Rating 7.11 (85th pct) · G+A 10 + 2 (32% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Team 0.97 ppg with (29) · 0.8 without (5)
Bundesliga · Matchweek 30
Momentum
– SVWHamburger SV –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Werder Bremen | at home | Stat | league | away | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.2 #8 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 45.4 #12 |
| 13.1 #8 | – | Shots total | 13.3 | – | 12.3 #11 |
| 4.1 #14 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 4.6 #10 |
| 4.6 #13 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 3.7 #18 |
| 9.9 #10 | – | Fouls | 10.4 | – | 11.8 #3 |
| 1.8 #9 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.7 #11 |
| 17.1 #1 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 15.0 #11 |
| 97.6 #9 | – | Attacks | 98.2 | – | 82.8 #18 |
| 45.4 #8 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.7 | – | 34.3 #18 |
| 481.1 #7 | – | Passes | 456.1 | – | 390.1 #15 |
| 2.2 #2 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.1 #4 |
| 0.1 #5 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #2 |
| 0.8 #15 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 0.9 #12 |
| – #17 | – | Btts | 61.8 | – | – #4 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #10 |
| – #7 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #1 |
| 1.2 #17 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.3 #16 |
| -0.1 #13 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | -0.1 #16 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #5 |
| 1.1 #17 | 1.1 | Goals | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 #16 |
| 1.8 #6 | 1.8 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.6 #10 |
| 0.3 #9 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #14 |
| 9.8 #2 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 9.2 #8 |
| – #4 | – | Lost | 37.7 | – | – #8 |
| 0.1 #14 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #9 |
| 6.8 #8 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #9 |
| 3.9 #3 | – | Shots blocked | 3.5 | – | 3.1 #15 |
| 8.2 #12 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.0 | – | 8.1 #13 |
| 5.1 #8 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 4.7 #13 |
| 4.9 #4 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 4.3 #9 |
| – #14 | – | Win | 37.7 | – | – #12 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.24 (home 1.78 · away 1.46)
- Home / draw / away
- 44% · 25% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 62% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 3.9 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Werder Bremen · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 6.83 (52th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (3% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Team 0.93 ppg with (29) · 1.0 without (5)
Rating 6.81 (46th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (11% of team goals) · 66% of minutes
Team 1.0 ppg with (23) · 0.82 without (11)
Hamburger SV · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.17 (92th pct) · G+A 7 + 5 (30% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (25) · 1.33 without (9)
Rating 6.94 (78th pct) · G+A 0 + 4 (10% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (27) · 1.43 without (7)
Rating 6.9 (67th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (5% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 30
Venue
- Stadium
- Wohninvest Weserstadion, Bremen
- Capacity
- 42,100
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 40,000
Teams
- Coaches
- Daniel Thioune · Merlin Polzin
- Position
- 15 · 13
- Formation
- 4-1-4-1 · 3-4-1-2
Referee
Florian Exner
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 17.9° (feels 17.2°)
- Wind
- 1.5
- Humidity
- 52%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Bayern München |
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | LWLWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig |
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart |
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 5 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | LWWLD |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg |
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | LDLLD |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | DLWLW |
| 11 |  FC Union Berlin |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | LLDWW |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | DDWLW |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | LLWWD |
| 14 |  FC Köln |
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg |
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WDDLW |
| 17 |  FC Heidenheim |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  St. Pauli |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 44 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 41 | LWLWW |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 39 | LDDWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 6 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 31 | LWWLD |
| 8 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 25 | LDLLD |
| 10 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 24 | DDWLW |
| 12 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 22 | LLDWW |
| 13 | FC Köln |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 | DLDLL |
| 14 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 19 | WDLLL |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 | DLWLW |
| 16 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 17 | St. Pauli |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 18 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 10 | WDDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 45 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 32 | LWLWW |
| 3 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 28 | LWWLD |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 23 | LDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 19 | LDLLD |
| 9 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 19 | WDDLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 11 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 | LLDWW |
| 12 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | WDLLL |
| 16 | FC Köln |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 17 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 | LWDWL |
| 18 | St. Pauli |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 9 | DLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Werder Bremen
WLWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 6.25–8.39 · xPts 6.01
- L
A
FC Köln
1–3
xG 0.98–3.79
GER BI
- L
H
RB Leipzig
1–2
xG 1.61–0.93
GER BI
- W
A
VfL Wolfsburg
1–0
xG 0.38–0.94
GER BI
- L
H
FSV Mainz 05
0–2
xG 1.33–1.49
GER BI
- W
A
FC Union Berlin
4–1
xG 1.94–1.23
GER BI
DLLLWWLWLL 3W 1D 6L · 10 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 15 · xG 13.4–13.28 · xPts 14.6
- L
A
FC Köln
1–3
xG 0.98–3.79
GER BI
- L
H
RB Leipzig
1–2
xG 1.61–0.93
GER BI
- W
A
VfL Wolfsburg
1–0
xG 0.38–0.94
GER BI
- L
H
FSV Mainz 05
0–2
xG 1.33–1.49
GER BI
- W
A
FC Union Berlin
4–1
xG 1.94–1.23
GER BI
- W
H
FC Heidenheim
2–0
xG 1.66–1.18
GER BI
- L
A
St. Pauli
1–2
xG 1.62–0.41
GER BI
- L
H
FC Bayern München
0–3
xG 0.89–1.94
GER BI
- L
A
SC Freiburg
0–1
xG 1.3–0.56
GER BI
- D
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1–1
xG 1.68–0.8
GER BI
Hamburger SV
WDLDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 10 · xG 6.57–15.2 · xPts 3.45
- L
A
VfB Stuttgart
0–4
xG 0.64–3.36
GER BI
- D
H
FC Augsburg
1–1
xG 2.54–2.83
GER BI
- L
A
Borussia Dortmund
2–3
xG 1.15–5.7
GER BI
- D
H
FC Köln
1–1
xG 0.33–1.13
GER BI
- W
A
VfL Wolfsburg
2–1
xG 1.92–2.18
GER BI
WWDLLWDLDL 3W 3D 4L · 12 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 13 GA 16 · xG 12.81–25.81 · xPts 8.19
- L
A
VfB Stuttgart
0–4
xG 0.64–3.36
GER BI
- D
H
FC Augsburg
1–1
xG 2.54–2.83
GER BI
- L
A
Borussia Dortmund
2–3
xG 1.15–5.7
GER BI
- D
H
FC Köln
1–1
xG 0.33–1.13
GER BI
- W
A
VfL Wolfsburg
2–1
xG 1.92–2.18
GER BI
- L
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–1
xG 1.41–1.87
GER BI
- L
H
RB Leipzig
1–2
xG 0.54–3.39
GER BI
- D
A
FSV Mainz 05
1–1
xG 0.73–1.88
GER BI
- W
H
FC Union Berlin
3–2
xG 1.72–1.84
GER BI
- W
A
FC Heidenheim
2–0
xG 1.84–1.63
GER BI
All meetings · 30 matches since 2005
Goals 43–38 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 50%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 13–14 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 8–5 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W Werder Bremen 3–1 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- L Hamburger SV 3–2 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
- W Werder Bremen 1–0 Hamburger SV neutral GER BI · Regular Season
- D Hamburger SV 0–0 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
- W Werder Bremen 2–1 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- D Hamburger SV 2–2 Werder Bremen neutral GER BI · Regular Season
- L Hamburger SV 2–1 Werder Bremen neutral GER BI · Regular Season
- L Werder Bremen 1–3 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- W Werder Bremen 1–0 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- L Hamburger SV 2–0 Werder Bremen neutral GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | Werder Bremen all · 34 | Werder Bremen at home · 17 | Hamburger SV all · 34 | Hamburger SV away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 0.94 | 1.12 | 1.12 | 0.82 |
| W / D / L | 8 / 8 / 18 | 5 / 4 / 8 | 9 / 11 / 14 | 3 / 5 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.09 | 1.12 | 1.18 | 0.88 |
| Goals against / match | 1.76 | 1.82 | 1.59 | 1.88 |
| Clean sheets | 18% | 18% | 18% | 24% |
| Failed to score | 38% | 35% | 29% | 35% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 47% | 65% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 53% | 56% | 59% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.21 | 1.42 | 1.31 | 1.12 |
| xG against / match | 1.58 | 1.35 | 1.81 | 2.08 |
| xG difference | -0.37 | 0.07 | -0.50 | -0.96 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.12 | -0.30 | -0.14 | -0.24 |
| xPts / match | 1.21 | 1.47 | 1.14 | 0.91 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.27 | -0.35 | -0.02 | -0.09 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 29% | 29% | 35% | 24% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.10 | 2.60 | 1.58 | 1.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.43 | 0.50 | 0.83 | 0.70 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 33% | 36% | 25% |
| Leads held | 62% | 71% | 56% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 16% | 17% | 16% | 12% |
| Minutes level | 41% | 38% | 58% | 58% |
| Minutes trailing | 43% | 46% | 26% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 52 | 54 | 43 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 35 | 33 | 40 | 41 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 70% | 74% | 58% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 52% | 54% | 59% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.41 | 0.59 | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| Late goals against | 0.32 | 0.29 | 0.38 | 0.53 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | 54% | 45% | 45% |
| Shots | 13.1 | 15.4 | 12.3 | 11.3 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.7 | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 7% | 10% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 63% | 66% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Corners | 4.6 | 4.9 | 3.7 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 23% | 29% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 19% | 32% | 8% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 12.6 | 17.0 | 9.1 | 7.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.8 | 60.4 | 38.3 | 35.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 82% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 9.9 | 10.3 | 11.8 | 11.6 |
| Cards | 2.47 | 2.59 | 2.68 | 2.88 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Werder Bremen
0–15'27
16–30'49
31–45'510
46–60'48
61–75'815
76–90'1411
Hamburger SV
0–15'34
16–30'411
31–45'1010
46–60'910
61–75'86
76–90'613
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Werder Bremen · 3 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.133
Early press (0-15, level)+0.063
Game state
When level-0.183
When behind+0.412
10 min after conceding-0.493
10 min after scoring-0.302
Situations
Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.133
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.462
As underdog-0.133
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.202
Ahead vs level -0.41 · Behind vs level +0.60
Hamburger SV · 3 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.223
Early press (0-15, level)-0.203
Game state
When level-0.253
When behind-0.213
10 min after conceding-0.453
Situations
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.223
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.172
As underdog-0.172
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.163
Behind vs level +0.04
Werder Bremen
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 15 44% | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2.07 | 1.12 | 1.76 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 18% | 0.5 | 1.17 | 2.17 | 1.22 | 1.4 |
| 3-5-2 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.19 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 9% | 2.33 | 2.33 | 1.0 | 1.65 | 1.78 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 9% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.11 | 1.63 |
Hamburger SV
Current: winless 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 17 50% | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.35 | 1.32 | 1.54 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 10 29% | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.46 | 2.13 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 9% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.56 | 2.41 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| Metric | Werder Bremen all · 10 | Werder Bremen at home · 10 | Hamburger SV all · 10 | Hamburger SV away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 6 | 3 / 1 / 6 | 2 / 2 / 6 | 3 / 2 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.20 | 1.10 | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| Goals against / match | 1.90 | 1.70 | 2.60 | 2.10 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 10% | 0% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 40% | 40% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 50% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% | 70% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.05 | 1.32 | 1.23 | 1.19 |
| xG against / match | 1.95 | 1.44 | 2.02 | 2.37 |
| xG difference | -0.90 | -0.12 | -0.79 | -1.18 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.15 | -0.22 | -0.33 | -0.09 |
| xPts / match | 0.91 | 1.35 | 0.97 | 0.83 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.11 | -0.35 | -0.17 | 0.27 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 30% | 20% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 14% | 14% | 25% | 38% |
| Leads held | 67% | 100% | 67% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 18% | 17% | 8% | 20% |
| Minutes level | 33% | 38% | 43% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 49% | 44% | 48% | 34% |
| First goal (min) | 54 | 57 | 44 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 36 | 40 | 28 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 75% | 82% | 67% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 53% | 50% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 54% | 43% | 42% |
| Shots | 11.6 | 15.8 | 11.8 | 10.8 |
| On target | 4.4 | 5.0 | 3.9 | 4.6 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 7% | 8% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 59% | 63% | 60% | 56% |
| Big chances created | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 4.9 | 3.9 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 12% | 22% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 25% | 36% | 0% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 9.9 | 14.7 | 6.9 | 6.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 44.7 | 58.2 | 37.1 | 35.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 81% | 80% | 78% |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 10.6 | 12.7 | 11.4 |
| Cards | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.90 | 2.10 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Werder Bremen
0–15'13
16–30'13
31–45'13
46–60'14
61–75'43
76–90'43
Hamburger SV
0–15'11
16–30'07
31–45'25
46–60'34
61–75'32
76–90'07
Werder Bremen
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.75 | 1.12 | 2.07 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 30% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.11 | 1.63 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.04 | 2.2 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.66 | 1.91 |
Hamburger SV
Current: winless 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 60% | 0.83 | 0.83 | 2.67 | 1.44 | 2.09 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 30% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.69 | 0.71 |
| Metric | Werder Bremen all · 34 | Werder Bremen at home · 17 | Hamburger SV all · 34 | Hamburger SV away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 0.94 | 1.24 | 1.09 | 0.76 |
| W / D / L | 8 / 8 / 18 | 6 / 3 / 8 | 9 / 10 / 15 | 3 / 4 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.00 | 1.12 | 1.18 | 0.88 |
| Goals against / match | 1.74 | 1.71 | 1.74 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 15% | 18% | 15% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 38% | 35% | 29% | 35% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 47% | 65% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 53% | 59% | 59% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.16 | 1.36 | 1.32 | 1.14 |
| xG against / match | 1.58 | 1.33 | 1.84 | 2.05 |
| xG difference | -0.42 | 0.03 | -0.51 | -0.90 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.16 | -0.24 | -0.15 | -0.26 |
| xPts / match | 1.18 | 1.44 | 1.14 | 0.94 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.24 | -0.20 | -0.05 | -0.18 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 29% | 35% | 35% | 24% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.10 | 2.67 | 1.58 | 1.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.43 | 0.45 | 0.79 | 0.64 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 27% | 35% | 23% |
| Leads held | 62% | 75% | 56% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 17% | 22% | 16% | 12% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 38% | 56% | 54% |
| Minutes trailing | 42% | 40% | 28% | 34% |
| First goal (min) | 54 | 50 | 43 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 37 | 40 | 40 | 40 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 74% | 74% | 58% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 55% | 56% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.38 | 0.53 | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| Late goals against | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.47 | 0.59 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | 53% | 46% | 46% |
| Shots | 13.1 | 15.4 | 12.4 | 11.4 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 7% | 10% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 62% | 65% | 59% |
| Big chances created | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 4.8 | 3.7 | 3.5 |
| xG from set plays | 21% | 19% | 29% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 26% | 37% | 8% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 13.1 | 17.1 | 9.4 | 8.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 48.7 | 60.4 | 39.6 | 38.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 82% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 10.2 | 10.4 | 12.1 | 12.1 |
| Cards | 2.29 | 2.29 | 2.56 | 2.88 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Werder Bremen
0–15'27
16–30'38
31–45'410
46–60'39
61–75'913
76–90'1312
Hamburger SV
0–15'33
16–30'411
31–45'1012
46–60'910
61–75'87
76–90'616
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Werder Bremen · 34 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.40
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0634
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1034
Late push (76+, level)-0.0810
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1318
Game state
When ahead+0.0113
When level+0.0534
When behind+0.1024
10 min after conceding-0.2029
10 min after scoring+0.4020
Situations
With ten men-0.163
Against ten men+0.085
At home+0.1517
Away-0.0317
3 days rest or fewer+0.582
4+ days rest+0.0332
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.0813
v mid-tier opponents+0.3110
v bottom-tier opponents+0.105
As favourite+0.113
Evenly matched+0.1616
As underdog-0.0515
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0534
Conceded when ahead+0.1013
Conceded late (76+)-0.0930
Congested vs rested +0.55 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.05
Hamburger SV · 34 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.77
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0634
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0334
Late push (76+, level)+0.0114
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2112
Game state
When ahead-0.3416
When level+0.0634
When behind-0.1323
10 min after conceding-0.3029
10 min after scoring-0.1322
Situations
With ten men+0.016
Against ten men-0.223
At home-0.0717
Away-0.0417
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest-0.0432
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2713
v mid-tier opponents-0.1213
v bottom-tier opponents+0.773
Evenly matched+0.0616
As underdog-0.1517
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2034
Conceded when ahead+0.3816
Conceded late (76+)+0.0129
Congested vs rested -0.28 · Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level -0.18
Werder Bremen
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 41% | 1.07 | 1.0 | 1.86 | 1.03 | 1.74 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 18% | 0.5 | 1.17 | 2.17 | 1.22 | 1.4 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 12% | 1.75 | 2.0 | 1.75 | 1.4 | 1.81 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 9% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.11 | 1.63 |
| 3-5-2 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.19 |
Hamburger SV
Current: winless 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 15 44% | 1.4 | 1.47 | 1.4 | 1.45 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 13 38% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.27 | 2.11 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 9% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.56 | 2.41 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.96 | 1.67 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -1.8h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.95Home 49% P 54%3.6Draw 26% P 26%3.75Away 25% P 21%
Double Chance
1.25Werder Bremen or Draw 37%1.28Werder Bremen or Hamburg 37%1.8Draw or Hamburg 26%
Draw No Bet
1.41 66%2.752 34%
Both Teams To Score
1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.72Over 55% P 56%2.1Under 45% P 44%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%
Number of Cards
4.51.61Over 58% P 59%2.2Under 42% P 41%
5.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 664 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 54% | 54% | 56% | +2.6 |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 27% | +1.4 |
| Away | 21% | 21% | 17% | -4.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 54%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 56% | 56% | -0.2 |
Florian Exner
- Career
- 26 matches · 4 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.85 (4.58 yellow · 0.15 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.6 · 4.5 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.39
- Cards to home side
- 52%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 26 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 5.04 | 4.14 | +1.82 | 96 |
| Fouls / match | 21.6 | 22.3 | -0.75 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.3 | 5.4 | -1.83 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.39 | 0.32 | +0.63 | 78 |
| Time added | 9.9 | 6.8 | +3.13 | 100 |
- First card
- 32' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 52% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.13
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 22' | 8 |
| 2026-03-07 · Hamburger SV | 6 | 1 | 24 | 3 | 20' | 14 |
| 2026-02-14 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 9' | 10 |
| 2026-01-27 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 49' | 6 |
| 2026-01-24 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 73' | 7 |
| 2025-12-06 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 13' | 9 |
| 2025-11-08 | 6 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 15' | 14 |
| 2025-10-18 | 8 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 30' | 15 |
| 2025-09-27 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 90' | 13 |
| 2025-09-20 · Hamburger SV | 6 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 22' | 11 |