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Bundesliga · Matchweek 29

Momentum

HeidenheimFCU
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
29

Venue

Stadium
Walter-Birkhold-Jugendstadion, Heidenheim an der Brenz
Capacity
15,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
15,000

Teams

Coaches
Frank Schmidt · Steffen Baumgart
Position
18 · 11
Formation
4-4-2 · 5-3-2

Referee

Christian Dingert

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
16.8° (feels 15.9°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
56%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Heidenheim

LLLDD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 12 · xG 5.11–8.18 · xPts 4.82

  • D A Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–2 xG 1.25–1.07 GER BI
  • D H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–3 xG 1.57–1.63 GER BI
  • L A Eintracht Frankfurt 0–1 xG 0.08–1.19 GER BI
  • L H TSG Hoffenheim 2–4 xG 1.03–2.63 GER BI
  • L A Werder Bremen 0–2 xG 1.18–1.66 GER BI

FC Union Berlin

LLWLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 10 · xG 4.03–10.0 · xPts 4.28

  • D H St. Pauli 1–1 xG 1.72–0.39 GER BI
  • L A FC Bayern München 0–4 xG 0.31–3.85 GER BI
  • W A SC Freiburg 1–0 xG 0.64–1.39 GER BI
  • L H Werder Bremen 1–4 xG 1.23–1.94 GER BI
  • L A Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–1 xG 0.14–2.42 GER BI

All meetings · 6 matches since 2023

Heidenheim 51 draws0 FC Union Berlin

Goals 13–4 · 2.83 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 6 matches

Heidenheim 51 draws0 FC Union Berlin

Goals 13–4 · 2.83 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 67%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Heidenheim 41 draws0 FC Union Berlin

Goals 12–4 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W FC Heidenheim 3–1 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Union Berlin 1–2 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Union Berlin 0–3 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Heidenheim 2–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Union Berlin 2–2 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Heidenheim 1–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
MetricHeidenheim all · 34Heidenheim at home · 17FC Union Berlin all · 34FC Union Berlin away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.761.001.151.00
W / D / L6 / 8 / 204 / 5 / 810 / 9 / 155 / 2 / 10
Goals for / match1.211.351.291.06
Goals against / match2.122.181.711.88
Clean sheets3%6%21%18%
Failed to score35%35%24%29%
Both teams scored62%59%62%53%
Over 2.568%71%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.361.461.371.17
xG against / match1.911.931.481.79
xG difference-0.55-0.47-0.11-0.62
Finishing vs xG-0.16-0.11-0.07-0.11
xPts / match1.101.151.371.09
Points vs xPts-0.33-0.15-0.22-0.09
Game state
Scored first24%29%41%35%
PPG when scoring first2.002.202.212.50
PPG when conceding first0.380.500.330.18
Came back from behind23%33%29%17%
Leads held46%57%71%83%
Minutes leading15%18%18%10%
Minutes level48%46%50%54%
Minutes trailing37%36%31%36%
First goal (min)45365363
First goal conceded (min)39384343
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%61%66%72%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%54%53%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.320.410.500.47
Late goals against0.440.530.410.35
Style
Possession42%42%40%39%
Shots11.411.512.511.7
On target3.63.93.93.5
Shot conversion11%12%10%9%
Shots inside box69%66%73%74%
Big chances created2.52.72.21.9
Corners4.54.65.04.8
xG from set plays33%38%48%46%
Goals from headers15%13%21%18%
Pressure index7.77.49.18.5
Dominant minutes35.337.534.732.1
Pass accuracy76%76%72%72%
Fouls9.89.412.312.5
Cards1.441.182.151.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Heidenheim

0–15'45
16–30'611
31–45'617
46–60'713
61–75'711
76–90'1115

FC Union Berlin

0–15'34
16–30'65
31–45'618
46–60'611
61–75'66
76–90'1714

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Heidenheim

No pressure profile yet.

FC Union Berlin · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.073
Early press (0-15, level)-0.563
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.182

Game state

When level-0.513
When behind+0.023
10 min after conceding-0.403
10 min after scoring-0.202

Situations

At home-0.052
4+ days rest-0.073

Opposition

Evenly matched-0.052

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.173
Conceded late (76+)-0.362

Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level +0.53

Heidenheim

Current: winless 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-16 18%0.671.332.331.541.71
4-3-2-15 15%0.81.02.41.362.26
4-4-24 12%1.52.01.51.861.09
4-2-3-14 12%0.250.252.00.792.1
4-3-34 12%1.01.752.251.01.59

FC Union Berlin

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-119 56%1.211.211.471.441.36
3-5-26 18%0.51.172.670.932.24
5-3-25 15%0.81.02.21.161.45
4-2-3-12 6%3.03.50.52.551.07
3-4-31 3%0.01.02.01.940.21

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -2.9h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.8Home 34% P 34%3.5Draw 27% P 28%2.45Away 39% P 37%

Double Chance

1.53Heidenheim or Draw 30%1.28Heidenheim or Union Berlin 36%1.4Draw or Union Berlin 33%

Draw No Bet

2.01 46%1.722 54%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 35–37.5% · 691 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home34%34%34%+0.5
Draw28%30%27%-2.5
Away37%36%38%+2.0

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Christian Dingert

Career
227 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
4.45 (4.29 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
20.6 · 4.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.32
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 63 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.434.14+0.4767
Fouls / match23.122.3+0.60
Fouls per card5.45.4-0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.330.32+0.0448
Time added7.16.8+0.1963
First card
34' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 40% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.28

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-14 72 250 32'14
2026-03-01 30 200 66'14
2026-02-07 50 180 27'8
2026-01-14 20 261 5'9
2025-12-20 · FC Union Berlin 71 270 13'7
2025-11-29 10 260 74'6
2025-11-01 · Heidenheim 20 180 29'14
2025-10-04 · FC Union Berlin 40 240 45'7
2025-08-29 61 320 7'11
2025-05-11 40 230 78'9