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Bundesliga · Matchweek 32

Momentum

FCBHeidenheim
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
32

Venue

Stadium
Allianz Arena, Munich
Capacity
75,024
Surface
grass
Attendance
75,000

Teams

Coaches
Vincent Kompany · Frank Schmidt
Position
1 · 18
Formation
4-3-1-2 · 3-4-3

Referee

Frank Willenborg

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
25.0° (feels 24.2°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
25%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Bayern München

WWWWL 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 21 GA 13 · xG 14.33–8.7 · xPts 9.61

  • L A Paris Saint Germain 4–5 xG 2.41–2.02 UEFA CL
  • W A FSV Mainz 05 4–3 xG 2.17–2.7 GER BI
  • W H VfB Stuttgart 4–2 xG 4.23–1.17 GER BI
  • W H Real Madrid 4–3 xG 2.33–2.2 UEFA CL
  • W A St. Pauli 5–0 xG 3.19–0.61 GER BI

Heidenheim

DDWLW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 11 GA 8 · xG 8.56–6.58 · xPts 8.22

  • W H St. Pauli 2–0 xG 1.63–0.85 GER BI
  • L A SC Freiburg 1–2 xG 1.89–2.07 GER BI
  • W H FC Union Berlin 3–1 xG 2.22–0.96 GER BI
  • D A Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–2 xG 1.25–1.07 GER BI
  • D H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–3 xG 1.57–1.63 GER BI

All meetings · 6 matches since 2023

FC Bayern München 41 draws1 Heidenheim

Goals 21–10 · 5.17 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 6 matches

FC Bayern München 41 draws1 Heidenheim

Goals 21–10 · 5.17 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Bayern München 31 draws1 Heidenheim

Goals 17–8 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • D FC Bayern München 3–3 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Heidenheim 0–4 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Heidenheim 0–4 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Bayern München 4–2 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Heidenheim 3–2 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Bayern München 4–2 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
MetricFC Bayern München all · 34FC Bayern München at home · 17Heidenheim all · 34Heidenheim away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.622.590.760.53
W / D / L28 / 5 / 114 / 2 / 16 / 8 / 202 / 3 / 12
Goals for / match3.594.001.211.06
Goals against / match1.061.122.122.06
Clean sheets35%29%3%0%
Failed to score0%0%35%35%
Both teams scored65%71%62%65%
Over 2.594%100%68%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.702.941.361.27
xG against / match1.220.991.911.89
xG difference1.481.94-0.55-0.62
Finishing vs xG0.891.06-0.16-0.21
xPts / match2.152.351.101.04
Points vs xPts0.470.24-0.33-0.51
Game state
Scored first65%76%24%18%
PPG when scoring first2.772.622.001.67
PPG when conceding first2.332.500.380.29
Came back from behind93%83%23%14%
Leads held90%88%46%33%
Minutes leading50%59%15%12%
Minutes level36%31%48%50%
Minutes trailing14%10%37%39%
First goal (min)32254553
First goal conceded (min)38413941
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%47%61%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half47%47%54%54%
Late goals for (76'+)1.030.820.320.24
Late goals against0.320.410.440.35
Style
Possession67%68%42%43%
Shots19.221.511.411.3
On target8.58.93.63.3
Shot conversion19%19%11%9%
Shots inside box68%66%69%72%
Big chances created4.95.52.52.4
Corners6.47.64.54.4
xG from set plays23%24%33%27%
Goals from headers11%9%15%17%
Pressure index27.530.17.78.0
Dominant minutes74.279.835.333.2
Pass accuracy90%91%76%76%
Fouls8.88.59.810.3
Cards1.791.351.441.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Bayern München

0–15'95
16–30'188
31–45'236
46–60'173
61–75'203
76–90'3511

Heidenheim

0–15'45
16–30'611
31–45'617
46–60'713
61–75'711
76–90'1115

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Bayern München · 4 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.85) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.24

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.854
Early press (0-15, level)+1.044

Game state

When ahead+0.823
When level+0.874
10 min after conceding+0.432
10 min after scoring+1.243

Situations

At home+0.622
Away+1.042
4+ days rest+0.753

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.622
As favourite+0.854

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.434
Conceded when ahead-0.473
Conceded late (76+)-0.774

Congested vs rested +0.36 · Ahead vs level -0.05

Heidenheim

No pressure profile yet.

FC Bayern München

Current: unbeaten 8 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-133 97%2.673.611.02.721.2
4-3-1-21 3%1.03.03.02.21.95

Heidenheim

Current: winless 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-16 18%0.671.332.331.541.71
4-3-2-15 15%0.81.02.41.362.26
4-3-34 12%1.01.752.251.01.59
4-4-24 12%1.52.01.51.861.09
4-2-3-14 12%0.250.252.00.792.1

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.22Home 74% P 76%6.25Draw 14% P 14%7.5Away 12% P 10%

Double Chance

1.07Bayern Munich or Draw 44%1.1Bayern Munich or Heidenheim 43%3.75Draw or Heidenheim 13%

Draw No Bet

1.11 86%7.02 14%

Both Teams To Score

1.44Yes 65%2.62No 35%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.22Over 78%4.33Under 22%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

2.52.2Over 42% P 47%1.61Under 58% P 53%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 75–77.5% · away 7.5–10% · 515 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home76%76%77%+0.9
Draw14%15%15%-0.5
Away10%9%8%-0.4

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 66%

Frank Willenborg

Career
111 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.28 (4.1 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
23.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.35
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 54 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.984.14+1.6993
Fouls / match22.622.3+0.12
Fouls per card4.65.4-1.31 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.32+0.8889
Time added6.36.8-0.6426
First card
34' on average
Card timing
10% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.25

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-08 50 200 52'10
2026-01-27 41 170 47'12
2026-01-14 30 191 53'8
2025-12-13 50 240 41'12
2025-11-22 · Heidenheim 20 251 42'7
2025-11-02 20 270 5'8
2025-09-26 · FC Bayern München 20 131 16'6
2025-08-30 · Heidenheim 70 200 17'6
2025-05-03 14 6