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Bundesliga · Matchweek 29

Momentum

FC AugsburgTSG
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
29

Venue

Stadium
WWK Arena, Augsburg
Capacity
30,660
Surface
grass
Attendance
28,600

Teams

Coaches
Manuel Baum · Christian Ilzer
Position
11 · 5
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-1-2

Referee

Daniel Schlager

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
7.6° (feels 6.8°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
96%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Augsburg

WLLLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 10 · xG 9.37–10.02 · xPts 6.74

  • D A Hamburger SV 1–1 xG 2.83–2.54 GER BI
  • L H VfB Stuttgart 2–5 xG 1.5–2.36 GER BI
  • L A Borussia Dortmund 0–2 xG 0.5–2.56 GER BI
  • L A RB Leipzig 1–2 xG 3.26–2.07 GER BI
  • W H FC Köln 2–0 xG 1.27–0.49 GER BI

TSG Hoffenheim

LWDLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 11 · xG 9.81–6.24 · xPts 9.08

  • L H FSV Mainz 05 1–2 xG 1.43–1.67 GER BI
  • L A RB Leipzig 0–5 xG 1.0–2.36 GER BI
  • D H VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 xG 1.92–0.37 GER BI
  • W A FC Heidenheim 4–2 xG 2.63–1.03 GER BI
  • L H St. Pauli 0–1 xG 2.84–0.81 GER BI

All meetings · 30 matches since 2011

FC Augsburg 68 draws16 TSG Hoffenheim

Goals 29–54 · 2.77 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 57%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Augsburg 14 draws5 TSG Hoffenheim

Goals 7–18 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Augsburg 03 draws2 TSG Hoffenheim

Goals 4–9 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D FC Augsburg 2–2 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • L TSG Hoffenheim 3–0 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • D TSG Hoffenheim 1–1 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Augsburg 0–0 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • L TSG Hoffenheim 3–1 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Augsburg 1–1 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Augsburg 1–0 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • L TSG Hoffenheim 1–0 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L TSG Hoffenheim 3–1 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Augsburg 0–4 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
MetricFC Augsburg all · 34FC Augsburg at home · 17TSG Hoffenheim all · 34TSG Hoffenheim away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.261.531.791.71
W / D / L12 / 7 / 157 / 5 / 518 / 7 / 98 / 5 / 4
Goals for / match1.321.471.911.76
Goals against / match1.791.651.531.82
Clean sheets15%29%21%18%
Failed to score26%18%18%24%
Both teams scored62%59%65%65%
Over 2.562%53%71%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.391.351.711.56
xG against / match1.841.521.461.70
xG difference-0.46-0.170.25-0.14
Finishing vs xG-0.060.120.200.20
xPts / match1.171.311.581.38
Points vs xPts0.100.220.210.33
Game state
Scored first50%59%47%35%
PPG when scoring first1.762.202.752.67
PPG when conceding first0.750.500.941.20
Came back from behind21%17%47%60%
Leads held57%64%86%80%
Minutes leading24%29%37%28%
Minutes level46%48%40%46%
Minutes trailing30%23%22%26%
First goal (min)42453433
First goal conceded (min)41453727
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half53%60%45%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half49%46%50%42%
Late goals for (76'+)0.290.290.290.18
Late goals against0.290.180.350.35
Style
Possession44%45%55%54%
Shots13.213.214.112.0
On target4.65.15.24.4
Shot conversion10%11%14%15%
Shots inside box64%66%69%70%
Big chances created2.22.52.82.5
Corners4.65.25.85.2
xG from set plays31%25%35%33%
Goals from headers16%12%22%23%
Pressure index9.512.114.512.4
Dominant minutes40.546.956.950.5
Pass accuracy78%79%80%79%
Fouls11.011.313.914.5
Cards2.472.652.262.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Augsburg

0–15'68
16–30'610
31–45'913
46–60'911
61–75'59
76–90'1010

TSG Hoffenheim

0–15'59
16–30'1210
31–45'197
46–60'145
61–75'59
76–90'1012

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Augsburg · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.17) · stands out: when level -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.173
Early press (0-15, level)-0.343

Game state

When ahead+0.113
When level-0.493
When behind-0.482
10 min after conceding-0.592
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home-0.172
4+ days rest-0.173

Opposition

As underdog-0.332

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.523
Conceded when ahead+0.173
Conceded late (76+)+0.323

Ahead vs level +0.59 · Behind vs level +0.00

TSG Hoffenheim · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: when behind +0.94

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.374
Early press (0-15, level)+0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.532
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.073

Game state

When ahead-0.103
When level+0.374
When behind+0.943
10 min after conceding-0.124
10 min after scoring+0.013

Situations

At home-0.012
Away+0.762
4+ days rest+0.374

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.184
Conceded when ahead-0.033
Conceded late (76+)-0.154

Ahead vs level -0.47 · Behind vs level +0.57

FC Augsburg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-129 85%1.241.341.931.381.93
5-4-12 6%0.50.51.01.590.84
3-4-32 6%3.02.00.51.421.83
3-3-3-11 3%0.01.02.00.931.31

TSG Hoffenheim

Current: winless 1 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-19 26%1.891.781.562.051.33
4-4-25 15%1.82.22.21.461.69
4-3-34 12%2.252.251.251.471.11
4-3-1-24 12%1.752.251.02.011.21
4-1-4-12 6%2.01.50.51.361.13

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.6Home 27% P 27%3.9Draw 24% P 25%1.95Away 49% P 48%

Double Chance

1.8Augsburg or Draw 26%1.25Augsburg or TSG Hoffenheim 37%1.28Draw or TSG Hoffenheim 37%

Draw No Bet

2.51 38%1.52 62%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62%2.5No 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 62% P 65%2.5Under 38% P 35%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 51%1.83Under 50% P 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 47.5–50% · 285 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home27%26%24%-2.2
Draw25%25%27%+1.9
Away48%49%49%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 56%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.565%64%63%-0.4

Daniel Schlager

Career
120 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.56 (4.36 yellow · 0.07 red)
Fouls / match
23.0 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 71 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.624.14+0.8985
Fouls / match22.022.3-0.38
Fouls per card4.95.4-0.87 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.32+0.5874
Time added7.26.8+0.3067
First card
32' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.18

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-13 30 160 6'7
2026-02-21 · FC Augsburg 70 261 17'10
2026-01-31 40 171 38'10
2026-01-17 · TSG Hoffenheim 30 240 48'11
2026-01-09 60 201 29'7
2025-12-12 40 150 37'5
2025-11-30 21 210 28'7
2025-11-06 41 200 23'6
2025-11-02 72 260 10'15
2025-10-24 40 190 23'9