfL Wolfsburg 2–4 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Werder Bremen 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • D VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Werder Bremen 2–1 VfL Wolfsburg neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • D VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 Werder Bremen neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Werder Bremen 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfL Wolfsburg 5–3 Werder Bremen neutral GER BI · Regular Season
MetricVfL Wolfsburg all · 34VfL Wolfsburg at home · 17Werder Bremen all · 34Werder Bremen away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.850.590.940.76
W / D / L7 / 8 / 192 / 4 / 118 / 8 / 183 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match1.321.241.091.06
Goals against / match2.031.881.761.71
Clean sheets6%6%18%18%
Failed to score24%29%38%41%
Both teams scored74%71%47%47%
Over 2.565%65%53%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.391.581.211.01
xG against / match1.891.691.581.82
xG difference-0.50-0.11-0.37-0.81
Finishing vs xG-0.07-0.35-0.120.05
xPts / match1.141.341.210.95
Points vs xPts-0.28-0.75-0.27-0.19
Game state
Scored first53%35%29%29%
PPG when scoring first1.441.172.101.60
PPG when conceding first0.130.200.430.36
Came back from behind10%15%25%17%
Leads held35%25%62%50%
Minutes leading27%18%16%16%
Minutes level43%48%41%44%
Minutes trailing30%34%43%40%
First goal (min)35385250
First goal conceded (min)43383536
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%57%70%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%56%57%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.240.410.24
Late goals against0.560.470.320.35
Style
Possession45%48%51%48%
Shots11.913.613.110.8
On target4.24.74.13.6
Shot conversion11%9%8%10%
Shots inside box64%66%62%61%
Big chances created2.63.01.71.5
Corners4.45.44.64.2
xG from set plays32%32%24%24%
Goals from headers25%33%19%6%
Pressure index9.112.712.68.1
Dominant minutes38.146.347.835.1
Pass accuracy78%80%82%81%
Fouls11.512.19.99.5
Cards2.152.292.472.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

VfL Wolfsburg

0–15'96
16–30'710
31–45'610
46–60'811
61–75'813
76–90'719

Werder Bremen

0–15'27
16–30'49
31–45'510
46–60'48
61–75'815
76–90'1411

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

VfL Wolfsburg

No pressure profile yet.

Werder Bremen · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.133
Early press (0-15, level)+0.063

Game state

When level-0.183
When behind+0.412
10 min after conceding-0.493
10 min after scoring-0.302

Situations

Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.133

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.462
As underdog-0.133

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.202

Ahead vs level -0.41 · Behind vs level +0.60

VfL Wolfsburg

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%0.831.382.211.261.97
3-4-2-16 18%0.671.332.171.361.86
3-1-4-22 6%2.01.50.52.551.19
3-5-22 6%0.50.51.01.91.72

Werder Bremen

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-115 44%1.01.22.071.121.76
3-4-2-16 18%0.51.172.171.221.4
4-1-4-13 9%1.01.01.331.111.63
3-5-23 9%0.330.01.01.21.19
4-3-33 9%2.332.331.01.651.78

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -3.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.37Home 40% P 41%3.7Draw 26% P 26%2.75Away 34% P 33%

Double Chance

1.4Wolfsburg or Draw 33% P 33%1.28Wolfsburg or Werder Bremen 36% P 37%1.53Draw or Werder Bremen 30% P 30%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 63%2.37No 39% P 37%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 59%2.3Under 41% P 41%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 32.5–35% · 189 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home41%41%40%-0.7
Draw26%26%22%-4.0
Away33%33%38%+4.7

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes63%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.559%59%60%+0.8

Benjamin Brand

Career
101 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
4.01 (3.82 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 59 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.344.14+0.2763
Fouls / match22.922.3+0.39
Fouls per card5.35.4-0.28 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.32+0.8889
Time added7.36.8+0.4078
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-07 60 150 51'7
2026-02-21 70 240 30'12
2026-02-07 20 191 57'7
2026-01-16 · Werder Bremen 50 230 52'9
2025-12-20 30 220 30'8
2025-12-05 30 160 25'6
2025-11-22 20 221 24'9
2025-11-09 40 200 81'8
2025-10-25 40 180 44'11
2025-10-04 · VfL Wolfsburg 30 160 6'8