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Bundesliga · Matchweek 29

Momentum

RB LeipzigBMG
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
29

Venue

Stadium
Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
Capacity
47,069
Surface
grass
Attendance
47,800

Teams

Coaches
Ole Werner · Eugen Polanski
Position
3 · 13
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-3-3

Referee

Sascha Stegemann

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
13.7° (feels 12.2°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
41%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

RB Leipzig

WWLWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 11 GA 4 · xG 9.75–7.74 · xPts 7.84

  • W A Werder Bremen 2–1 xG 0.93–1.61 GER BI
  • W H TSG Hoffenheim 5–0 xG 2.36–1.0 GER BI
  • L A VfB Stuttgart 0–1 xG 1.0–1.32 GER BI
  • W H FC Augsburg 2–1 xG 2.07–3.26 GER BI
  • W A Hamburger SV 2–1 xG 3.39–0.54 GER BI

Borussia Mönchengladbach

WLWDD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 9 · xG 6.36–6.3 · xPts 6.88

  • D H FC Heidenheim 2–2 xG 1.07–1.25 GER BI
  • D A FC Köln 3–3 xG 0.93–1.57 GER BI
  • W H St. Pauli 2–0 xG 0.69–0.64 GER BI
  • L A FC Bayern München 1–4 xG 1.24–2.71 GER BI
  • W H FC Union Berlin 1–0 xG 2.42–0.14 GER BI

All meetings · 21 matches since 2016

RB Leipzig 125 draws4 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 33–19 · 2.48 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 52%

Last 10 · 10 matches

RB Leipzig 52 draws3 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 11–7 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 10% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

RB Leipzig 22 draws1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 4–1 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W RB Leipzig 3–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • W RB Leipzig 1–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–0 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
  • D RB Leipzig 0–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • W RB Leipzig 2–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–1 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
  • W RB Leipzig 3–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–0 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–1 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
MetricRB Leipzig all · 34RB Leipzig at home · 17Borussia Mönchengladbach all · 34Borussia Mönchengladbach away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.912.241.120.82
W / D / L20 / 5 / 912 / 2 / 39 / 11 / 143 / 5 / 9
Goals for / match1.942.351.241.06
Goals against / match1.381.181.561.71
Clean sheets32%35%38%29%
Failed to score9%0%35%35%
Both teams scored62%65%41%47%
Over 2.571%76%53%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.072.441.351.31
xG against / match1.421.431.511.59
xG difference0.651.01-0.16-0.28
Finishing vs xG-0.13-0.09-0.12-0.25
xPts / match1.761.961.271.21
Points vs xPts0.160.27-0.15-0.38
Game state
Scored first74%88%41%29%
PPG when scoring first2.282.272.292.20
PPG when conceding first0.872.000.070.10
Came back from behind25%40%18%18%
Leads held74%75%64%60%
Minutes leading37%42%19%14%
Minutes level47%47%52%52%
Minutes trailing16%11%28%35%
First goal (min)38414858
First goal conceded (min)48524040
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%52%60%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half64%75%45%45%
Late goals for (76'+)0.290.470.380.35
Late goals against0.440.470.350.47
Style
Possession54%56%47%48%
Shots15.817.311.611.7
On target6.07.34.13.8
Shot conversion12%14%11%9%
Shots inside box72%77%66%68%
Big chances created3.64.71.91.6
Corners5.35.93.84.2
xG from set plays22%24%34%29%
Goals from headers14%18%20%12%
Pressure index16.120.19.99.3
Dominant minutes54.561.841.940.9
Pass accuracy84%85%82%81%
Fouls9.38.110.811.0
Cards1.531.351.851.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

RB Leipzig

0–15'70
16–30'118
31–45'149
46–60'139
61–75'116
76–90'1015

Borussia Mönchengladbach

0–15'68
16–30'59
31–45'612
46–60'32
61–75'910
76–90'1312

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

RB Leipzig · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.50

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.504
Late chase (76+, behind)+1.252

Game state

When ahead+0.222
When level-0.504
When behind+0.572
10 min after conceding+0.082
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home-0.002
Away+0.452
4+ days rest+0.383

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.002
As favourite+0.303

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.214
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.672

Congested vs rested -0.56 · Ahead vs level +0.72 · Behind vs level +1.07

Borussia Mönchengladbach · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.223
Early press (0-15, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-1.122

Game state

When level+0.163
When behind-0.463
10 min after conceding-0.463

Situations

Away-0.222
4+ days rest-0.223

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.222
As underdog-0.222

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.243
Conceded late (76+)+0.152

Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level -0.62

RB Leipzig

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-329 85%1.831.931.482.011.42
4-2-3-13 9%3.02.00.332.511.22
4-1-4-11 3%3.03.01.02.531.26
4-4-1-11 3%0.01.02.01.922.0

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 38%1.461.851.621.461.33
4-2-3-14 12%1.01.01.751.231.43
5-4-14 12%1.00.752.251.222.09
4-4-23 9%0.670.331.00.741.35
3-5-22 6%0.51.01.50.961.29

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.8h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.48Home 64% P 65%5.0Draw 19% P 19%5.75Away 17% P 15%

Double Chance

1.12RB Leipzig or Draw 42%1.16RB Leipzig or Borussia M'gladbach 40%2.62Draw or Borussia M'gladbach 18%

Draw No Bet

1.161 81%5.02 19%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 64% P 63%2.62Under 36% P 37%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.52.1Over 44% P 44%1.66Under 56% P 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–70% · away 10–20% · 3,667 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home65%65%66%+1.3
Draw19%21%21%-0.5
Away15%14%13%-0.9

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 57%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.563%64%63%-0.4

Sascha Stegemann

Career
194 matches · 13 seasons
Cards / match
4.22 (4.04 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
22.3 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 72 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.964.15-0.5726
Fouls / match21.622.3-0.75
Fouls per card5.55.4+0.13 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.33-1.2315
Time added6.76.8-0.2333
First card
36' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.31

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-19 81 240 22'6
2026-03-15 30 140 38'7
2026-02-22 30 202 72'13
2026-01-31 40 281 29'8
2026-01-22 30 250 55'4
2026-01-17 · RB Leipzig 10 130 29'9
2025-12-20 20 241 82'11
2025-12-07 80 210 32'8
2025-11-27 30 211 11'6
2025-11-21 51 260 24'11