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Bundesliga · Matchweek 28

Momentum

SGEFC Köln
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
28

Venue

Stadium
Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main
Capacity
58,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
59,300

Teams

Coaches
Riera · René Wagner
Position
7 · 15
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 5-3-2

Referee

Florian Exner

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
15.8° (feels 14.9°)
Wind
6.7
Humidity
56%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Eintracht Frankfurt

LWDWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 6.85–5.43 · xPts 8.13

  • L A FSV Mainz 05 1–2 xG 1.4–1.43 GER BI
  • W H FC Heidenheim 1–0 xG 1.19–0.08 GER BI
  • D A St. Pauli 0–0 xG 0.67–0.59 GER BI
  • W H SC Freiburg 2–0 xG 1.34–0.61 GER BI
  • L A FC Bayern München 2–3 xG 2.24–2.73 GER BI

FC Köln

DLLDD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 5.65–6.28 · xPts 6.6

  • D H Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–3 xG 1.57–0.93 GER BI
  • D A Hamburger SV 1–1 xG 1.13–0.33 GER BI
  • L H Borussia Dortmund 1–2 xG 1.57–1.48 GER BI
  • L A FC Augsburg 0–2 xG 0.49–1.27 GER BI
  • D H TSG Hoffenheim 2–2 xG 0.89–2.28 GER BI

All meetings · 28 matches since 2005

Eintracht Frankfurt 810 draws10 FC Köln

Goals 44–46 · 3.21 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt 25 draws3 FC Köln

Goals 12–15 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt 12 draws2 FC Köln

Goals 7–11 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Köln 3–4 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Köln 2–0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Köln 3–0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Köln 1–0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 2–0 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Köln 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
MetricEintracht Frankfurt all · 34Eintracht Frankfurt at home · 17FC Köln all · 34FC Köln away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.291.470.940.76
W / D / L11 / 11 / 127 / 4 / 67 / 11 / 162 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match1.791.711.441.12
Goals against / match1.911.591.851.94
Clean sheets21%35%9%12%
Failed to score9%6%12%18%
Both teams scored74%59%79%71%
Over 2.568%65%65%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.481.491.39
xG against / match1.501.241.661.88
xG difference-0.150.24-0.18-0.49
Finishing vs xG0.450.23-0.05-0.27
xPts / match1.311.561.271.10
Points vs xPts-0.02-0.08-0.33-0.34
Game state
Scored first50%59%41%29%
PPG when scoring first1.942.201.571.60
PPG when conceding first0.630.430.500.42
Came back from behind43%33%38%43%
Leads held55%64%44%40%
Minutes leading25%22%19%11%
Minutes level46%49%51%55%
Minutes trailing29%29%30%34%
First goal (min)41494248
First goal conceded (min)35344442
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%69%61%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%63%56%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.410.560.47
Late goals against0.560.290.350.41
Style
Possession55%54%47%46%
Shots12.013.213.411.7
On target4.65.34.73.8
Shot conversion15%13%11%10%
Shots inside box67%68%70%71%
Big chances created2.52.72.52.1
Corners4.75.44.64.4
xG from set plays28%32%27%29%
Goals from headers12%10%16%16%
Pressure index12.813.411.08.6
Dominant minutes48.552.442.835.8
Pass accuracy83%84%80%80%
Fouls10.410.18.38.1
Cards2.062.122.001.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Eintracht Frankfurt

0–15'59
16–30'118
31–45'1110
46–60'119
61–75'1010
76–90'1319

FC Köln

0–15'98
16–30'69
31–45'411
46–60'78
61–75'415
76–90'1912

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Eintracht Frankfurt · 3 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.76

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.183
Early press (0-15, level)-0.023

Game state

When ahead+0.253
When level-0.193
When behind+0.102
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.763

Situations

Away+0.042
4+ days rest+0.183

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.223
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.253

Ahead vs level +0.45 · Behind vs level +0.29

FC Köln · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.59

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.033
Early press (0-15, level)-0.053
Late push (76+, level)+0.022

Game state

When ahead-0.222
When level-0.153
When behind+0.382
10 min after conceding+0.073
10 min after scoring+0.593

Situations

At home-0.182
4+ days rest-0.033

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.182

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.273
Conceded when ahead+0.492
Conceded late (76+)-0.423

Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level +0.54

Eintracht Frankfurt

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-110 29%0.71.52.51.321.98
4-2-3-110 29%1.51.71.61.211.39
4-3-34 12%1.01.251.51.380.87
4-1-4-14 12%2.02.51.751.791.21
4-5-12 6%1.53.53.01.551.11

FC Köln

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 13 · conceding 17

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-18 24%0.751.631.881.541.26
3-4-2-16 18%1.330.831.00.791.64
3-4-36 18%1.01.171.671.381.2
5-3-25 15%0.41.63.01.592.41
4-4-24 12%1.751.51.02.081.56

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 50% P 46%3.9Draw 24% P 27%3.6Away 26% P 27%

Double Chance

1.25Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw 38%1.28Eintracht Frankfurt or Cologne 37%1.83Draw or Cologne 26%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 55%2.2Under 43% P 45%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 853 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home46%46%44%-1.8
Draw27%28%30%+1.8
Away27%26%26%+0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%56%56%-0.2

Florian Exner

Career
26 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.85 (4.58 yellow · 0.15 red)
Fouls / match
21.6 · 4.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.39
Cards to home side
52%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 26 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.044.14+1.8296
Fouls / match21.622.3-0.75
Fouls per card4.35.4-1.83 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.390.32+0.6378
Time added9.96.8+3.13100
First card
32' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
52% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.13

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-07 61 243 20'14
2026-02-14 40 140 9'10
2026-01-27 10 141 49'6
2026-01-24 20 150 73'7
2025-12-06 30 210 13'9
2025-11-08 60 160 15'14
2025-10-18 80 302 30'15
2025-09-27 · Eintracht Frankfurt 30 220 90'13
2025-09-20 60 250 22'11
2025-08-30 70 250 31'20