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Bundesliga · Matchweek 31

Momentum

HeidenheimSt. Pauli
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
31

Venue

Stadium
Walter-Birkhold-Jugendstadion, Heidenheim an der Brenz
Capacity
15,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
15,000

Teams

Coaches
Frank Schmidt · Alexander Blessin
Position
18 · 16
Formation
4-3-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Felix Zwayer

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
18.9° (feels 18.1°)
Wind
3.7
Humidity
49%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Heidenheim

LDDWL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 9 · xG 7.01–6.93 · xPts 6.68

  • L A SC Freiburg 1–2 xG 1.89–2.07 GER BI
  • W H FC Union Berlin 3–1 xG 2.22–0.96 GER BI
  • D A Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–2 xG 1.25–1.07 GER BI
  • D H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–3 xG 1.57–1.63 GER BI
  • L A Eintracht Frankfurt 0–1 xG 0.08–1.19 GER BI

St. Pauli

LLDLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 3 GA 11 · xG 5.09–9.46 · xPts 4.49

  • D H FC Köln 1–1 xG 1.67–1.55 GER BI
  • L H FC Bayern München 0–5 xG 0.61–3.19 GER BI
  • D A FC Union Berlin 1–1 xG 0.39–1.72 GER BI
  • L H SC Freiburg 1–2 xG 1.79–2.29 GER BI
  • L A Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–2 xG 0.64–0.69 GER BI

All meetings · 4 matches since 2024

Heidenheim 20 draws2 St. Pauli

Goals 5–4 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 25%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Heidenheim 20 draws2 St. Pauli

Goals 5–4 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 25%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Heidenheim 20 draws2 St. Pauli

Goals 5–4 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 25%

Recent meetings

  • W FC Heidenheim 2–0 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
  • L St. Pauli 2–1 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Heidenheim 0–2 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
  • W St. Pauli 0–2 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
MetricHeidenheim all · 34Heidenheim at home · 17St. Pauli all · 34St. Pauli away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.761.000.760.53
W / D / L6 / 8 / 204 / 5 / 86 / 8 / 202 / 3 / 12
Goals for / match1.211.350.850.71
Goals against / match2.122.181.761.71
Clean sheets3%6%15%18%
Failed to score35%35%38%41%
Both teams scored62%59%56%47%
Over 2.568%71%56%41%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.361.460.990.85
xG against / match1.911.931.671.70
xG difference-0.55-0.47-0.68-0.86
Finishing vs xG-0.16-0.11-0.14-0.14
xPts / match1.101.150.970.83
Points vs xPts-0.33-0.15-0.21-0.31
Game state
Scored first24%29%29%29%
PPG when scoring first2.002.201.701.40
PPG when conceding first0.380.500.290.09
Came back from behind23%33%17%8%
Leads held46%57%54%40%
Minutes leading15%18%13%12%
Minutes level48%46%50%47%
Minutes trailing37%36%37%40%
First goal (min)45365047
First goal conceded (min)39384034
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%61%62%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%54%62%55%
Late goals for (76'+)0.320.410.210.12
Late goals against0.440.530.380.35
Style
Possession42%42%44%44%
Shots11.411.510.39.9
On target3.63.93.42.5
Shot conversion11%12%8%7%
Shots inside box69%66%59%57%
Big chances created2.52.71.71.5
Corners4.54.64.73.6
xG from set plays33%38%34%19%
Goals from headers15%13%24%25%
Pressure index7.77.48.46.2
Dominant minutes35.337.538.232.0
Pass accuracy76%76%77%77%
Fouls9.89.49.69.7
Cards1.441.181.681.53

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Heidenheim

0–15'45
16–30'611
31–45'617
46–60'713
61–75'711
76–90'1115

St. Pauli

0–15'17
16–30'33
31–45'713
46–60'614
61–75'510
76–90'713

Heidenheim

Current: winless 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-16 18%0.671.332.331.541.71
4-3-2-15 15%0.81.02.41.362.26
4-3-34 12%1.01.752.251.01.59
4-4-24 12%1.52.01.51.861.09
4-2-3-14 12%0.250.252.00.792.1

St. Pauli

Current: winless 10 · scoring 3 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-118 53%0.890.831.891.011.79
3-4-1-210 29%0.81.01.71.241.61
3-4-32 6%0.50.51.00.430.85
3-5-22 6%0.00.51.50.691.33
5-4-12 6%0.51.02.00.371.94

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -2.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.3Home 41% P 41%3.5Draw 27% P 28%3.0Away 32% P 31%

Double Chance

1.36Heidenheim or Draw 34%1.28Heidenheim or St Pauli 36%1.57Draw or St Pauli 30%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55%2.05No 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51% P 54%1.9Under 49% P 46%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home41%41%41%-0.1
Draw28%28%26%-1.9
Away31%31%33%+2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Felix Zwayer

Career
349 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
4.57 (4.39 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
21.0 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 77 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.224.14+0.0152
Fouls / match21.822.3-0.57
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.34 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.310.32-0.2030
Time added6.96.8-0.0144
First card
34' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-12 40 240 33'8
2026-04-08 60 261 11'6
2026-03-22 40 250 63'11
2026-03-19 60 380 51'11
2026-03-08 · St. Pauli 30 210 62'12
2026-02-26 51 241 16'9
2026-02-15 · Heidenheim 30 181 79'5
2026-01-31 10 240 44'6
2026-01-28 90 300 29'8
2026-01-17 80 160 18'6