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Bundesliga · Matchweek 32

Momentum

SC FreiburgWOB
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
32

Venue

Stadium
Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
Capacity
34,700
Surface
grass
Attendance
32,500

Teams

Coaches
Julian Schuster · Dieter Hecking
Position
8 · 17
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Bastian Dankert

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
15.7° (feels 15.0°)
Wind
3.8
Humidity
65%

Where to watch · 402

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

SC Freiburg

WWWLL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 5.51–9.79 · xPts 4.57

  • L A Sporting Braga 1–2 xG 1.2–2.68 UEFA EL
  • L A Borussia Dortmund 0–4 xG 0.5–2.87 GER BI
  • W H FC Heidenheim 2–1 xG 2.07–1.89 GER BI
  • W A Celta de Vigo 3–1 xG 1.13–1.62 UEFA EL
  • W A FSV Mainz 05 1–0 xG 0.61–0.74 GER BI

VfL Wolfsburg

LLLWD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 10 · xG 7.22–8.05 · xPts 6.95

  • D H Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 xG 1.64–0.75 GER BI
  • W A FC Union Berlin 2–1 xG 0.21–1.94 GER BI
  • L H Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 xG 2.59–0.88 GER BI
  • L A Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–6 xG 1.83–4.09 GER BI
  • L H Werder Bremen 0–1 xG 0.94–0.38 GER BI

All meetings · 32 matches since 2009

SC Freiburg 146 draws12 VfL Wolfsburg

Goals 48–57 · 3.28 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 66%

Last 10 · 10 matches

SC Freiburg 71 draws2 VfL Wolfsburg

Goals 18–16 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

SC Freiburg 31 draws1 VfL Wolfsburg

Goals 10–8 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D SC Freiburg 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfL Wolfsburg 3–4 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W SC Freiburg 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L SC Freiburg 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W SC Freiburg 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfL Wolfsburg 6–0 SC Freiburg neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • W SC Freiburg 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfL Wolfsburg 0–2 SC Freiburg neutral GER BI · Regular Season
MetricSC Freiburg all · 34SC Freiburg at home · 17VfL Wolfsburg all · 34VfL Wolfsburg away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.381.880.851.12
W / D / L13 / 8 / 139 / 5 / 37 / 8 / 195 / 4 / 8
Goals for / match1.501.941.321.41
Goals against / match1.681.292.032.18
Clean sheets18%12%6%6%
Failed to score26%6%24%18%
Both teams scored62%82%74%76%
Over 2.565%71%65%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.511.881.391.20
xG against / match1.521.311.892.10
xG difference-0.010.58-0.50-0.89
Finishing vs xG-0.010.06-0.070.21
xPts / match1.361.711.140.93
Points vs xPts0.020.17-0.280.19
Game state
Scored first44%59%53%71%
PPG when scoring first2.002.101.441.58
PPG when conceding first0.881.570.130.00
Came back from behind44%70%10%0%
Leads held68%69%35%42%
Minutes leading22%32%27%36%
Minutes level54%50%43%38%
Minutes trailing23%18%30%26%
First goal (min)38373532
First goal conceded (min)42454348
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%58%51%46%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%46%62%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.470.210.18
Late goals against0.380.290.560.65
Style
Possession48%51%45%42%
Shots12.314.211.910.2
On target4.25.14.23.7
Shot conversion12%14%11%14%
Shots inside box69%69%64%60%
Big chances created2.32.82.62.2
Corners4.14.54.43.5
xG from set plays42%41%32%32%
Goals from headers14%9%25%17%
Pressure index14.318.39.15.6
Dominant minutes51.058.138.129.8
Pass accuracy80%80%78%76%
Fouls9.48.911.511.0
Cards1.621.652.152.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

SC Freiburg

0–15'76
16–30'65
31–45'711
46–60'1017
61–75'95
76–90'1213

VfL Wolfsburg

0–15'96
16–30'710
31–45'610
46–60'811
61–75'813
76–90'719

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

SC Freiburg · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.62) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.87

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.625
Early press (0-15, level)+0.185

Game state

When ahead+0.375
When level+0.615
10 min after conceding+0.982
10 min after scoring+0.875

Situations

Against ten men+0.493
At home+0.663
Away+0.582
4+ days rest+0.594

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.202
As favourite+0.625

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.315
Conceded when ahead-0.235
Conceded late (76+)-0.324

Congested vs rested +0.28 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level +2.14

VfL Wolfsburg

No pressure profile yet.

SC Freiburg

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-131 91%1.321.391.611.451.52
4-4-22 6%1.52.03.51.392.28
4-4-1-11 3%3.04.00.03.720.09

VfL Wolfsburg

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%0.831.382.211.261.97
3-4-2-16 18%0.671.332.171.361.86
3-5-22 6%0.50.51.01.91.72
3-1-4-22 6%2.01.50.52.551.19

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.0Home 48% P 46%3.6Draw 27% P 27%3.7Away 26% P 27%

Double Chance

1.44SC Freiburg or Draw 33%1.3SC Freiburg or Wolfsburg 36%1.5Draw or Wolfsburg 31%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 60%2.2Under 43% P 40%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 46%1.72Under 54% P 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 854 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home46%46%44%-1.8
Draw27%28%30%+1.8
Away27%26%26%-0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.560%59%60%+0.8

Bastian Dankert

Career
206 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.13 (3.94 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 65 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.894.15-0.7222
Fouls / match22.922.3+0.46
Fouls per card6.25.4+1.24 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.33-1.657
Time added6.26.8-0.7615
First card
38' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-18 10 140 40'5
2026-04-04 40 230 42'7
2026-03-14 14 9
2026-03-01 50 201 31'10
2026-02-14 40 161 28'9
2026-01-25 · SC Freiburg 30 141 62'7
2026-01-10 20 170 19'5
2025-11-29 61 220 39'8
2025-11-08 10 120 36'5
2025-10-18 40 290 20'6