Rating 7.41 (95th pct) · G+A 12 + 2 (32% of team goals) · 68% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (24) · 1.5 without (10)
Bundesliga · Matchweek 33
Momentum
– FSV Mainz 05FCU –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| FSV Mainz 05 | at home | Stat | league | away | FC Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.9 #16 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 40.2 #18 |
| 12.1 #13 | – | Shots total | 13.3 | – | 12.5 #10 |
| 4.2 #13 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 3.9 #16 |
| 5.1 #7 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 5.0 #8 |
| 11.0 #7 | – | Fouls | 10.4 | – | 12.3 #2 |
| 2.3 #2 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.6 #13 |
| 15.3 #9 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 14.7 #12 |
| 100.0 #7 | – | Attacks | 98.2 | – | 90.8 #14 |
| 49.7 #7 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.7 | – | 44.2 #10 |
| 370.8 #16 | – | Passes | 456.1 | – | 334.3 #18 |
| 2.0 #7 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.1 #5 |
| 0.1 #1 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #2 |
| 0.8 #17 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 0.9 #11 |
| – #8 | – | Btts | 61.8 | – | – #8 |
| – #15 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #7 |
| – #5 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #6 |
| 1.6 #7 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.4 #13 |
| -0.3 #18 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | -0.1 #11 |
| – #5 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #9 |
| 1.3 #12 | 1.2 | Goals | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 #12 |
| 1.6 #11 | 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.7 #8 |
| 0.2 #16 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.4 #3 |
| 10.5 #1 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 8.9 #11 |
| – #8 | – | Lost | 37.7 | – | – #6 |
| 0.2 #2 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #14 |
| 6.8 #9 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #16 |
| 3.4 #11 | – | Shots blocked | 3.5 | – | 3.1 #12 |
| 9.2 #8 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.0 | – | 9.0 #9 |
| 4.6 #15 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 5.4 #5 |
| 2.9 #18 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 3.4 #16 |
| – #10 | – | Win | 37.7 | – | – #10 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.24 (home 1.78 · away 1.46)
- Home / draw / away
- 44% · 25% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 62% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 3.9 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
FSV Mainz 05 · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 6.97 (75th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (7% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.9 (60th pct) · G+A 5 + 2 (16% of team goals) · 68% of minutes
Team 1.12 ppg with (24) · 1.3 without (10)
FC Union Berlin · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 6.95 (70th pct) · G+A 5 + 10 (34% of team goals) · 74% of minutes
Team 1.21 ppg with (24) · 1.0 without (10)
Rating 6.94 (73th pct) · G+A 3 + 0 (7% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Rating 6.7 (26th pct) · G+A 5 + 1 (14% of team goals) · 93% of minutes
Absences
FSV Mainz 05
- injury Benedict Hollerbach #15 key player attacker · Achilles tendon rupture · 23 missed
- injury Kasey Bos defender · Shoulder Injury · 21 missed
- injury Maxim Leitsch defender · Hamstring Injury · 13 missed
- injury Silas #17 key player attacker · Tibia And Fibula Fracture · 17 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 33
Venue
- Stadium
- Mewa Arena, Mainz
- Capacity
- 34,000
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 32,600
Teams
- Coaches
- Urs Fischer · Marie-Louise Eta
- Position
- 10 · 13
- Formation
- 3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Florian Exner
Weather
- Conditions
- heavy intensity rain
- Temperature
- 21.1° (feels 20.4°)
- Wind
- 2.1
- Humidity
- 46%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Bayern München |
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | LWLWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig |
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart |
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 5 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | LWWLD |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg |
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | LDLLD |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | DLWLW |
| 11 |  FC Union Berlin |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | LLDWW |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | DDWLW |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | LLWWD |
| 14 |  FC Köln |
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg |
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WDDLW |
| 17 |  FC Heidenheim |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  St. Pauli |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 44 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 41 | LWLWW |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 39 | LDDWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 6 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 31 | LWWLD |
| 8 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 25 | LDLLD |
| 10 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 24 | DDWLW |
| 12 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 22 | LLDWW |
| 13 | FC Köln |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 | DLDLL |
| 14 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 19 | WDLLL |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 | DLWLW |
| 16 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 17 | St. Pauli |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 18 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 10 | WDDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 45 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 32 | LWLWW |
| 3 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 28 | LWWLD |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 23 | LDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 19 | LDLLD |
| 9 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 19 | WDDLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 11 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 | LLDWW |
| 12 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | WDLLL |
| 16 | FC Köln |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 17 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 | LWDWL |
| 18 | St. Pauli |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 9 | DLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
FSV Mainz 05
LLDLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 11 · xG 8.1–7.48 · xPts 7.63
- W
A
St. Pauli
2–1
xG 2.02–0.99
GER BI
- L
H
FC Bayern München
3–4
xG 2.7–2.17
GER BI
- D
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1–1
xG 2.3–0.77
GER BI
- L
A
Strasbourg
0–4
xG 0.34–2.93
UEFA ECL - L
H
SC Freiburg
0–1
xG 0.74–0.61
GER BI
WWWWWLLDLW 6W 1D 3L · 19 pts (1.9 ppg) · GF 16 GA 13 · xG 16.21–13.24 · xPts 16.1
- W
A
St. Pauli
2–1
xG 2.02–0.99
GER BI
- L
H
FC Bayern München
3–4
xG 2.7–2.17
GER BI
- D
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1–1
xG 2.3–0.77
GER BI
- L
A
Strasbourg
0–4
xG 0.34–2.93
UEFA ECL
- L
H
SC Freiburg
0–1
xG 0.74–0.61
GER BI
- W
H
Strasbourg
2–0
xG 1.55–1.08
UEFA ECL
- W
A
TSG Hoffenheim
2–1
xG 1.67–1.43
GER BI
- W
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
2–1
xG 1.43–1.4
GER BI
- W
H
Sigma Olomouc
2–0
xG 1.98–0.51
UEFA ECL - W
A
Werder Bremen
2–0
xG 1.49–1.33
GER BI
FC Union Berlin
DLLLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 11 · xG 6.02–7.64 · xPts 6.82
- D
H
FC Köln
2–2
xG 1.18–1.41
GER BI
- L
A
RB Leipzig
1–3
xG 0.21–3.4
GER BI
- L
H
VfL Wolfsburg
1–2
xG 1.94–0.21
GER BI
- L
A
FC Heidenheim
1–3
xG 0.96–2.22
GER BI
- D
H
St. Pauli
1–1
xG 1.72–0.39
GER BI
WLLWLDLLLD 2W 2D 6L · 8 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 20 · xG 9.33–18.44 · xPts 9.97
- D
H
FC Köln
2–2
xG 1.18–1.41
GER BI
- L
A
RB Leipzig
1–3
xG 0.21–3.4
GER BI
- L
H
VfL Wolfsburg
1–2
xG 1.94–0.21
GER BI
- L
A
FC Heidenheim
1–3
xG 0.96–2.22
GER BI
- D
H
St. Pauli
1–1
xG 1.72–0.39
GER BI
- L
A
FC Bayern München
0–4
xG 0.31–3.85
GER BI
- W
A
SC Freiburg
1–0
xG 0.64–1.39
GER BI
- L
H
Werder Bremen
1–4
xG 1.23–1.94
GER BI
- L
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0–1
xG 0.14–2.42
GER BI
- W
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–0
xG 1.0–1.19
GER BI
All meetings · 14 matches since 2019
Goals 14–28 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 79% · over 2.5 64%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 10–20 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 90% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 6–9 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L FSV Mainz 05 1–3 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
- D FC Union Berlin 2–2 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- L FC Union Berlin 2–1 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- D FSV Mainz 05 1–1 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
- D FSV Mainz 05 1–1 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
- L FC Union Berlin 4–1 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- L FC Union Berlin 2–1 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- D FSV Mainz 05 0–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
- L FC Union Berlin 3–1 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
- L FSV Mainz 05 1–2 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 all · 34 | FSV Mainz 05 at home · 17 | FC Union Berlin all · 34 | FC Union Berlin away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.18 | 1.00 | 1.15 | 1.00 |
| W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 14 | 4 / 5 / 8 | 10 / 9 / 15 | 5 / 2 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.29 | 1.24 | 1.29 | 1.06 |
| Goals against / match | 1.56 | 1.47 | 1.71 | 1.88 |
| Clean sheets | 12% | 12% | 21% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 29% | 35% | 24% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 59% | 62% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 41% | 62% | 53% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.58 | 1.74 | 1.37 | 1.17 |
| xG against / match | 1.65 | 1.40 | 1.48 | 1.79 |
| xG difference | -0.07 | 0.34 | -0.11 | -0.62 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.28 | -0.50 | -0.07 | -0.11 |
| xPts / match | 1.39 | 1.60 | 1.37 | 1.09 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.22 | -0.60 | -0.22 | -0.09 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 47% | 41% | 41% | 35% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.81 | 1.71 | 2.21 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.59 | 0.44 | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 27% | 29% | 17% |
| Leads held | 53% | 50% | 71% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 23% | 18% | 10% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 49% | 50% | 54% |
| Minutes trailing | 29% | 28% | 31% | 36% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 36 | 53 | 63 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 44 | 45 | 43 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 48% | 52% | 66% | 72% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 60% | 53% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.26 | 0.35 | 0.50 | 0.47 |
| Late goals against | 0.59 | 0.53 | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 46% | 40% | 39% |
| Shots | 12.1 | 13.6 | 12.5 | 11.7 |
| On target | 4.2 | 4.2 | 3.9 | 3.5 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 9% | 10% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 76% | 77% | 73% | 74% |
| Big chances created | 3.2 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 6.2 | 5.0 | 4.8 |
| xG from set plays | 39% | 38% | 48% | 46% |
| Goals from headers | 18% | 14% | 21% | 18% |
| Pressure index | 10.9 | 12.9 | 9.1 | 8.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 44.0 | 50.3 | 34.7 | 32.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 75% | 76% | 72% | 72% |
| Fouls | 11.0 | 11.8 | 12.3 | 12.5 |
| Cards | 2.24 | 1.94 | 2.15 | 1.71 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FSV Mainz 05
0–15'810
16–30'56
31–45'107
46–60'57
61–75'73
76–90'920
FC Union Berlin
0–15'34
16–30'65
31–45'618
46–60'611
61–75'66
76–90'1714
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
FSV Mainz 05 · 3 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: when level +0.32
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.113
Early press (0-15, level)+0.223
Game state
When level+0.323
10 min after scoring+0.242
Situations
At home+0.032
4+ days rest+0.113
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.302
As favourite+0.032
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.193
Conceded late (76+)-0.422
Ahead vs level -0.34 · Behind vs level -0.58
FC Union Berlin · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.52
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.144
Early press (0-15, level)-0.524
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.182
Game state
When level-0.504
When behind-0.044
10 min after conceding-0.424
10 min after scoring-0.202
Situations
At home-0.052
Away-0.322
4+ days rest-0.144
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.322
Evenly matched-0.052
As underdog-0.322
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.362
Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.46
FSV Mainz 05
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 17 50% | 1.82 | 1.71 | 1.41 | 1.87 | 1.7 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 11 32% | 0.45 | 0.91 | 2.0 | 1.26 | 1.72 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.16 | 0.45 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.56 | 1.4 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.54 | 3.86 |
FC Union Berlin
Current: winless 4 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 19 56% | 1.21 | 1.21 | 1.47 | 1.44 | 1.36 |
| 3-5-2 | 6 18% | 0.5 | 1.17 | 2.67 | 0.93 | 2.24 |
| 5-3-2 | 5 15% | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 1.16 | 1.45 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 6% | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 2.55 | 1.07 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.64 | 1.39 |
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 all · 10 | FSV Mainz 05 at home · 10 | FC Union Berlin all · 10 | FC Union Berlin away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 1.20 | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 5 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 2 / 2 / 6 | 2 / 0 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.60 | 0.90 |
| Goals against / match | 1.70 | 1.50 | 2.80 | 2.90 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 20% | 20% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% | 70% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% | 100% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.91 | 1.83 | 1.45 | 0.90 |
| xG against / match | 1.55 | 1.33 | 1.94 | 2.46 |
| xG difference | 0.36 | 0.50 | -0.50 | -1.56 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.41 | -0.43 | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| xPts / match | 1.63 | 1.70 | 1.25 | 0.68 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.53 | -0.50 | -0.45 | -0.08 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 60% | 30% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.25 | 1.83 | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 17% | 20% | 25% | 0% |
| Leads held | 75% | 50% | 67% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 29% | 11% | 2% |
| Minutes level | 34% | 54% | 24% | 48% |
| Minutes trailing | 32% | 17% | 65% | 50% |
| First goal (min) | 39 | 37 | 56 | 63 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 44 | 20 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 40% | 43% | 75% | 78% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 65% | 73% | 50% | 48% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 44% | 48% | 38% |
| Shots | 15.9 | 16.5 | 13.4 | 8.7 |
| On target | 5.5 | 5.0 | 5.2 | 3.0 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 8% | 12% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 72% | 73% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 3.8 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 6.2 | 4.6 | 3.8 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 29% | 44% | 52% |
| Goals from headers | 7% | 21% | 31% | 33% |
| Pressure index | 14.4 | 13.8 | 12.8 | 6.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.0 | 53.6 | 46.2 | 30.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 78% | 76% | 72% |
| Fouls | 10.7 | 12.0 | 10.0 | 12.2 |
| Cards | 1.70 | 1.50 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FSV Mainz 05
0–15'32
16–30'21
31–45'43
46–60'23
61–75'03
76–90'45
FC Union Berlin
0–15'25
16–30'05
31–45'24
46–60'15
61–75'26
76–90'93
FSV Mainz 05
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 6 60% | 1.5 | 2.17 | 2.0 | 2.07 | 1.88 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 3 30% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.98 | 1.21 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.74 | 0.61 |
FC Union Berlin
Current: winless 4 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 30% | 2.0 | 2.33 | 2.67 | 1.79 | 1.7 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.34 | 2.95 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 2.41 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.96 | 2.22 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.13 | 1.19 |
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 all · 44 | FSV Mainz 05 at home · 22 | FC Union Berlin all · 35 | FC Union Berlin away · 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 44 | 22 | 35 | 18 |
| Points per game | 1.43 | 1.50 | 1.06 | 0.94 |
| W / D / L | 17 / 12 / 15 | 9 / 6 / 7 | 9 / 10 / 16 | 5 / 2 / 11 |
| Goals for / match | 1.36 | 1.41 | 1.26 | 1.00 |
| Goals against / match | 1.36 | 1.23 | 1.91 | 2.22 |
| Clean sheets | 27% | 32% | 20% | 17% |
| Failed to score | 27% | 23% | 26% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 54% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 41% | 63% | 56% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.60 | 1.85 | 1.34 | 1.11 |
| xG against / match | 1.56 | 1.31 | 1.53 | 1.94 |
| xG difference | 0.04 | 0.54 | -0.19 | -0.83 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.24 | -0.44 | -0.08 | -0.11 |
| xPts / match | 1.44 | 1.71 | 1.35 | 1.01 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.01 | -0.21 | -0.29 | -0.06 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 52% | 50% | 40% | 33% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.09 | 2.18 | 2.07 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.67 | 0.78 | 0.32 | 0.17 |
| Came back from behind | 32% | 36% | 30% | 15% |
| Leads held | 63% | 69% | 64% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | 30% | 29% | 16% | 9% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 44% | 47% | 49% |
| Minutes trailing | 25% | 26% | 37% | 42% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 40 | 54 | 63 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 38 | 38 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 55% | 68% | 72% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 55% | 56% | 52% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.41 | 0.57 | 0.44 |
| Late goals against | 0.43 | 0.36 | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 46% | 41% | 39% |
| Shots | 12.4 | 14.4 | 12.3 | 10.8 |
| On target | 4.3 | 4.6 | 4.0 | 3.2 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 74% | 75% | 73% | 74% |
| Big chances created | 3.1 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 6.2 | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| xG from set plays | 38% | 40% | 48% | 47% |
| Goals from headers | 17% | 16% | 26% | 18% |
| Pressure index | 12.1 | 14.2 | 9.9 | 8.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 46.3 | 51.5 | 36.7 | 31.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 76% | 72% | 73% |
| Fouls | 11.5 | 12.4 | 11.9 | 12.4 |
| Cards | 2.20 | 1.86 | 2.23 | 1.89 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FSV Mainz 05
0–15'910
16–30'98
31–45'129
46–60'88
61–75'96
76–90'1319
FC Union Berlin
0–15'47
16–30'58
31–45'517
46–60'512
61–75'510
76–90'2013
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
FSV Mainz 05 · 44 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.28
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0344
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0244
Late push (76+, level)-0.2519
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2314
Game state
When ahead-0.0126
When level+0.0644
When behind+0.0322
10 min after conceding-0.2131
10 min after scoring+0.2831
Situations
With ten men+0.065
Against ten men-0.172
At home+0.0222
Away+0.0522
3 days rest or fewer-0.0911
4+ days rest+0.0733
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2511
v mid-tier opponents-0.2713
v bottom-tier opponents+0.258
As favourite+0.0817
Evenly matched+0.2512
As underdog-0.1815
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0844
Conceded when ahead+0.0326
Conceded late (76+)-0.0138
Congested vs rested -0.16 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.03
FC Union Berlin · 35 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.39
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0935
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1335
Late push (76+, level)-0.1715
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0918
Game state
When ahead-0.1914
When level-0.1835
When behind+0.0922
10 min after conceding-0.2628
10 min after scoring+0.2126
Situations
With ten men+0.013
Against ten men+0.274
At home-0.1017
Away-0.0718
4+ days rest-0.0934
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3912
v mid-tier opponents-0.0612
v bottom-tier opponents-0.275
As favourite+0.096
Evenly matched-0.1317
As underdog-0.1412
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2335
Conceded when ahead+0.4514
Conceded late (76+)+0.2431
Congested vs rested -0.12 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level +0.28
FSV Mainz 05
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 22 50% | 1.86 | 1.73 | 1.27 | 1.77 | 1.56 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 10 23% | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.22 | 1.86 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 4 9% | 0.5 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 1.69 | 1.42 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 7% | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.67 | 1.35 | 1.23 |
| 3-4-3 | 3 7% | 2.0 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 1.96 | 0.57 |
FC Union Berlin
Current: winless 4 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 18 51% | 1.28 | 1.17 | 1.33 | 1.34 | 1.28 |
| 3-5-2 | 6 17% | 0.5 | 1.17 | 2.67 | 0.93 | 2.24 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 9% | 2.0 | 2.33 | 2.67 | 1.79 | 1.7 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 1.0 | 2.33 | 1.5 | 1.11 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.34 | 2.95 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.66Home 57% P 57%4.2Draw 22% P 22%4.5Away 21% P 21%
Double Chance
1.2Mainz or Draw 39%1.22Mainz or Union Berlin 38%2.1Draw or Union Berlin 22%
Draw No Bet
1.31 72%3.42 28%
Both Teams To Score
1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.66Over 57% P 68%2.2Under 43% P 32%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
3.51.83Over 50% P 49%1.83Under 50% P 51%
4.52.1Over 44% P 32%1.66Under 56% P 68%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 20–22.5% · 299 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 57% | 56% | 60% | +4.2 |
| Draw | 22% | 23% | 21% | -1.7 |
| Away | 21% | 21% | 18% | -2.5 |
In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 59%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 69% | 69% | +0.6 |
Florian Exner
- Career
- 26 matches · 4 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.85 (4.58 yellow · 0.15 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.6 · 4.5 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.39
- Cards to home side
- 52%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 26 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 5.04 | 4.15 | +1.81 | 96 |
| Fouls / match | 21.6 | 22.3 | -0.75 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.3 | 5.4 | -1.81 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.39 | 0.33 | +0.61 | 78 |
| Time added | 9.9 | 6.8 | +3.15 | 100 |
- First card
- 32' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 52% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.13
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | 7 | 1 | 28 | 0 | 45' | 15 |
| 2026-04-05 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 22' | 8 |
| 2026-03-07 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 3 | 20' | 14 |
| 2026-02-14 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 9' | 10 |
| 2026-01-27 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 49' | 6 |
| 2026-01-24 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 73' | 7 |
| 2025-12-06 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 13' | 9 |
| 2025-11-08 · FC Union Berlin | 6 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 15' | 14 |
| 2025-10-18 · FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 30' | 15 |
| 2025-09-27 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 90' | 13 |