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Bundesliga · Matchweek 31

Momentum

VFBSVW
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
31

Venue

Stadium
MHPArena, Stuttgart
Capacity
60,449
Surface
grass
Attendance
60,000

Teams

Coaches
Sebastian Hoeneß · Daniel Thioune
Position
5 · 15
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Christian Dingert

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
20.0° (feels 18.8°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
30%

Where to watch · 397

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

VfB Stuttgart

LWLWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 11 GA 10 · xG 9.25–8.56 · xPts 7.68

  • L A FC Bayern München 2–4 xG 1.17–4.23 GER BI
  • W H Hamburger SV 4–0 xG 3.36–0.64 GER BI
  • L H Borussia Dortmund 0–2 xG 0.74–0.61 GER BI
  • W A FC Augsburg 5–2 xG 2.36–1.5 GER BI
  • L A Porto 0–2 xG 1.62–1.59 UEFA EL

Werder Bremen

LWLLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 5.99–7.8 · xPts 6.28

  • W H Hamburger SV 3–1 xG 1.68–0.64 GER BI
  • L A FC Köln 1–3 xG 0.98–3.79 GER BI
  • L H RB Leipzig 1–2 xG 1.61–0.93 GER BI
  • W A VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 xG 0.38–0.94 GER BI
  • L H FSV Mainz 05 0–2 xG 1.33–1.49 GER BI

All meetings · 36 matches since 2005

VfB Stuttgart 1312 draws11 Werder Bremen

Goals 64–58 · 3.39 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 10 matches

VfB Stuttgart 43 draws3 Werder Bremen

Goals 16–12 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

VfB Stuttgart 12 draws2 Werder Bremen

Goals 9–7 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Werder Bremen 0–4 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfB Stuttgart 1–2 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Werder Bremen 2–2 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Werder Bremen 2–1 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfB Stuttgart 2–0 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfB Stuttgart 0–2 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Werder Bremen 2–2 VfB Stuttgart neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfB Stuttgart 1–0 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Werder Bremen 1–2 VfB Stuttgart neutral GER BI · Regular Season
MetricVfB Stuttgart all · 34VfB Stuttgart at home · 17Werder Bremen all · 34Werder Bremen away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.822.290.940.76
W / D / L18 / 8 / 812 / 3 / 28 / 8 / 183 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match2.091.761.091.06
Goals against / match1.440.941.761.71
Clean sheets32%47%18%18%
Failed to score9%18%38%41%
Both teams scored62%41%47%47%
Over 2.574%47%53%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.802.001.211.01
xG against / match1.541.201.581.82
xG difference0.260.80-0.37-0.81
Finishing vs xG0.28-0.23-0.120.05
xPts / match1.581.861.210.95
Points vs xPts0.240.43-0.27-0.19
Game state
Scored first53%53%29%29%
PPG when scoring first2.332.782.101.60
PPG when conceding first1.271.860.430.36
Came back from behind56%71%25%17%
Leads held75%92%62%50%
Minutes leading32%30%16%16%
Minutes level47%58%41%44%
Minutes trailing21%11%43%40%
First goal (min)40435250
First goal conceded (min)38373536
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%53%70%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%56%57%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.650.530.410.24
Late goals against0.500.470.320.35
Style
Possession58%58%51%48%
Shots15.216.613.110.8
On target6.16.24.13.6
Shot conversion14%11%8%10%
Shots inside box66%65%62%61%
Big chances created3.33.71.71.5
Corners5.75.94.64.2
xG from set plays24%22%24%24%
Goals from headers9%10%19%6%
Pressure index19.217.512.68.1
Dominant minutes61.563.447.835.1
Pass accuracy84%84%82%81%
Fouls9.69.39.99.5
Cards1.911.942.472.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

VfB Stuttgart

0–15'66
16–30'126
31–45'1511
46–60'95
61–75'74
76–90'2217

Werder Bremen

0–15'27
16–30'49
31–45'510
46–60'48
61–75'815
76–90'1411

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

VfB Stuttgart · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.07) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.29

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.074
Early press (0-15, level)-0.144
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead+0.132
When level+0.174
When behind-0.072
10 min after conceding-0.154
10 min after scoring+0.294

Situations

At home+0.152
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.003

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.193
As favourite+0.152

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.044
Conceded when ahead+0.192
Conceded late (76+)-0.124

Congested vs rested +0.26 · Ahead vs level -0.03 · Behind vs level -0.24

Werder Bremen · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.133
Early press (0-15, level)+0.063

Game state

When level-0.183
When behind+0.412
10 min after conceding-0.493
10 min after scoring-0.302

Situations

Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.133

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.462
As underdog-0.133

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.202

Ahead vs level -0.41 · Behind vs level +0.60

VfB Stuttgart

Current: winless 1 · scoring 10 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-121 62%1.812.141.621.751.74
3-4-2-16 18%1.671.831.01.590.99
3-4-1-25 15%2.02.21.22.091.45
4-4-21 3%1.01.01.01.751.72
4-2-2-21 3%3.03.02.02.820.88

Werder Bremen

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-115 44%1.01.22.071.121.76
3-4-2-16 18%0.51.172.171.221.4
3-5-23 9%0.330.01.01.21.19
4-3-33 9%2.332.331.01.651.78
4-1-4-13 9%1.01.01.331.111.63

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.53Home 62% P 62%4.5Draw 21% P 21%5.5Away 17% P 17%

Double Chance

1.14VfB Stuttgart or Draw 41%1.18VfB Stuttgart or Werder Bremen 39%2.37Draw or Werder Bremen 20%

Draw No Bet

1.221 77%4.02 23%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 66% P 67%2.75Under 34% P 33%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 15–17.5% · 649 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home62%61%62%+0.4
Draw21%23%23%+0.7
Away17%16%15%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.567%66%69%+3.2

Christian Dingert

Career
227 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
4.45 (4.29 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
20.6 · 4.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.32
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 63 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.434.14+0.4767
Fouls / match23.122.3+0.60
Fouls per card5.45.4-0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.330.32+0.0448
Time added7.16.8+0.1963
First card
34' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 40% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.28

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-11 20 200 31'7
2026-03-14 72 250 32'14
2026-03-01 30 200 66'14
2026-02-07 50 180 27'8
2026-01-14 20 261 5'9
2025-12-20 71 270 13'7
2025-11-29 10 260 74'6
2025-11-01 20 180 29'14
2025-10-04 40 240 45'7
2025-08-29 61 320 7'11