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Bundesliga · Matchweek 31

Momentum

WOBBMG
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
31

Venue

Stadium
Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
Capacity
30,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
27,947

Teams

Coaches
Dieter Hecking · Eugen Polanski
Position
17 · 13
Formation
3-1-4-2 · 3-1-4-2

Referee

Tobias Stieler

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
16.2° (feels 15.2°)
Wind
6.8
Humidity
50%

Where to watch · 397

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

VfL Wolfsburg

DLLLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 11 · xG 5.96–9.22 · xPts 5.32

  • W A FC Union Berlin 2–1 xG 0.21–1.94 GER BI
  • L H Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 xG 2.59–0.88 GER BI
  • L A Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–6 xG 1.83–4.09 GER BI
  • L H Werder Bremen 0–1 xG 0.94–0.38 GER BI
  • D A TSG Hoffenheim 1–1 xG 0.37–1.92 GER BI

Borussia Mönchengladbach

WDDLD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 7 · xG 5.32–8.12 · xPts 5.13

  • D H FSV Mainz 05 1–1 xG 0.77–2.3 GER BI
  • L A RB Leipzig 0–1 xG 1.85–2.36 GER BI
  • D H FC Heidenheim 2–2 xG 1.07–1.25 GER BI
  • D A FC Köln 3–3 xG 0.93–1.57 GER BI
  • W H St. Pauli 2–0 xG 0.69–0.64 GER BI

All meetings · 40 matches since 2005

VfL Wolfsburg 1811 draws11 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 60–52 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 62%

Last 10 · 10 matches

VfL Wolfsburg 33 draws4 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 15–18 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

VfL Wolfsburg 31 draws1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 10–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D VfL Wolfsburg 0–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfL Wolfsburg 5–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–0 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • D VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach neutral GER BI · Regular Season
MetricVfL Wolfsburg all · 34VfL Wolfsburg at home · 17Borussia Mönchengladbach all · 34Borussia Mönchengladbach away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.850.591.120.82
W / D / L7 / 8 / 192 / 4 / 119 / 11 / 143 / 5 / 9
Goals for / match1.321.241.241.06
Goals against / match2.031.881.561.71
Clean sheets6%6%38%29%
Failed to score24%29%35%35%
Both teams scored74%71%41%47%
Over 2.565%65%53%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.391.581.351.31
xG against / match1.891.691.511.59
xG difference-0.50-0.11-0.16-0.28
Finishing vs xG-0.07-0.35-0.12-0.25
xPts / match1.141.341.271.21
Points vs xPts-0.28-0.75-0.15-0.38
Game state
Scored first53%35%41%29%
PPG when scoring first1.441.172.292.20
PPG when conceding first0.130.200.070.10
Came back from behind10%15%18%18%
Leads held35%25%64%60%
Minutes leading27%18%19%14%
Minutes level43%48%52%52%
Minutes trailing30%34%28%35%
First goal (min)35384858
First goal conceded (min)43384040
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%57%60%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%56%45%45%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.240.380.35
Late goals against0.560.470.350.47
Style
Possession45%48%47%48%
Shots11.913.611.611.7
On target4.24.74.13.8
Shot conversion11%9%11%9%
Shots inside box64%66%66%68%
Big chances created2.63.01.91.6
Corners4.45.43.84.2
xG from set plays32%32%34%29%
Goals from headers25%33%20%12%
Pressure index9.112.79.99.3
Dominant minutes38.146.341.940.9
Pass accuracy78%80%82%81%
Fouls11.512.110.811.0
Cards2.152.291.851.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

VfL Wolfsburg

0–15'96
16–30'710
31–45'610
46–60'811
61–75'813
76–90'719

Borussia Mönchengladbach

0–15'68
16–30'59
31–45'612
46–60'32
61–75'910
76–90'1312

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

VfL Wolfsburg

No pressure profile yet.

Borussia Mönchengladbach · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.223
Early press (0-15, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-1.122

Game state

When level+0.163
When behind-0.463
10 min after conceding-0.463

Situations

Away-0.222
4+ days rest-0.223

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.222
As underdog-0.222

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.243
Conceded late (76+)+0.152

Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level -0.62

VfL Wolfsburg

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%0.831.382.211.261.97
3-4-2-16 18%0.671.332.171.361.86
3-1-4-22 6%2.01.50.52.551.19
3-5-22 6%0.50.51.01.91.72

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 38%1.461.851.621.461.33
5-4-14 12%1.00.752.251.222.09
4-2-3-14 12%1.01.01.751.231.43
4-4-23 9%0.670.331.00.741.35
4-3-32 6%0.00.52.01.52.2

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.3Home 41% P 45%3.7Draw 26% P 26%2.87Away 33% P 29%

Double Chance

1.4Wolfsburg or Draw 33%1.28Wolfsburg or Borussia M'gladbach 37%1.57Draw or Borussia M'gladbach 30%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62%2.5No 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 59%2.3Under 41% P 41%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 51%1.83Under 50% P 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home45%44%43%-0.3
Draw26%28%30%+2.4
Away29%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.559%59%60%+0.8

Tobias Stieler

Career
284 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
4.05 (3.83 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
22.6 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 69 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.594.14-1.384
Fouls / match21.222.3-1.05
Fouls per card6.05.4+0.86 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.360.32+0.3763
Time added7.06.8+0.0956
First card
33' on average
Card timing
24% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-11 30 160 19'5
2026-03-22 30 170 1'11
2026-03-19 50 140 19'9
2026-02-28 30 220 66'11
2026-02-19 70 280 4'7
2026-02-08 41 202 6'7
2026-01-28 31 270 26'8
2026-01-24 10 190 89'4
2025-12-20 20 11
2025-12-06 61 171 2'12