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Bundesliga · Matchweek 28

Momentum

BMGHeidenheim
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
28

Venue

Stadium
Stadion im Borussia-Park, Mönchengladbach
Capacity
54,057
Surface
grass
Attendance
52,129

Teams

Coaches
Eugen Polanski · Frank Schmidt
Position
13 · 18
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Bastian Dankert

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
14.3° (feels 13.8°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
78%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Borussia Mönchengladbach

LWLWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 9 · xG 6.58–6.94 · xPts 6.67

  • D A FC Köln 3–3 xG 0.93–1.57 GER BI
  • W H St. Pauli 2–0 xG 0.69–0.64 GER BI
  • L A FC Bayern München 1–4 xG 1.24–2.71 GER BI
  • W H FC Union Berlin 1–0 xG 2.42–0.14 GER BI
  • L A SC Freiburg 1–2 xG 1.3–1.88 GER BI

Heidenheim

DLLLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 13 · xG 6.21–9.19 · xPts 4.88

  • D H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–3 xG 1.57–1.63 GER BI
  • L A Eintracht Frankfurt 0–1 xG 0.08–1.19 GER BI
  • L H TSG Hoffenheim 2–4 xG 1.03–2.63 GER BI
  • L A Werder Bremen 0–2 xG 1.18–1.66 GER BI
  • D H VfB Stuttgart 3–3 xG 2.35–2.08 GER BI

All meetings · 6 matches since 2023

Borussia Mönchengladbach 42 draws0 Heidenheim

Goals 14–6 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 83%

Last 10 · 6 matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach 42 draws0 Heidenheim

Goals 14–6 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 83%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach 32 draws0 Heidenheim

Goals 12–5 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–2 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Heidenheim 0–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Heidenheim 0–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–2 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Heidenheim 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–1 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
MetricBorussia Mönchengladbach all · 34Borussia Mönchengladbach at home · 17Heidenheim all · 34Heidenheim away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.121.410.760.53
W / D / L9 / 11 / 146 / 6 / 56 / 8 / 202 / 3 / 12
Goals for / match1.241.411.211.06
Goals against / match1.561.412.122.06
Clean sheets38%47%3%0%
Failed to score35%35%35%35%
Both teams scored41%35%62%65%
Over 2.553%53%68%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.391.361.27
xG against / match1.511.431.911.89
xG difference-0.16-0.04-0.55-0.62
Finishing vs xG-0.120.02-0.16-0.21
xPts / match1.271.341.101.04
Points vs xPts-0.150.07-0.33-0.51
Game state
Scored first41%53%24%18%
PPG when scoring first2.292.332.001.67
PPG when conceding first0.070.000.380.29
Came back from behind18%17%23%14%
Leads held64%67%46%33%
Minutes leading19%25%15%12%
Minutes level52%53%48%50%
Minutes trailing28%22%37%39%
First goal (min)48374553
First goal conceded (min)40423941
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%54%61%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half45%46%54%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.410.320.24
Late goals against0.350.240.440.35
Style
Possession47%46%42%43%
Shots11.611.511.411.3
On target4.14.53.63.3
Shot conversion11%12%11%9%
Shots inside box66%64%69%72%
Big chances created1.92.22.52.4
Corners3.83.34.54.4
xG from set plays34%39%33%27%
Goals from headers20%26%15%17%
Pressure index9.910.57.78.0
Dominant minutes41.942.835.333.2
Pass accuracy82%82%76%76%
Fouls10.810.69.810.3
Cards1.852.001.441.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Borussia Mönchengladbach

0–15'68
16–30'59
31–45'612
46–60'32
61–75'910
76–90'1312

Heidenheim

0–15'45
16–30'611
31–45'617
46–60'713
61–75'711
76–90'1115

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Borussia Mönchengladbach · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.223
Early press (0-15, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-1.122

Game state

When level+0.163
When behind-0.463
10 min after conceding-0.463

Situations

Away-0.222
4+ days rest-0.223

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.222
As underdog-0.222

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.243
Conceded late (76+)+0.152

Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level -0.62

Heidenheim

No pressure profile yet.

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 38%1.461.851.621.461.33
5-4-14 12%1.00.752.251.222.09
4-2-3-14 12%1.01.01.751.231.43
4-4-23 9%0.670.331.00.741.35
4-3-32 6%0.00.52.01.52.2

Heidenheim

Current: winless 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-16 18%0.671.332.331.541.71
4-3-2-15 15%0.81.02.41.362.26
4-4-24 12%1.52.01.51.861.09
4-3-34 12%1.01.752.251.01.59
4-2-3-14 12%0.250.252.00.792.1

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.5h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.57Home 60% P 61%4.33Draw 22% P 21%5.0Away 19% P 18%

Double Chance

1.16Borussia M'gladbach or Draw 40%1.2Borussia M'gladbach or Heidenheim 39%2.3Draw or Heidenheim 20%

Draw No Bet

1.221 77%4.02 23%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 61%2.37Under 40% P 39%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

2.51.57Over 59%2.25Under 41%
3.52.0Over 46% P 43%1.72Under 54% P 57%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 17.5–20% · 138 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home61%61%65%+4.3
Draw21%21%18%-2.8
Away18%18%17%-1.5

In those fixtures: 3.5 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 70%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.6

Bastian Dankert

Career
206 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.13 (3.94 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 65 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.894.15-0.7222
Fouls / match22.922.3+0.46
Fouls per card6.25.4+1.24 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.33-1.657
Time added6.26.8-0.7615
First card
38' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-14 14 9
2026-03-01 50 201 31'10
2026-02-14 40 161 28'9
2026-01-25 30 141 62'7
2026-01-10 20 170 19'5
2025-11-29 61 220 39'8
2025-11-08 · Heidenheim 10 120 36'5
2025-10-18 40 290 20'6
2025-09-28 30 240 45'10
2025-09-13 50 260 68'30