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Bundesliga · Matchweek 30

Momentum

FCUWOB
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
30

Venue

Stadium
Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
Capacity
22,012
Surface
grass
Attendance
22,012

Teams

Coaches
Marie-Louise Eta · Dieter Hecking
Position
11 · 17
Formation
3-4-3 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Florian Badstübner

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
20.7° (feels 19.8°)
Wind
1.0
Humidity
35%

Where to watch · 397

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Union Berlin

LWLDL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 12 · xG 4.86–9.8 · xPts 4.78

  • L A FC Heidenheim 1–3 xG 0.96–2.22 GER BI
  • D H St. Pauli 1–1 xG 1.72–0.39 GER BI
  • L A FC Bayern München 0–4 xG 0.31–3.85 GER BI
  • W A SC Freiburg 1–0 xG 0.64–1.39 GER BI
  • L H Werder Bremen 1–4 xG 1.23–1.94 GER BI

VfL Wolfsburg

LDLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 12 · xG 7.92–9.19 · xPts 6.6

  • L H Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 xG 2.59–0.88 GER BI
  • L A Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–6 xG 1.83–4.09 GER BI
  • L H Werder Bremen 0–1 xG 0.94–0.38 GER BI
  • D A TSG Hoffenheim 1–1 xG 0.37–1.92 GER BI
  • L H Hamburger SV 1–2 xG 2.18–1.92 GER BI

All meetings · 14 matches since 2019

FC Union Berlin 43 draws7 VfL Wolfsburg

Goals 14–18 · 2.29 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Union Berlin 41 draws5 VfL Wolfsburg

Goals 10–10 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Union Berlin 20 draws3 VfL Wolfsburg

Goals 4–6 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L FC Union Berlin 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfL Wolfsburg 3–1 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Union Berlin 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Union Berlin 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • D VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Union Berlin 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 FC Union Berlin neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Union Berlin 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
MetricFC Union Berlin all · 34FC Union Berlin at home · 17VfL Wolfsburg all · 34VfL Wolfsburg away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.151.290.851.12
W / D / L10 / 9 / 155 / 7 / 57 / 8 / 195 / 4 / 8
Goals for / match1.291.531.321.41
Goals against / match1.711.532.032.18
Clean sheets21%24%6%6%
Failed to score24%18%24%18%
Both teams scored62%71%74%76%
Over 2.562%71%65%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.371.561.391.20
xG against / match1.481.161.892.10
xG difference-0.110.40-0.50-0.89
Finishing vs xG-0.07-0.03-0.070.21
xPts / match1.371.641.140.93
Points vs xPts-0.22-0.35-0.280.19
Game state
Scored first41%47%53%71%
PPG when scoring first2.212.001.441.58
PPG when conceding first0.330.570.130.00
Came back from behind29%44%10%0%
Leads held71%62%35%42%
Minutes leading18%27%27%36%
Minutes level50%47%43%38%
Minutes trailing31%26%30%26%
First goal (min)53453532
First goal conceded (min)43444348
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half66%62%51%46%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%58%62%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.530.210.18
Late goals against0.410.470.560.65
Style
Possession40%41%45%42%
Shots12.513.211.910.2
On target3.94.44.23.7
Shot conversion10%12%11%14%
Shots inside box73%71%64%60%
Big chances created2.22.52.62.2
Corners5.05.24.43.5
xG from set plays48%50%32%32%
Goals from headers21%23%25%17%
Pressure index9.19.89.15.6
Dominant minutes34.737.338.129.8
Pass accuracy72%70%78%76%
Fouls12.312.111.511.0
Cards2.152.592.152.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Union Berlin

0–15'34
16–30'65
31–45'618
46–60'611
61–75'66
76–90'1714

VfL Wolfsburg

0–15'96
16–30'710
31–45'610
46–60'811
61–75'813
76–90'719

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Union Berlin · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.073
Early press (0-15, level)-0.563
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.182

Game state

When level-0.513
When behind+0.023
10 min after conceding-0.403
10 min after scoring-0.202

Situations

At home-0.052
4+ days rest-0.073

Opposition

Evenly matched-0.052

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.173
Conceded late (76+)-0.362

Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level +0.53

VfL Wolfsburg

No pressure profile yet.

FC Union Berlin

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-119 56%1.211.211.471.441.36
3-5-26 18%0.51.172.670.932.24
5-3-25 15%0.81.02.21.161.45
4-2-3-12 6%3.03.50.52.551.07
3-4-31 3%0.01.02.01.940.21

VfL Wolfsburg

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%0.831.382.211.261.97
3-4-2-16 18%0.671.332.171.361.86
3-1-4-22 6%2.01.50.52.551.19
3-5-22 6%0.50.51.01.91.72

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -2.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 44% P 45%3.6Draw 27% P 26%3.2Away 30% P 29%

Double Chance

1.33Union Berlin or Draw 35%1.28Union Berlin or Wolfsburg 37%1.66Draw or Wolfsburg 28%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 55%2.0Under 47% P 45%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.52.1Over 44% P 47%1.66Under 56% P 53%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home45%44%43%-0.3
Draw26%28%30%+2.4
Away29%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%54%54%+0.8

Florian Badstübner

Career
85 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
3.53 (3.39 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
22.6 · 6.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 67 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.74.14-1.147
Fouls / match22.022.3-0.34
Fouls per card6.15.4+1.06 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.310.32-0.1933
Time added6.06.8-0.9611
First card
39' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 27% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.33

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-22 20 150 14'8
2026-02-28 10 230 72'10
2026-02-14 · FC Union Berlin 30 191 50'10
2026-02-01 40 280 52'5
2026-01-15 · FC Union Berlin 11 270 53'12
2026-01-11 · VfL Wolfsburg 10 130 45'9
2025-12-21 14 5
2025-12-11 50 180 10'5
2025-12-07 20 160 65'7
2025-11-22 11 12