Rating 7.34 (96th pct) · G+A 19 + 7 (37% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 1.84 ppg with (25) · 1.78 without (9)
Bundesliga · Matchweek 29
Momentum
– VFBHamburger SV –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| VfB Stuttgart | at home | Stat | league | away | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.6 #3 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 45.4 #12 |
| 15.2 #3 | – | Shots total | 13.3 | – | 12.3 #11 |
| 6.1 #2 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 4.6 #10 |
| 5.7 #3 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 3.7 #18 |
| 9.6 #12 | – | Fouls | 10.4 | – | 11.8 #3 |
| 2.1 #4 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.7 #11 |
| 14.3 #15 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 15.0 #11 |
| 109.2 #3 | – | Attacks | 98.2 | – | 82.8 #18 |
| 53.4 #3 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.7 | – | 34.3 #18 |
| 517.2 #3 | – | Passes | 456.1 | – | 390.1 #15 |
| 2.0 #9 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.1 #4 |
| 0.1 #5 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #2 |
| 1.7 #2 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 0.9 #12 |
| – #8 | – | Btts | 61.8 | – | – #4 |
| – #4 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #10 |
| – #7 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #1 |
| 1.8 #5 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.3 #16 |
| 0.3 #3 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | -0.1 #16 |
| – #14 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #5 |
| 2.1 #2 | 1.8 | Goals | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 #16 |
| 1.4 #14 | 0.9 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.6 #10 |
| 0.4 #3 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #14 |
| 8.6 #13 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 9.2 #8 |
| – #16 | – | Lost | 37.7 | – | – #8 |
| 0.1 #7 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #9 |
| 7.0 #2 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #9 |
| 3.8 #5 | – | Shots blocked | 3.5 | – | 3.1 #15 |
| 10.0 #3 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.0 | – | 8.1 #13 |
| 5.3 #7 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 4.7 #13 |
| 5.2 #3 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 4.3 #9 |
| – #4 | – | Win | 37.7 | – | – #12 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.24 (home 1.78 · away 1.46)
- Home / draw / away
- 44% · 25% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 62% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 3.9 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
VfB Stuttgart · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.05 (80th pct) · G+A 7 + 9 (23% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Team 2.0 ppg with (26) · 1.25 without (8)
Rating 7.19 (94th pct) · G+A 2 + 6 (11% of team goals) · 90% of minutes
Hamburger SV · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.17 (92th pct) · G+A 7 + 5 (30% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (25) · 1.33 without (9)
Rating 6.94 (78th pct) · G+A 0 + 4 (10% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (27) · 1.43 without (7)
Rating 6.9 (67th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (5% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
Absences
Hamburger SV
- injury Fernando Dickes goalkeeper · Shoulder Injury · 13 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 29
Venue
- Stadium
- MHPArena, Stuttgart
- Capacity
- 60,449
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 60,000
Teams
- Coaches
- Sebastian Hoeneß · Merlin Polzin
- Position
- 4 · 12
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-1-2
Referee
Sven Jablonski
Weather
- Conditions
- light intensity drizzle rain
- Temperature
- 8.1° (feels 7.5°)
- Wind
- 1.5
- Humidity
- 92%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Bayern München |
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | LWLWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig |
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart |
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 5 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | LWWLD |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg |
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | LDLLD |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | DLWLW |
| 11 |  FC Union Berlin |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | LLDWW |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | DDWLW |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | LLWWD |
| 14 |  FC Köln |
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg |
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WDDLW |
| 17 |  FC Heidenheim |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  St. Pauli |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 44 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 41 | LWLWW |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 39 | LDDWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 6 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 31 | LWWLD |
| 8 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 25 | LDLLD |
| 10 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 24 | DDWLW |
| 12 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 22 | LLDWW |
| 13 | FC Köln |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 | DLDLL |
| 14 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 19 | WDLLL |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 | DLWLW |
| 16 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 17 | St. Pauli |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 18 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 10 | WDDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 45 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 32 | LWLWW |
| 3 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 28 | LWWLD |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 23 | LDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 19 | LDLLD |
| 9 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 19 | WDDLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 11 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 | LLDWW |
| 12 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | WDLLL |
| 16 | FC Köln |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 17 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 | LWDWL |
| 18 | St. Pauli |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 9 | DLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
VfB Stuttgart
LWLWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 6.75–6.02 · xPts 7.22
- L
H
Borussia Dortmund
0–2
xG 0.74–0.61
GER BI
- W
A
FC Augsburg
5–2
xG 2.36–1.5
GER BI
- L
A
Porto
0–2
xG 1.62–1.59
UEFA EL - W
H
RB Leipzig
1–0
xG 1.32–1.0
GER BI
- L
H
Porto
1–2
xG 0.71–1.33
UEFA EL
WDLWDLWLWL 4W 2D 4L · 14 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 20 GA 15 · xG 17.95–14.12 · xPts 15.92
- L
H
Borussia Dortmund
0–2
xG 0.74–0.61
GER BI
- W
A
FC Augsburg
5–2
xG 2.36–1.5
GER BI
- L
A
Porto
0–2
xG 1.62–1.59
UEFA EL
- W
H
RB Leipzig
1–0
xG 1.32–1.0
GER BI
- L
H
Porto
1–2
xG 0.71–1.33
UEFA EL
- D
A
FSV Mainz 05
2–2
xG 1.17–2.91
GER BI
- W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
4–0
xG 3.64–1.01
GER BI
- L
H
Celtic
0–1
xG 2.35–0.29
UEFA EL - D
A
FC Heidenheim
3–3
xG 2.08–2.35
GER BI
- W
A
Celtic
4–1
xG 1.96–1.54
UEFA EL
Hamburger SV
LWDLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 7.34–13.71 · xPts 4.35
- D
H
FC Augsburg
1–1
xG 2.54–2.83
GER BI
- L
A
Borussia Dortmund
2–3
xG 1.15–5.7
GER BI
- D
H
FC Köln
1–1
xG 0.33–1.13
GER BI
- W
A
VfL Wolfsburg
2–1
xG 1.92–2.18
GER BI
- L
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–1
xG 1.41–1.87
GER BI
DWWDLLWDLD 3W 4D 3L · 13 pts (1.3 ppg) · GF 15 GA 14 · xG 14.73–24.86 · xPts 9.48
- D
H
FC Augsburg
1–1
xG 2.54–2.83
GER BI
- L
A
Borussia Dortmund
2–3
xG 1.15–5.7
GER BI
- D
H
FC Köln
1–1
xG 0.33–1.13
GER BI
- W
A
VfL Wolfsburg
2–1
xG 1.92–2.18
GER BI
- L
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–1
xG 1.41–1.87
GER BI
- L
H
RB Leipzig
1–2
xG 0.54–3.39
GER BI
- D
A
FSV Mainz 05
1–1
xG 0.73–1.88
GER BI
- W
H
FC Union Berlin
3–2
xG 1.72–1.84
GER BI
- W
A
FC Heidenheim
2–0
xG 1.84–1.63
GER BI
- D
H
FC Bayern München
2–2
xG 2.56–2.41
GER BI
All meetings · 26 matches since 2005
Goals 43–37 · 3.08 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 62%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 18–14 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 9–7 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- W VfB Stuttgart 4–0 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- L Hamburger SV 2–1 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
- D VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- L Hamburger SV 3–1 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
- W VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- L Hamburger SV 3–2 VfB Stuttgart neutral GER BI · Regular Season
- W VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- W Hamburger SV 0–1 VfB Stuttgart neutral GER BI · Regular Season
- W VfB Stuttgart 1–0 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- D Hamburger SV 3–3 VfB Stuttgart neutral GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart all · 34 | VfB Stuttgart at home · 17 | Hamburger SV all · 34 | Hamburger SV away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.82 | 2.29 | 1.12 | 0.82 |
| W / D / L | 18 / 8 / 8 | 12 / 3 / 2 | 9 / 11 / 14 | 3 / 5 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 2.09 | 1.76 | 1.18 | 0.88 |
| Goals against / match | 1.44 | 0.94 | 1.59 | 1.88 |
| Clean sheets | 32% | 47% | 18% | 24% |
| Failed to score | 9% | 18% | 29% | 35% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 41% | 65% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 74% | 47% | 56% | 59% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.31 | 1.12 |
| xG against / match | 1.54 | 1.20 | 1.81 | 2.08 |
| xG difference | 0.26 | 0.80 | -0.50 | -0.96 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.28 | -0.23 | -0.14 | -0.24 |
| xPts / match | 1.58 | 1.86 | 1.14 | 0.91 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.24 | 0.43 | -0.02 | -0.09 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 53% | 53% | 35% | 24% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | 2.78 | 1.58 | 1.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.27 | 1.86 | 0.83 | 0.70 |
| Came back from behind | 56% | 71% | 36% | 25% |
| Leads held | 75% | 92% | 56% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 32% | 30% | 16% | 12% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 58% | 58% | 58% |
| Minutes trailing | 21% | 11% | 26% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 43 | 43 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 37 | 40 | 41 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 54% | 53% | 58% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 56% | 54% | 59% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.65 | 0.53 | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.47 | 0.38 | 0.53 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | 58% | 45% | 45% |
| Shots | 15.2 | 16.6 | 12.3 | 11.3 |
| On target | 6.1 | 6.2 | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 65% | 66% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 3.3 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 5.9 | 3.7 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 22% | 29% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 19.2 | 17.5 | 9.1 | 7.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 61.5 | 63.4 | 38.3 | 35.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 84% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 9.6 | 9.3 | 11.8 | 11.6 |
| Cards | 1.91 | 1.94 | 2.68 | 2.88 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
VfB Stuttgart
0–15'66
16–30'126
31–45'1511
46–60'95
61–75'74
76–90'2217
Hamburger SV
0–15'34
16–30'411
31–45'1010
46–60'910
61–75'86
76–90'613
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
VfB Stuttgart · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.07) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.29
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.074
Early press (0-15, level)-0.144
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012
Game state
When ahead+0.132
When level+0.174
When behind-0.072
10 min after conceding-0.154
10 min after scoring+0.294
Situations
At home+0.152
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.003
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.193
As favourite+0.152
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.044
Conceded when ahead+0.192
Conceded late (76+)-0.124
Congested vs rested +0.26 · Ahead vs level -0.03 · Behind vs level -0.24
Hamburger SV · 3 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.223
Early press (0-15, level)-0.203
Game state
When level-0.253
When behind-0.213
10 min after conceding-0.453
Situations
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.223
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.172
As underdog-0.172
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.163
Behind vs level +0.04
VfB Stuttgart
Current: winless 1 · scoring 10 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 21 62% | 1.81 | 2.14 | 1.62 | 1.75 | 1.74 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 18% | 1.67 | 1.83 | 1.0 | 1.59 | 0.99 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 5 15% | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 2.09 | 1.45 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.82 | 0.88 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 1.72 |
Hamburger SV
Current: winless 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 17 50% | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.35 | 1.32 | 1.54 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 10 29% | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.46 | 2.13 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 9% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.77 | 2.73 |
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart all · 10 | VfB Stuttgart at home · 10 | Hamburger SV all · 10 | Hamburger SV away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.90 | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 3 | 6 / 1 / 3 | 2 / 2 / 6 | 3 / 2 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 2.40 | 2.10 | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| Goals against / match | 2.00 | 0.90 | 2.60 | 2.10 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% | 0% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 50% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 60% | 70% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.14 | 2.32 | 1.23 | 1.19 |
| xG against / match | 1.91 | 0.93 | 2.02 | 2.37 |
| xG difference | 0.23 | 1.39 | -0.79 | -1.18 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.26 | -0.22 | -0.33 | -0.09 |
| xPts / match | 1.56 | 2.11 | 0.97 | 0.83 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.06 | -0.21 | -0.17 | 0.27 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 50% | 20% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 0.80 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 40% | 25% | 38% |
| Leads held | 67% | 100% | 67% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 36% | 37% | 8% | 20% |
| Minutes level | 30% | 40% | 43% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 34% | 23% | 48% | 34% |
| First goal (min) | 30 | 33 | 44 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 30 | 33 | 28 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 43% | 67% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 33% | 50% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 62% | 43% | 42% |
| Shots | 16.7 | 19.0 | 11.8 | 10.8 |
| On target | 6.3 | 6.8 | 3.9 | 4.6 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 11% | 8% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 62% | 60% | 56% |
| Big chances created | 4.7 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Corners | 6.6 | 7.3 | 3.9 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 20% | 22% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 8% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 14.7 | 20.2 | 6.9 | 6.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 48.0 | 63.1 | 37.1 | 35.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 85% | 80% | 78% |
| Fouls | 9.7 | 9.2 | 12.7 | 11.4 |
| Cards | 1.30 | 1.10 | 1.90 | 2.10 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
VfB Stuttgart
0–15'23
16–30'54
31–45'53
46–60'54
61–75'32
76–90'44
Hamburger SV
0–15'11
16–30'07
31–45'25
46–60'34
61–75'32
76–90'07
VfB Stuttgart
Current: winless 1 · scoring 10 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 1.0 | 1.75 | 2.25 | 2.18 | 1.96 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 30% | 1.33 | 3.0 | 2.33 | 2.07 | 2.35 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.16 | 1.7 |
| 3-2-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.16 | 0.77 |
Hamburger SV
Current: winless 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 60% | 0.83 | 0.83 | 2.67 | 1.44 | 2.09 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 30% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.69 | 0.71 |
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart all · 47 | VfB Stuttgart at home · 24 | Hamburger SV all · 34 | Hamburger SV away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 47 | 24 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.77 | 2.25 | 1.09 | 0.76 |
| W / D / L | 25 / 8 / 14 | 17 / 3 / 4 | 9 / 10 / 15 | 3 / 4 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 2.06 | 2.00 | 1.18 | 0.88 |
| Goals against / match | 1.45 | 1.04 | 1.74 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 26% | 33% | 15% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 17% | 17% | 29% | 35% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 54% | 65% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.91 | 2.14 | 1.32 | 1.14 |
| xG against / match | 1.47 | 1.12 | 1.84 | 2.05 |
| xG difference | 0.44 | 1.02 | -0.51 | -0.90 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.16 | -0.14 | -0.15 | -0.26 |
| xPts / match | 1.68 | 1.99 | 1.14 | 0.94 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.09 | 0.26 | -0.05 | -0.18 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 51% | 58% | 35% | 24% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.62 | 2.86 | 1.58 | 1.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.86 | 1.44 | 0.79 | 0.64 |
| Came back from behind | 42% | 56% | 35% | 23% |
| Leads held | 83% | 94% | 56% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 31% | 34% | 16% | 12% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 51% | 56% | 54% |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | 15% | 28% | 34% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 40 | 43 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 35 | 40 | 40 | 40 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 54% | 52% | 58% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 52% | 52% | 56% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.57 | 0.54 | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| Late goals against | 0.43 | 0.42 | 0.47 | 0.59 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | 59% | 46% | 46% |
| Shots | 16.3 | 17.6 | 12.4 | 11.4 |
| On target | 6.2 | 6.5 | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 64% | 65% | 59% |
| Big chances created | 3.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 6.1 | 3.7 | 3.5 |
| xG from set plays | 23% | 20% | 29% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 20.1 | 19.7 | 9.4 | 8.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 61.2 | 63.6 | 39.6 | 38.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 84% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 10.8 | 12.1 | 12.1 |
| Cards | 1.94 | 1.79 | 2.56 | 2.88 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
VfB Stuttgart
0–15'99
16–30'1611
31–45'2013
46–60'169
61–75'96
76–90'2720
Hamburger SV
0–15'33
16–30'411
31–45'1012
46–60'910
61–75'87
76–90'616
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
VfB Stuttgart · 47 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.44) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +1.04
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4447
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3347
Late push (76+, level)+0.2318
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.4518
Game state
When ahead+0.6630
When level+0.3347
When behind+0.3824
10 min after conceding+0.0434
10 min after scoring+0.8939
Situations
With ten men+0.332
Against ten men+1.012
At home+0.3224
Away+0.5623
3 days rest or fewer+0.6614
4+ days rest+0.3433
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.2715
v mid-tier opponents+0.3717
v bottom-tier opponents+1.044
As favourite+0.3829
Evenly matched+0.7013
As underdog+0.045
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2047
Conceded when ahead-0.2030
Conceded late (76+)-0.3342
Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level +0.33 · Behind vs level +0.04
Hamburger SV · 34 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.77
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0634
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0334
Late push (76+, level)+0.0114
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2112
Game state
When ahead-0.3416
When level+0.0634
When behind-0.1323
10 min after conceding-0.3029
10 min after scoring-0.1322
Situations
With ten men+0.016
Against ten men-0.223
At home-0.0717
Away-0.0417
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest-0.0432
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2713
v mid-tier opponents-0.1213
v bottom-tier opponents+0.773
Evenly matched+0.0616
As underdog-0.1517
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2034
Conceded when ahead+0.3816
Conceded late (76+)+0.0129
Congested vs rested -0.28 · Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level -0.18
VfB Stuttgart
Current: winless 1 · scoring 10 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 24 51% | 1.96 | 2.33 | 1.58 | 1.92 | 1.65 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 13 28% | 1.46 | 1.77 | 1.31 | 1.72 | 1.31 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 6 13% | 1.67 | 1.83 | 1.33 | 2.01 | 1.48 |
| 3-2-4-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.16 | 0.77 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.82 | 0.88 |
Hamburger SV
Current: winless 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 15 44% | 1.4 | 1.47 | 1.4 | 1.45 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 13 38% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.27 | 2.11 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 9% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.56 | 2.41 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.96 | 1.67 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.5h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.28Home 74% P 75%6.0Draw 16% P 16%9.0Away 10% P 9%
Double Chance
1.08VfB Stuttgart or Draw 44%1.14VfB Stuttgart or Hamburg 42%3.4Draw or Hamburg 14%
Draw No Bet
1.081 88%8.02 12%
Both Teams To Score
1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.33Over 72% P 71%3.4Under 28% P 29%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 21%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
3.51.83Over 50% P 49%1.83Under 50% P 51%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 72.5–75% · away 7.5–10% · 458 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 75% | 74% | 74% | +0.5 |
| Draw | 16% | 17% | 18% | +0.9 |
| Away | 9% | 9% | 8% | -1.5 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 60%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 477 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 71% | 70% | -1.4 |
Sven Jablonski
- Career
- 115 matches · 10 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.53 (3.45 yellow · 0.03 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.7 · 6.4 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.22
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 77 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.78 | 4.14 | -0.96 | 15 |
| Fouls / match | 20.6 | 22.3 | -1.67 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.5 | 5.4 | +0.09 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.23 | 0.32 | -1.08 | 18 |
| Time added | 6.2 | 6.8 | -0.75 | 15 |
- First card
- 34' on average
- Card timing
- 21% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 50% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.22
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 14' | 10 |
| 2026-03-15 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 17' | 15 |
| 2026-03-12 | 5 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 13' | 5 |
| 2026-02-28 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 20' | 11 |
| 2026-02-19 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 37' | 12 |
| 2026-02-14 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 90' | 4 |
| 2026-01-24 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 44' | 8 |
| 2026-01-20 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 61' | 5 |
| 2026-01-13 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 45' | 9 |
| 2025-12-19 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 53' | 8 |