Rating 7.41 (96th pct) · G+A 12 + 2 (32% of team goals) · 68% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (24) · 1.5 without (10)
Bundesliga · Matchweek 32
Momentum
– St. PauliFSV Mainz 05 –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| St. Pauli | at home | Stat | league | away | FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.4 #14 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 43.9 #16 |
| 10.3 #18 | – | Shots total | 13.3 | – | 12.1 #13 |
| 3.4 #18 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 4.2 #13 |
| 4.7 #9 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 5.1 #7 |
| 9.6 #12 | – | Fouls | 10.4 | – | 11.0 #7 |
| 1.9 #6 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 2.3 #2 |
| 16.9 #2 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 15.3 #9 |
| 92.7 #11 | – | Attacks | 98.2 | – | 100.0 #7 |
| 42.1 #13 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.7 | – | 49.7 #7 |
| 427.7 #10 | – | Passes | 456.1 | – | 370.8 #16 |
| 1.6 #15 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.0 #7 |
| 0.0 #11 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #1 |
| 0.6 #18 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 0.8 #17 |
| – #15 | – | Btts | 61.8 | – | – #8 |
| – #13 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #15 |
| – #7 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #5 |
| 1.0 #18 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.6 #7 |
| -0.1 #15 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | -0.3 #18 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #5 |
| 0.8 #18 | 1.0 | Goals | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 #12 |
| 1.8 #6 | 1.8 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 #11 |
| 0.1 #18 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #16 |
| 9.5 #5 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 10.5 #1 |
| – #1 | – | Lost | 37.7 | – | – #8 |
| 0.1 #9 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #2 |
| 6.7 #16 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #9 |
| 3.1 #14 | – | Shots blocked | 3.5 | – | 3.4 #11 |
| 6.1 #18 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.0 | – | 9.2 #8 |
| 3.8 #18 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 4.6 #15 |
| 4.2 #10 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 2.9 #18 |
| – #17 | – | Win | 37.7 | – | – #10 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.24 (home 1.78 · away 1.46)
- Home / draw / away
- 44% · 25% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 62% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 3.9 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
St. Pauli
No ranked players yet.
FSV Mainz 05 · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 6.97 (76th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (7% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.9 (61th pct) · G+A 5 + 2 (16% of team goals) · 68% of minutes
Team 1.12 ppg with (24) · 1.3 without (10)
Absences
St. Pauli
- injury James Sands midfielder · Ankle Injury · 15 missed
FSV Mainz 05
- injury Benedict Hollerbach #15 key player attacker · Achilles tendon rupture · 23 missed
- injury Kasey Bos defender · Shoulder Injury · 21 missed
- injury Maxim Leitsch defender · Hamstring Injury · 13 missed
- injury Silas #17 key player attacker · Tibia And Fibula Fracture · 17 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 32
Venue
- Stadium
- Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
- Capacity
- 29,546
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 29,546
Teams
- Coaches
- Alexander Blessin · Urs Fischer
- Position
- 16 · 10
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 3-5-2
Referee
Timo Gerach
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 24.9° (feels 24.7°)
- Wind
- 4.6
- Humidity
- 47%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Bayern München |
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | LWLWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig |
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart |
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 5 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | LWWLD |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg |
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | LDLLD |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | DLWLW |
| 11 |  FC Union Berlin |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | LLDWW |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | DDWLW |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | LLWWD |
| 14 |  FC Köln |
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg |
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WDDLW |
| 17 |  FC Heidenheim |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  St. Pauli |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 44 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 41 | LWLWW |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 39 | LDDWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 6 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 31 | LWWLD |
| 8 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 25 | LDLLD |
| 10 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 24 | DDWLW |
| 12 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 22 | LLDWW |
| 13 | FC Köln |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 | DLDLL |
| 14 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 19 | WDLLL |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 | DLWLW |
| 16 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 17 | St. Pauli |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 18 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 10 | WDDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 45 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 32 | LWLWW |
| 3 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 28 | LWWLD |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 23 | LDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 19 | LDLLD |
| 9 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 19 | WDDLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 11 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 | LLDWW |
| 12 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | WDLLL |
| 16 | FC Köln |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 17 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 | LWDWL |
| 18 | St. Pauli |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 9 | DLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
St. Pauli
LDLDL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 3 GA 11 · xG 5.3–10.39 · xPts 4.07
- L
A
FC Heidenheim
0–2
xG 0.85–1.63
GER BI
- D
H
FC Köln
1–1
xG 1.67–1.55
GER BI
- L
H
FC Bayern München
0–5
xG 0.61–3.19
GER BI
- D
A
FC Union Berlin
1–1
xG 0.39–1.72
GER BI
- L
H
SC Freiburg
1–2
xG 1.79–2.29
GER BI
LWWDLLDLDL 2W 3D 5L · 9 pts (0.9 ppg) · GF 6 GA 18 · xG 8.41–17.87 · xPts 8.09
- L
A
FC Heidenheim
0–2
xG 0.85–1.63
GER BI
- D
H
FC Köln
1–1
xG 1.67–1.55
GER BI
- L
H
FC Bayern München
0–5
xG 0.61–3.19
GER BI
- D
A
FC Union Berlin
1–1
xG 0.39–1.72
GER BI
- L
H
SC Freiburg
1–2
xG 1.79–2.29
GER BI
- L
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0–2
xG 0.64–0.69
GER BI
- D
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
0–0
xG 0.59–0.67
GER BI
- W
A
TSG Hoffenheim
1–0
xG 0.81–2.84
GER BI
- W
H
Werder Bremen
2–1
xG 0.41–1.62
GER BI
- L
A
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–4
xG 0.65–1.65
GER BI
FSV Mainz 05
WLLDL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 10 · xG 7.63–7.57 · xPts 7.29
- L
H
FC Bayern München
3–4
xG 2.7–2.17
GER BI
- D
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1–1
xG 2.3–0.77
GER BI
- L
A
Strasbourg
0–4
xG 0.34–2.93
UEFA ECL - L
H
SC Freiburg
0–1
xG 0.74–0.61
GER BI
- W
H
Strasbourg
2–0
xG 1.55–1.08
UEFA ECL
DWWWWWLLDL 5W 2D 3L · 17 pts (1.7 ppg) · GF 14 GA 12 · xG 14.79–12.92 · xPts 15.28
- L
H
FC Bayern München
3–4
xG 2.7–2.17
GER BI
- D
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1–1
xG 2.3–0.77
GER BI
- L
A
Strasbourg
0–4
xG 0.34–2.93
UEFA ECL
- L
H
SC Freiburg
0–1
xG 0.74–0.61
GER BI
- W
H
Strasbourg
2–0
xG 1.55–1.08
UEFA ECL
- W
A
TSG Hoffenheim
2–1
xG 1.67–1.43
GER BI
- W
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
2–1
xG 1.43–1.4
GER BI
- W
H
Sigma Olomouc
2–0
xG 1.98–0.51
UEFA ECL - W
A
Werder Bremen
2–0
xG 1.49–1.33
GER BI
- D
A
Sigma Olomouc
0–0
xG 0.59–0.68
UEFA ECL
All meetings · 6 matches since 2010
Goals 4–13 · 2.83 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 67%
Last 10 · 6 matches
Goals 4–13 · 2.83 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 67%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 2–9 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L St. Pauli 1–2 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- D FSV Mainz 05 0–0 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
- L FSV Mainz 05 2–0 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
- L St. Pauli 0–3 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- L FSV Mainz 05 2–1 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
- L St. Pauli 2–4 FSV Mainz 05 neutral GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | St. Pauli all · 34 | St. Pauli at home · 17 | FSV Mainz 05 all · 34 | FSV Mainz 05 away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 0.76 | 1.00 | 1.18 | 1.35 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 8 / 20 | 4 / 5 / 8 | 10 / 10 / 14 | 6 / 5 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 0.85 | 1.00 | 1.29 | 1.35 |
| Goals against / match | 1.76 | 1.82 | 1.56 | 1.65 |
| Clean sheets | 15% | 12% | 12% | 12% |
| Failed to score | 38% | 35% | 29% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 65% | 62% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 71% | 53% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.99 | 1.13 | 1.58 | 1.41 |
| xG against / match | 1.67 | 1.63 | 1.65 | 1.89 |
| xG difference | -0.68 | -0.50 | -0.07 | -0.48 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.14 | -0.13 | -0.28 | -0.06 |
| xPts / match | 0.97 | 1.11 | 1.39 | 1.18 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.21 | -0.11 | -0.22 | 0.17 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 29% | 29% | 47% | 53% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.81 | 1.89 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.29 | 0.50 | 0.59 | 0.75 |
| Came back from behind | 17% | 27% | 33% | 40% |
| Leads held | 54% | 67% | 53% | 54% |
| Minutes leading | 13% | 14% | 28% | 34% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 53% | 43% | 36% |
| Minutes trailing | 37% | 33% | 29% | 30% |
| First goal (min) | 50 | 53 | 37 | 37 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 45 | 44 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | 71% | 48% | 44% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 68% | 57% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.21 | 0.29 | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| Late goals against | 0.38 | 0.41 | 0.59 | 0.65 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 45% | 44% | 42% |
| Shots | 10.3 | 10.6 | 12.1 | 10.5 |
| On target | 3.4 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 59% | 61% | 76% | 75% |
| Big chances created | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3.2 | 3.0 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 5.9 | 5.1 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 34% | 46% | 39% | 40% |
| Goals from headers | 24% | 24% | 18% | 22% |
| Pressure index | 8.4 | 10.5 | 10.9 | 8.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 38.2 | 44.4 | 44.0 | 37.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 77% | 75% | 74% |
| Fouls | 9.6 | 9.5 | 11.0 | 10.1 |
| Cards | 1.68 | 1.82 | 2.24 | 2.53 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
St. Pauli
0–15'17
16–30'33
31–45'713
46–60'614
61–75'510
76–90'713
FSV Mainz 05
0–15'810
16–30'56
31–45'107
46–60'57
61–75'73
76–90'920
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
St. Pauli
No pressure profile yet.
FSV Mainz 05 · 3 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: when level +0.32
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.113
Early press (0-15, level)+0.223
Game state
When level+0.323
10 min after scoring+0.242
Situations
At home+0.032
4+ days rest+0.113
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.302
As favourite+0.032
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.193
Conceded late (76+)-0.422
Ahead vs level -0.34 · Behind vs level -0.58
St. Pauli
Current: winless 10 · scoring 3 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 18 53% | 0.89 | 0.83 | 1.89 | 1.01 | 1.79 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 10 29% | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.24 | 1.61 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.69 | 1.33 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.43 | 0.85 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.37 | 1.94 |
FSV Mainz 05
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 17 50% | 1.82 | 1.71 | 1.41 | 1.87 | 1.7 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 11 32% | 0.45 | 0.91 | 2.0 | 1.26 | 1.72 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.16 | 0.45 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.56 | 1.4 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.54 | 3.86 |
| Metric | St. Pauli all · 10 | St. Pauli at home · 10 | FSV Mainz 05 all · 10 | FSV Mainz 05 away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.30 | 1.00 | 1.10 | 1.80 |
| W / D / L | 0 / 3 / 7 | 2 / 4 / 4 | 3 / 2 / 5 | 5 / 3 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 0.60 | 0.90 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 2.00 | 1.60 | 1.70 | 1.20 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% | 60% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.98 | 1.11 | 1.91 | 1.66 |
| xG against / match | 1.95 | 1.72 | 1.55 | 1.54 |
| xG difference | -0.97 | -0.61 | 0.36 | 0.11 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.38 | -0.21 | -0.41 | -0.16 |
| xPts / match | 0.83 | 1.04 | 1.63 | 1.48 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.53 | -0.04 | -0.53 | 0.33 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 40% | 40% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.67 | 1.75 | 2.25 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.25 | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 20% | 17% | 33% |
| Leads held | 0% | 50% | 75% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | 9% | 16% | 34% | 41% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 57% | 34% | 34% |
| Minutes trailing | 45% | 27% | 32% | 25% |
| First goal (min) | 58 | 60 | 39 | 30 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 53 | 38 | 40 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 67% | 78% | 40% | 47% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 65% | 75% | 65% | 42% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | 41% | 48% | 44% |
| Shots | 10.0 | 9.8 | 15.9 | 11.6 |
| On target | 2.9 | 3.7 | 5.5 | 4.9 |
| Shot conversion | 6% | 9% | 9% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 63% | 69% | 76% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.1 | 3.8 | 3.7 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.7 | 3.8 |
| xG from set plays | 39% | 49% | 31% | 35% |
| Goals from headers | 33% | 33% | 7% | 20% |
| Pressure index | 9.0 | 9.0 | 14.4 | 10.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 39.9 | 38.4 | 51.0 | 44.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 76% | 80% | 78% |
| Fouls | 8.3 | 8.9 | 10.7 | 9.5 |
| Cards | 2.00 | 1.60 | 1.70 | 1.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
St. Pauli
0–15'03
16–30'20
31–45'04
46–60'14
61–75'14
76–90'25
FSV Mainz 05
0–15'32
16–30'21
31–45'43
46–60'23
61–75'03
76–90'45
St. Pauli
Current: winless 10 · scoring 3 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 80% | 0.38 | 0.5 | 1.88 | 0.94 | 1.72 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.62 | 3.46 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.65 | 2.23 |
FSV Mainz 05
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 6 60% | 1.5 | 2.17 | 2.0 | 2.07 | 1.88 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 3 30% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.98 | 1.21 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.74 | 0.61 |
| Metric | St. Pauli all · 31 | St. Pauli at home · 15 | FSV Mainz 05 all · 44 | FSV Mainz 05 away · 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 31 | 15 | 44 | 22 |
| Points per game | 0.61 | 0.87 | 1.43 | 1.36 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 7 / 20 | 3 / 4 / 8 | 17 / 12 / 15 | 8 / 6 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 0.71 | 0.80 | 1.36 | 1.32 |
| Goals against / match | 1.81 | 1.80 | 1.36 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 13% | 13% | 27% | 23% |
| Failed to score | 42% | 40% | 27% | 32% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 60% | 52% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 67% | 50% | 59% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.92 | 1.02 | 1.60 | 1.35 |
| xG against / match | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.56 | 1.81 |
| xG difference | -0.83 | -0.68 | 0.04 | -0.46 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.21 | -0.22 | -0.24 | -0.04 |
| xPts / match | 0.87 | 1.00 | 1.44 | 1.18 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.26 | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.18 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 29% | 33% | 52% | 54% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.56 | 2.00 | 2.09 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.67 | 0.56 |
| Came back from behind | 9% | 11% | 32% | 27% |
| Leads held | 44% | 60% | 63% | 57% |
| Minutes leading | 11% | 14% | 30% | 31% |
| Minutes level | 51% | 53% | 45% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 38% | 33% | 25% | 23% |
| First goal (min) | 52 | 54 | 37 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 48 | 42 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 59% | 67% | 50% | 45% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 70% | 55% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| Late goals against | 0.42 | 0.47 | 0.43 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 44% | 44% | 42% |
| Shots | 9.9 | 10.5 | 12.4 | 10.5 |
| On target | 3.0 | 3.8 | 4.3 | 4.0 |
| Shot conversion | 7% | 8% | 11% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 60% | 74% | 74% |
| Big chances created | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3.1 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 6.1 | 5.1 | 4.0 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 43% | 38% | 35% |
| Goals from headers | 27% | 25% | 17% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 8.0 | 10.1 | 12.1 | 10.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 36.3 | 42.4 | 46.3 | 41.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 77% | 76% | 75% |
| Fouls | 9.2 | 9.3 | 11.5 | 10.6 |
| Cards | 1.65 | 1.87 | 2.20 | 2.55 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
St. Pauli
0–15'17
16–30'22
31–45'612
46–60'414
61–75'58
76–90'413
FSV Mainz 05
0–15'910
16–30'98
31–45'129
46–60'88
61–75'96
76–90'1319
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
St. Pauli · 31 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.16) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.37
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1631
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0931
Late push (76+, level)-0.3711
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2819
Game state
When ahead-0.289
When level-0.1431
When behind-0.1522
10 min after conceding-0.3527
10 min after scoring-0.1718
Situations
With ten men-0.292
At home-0.1315
Away-0.1916
4+ days rest-0.1530
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3411
v mid-tier opponents-0.1011
v bottom-tier opponents-0.015
Evenly matched-0.1013
As underdog-0.2417
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2831
Conceded when ahead+0.479
Conceded late (76+)+0.2328
Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.01
FSV Mainz 05 · 44 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.28
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0344
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0244
Late push (76+, level)-0.2519
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2314
Game state
When ahead-0.0126
When level+0.0644
When behind+0.0322
10 min after conceding-0.2131
10 min after scoring+0.2831
Situations
With ten men+0.065
Against ten men-0.172
At home+0.0222
Away+0.0522
3 days rest or fewer-0.0911
4+ days rest+0.0733
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2511
v mid-tier opponents-0.2713
v bottom-tier opponents+0.258
As favourite+0.0817
Evenly matched+0.2412
As underdog-0.1815
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0844
Conceded when ahead+0.0326
Conceded late (76+)-0.0138
Congested vs rested -0.16 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.03
St. Pauli
Current: winless 10 · scoring 3 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 18 58% | 0.89 | 0.83 | 1.89 | 1.01 | 1.79 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 7 23% | 0.14 | 0.43 | 1.86 | 1.03 | 1.94 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.37 | 1.94 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.43 | 0.85 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.69 | 1.33 |
FSV Mainz 05
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 22 50% | 1.86 | 1.73 | 1.27 | 1.77 | 1.56 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 10 23% | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.22 | 1.86 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 4 9% | 0.5 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 1.69 | 1.42 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 7% | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.67 | 1.35 | 1.23 |
| 3-4-3 | 3 7% | 2.0 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 1.96 | 0.57 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.87Home 33% P 34%3.25Draw 29% P 29%2.5Away 38% P 37%
Double Chance
1.5St Pauli or Draw 31%1.3St Pauli or Mainz 36%1.4Draw or Mainz 33%
Draw No Bet
1.91 49%1.82 51%
Both Teams To Score
1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.1Over 45% P 46%1.72Under 55% P 54%
Total Corners
7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%
Number of Cards
3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 35–37.5% · 691 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 34% | 34% | 34% | +0.5 |
| Draw | 29% | 30% | 27% | -2.5 |
| Away | 37% | 36% | 38% | +2.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 46% | 45% | -1.2 |
Timo Gerach
- Career
- 30 matches · 5 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.43 (4.13 yellow · 0.17 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.9 · 4.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.5
- Cards to home side
- 43%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 29 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.52 | 4.14 | +0.67 | 74 |
| Fouls / match | 20.9 | 22.3 | -1.39 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.8 | 5.4 | -1.05 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.48 | 0.32 | +1.75 | 96 |
| Time added | 7.2 | 6.8 | +0.30 | 67 |
- First card
- 36' on average
- Card timing
- 13% in first 30' · 26% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 43% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.31
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 31' | 6 |
| 2026-03-08 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 16' | 9 |
| 2026-02-07 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 47' | 7 |
| 2026-01-10 | 8 | 1 | 24 | 1 | 4' | 13 |
| 2025-11-28 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 45' | 8 |
| 2025-10-18 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 7' | 8 |
| 2025-09-20 | 7 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 35' | 10 |
| 2025-08-30 | 5 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 45' | 9 |
| 2025-05-11 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 12' | 9 |