Rating 7.42 (97th pct) · G+A 3 + 8 (16% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Bundesliga · Matchweek 32
Momentum
– B04RB Leipzig –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | at home | Stat | league | away | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.2 #2 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 53.9 #6 |
| 15.2 #4 | – | Shots total | 13.3 | – | 15.8 #2 |
| 5.2 #4 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 6.0 #3 |
| 5.6 #4 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 5.3 #6 |
| 8.6 #17 | – | Fouls | 10.4 | – | 9.3 #15 |
| 1.3 #16 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.4 #14 |
| 14.1 #17 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 15.2 #10 |
| 110.8 #2 | – | Attacks | 98.2 | – | 105.0 #6 |
| 53.1 #4 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.7 | – | 49.9 #6 |
| 605.4 #2 | – | Passes | 456.1 | – | 502.9 #4 |
| 2.1 #5 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.6 #15 |
| 1.4 #5 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.5 #4 |
| – #4 | – | Btts | 61.8 | – | – #8 |
| – #6 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #4 |
| – #7 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #17 |
| 1.9 #3 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 2.1 #2 |
| 0.1 #6 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | -0.1 #14 |
| – #12 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #14 |
| 2.0 #4 | 2.2 | Goals | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.9 #5 |
| 1.4 #15 | 1.1 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 #15 |
| 0.3 #11 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #16 |
| 7.6 #18 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 9.1 #9 |
| – #13 | – | Lost | 37.7 | – | – #13 |
| 0.2 #3 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.0 #18 |
| 7.0 #3 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.0 #3 |
| 3.8 #5 | – | Shots blocked | 3.5 | – | 4.2 #2 |
| 9.8 #4 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.0 | – | 11.3 #2 |
| 6.2 #1 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 5.6 #3 |
| 5.4 #2 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 4.5 #6 |
| – #6 | – | Win | 37.7 | – | – #3 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.24 (home 1.78 · away 1.46)
- Home / draw / away
- 44% · 25% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 62% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 3.9 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.13 (94th pct) · G+A 5 + 3 (12% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Team 1.79 ppg with (29) · 1.4 without (5)
Rating 7.07 (85th pct) · G+A 16 + 3 (28% of team goals) · 65% of minutes
Team 1.48 ppg with (23) · 2.27 without (11)
RB Leipzig · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.14 (89th pct) · G+A 13 + 9 (33% of team goals) · 91% of minutes
Rating 7.43 (100th pct) · G+A 3 + 7 (15% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Team 2.0 ppg with (29) · 1.4 without (5)
Rating 7.19 (96th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (3% of team goals) · 96% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 32
Venue
- Stadium
- BayArena, Leverkusen
- Capacity
- 30,210
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 30,210
Teams
- Coaches
- Kasper Hjulmand · Ole Werner
- Position
- 6 · 3
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3
Referee
Tobias Welz
Weather
- Conditions
- heavy intensity rain
- Temperature
- 20.4° (feels 20.4°)
- Wind
- 1.3
- Humidity
- 72%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Bayern München |
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | LWLWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig |
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart |
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 5 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | LWWLD |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg |
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | LDLLD |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | DLWLW |
| 11 |  FC Union Berlin |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | LLDWW |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | DDWLW |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | LLWWD |
| 14 |  FC Köln |
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg |
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WDDLW |
| 17 |  FC Heidenheim |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  St. Pauli |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 44 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 41 | LWLWW |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 39 | LDDWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 6 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 31 | LWWLD |
| 8 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 25 | LDLLD |
| 10 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 24 | DDWLW |
| 12 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 22 | LLDWW |
| 13 | FC Köln |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 | DLDLL |
| 14 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 19 | WDLLL |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 | DLWLW |
| 16 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 17 | St. Pauli |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 18 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 10 | WDDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 45 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 32 | LWLWW |
| 3 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 28 | LWWLD |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 23 | LDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 19 | LDLLD |
| 9 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 19 | WDDLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 11 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 | LLDWW |
| 12 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | WDLLL |
| 16 | FC Köln |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 17 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 | LWDWL |
| 18 | St. Pauli |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 9 | DLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
DWWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 13 GA 9 · xG 13.37–8.82 · xPts 8.36
- W
A
FC Köln
2–1
xG 1.68–2.8
GER BI
- L
H
FC Augsburg
1–2
xG 5.31–1.4
GER BI
- W
A
Borussia Dortmund
1–0
xG 0.67–1.21
GER BI
- W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
6–3
xG 4.09–1.83
GER BI
- D
A
FC Heidenheim
3–3
xG 1.63–1.57
GER BI
WDDDLDWWLW 4W 4D 2L · 16 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 19 GA 16 · xG 21.27–18.17 · xPts 14.34
- W
A
FC Köln
2–1
xG 1.68–2.8
GER BI
- L
H
FC Augsburg
1–2
xG 5.31–1.4
GER BI
- W
A
Borussia Dortmund
1–0
xG 0.67–1.21
GER BI
- W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
6–3
xG 4.09–1.83
GER BI
- D
A
FC Heidenheim
3–3
xG 1.63–1.57
GER BI
- L
A
Arsenal
0–2
xG 0.64–2.02
UEFA CL - D
H
FC Bayern München
1–1
xG 2.86–1.28
GER BI
- D
H
Arsenal
1–1
xG 0.73–1.61
UEFA CL
- D
A
SC Freiburg
3–3
xG 1.81–3.04
GER BI
- W
A
Hamburger SV
1–0
xG 1.87–1.41
GER BI
RB Leipzig
WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 14 GA 3 · xG 11.57–5.94 · xPts 9.78
- W
H
FC Union Berlin
3–1
xG 3.4–0.21
GER BI
- W
A
Eintracht Frankfurt
3–1
xG 2.53–1.26
GER BI
- W
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1–0
xG 2.36–1.85
GER BI
- W
A
Werder Bremen
2–1
xG 0.93–1.61
GER BI
- W
H
TSG Hoffenheim
5–0
xG 2.36–1.0
GER BI
DDWWLWWWWW 7W 2D 1L · 23 pts (2.3 ppg) · GF 22 GA 10 · xG 23.63–13.2 · xPts 19.19
- W
H
FC Union Berlin
3–1
xG 3.4–0.21
GER BI
- W
A
Eintracht Frankfurt
3–1
xG 2.53–1.26
GER BI
- W
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1–0
xG 2.36–1.85
GER BI
- W
A
Werder Bremen
2–1
xG 0.93–1.61
GER BI
- W
H
TSG Hoffenheim
5–0
xG 2.36–1.0
GER BI
- L
A
VfB Stuttgart
0–1
xG 1.0–1.32
GER BI
- W
H
FC Augsburg
2–1
xG 2.07–3.26
GER BI
- W
A
Hamburger SV
2–1
xG 3.39–0.54
GER BI
- D
H
Borussia Dortmund
2–2
xG 2.77–1.49
GER BI
- D
H
VfL Wolfsburg
2–2
xG 2.82–0.65
GER BI
All meetings · 20 matches since 2016
Goals 35–33 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 22–15 · 3.7 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 14–9 · 4.6 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- W Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–1 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
- W RB Leipzig 1–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
- D RB Leipzig 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
- L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–3 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
- W RB Leipzig 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
- W Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–2 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
- W Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
- L RB Leipzig 2–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
- L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–1 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
- W RB Leipzig 1–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen neutral GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | Bayer 04 Leverkusen all · 34 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen at home · 17 | RB Leipzig all · 34 | RB Leipzig away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.74 | 1.82 | 1.91 | 1.59 |
| W / D / L | 17 / 8 / 9 | 9 / 4 / 4 | 20 / 5 / 9 | 8 / 3 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 2.00 | 2.24 | 1.94 | 1.53 |
| Goals against / match | 1.38 | 1.12 | 1.38 | 1.59 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 35% | 32% | 29% |
| Failed to score | 12% | 0% | 9% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 65% | 62% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 53% | 71% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.91 | 2.42 | 2.07 | 1.70 |
| xG against / match | 1.40 | 1.10 | 1.42 | 1.40 |
| xG difference | 0.51 | 1.33 | 0.65 | 0.30 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.09 | -0.19 | -0.13 | -0.17 |
| xPts / match | 1.65 | 2.10 | 1.76 | 1.55 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.08 | -0.27 | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 65% | 71% | 74% | 59% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.23 | 2.17 | 2.28 | 2.30 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.83 | 1.00 | 0.87 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 40% | 43% | 25% | 14% |
| Leads held | 68% | 69% | 74% | 73% |
| Minutes leading | 40% | 42% | 37% | 32% |
| Minutes level | 39% | 42% | 47% | 47% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 16% | 16% | 21% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 38 | 38 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 48 | 48 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 41% | 50% | 52% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 45% | 47% | 64% | 56% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.35 | 0.47 | 0.29 | 0.12 |
| Late goals against | 0.26 | 0.18 | 0.44 | 0.41 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 59% | 61% | 54% | 52% |
| Shots | 15.2 | 18.6 | 15.8 | 14.3 |
| On target | 5.2 | 6.5 | 6.0 | 4.7 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 66% | 72% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 3.7 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 6.7 | 5.3 | 4.7 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 28% | 22% | 20% |
| Goals from headers | 19% | 24% | 14% | 8% |
| Pressure index | 16.1 | 20.5 | 16.1 | 12.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 57.1 | 64.8 | 54.5 | 47.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 88% | 84% | 83% |
| Fouls | 8.6 | 8.6 | 9.3 | 10.4 |
| Cards | 2.18 | 2.12 | 1.53 | 1.71 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–15'116
16–30'116
31–45'1814
46–60'86
61–75'86
76–90'129
RB Leipzig
0–15'70
16–30'118
31–45'149
46–60'139
61–75'116
76–90'1015
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 4 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: when level +0.81
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.594
Early press (0-15, level)+0.664
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.872
Game state
When ahead+0.453
When level+0.814
When behind+0.702
10 min after conceding-0.082
10 min after scoring+0.784
Situations
At home+0.392
Away+0.762
4+ days rest+0.594
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.762
As favourite+0.594
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.314
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.593
Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.12
RB Leipzig · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.50
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.504
Late chase (76+, behind)+1.252
Game state
When ahead+0.232
When level-0.504
When behind+0.572
10 min after conceding+0.082
10 min after scoring+0.404
Situations
At home+0.002
Away+0.452
4+ days rest+0.383
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.002
As favourite+0.303
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.214
Conceded when ahead-0.132
Conceded late (76+)-0.672
Congested vs rested -0.55 · Ahead vs level +0.73 · Behind vs level +1.06
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 31 91% | 1.84 | 2.0 | 1.23 | 1.97 | 1.37 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 6% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.76 | 1.64 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.58 | 1.86 |
RB Leipzig
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 29 85% | 1.83 | 1.93 | 1.48 | 2.01 | 1.42 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 9% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.33 | 2.51 | 1.22 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.53 | 1.26 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.92 | 2.0 |
| Metric | Bayer 04 Leverkusen all · 10 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen at home · 10 | RB Leipzig all · 10 | RB Leipzig away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 1.70 | 1.80 | 1.30 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 2 / 3 | 4 / 5 / 1 | 6 / 0 / 4 | 4 / 1 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 2.00 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 1.40 |
| Goals against / match | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.80 | 2.10 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% | 30% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 10% | 0% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% | 70% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 40% | 90% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.43 | 2.71 | 2.17 | 1.75 |
| xG against / match | 1.53 | 1.20 | 1.32 | 1.46 |
| xG difference | 0.90 | 1.51 | 0.85 | 0.29 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.43 | -0.61 | -0.07 | -0.35 |
| xPts / match | 1.81 | 2.10 | 1.85 | 1.53 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.11 | -0.40 | -0.05 | -0.24 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 80% | 60% | 60% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 1.83 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 40% | 75% | 0% | 17% |
| Leads held | 62% | 57% | 100% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 40% | 40% | 32% | 25% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 52% | 36% | 38% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 8% | 32% | 38% |
| First goal (min) | 31 | 33 | 48 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 57 | 38 | 41 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 57% | 62% | 64% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 60% | 56% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 59% | 58% | 57% | 53% |
| Shots | 19.9 | 19.8 | 18.1 | 14.0 |
| On target | 6.6 | 7.2 | 7.1 | 4.8 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 11% | 12% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 71% | 72% | 70% | 71% |
| Big chances created | 3.9 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 3.1 |
| Corners | 7.6 | 7.1 | 6.1 | 4.4 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 24% | 20% | 18% |
| Goals from headers | 16% | 20% | 14% | 21% |
| Pressure index | 18.3 | 16.2 | 18.0 | 14.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 60.2 | 60.5 | 60.2 | 51.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 88% | 87% | 84% |
| Fouls | 9.2 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 10.7 |
| Cards | 1.20 | 1.50 | 1.70 | 1.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–15'44
16–30'30
31–45'31
46–60'24
61–75'21
76–90'63
RB Leipzig
0–15'02
16–30'63
31–45'23
46–60'32
61–75'52
76–90'56
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 60% | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.33 | 2.42 | 2.02 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 1.75 | 2.5 | 1.25 | 2.45 | 0.79 |
RB Leipzig
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 8 80% | 1.88 | 2.13 | 1.63 | 2.25 | 1.25 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.53 | 1.26 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.19 | 1.94 |
| Metric | Bayer 04 Leverkusen all · 47 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen at home · 23 | RB Leipzig all · 35 | RB Leipzig away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 47 | 23 | 35 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.68 | 1.78 | 1.86 | 1.41 |
| W / D / L | 22 / 13 / 12 | 11 / 8 / 4 | 20 / 5 / 10 | 7 / 3 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.85 | 2.13 | 2.09 | 1.59 |
| Goals against / match | 1.34 | 1.17 | 1.37 | 1.65 |
| Clean sheets | 32% | 44% | 31% | 24% |
| Failed to score | 15% | 4% | 6% | 12% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 56% | 66% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 48% | 77% | 71% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.81 | 2.24 | 2.12 | 1.74 |
| xG against / match | 1.37 | 1.12 | 1.39 | 1.37 |
| xG difference | 0.44 | 1.12 | 0.73 | 0.36 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.04 | -0.11 | -0.03 | -0.15 |
| xPts / match | 1.61 | 1.98 | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.07 | -0.20 | 0.06 | -0.18 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 62% | 70% | 71% | 53% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.31 | 2.19 | 2.28 | 2.22 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.65 | 0.83 | 0.78 | 0.43 |
| Came back from behind | 43% | 50% | 23% | 12% |
| Leads held | 69% | 65% | 74% | 70% |
| Minutes leading | 36% | 42% | 37% | 29% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 44% | 44% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 24% | 14% | 19% | 28% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 37 | 39 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 51 | 45 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 49% | 53% | 53% | 56% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 46% | 52% | 65% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.36 | 0.35 | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| Late goals against | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.46 | 0.47 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | 59% | 55% | 54% |
| Shots | 14.9 | 17.3 | 16.1 | 14.4 |
| On target | 5.0 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 5.0 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 12% | 13% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 68% | 72% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 3.4 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 4.8 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 25% | 23% | 20% |
| Goals from headers | 20% | 21% | 14% | 11% |
| Pressure index | 16.5 | 20.4 | 16.7 | 13.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 54.9 | 61.1 | 56.2 | 52.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 89% | 85% | 85% |
| Fouls | 8.9 | 8.7 | 9.2 | 10.1 |
| Cards | 1.83 | 1.65 | 1.54 | 1.82 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–15'1211
16–30'145
31–45'1818
46–60'149
61–75'1210
76–90'1710
RB Leipzig
0–15'72
16–30'147
31–45'138
46–60'1410
61–75'145
76–90'1116
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 47 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.23) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2347
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1747
Late push (76+, level)-0.0813
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.4414
Game state
When ahead+0.1732
When level+0.1847
When behind+0.4321
10 min after conceding+0.1231
10 min after scoring+0.3939
Situations
Against ten men-0.213
At home+0.2723
Away+0.2024
3 days rest or fewer+0.1913
4+ days rest+0.2534
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1216
v mid-tier opponents+0.4711
v bottom-tier opponents+0.497
As favourite+0.4025
Evenly matched+0.2312
As underdog-0.1810
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0947
Conceded when ahead-0.0632
Conceded late (76+)-0.1640
Congested vs rested -0.06 · Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.25
RB Leipzig · 35 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2535
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1735
Late push (76+, level)+0.066
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1911
Game state
When ahead+0.1827
When level+0.2835
When behind+0.3013
10 min after conceding-0.1024
10 min after scoring+0.3533
Situations
At home+0.2618
Away+0.2417
3 days rest or fewer+0.273
4+ days rest+0.2532
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1310
v mid-tier opponents+0.1712
v bottom-tier opponents+0.278
As favourite+0.3424
Evenly matched+0.168
As underdog-0.133
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1335
Conceded when ahead-0.2327
Conceded late (76+)-0.3628
Congested vs rested +0.01 · Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level +0.02
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 40 85% | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.81 | 1.39 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 11% | 1.6 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 2.28 | 0.95 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.58 | 1.86 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.69 | 2.06 |
RB Leipzig
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 31 89% | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.29 | 2.1 | 1.35 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.92 | 2.0 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.53 | 1.26 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.19 | 1.94 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 1.49 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.5h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.1Home 45% P 45%4.0Draw 24% P 24%3.1Away 31% P 31%
Double Chance
1.4Bayer Leverkusen or Draw 34%1.25Bayer Leverkusen or RB Leipzig 38%1.66Draw or RB Leipzig 28%
Draw No Bet
1.661 56%2.12 44%
Both Teams To Score
1.36Yes 69%3.0No 31%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.36Over 70% P 69%3.2Under 30% P 31%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 30–32.5% · 232 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 45% | 43% | 45% | +1.8 |
| Draw | 24% | 26% | 25% | -0.8 |
| Away | 31% | 31% | 30% | -1.1 |
In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 66%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 69% | 69% | +0.6 |
Tobias Welz
- Career
- 167 matches · 15 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.16 (3.96 yellow · 0.11 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.7 · 4.3 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.41
- Cards to home side
- 45%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 50 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.56 | 4.14 | +0.76 | 82 |
| Fouls / match | 23.3 | 22.3 | +0.77 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.2 | 5.4 | -0.37 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.28 | 0.32 | -0.56 | 22 |
| Time added | 6.9 | 6.8 | -0.01 | 44 |
- First card
- 26' on average
- Card timing
- 18% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.17
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | 7 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 21' | 6 |
| 2026-04-05 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 85' | 5 |
| 2026-03-14 | 6 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 32' | 7 |
| 2026-02-27 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 15' | 10 |
| 2026-02-13 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 9' | 8 |
| 2026-01-23 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7' | 7 |
| 2026-01-17 | 7 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 16' | 6 |
| 2025-12-20 | 7 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 45' | 10 |
| 2025-11-29 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 7 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 11' | 7 |
| 2025-10-18 · RB Leipzig | 4 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 18' | 10 |