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Bundesliga · Matchweek 30

Momentum

SGERB Leipzig
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
30

Venue

Stadium
Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main
Capacity
58,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
58,500

Teams

Coaches
Riera · Ole Werner
Position
7 · 4
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Bastian Dankert

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
19.3° (feels 18.6°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
48%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Eintracht Frankfurt

DWLDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 6.53–7.53 · xPts 6.69

  • W A VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 xG 0.88–2.59 GER BI
  • D H FC Köln 2–2 xG 2.38–2.84 GER BI
  • L A FSV Mainz 05 1–2 xG 1.4–1.43 GER BI
  • W H FC Heidenheim 1–0 xG 1.19–0.08 GER BI
  • D A St. Pauli 0–0 xG 0.67–0.59 GER BI

RB Leipzig

WLWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 3 · xG 8.72–9.05 · xPts 6.76

  • W H Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–0 xG 2.36–1.85 GER BI
  • W A Werder Bremen 2–1 xG 0.93–1.61 GER BI
  • W H TSG Hoffenheim 5–0 xG 2.36–1.0 GER BI
  • L A VfB Stuttgart 0–1 xG 1.0–1.32 GER BI
  • W H FC Augsburg 2–1 xG 2.07–3.26 GER BI

All meetings · 20 matches since 2017

Eintracht Frankfurt 58 draws7 RB Leipzig

Goals 26–29 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt 33 draws4 RB Leipzig

Goals 15–16 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt 11 draws3 RB Leipzig

Goals 8–13 · 4.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
  • L RB Leipzig 6–0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 4–0 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
  • L RB Leipzig 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
  • W RB Leipzig 0–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • L RB Leipzig 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 4–0 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
  • D RB Leipzig 0–0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
MetricEintracht Frankfurt all · 34Eintracht Frankfurt at home · 17RB Leipzig all · 34RB Leipzig away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.291.471.911.59
W / D / L11 / 11 / 127 / 4 / 620 / 5 / 98 / 3 / 6
Goals for / match1.791.711.941.53
Goals against / match1.911.591.381.59
Clean sheets21%35%32%29%
Failed to score9%6%9%18%
Both teams scored74%59%62%59%
Over 2.568%65%71%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.482.071.70
xG against / match1.501.241.421.40
xG difference-0.150.240.650.30
Finishing vs xG0.450.23-0.13-0.17
xPts / match1.311.561.761.55
Points vs xPts-0.02-0.080.160.04
Game state
Scored first50%59%74%59%
PPG when scoring first1.942.202.282.30
PPG when conceding first0.630.430.870.50
Came back from behind43%33%25%14%
Leads held55%64%74%73%
Minutes leading25%22%37%32%
Minutes level46%49%47%47%
Minutes trailing29%29%16%21%
First goal (min)41493834
First goal conceded (min)35344843
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%69%52%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%63%64%56%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.410.290.12
Late goals against0.560.290.440.41
Style
Possession55%54%54%52%
Shots12.013.215.814.3
On target4.65.36.04.7
Shot conversion15%13%12%11%
Shots inside box67%68%72%65%
Big chances created2.52.73.62.6
Corners4.75.45.34.7
xG from set plays28%32%22%20%
Goals from headers12%10%14%8%
Pressure index12.813.416.112.2
Dominant minutes48.552.454.547.1
Pass accuracy83%84%84%83%
Fouls10.410.19.310.4
Cards2.062.121.531.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Eintracht Frankfurt

0–15'59
16–30'118
31–45'1110
46–60'119
61–75'1010
76–90'1319

RB Leipzig

0–15'70
16–30'118
31–45'149
46–60'139
61–75'116
76–90'1015

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Eintracht Frankfurt · 3 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.76

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.183
Early press (0-15, level)-0.023

Game state

When ahead+0.253
When level-0.193
When behind+0.102
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.763

Situations

Away+0.042
4+ days rest+0.183

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.223
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.253

Ahead vs level +0.45 · Behind vs level +0.29

RB Leipzig · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.50

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.504
Late chase (76+, behind)+1.252

Game state

When ahead+0.232
When level-0.504
When behind+0.572
10 min after conceding+0.082
10 min after scoring+0.404

Situations

At home+0.002
Away+0.452
4+ days rest+0.383

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.002
As favourite+0.303

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.214
Conceded when ahead-0.132
Conceded late (76+)-0.672

Congested vs rested -0.55 · Ahead vs level +0.73 · Behind vs level +1.06

Eintracht Frankfurt

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-110 29%1.51.71.61.211.39
3-4-2-110 29%0.71.52.51.321.98
4-1-4-14 12%2.02.51.751.791.21
4-3-34 12%1.01.251.51.380.87
4-5-12 6%1.53.53.01.551.11

RB Leipzig

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-329 85%1.831.931.482.011.42
4-2-3-13 9%3.02.00.332.511.22
4-4-1-11 3%0.01.02.01.922.0
4-1-4-11 3%3.03.01.02.531.26

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -2.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.4Home 28% P 32%4.2Draw 22% P 25%1.9Away 50% P 43%

Double Chance

1.83Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw 26%1.22Eintracht Frankfurt or RB Leipzig 38%1.3Draw or RB Leipzig 36%

Draw No Bet

2.621 35%1.442 65%

Both Teams To Score

1.4Yes 66%2.75No 34%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.4Over 68% P 68%3.0Under 32% P 32%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 47%1.72Under 54% P 53%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 42.5–45% · 201 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home32%31%31%-0.1
Draw25%26%26%+0.2
Away43%43%43%-0.1

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 64%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.568%69%69%+0.6

Bastian Dankert

Career
206 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.13 (3.94 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 65 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.894.14-0.7222
Fouls / match22.922.3+0.47
Fouls per card6.25.4+1.25 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.32-1.647
Time added6.26.8-0.7515
First card
38' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-04 40 230 42'7
2026-03-14 14 9
2026-03-01 · RB Leipzig 50 201 31'10
2026-02-14 40 161 28'9
2026-01-25 30 141 62'7
2026-01-10 20 170 19'5
2025-11-29 61 220 39'8
2025-11-08 10 120 36'5
2025-10-18 40 290 20'6
2025-09-28 30 240 45'10