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Bundesliga · Matchweek 33

Momentum

BVBSGE
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
33

Venue

Stadium
Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
Capacity
81,365
Surface
grass
Attendance
81,365

Teams

Coaches
Niko Kovač · Riera
Position
2 · 8
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Patrick Ittrich

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
10.6° (feels 9.8°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
81%

Where to watch · 402

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Borussia Dortmund

WLLWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 6.27–6.81 · xPts 6.57

  • L A Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–1 xG 0.72–2.55 GER BI
  • W H SC Freiburg 4–0 xG 2.87–0.5 GER BI
  • L A TSG Hoffenheim 1–2 xG 0.86–2.35 GER BI
  • L H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–1 xG 1.21–0.67 GER BI
  • W A VfB Stuttgart 2–0 xG 0.61–0.74 GER BI

Eintracht Frankfurt

DWLDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 6.48–10.88 · xPts 4.48

  • L H Hamburger SV 1–2 xG 0.71–0.69 GER BI
  • D A FC Augsburg 1–1 xG 1.25–2.22 GER BI
  • L H RB Leipzig 1–3 xG 1.26–2.53 GER BI
  • W A VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 xG 0.88–2.59 GER BI
  • D H FC Köln 2–2 xG 2.38–2.84 GER BI

All meetings · 40 matches since 2005

Borussia Dortmund 2012 draws8 Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals 85–50 · 3.38 per match · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Borussia Dortmund 72 draws1 Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals 28–16 · 4.4 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Borussia Dortmund 31 draws1 Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals 11–8 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 3–3 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Eintracht Frankfurt 2–0 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Dortmund 3–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 3–3 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Dortmund 4–0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 Borussia Dortmund neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 2–3 Borussia Dortmund neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Dortmund 5–2 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
MetricBorussia Dortmund all · 34Borussia Dortmund at home · 17Eintracht Frankfurt all · 34Eintracht Frankfurt away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.152.411.291.12
W / D / L22 / 7 / 513 / 2 / 211 / 11 / 124 / 7 / 6
Goals for / match2.062.351.791.88
Goals against / match1.000.941.912.24
Clean sheets44%53%21%6%
Failed to score6%6%9%12%
Both teams scored50%41%74%88%
Over 2.556%59%68%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.832.251.351.21
xG against / match1.251.081.501.76
xG difference0.581.18-0.15-0.55
Finishing vs xG0.230.100.450.67
xPts / match1.692.011.311.06
Points vs xPts0.460.40-0.020.05
Game state
Scored first76%76%50%41%
PPG when scoring first2.502.621.941.57
PPG when conceding first1.001.750.630.78
Came back from behind54%67%43%50%
Leads held79%87%55%44%
Minutes leading42%48%25%28%
Minutes level46%40%46%42%
Minutes trailing12%13%29%30%
First goal (min)39344133
First goal conceded (min)48353536
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%50%56%44%
Goals conceded in 2nd half68%62%58%55%
Late goals for (76'+)0.590.650.380.35
Late goals against0.350.180.560.82
Style
Possession53%56%55%56%
Shots13.114.812.010.9
On target4.85.44.63.9
Shot conversion16%16%15%17%
Shots inside box74%72%67%66%
Big chances created3.23.92.52.4
Corners5.37.24.73.9
xG from set plays36%38%28%22%
Goals from headers23%20%12%12%
Pressure index16.821.512.812.3
Dominant minutes55.464.548.544.5
Pass accuracy83%85%83%83%
Fouls11.611.510.410.6
Cards1.911.592.062.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Borussia Dortmund

0–15'92
16–30'54
31–45'185
46–60'85
61–75'106
76–90'2012

Eintracht Frankfurt

0–15'59
16–30'118
31–45'1110
46–60'119
61–75'1010
76–90'1319

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Borussia Dortmund · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.014
Early press (0-15, level)-0.394
Late push (76+, level)-0.062

Game state

When ahead+0.154
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.432
10 min after scoring+0.384

Situations

At home+0.093
4+ days rest-0.053

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.062
As favourite+0.093

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.054
Conceded when ahead-0.184
Conceded late (76+)-0.374

Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.34

Eintracht Frankfurt · 3 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.76

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.173
Early press (0-15, level)-0.023

Game state

When ahead+0.253
When level-0.193
When behind+0.102
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.763

Situations

Away+0.042
4+ days rest+0.173

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.223
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.253

Ahead vs level +0.44 · Behind vs level +0.29

Borussia Dortmund

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 6 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 74%2.122.081.01.721.35
3-4-34 12%2.52.00.751.870.97
3-5-23 9%3.02.330.672.960.8
3-5-1-11 3%0.00.01.01.210.67
3-4-1-21 3%1.03.03.01.561.77

Eintracht Frankfurt

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-110 29%0.71.52.51.321.98
4-2-3-110 29%1.51.71.61.211.39
4-3-34 12%1.01.251.51.380.87
4-1-4-14 12%2.02.51.751.791.21
4-5-12 6%1.53.53.01.551.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.72Home 55% P 55%4.2Draw 22% P 22%4.1Away 23% P 23%

Double Chance

1.22Borussia Dortmund or Draw 39%1.22Borussia Dortmund or Eintracht Frankfurt 39%2.1Draw or Eintracht Frankfurt 23%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

1.44Yes 65%2.62No 35%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.4Over 68% P 69%3.0Under 32% P 31%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

2.51.57Over 59% P 57%2.25Under 41% P 43%
3.52.2Over 42% P 36%1.61Under 58% P 64%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 22.5–25% · 134 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home55%53%58%+4.7
Draw22%23%22%-1.6
Away23%23%20%-3.1

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 54%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.569%69%69%+0.6

Patrick Ittrich

Career
94 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.19 (4.03 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
27.2 · 6.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.37
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 42 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.714.15-1.127
Fouls / match24.122.3+1.54
Fouls per card6.75.4+1.86 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.360.33+0.3059
Time added6.76.8-0.2333
First card
34' on average
Card timing
21% in first 30' · 28% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.47

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-19 10 190 70'7
2026-03-21 30 130 3'6
2026-03-01 10 220 19'10
2026-02-07 40 222 60'9
2026-01-14 7 15
2025-12-13 10 140 28'10
2025-11-29 50 230 14'10
2025-11-08 50 180 6'10
2025-10-18 40 200 11'12