Rating 7.42 (97th pct) · G+A 3 + 8 (16% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Bundesliga · Matchweek 34
Momentum
– B04Hamburger SV –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | at home | Stat | league | away | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.2 #2 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 45.4 #12 |
| 15.2 #4 | – | Shots total | 13.3 | – | 12.3 #11 |
| 5.2 #4 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 4.6 #10 |
| 5.6 #4 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 3.7 #18 |
| 8.6 #17 | – | Fouls | 10.4 | – | 11.8 #3 |
| 1.3 #16 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.7 #11 |
| 14.1 #17 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 15.0 #11 |
| 110.8 #2 | – | Attacks | 98.2 | – | 82.8 #18 |
| 53.1 #4 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.7 | – | 34.3 #18 |
| 605.4 #2 | – | Passes | 456.1 | – | 390.1 #15 |
| 2.1 #5 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.1 #4 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #2 |
| 1.4 #5 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 0.9 #12 |
| – #4 | – | Btts | 61.8 | – | – #4 |
| – #6 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #10 |
| – #7 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #1 |
| 1.9 #3 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.3 #16 |
| 0.1 #6 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | -0.1 #16 |
| – #12 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #5 |
| 2.0 #4 | 2.2 | Goals | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 #16 |
| 1.4 #15 | 1.1 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.6 #10 |
| 0.3 #11 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #14 |
| 7.6 #18 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 9.2 #8 |
| – #13 | – | Lost | 37.7 | – | – #8 |
| 0.2 #3 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #9 |
| 7.0 #3 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #9 |
| 3.8 #5 | – | Shots blocked | 3.5 | – | 3.1 #15 |
| 9.8 #4 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.0 | – | 8.1 #13 |
| 6.2 #1 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 4.7 #13 |
| 5.4 #2 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 4.3 #9 |
| – #6 | – | Win | 37.7 | – | – #12 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.24 (home 1.78 · away 1.46)
- Home / draw / away
- 44% · 25% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 62% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 3.9 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.13 (94th pct) · G+A 5 + 3 (12% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Team 1.79 ppg with (29) · 1.4 without (5)
Rating 7.07 (85th pct) · G+A 16 + 3 (28% of team goals) · 65% of minutes
Team 1.48 ppg with (23) · 2.27 without (11)
Hamburger SV · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.17 (92th pct) · G+A 7 + 5 (30% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (25) · 1.33 without (9)
Rating 6.94 (78th pct) · G+A 0 + 4 (10% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (27) · 1.43 without (7)
Rating 6.9 (67th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (5% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
Absences
Hamburger SV
- injury Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit #12 key player attacker · Ankle Injury · 6 missed
- injury Fernando Dickes goalkeeper · Shoulder Injury · 13 missed
- injury Jean-Luc Dompé attacker · Achilles tendon problems · 24 missed
- injury Robert Glatzel attacker · Calf Injury · 2 missed · until 2026-06-22
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 34
Venue
- Stadium
- BayArena, Leverkusen
- Capacity
- 30,210
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 30,210
Teams
- Coaches
- Kasper Hjulmand · Merlin Polzin
- Position
- 6 · 11
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Tobias Stieler
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 15.9° (feels 14.5°)
- Wind
- 3.3
- Humidity
- 37%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Bayern München |
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | LWLWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig |
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart |
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 5 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | LWWLD |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg |
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | LDLLD |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | DLWLW |
| 11 |  FC Union Berlin |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | LLDWW |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | DDWLW |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | LLWWD |
| 14 |  FC Köln |
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg |
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WDDLW |
| 17 |  FC Heidenheim |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  St. Pauli |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 44 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 41 | LWLWW |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 39 | LDDWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 6 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 31 | LWWLD |
| 8 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 25 | LDLLD |
| 10 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 24 | DDWLW |
| 12 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 22 | LLDWW |
| 13 | FC Köln |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 | DLDLL |
| 14 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 19 | WDLLL |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 | DLWLW |
| 16 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 17 | St. Pauli |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 18 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 10 | WDDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 45 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 32 | LWLWW |
| 3 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 28 | LWWLD |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 23 | LDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 19 | LDLLD |
| 9 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 19 | WDDLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 11 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 | LLDWW |
| 12 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | WDLLL |
| 16 | FC Köln |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 17 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 | LWDWL |
| 18 | St. Pauli |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 9 | DLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
WLWWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 11.35–9.51 · xPts 7.23
- L
A
VfB Stuttgart
1–3
xG 0.58–3.07
GER BI
- W
H
RB Leipzig
4–1
xG 3.12–1.03
GER BI
- W
A
FC Köln
2–1
xG 1.68–2.8
GER BI
- L
H
FC Augsburg
1–2
xG 5.31–1.4
GER BI
- W
A
Borussia Dortmund
1–0
xG 0.67–1.21
GER BI
DDLDWWLWWL 4W 3D 3L · 15 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 20 GA 17 · xG 21.29–17.83 · xPts 14.57
- L
A
VfB Stuttgart
1–3
xG 0.58–3.07
GER BI
- W
H
RB Leipzig
4–1
xG 3.12–1.03
GER BI
- W
A
FC Köln
2–1
xG 1.68–2.8
GER BI
- L
H
FC Augsburg
1–2
xG 5.31–1.4
GER BI
- W
A
Borussia Dortmund
1–0
xG 0.67–1.21
GER BI
- W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
6–3
xG 4.09–1.83
GER BI
- D
A
FC Heidenheim
3–3
xG 1.63–1.57
GER BI
- L
A
Arsenal
0–2
xG 0.64–2.02
UEFA CL - D
H
FC Bayern München
1–1
xG 2.86–1.28
GER BI
- D
H
Arsenal
1–1
xG 0.73–1.61
UEFA CL
Hamburger SV
LLLWW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 12 · xG 5.21–8.1 · xPts 5.58
- W
H
SC Freiburg
3–2
xG 1.61–0.46
GER BI
- W
A
Eintracht Frankfurt
2–1
xG 0.69–0.71
GER BI
- L
H
TSG Hoffenheim
1–2
xG 1.64–1.9
GER BI
- L
A
Werder Bremen
1–3
xG 0.64–1.68
GER BI
- L
A
VfB Stuttgart
0–4
xG 0.64–3.36
GER BI
LWDLDLLLWW 3W 2D 5L · 11 pts (1.1 ppg) · GF 13 GA 19 · xG 12.55–21.81 · xPts 9.93
- W
H
SC Freiburg
3–2
xG 1.61–0.46
GER BI
- W
A
Eintracht Frankfurt
2–1
xG 0.69–0.71
GER BI
- L
H
TSG Hoffenheim
1–2
xG 1.64–1.9
GER BI
- L
A
Werder Bremen
1–3
xG 0.64–1.68
GER BI
- L
A
VfB Stuttgart
0–4
xG 0.64–3.36
GER BI
- D
H
FC Augsburg
1–1
xG 2.54–2.83
GER BI
- L
A
Borussia Dortmund
2–3
xG 1.15–5.7
GER BI
- D
H
FC Köln
1–1
xG 0.33–1.13
GER BI
- W
A
VfL Wolfsburg
2–1
xG 1.92–2.18
GER BI
- L
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–1
xG 1.41–1.87
GER BI
All meetings · 30 matches since 2005
Goals 47–31 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 47%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 15–5 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 7–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- D Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- W Hamburger SV 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
- W Hamburger SV 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
- W Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–0 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- L Hamburger SV 1–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen neutral GER BI · Regular Season
- W Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–1 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- W Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- D Hamburger SV 0–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen neutral GER BI · Regular Season
- W Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–0 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- L Hamburger SV 1–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen neutral GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | Bayer 04 Leverkusen all · 34 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen at home · 17 | Hamburger SV all · 34 | Hamburger SV away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.74 | 1.82 | 1.12 | 0.82 |
| W / D / L | 17 / 8 / 9 | 9 / 4 / 4 | 9 / 11 / 14 | 3 / 5 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 2.00 | 2.24 | 1.18 | 0.88 |
| Goals against / match | 1.38 | 1.12 | 1.59 | 1.88 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 35% | 18% | 24% |
| Failed to score | 12% | 0% | 29% | 35% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 65% | 65% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 53% | 56% | 59% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.91 | 2.42 | 1.31 | 1.12 |
| xG against / match | 1.40 | 1.10 | 1.81 | 2.08 |
| xG difference | 0.51 | 1.33 | -0.50 | -0.96 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.09 | -0.19 | -0.14 | -0.24 |
| xPts / match | 1.65 | 2.10 | 1.14 | 0.91 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.08 | -0.27 | -0.02 | -0.09 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 65% | 71% | 35% | 24% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.23 | 2.17 | 1.58 | 1.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.83 | 1.00 | 0.83 | 0.70 |
| Came back from behind | 40% | 43% | 36% | 25% |
| Leads held | 68% | 69% | 56% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 40% | 42% | 16% | 12% |
| Minutes level | 39% | 42% | 58% | 58% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 16% | 26% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 38 | 43 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 48 | 40 | 41 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 41% | 50% | 58% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 45% | 47% | 54% | 59% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.35 | 0.47 | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| Late goals against | 0.26 | 0.18 | 0.38 | 0.53 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 59% | 61% | 45% | 45% |
| Shots | 15.2 | 18.6 | 12.3 | 11.3 |
| On target | 5.2 | 6.5 | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 66% | 66% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 3.7 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 6.7 | 3.7 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 28% | 29% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 19% | 24% | 8% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 16.1 | 20.5 | 9.1 | 7.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 57.1 | 64.8 | 38.3 | 35.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 88% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 8.6 | 8.6 | 11.8 | 11.6 |
| Cards | 2.18 | 2.12 | 2.68 | 2.88 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–15'116
16–30'116
31–45'1814
46–60'86
61–75'86
76–90'129
Hamburger SV
0–15'34
16–30'411
31–45'1010
46–60'910
61–75'86
76–90'613
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 4 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: when level +0.81
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.594
Early press (0-15, level)+0.664
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.872
Game state
When ahead+0.453
When level+0.814
When behind+0.702
10 min after conceding-0.082
10 min after scoring+0.784
Situations
At home+0.392
Away+0.762
4+ days rest+0.594
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.762
As favourite+0.594
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.314
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.593
Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.12
Hamburger SV · 3 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.223
Early press (0-15, level)-0.203
Game state
When level-0.253
When behind-0.213
10 min after conceding-0.453
Situations
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.223
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.172
As underdog-0.172
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.163
Behind vs level +0.04
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 31 91% | 1.84 | 2.0 | 1.23 | 1.97 | 1.37 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 6% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.76 | 1.64 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.58 | 1.86 |
Hamburger SV
Current: winless 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 17 50% | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.35 | 1.32 | 1.54 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 10 29% | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.46 | 2.13 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 9% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.56 | 2.41 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| Metric | Bayer 04 Leverkusen all · 10 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen at home · 10 | Hamburger SV all · 10 | Hamburger SV away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 1.70 | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 2 / 3 | 4 / 5 / 1 | 2 / 2 / 6 | 3 / 2 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 2.00 | 2.10 | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| Goals against / match | 1.30 | 1.00 | 2.60 | 2.10 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% | 0% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 10% | 40% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 40% | 70% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.43 | 2.71 | 1.23 | 1.19 |
| xG against / match | 1.53 | 1.20 | 2.02 | 2.37 |
| xG difference | 0.90 | 1.51 | -0.79 | -1.18 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.43 | -0.61 | -0.33 | -0.09 |
| xPts / match | 1.81 | 2.10 | 0.97 | 0.83 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.11 | -0.40 | -0.17 | 0.27 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 80% | 60% | 20% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 1.83 | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | 1.67 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 40% | 75% | 25% | 38% |
| Leads held | 62% | 57% | 67% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 40% | 40% | 8% | 20% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 52% | 43% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 8% | 48% | 34% |
| First goal (min) | 31 | 33 | 44 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 57 | 28 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 57% | 67% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 60% | 50% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 59% | 58% | 43% | 42% |
| Shots | 19.9 | 19.8 | 11.8 | 10.8 |
| On target | 6.6 | 7.2 | 3.9 | 4.6 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 11% | 8% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 71% | 72% | 60% | 56% |
| Big chances created | 3.9 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Corners | 7.6 | 7.1 | 3.9 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 24% | 22% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 16% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 18.3 | 16.2 | 6.9 | 6.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 60.2 | 60.5 | 37.1 | 35.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 88% | 80% | 78% |
| Fouls | 9.2 | 9.0 | 12.7 | 11.4 |
| Cards | 1.20 | 1.50 | 1.90 | 2.10 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–15'44
16–30'30
31–45'31
46–60'24
61–75'21
76–90'63
Hamburger SV
0–15'11
16–30'07
31–45'25
46–60'34
61–75'32
76–90'07
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 60% | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.33 | 2.42 | 2.02 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 1.75 | 2.5 | 1.25 | 2.45 | 0.79 |
Hamburger SV
Current: winless 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 60% | 0.83 | 0.83 | 2.67 | 1.44 | 2.09 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 30% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.69 | 0.71 |
| Metric | Bayer 04 Leverkusen all · 47 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen at home · 23 | Hamburger SV all · 34 | Hamburger SV away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 47 | 23 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.68 | 1.78 | 1.09 | 0.76 |
| W / D / L | 22 / 13 / 12 | 11 / 8 / 4 | 9 / 10 / 15 | 3 / 4 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.85 | 2.13 | 1.18 | 0.88 |
| Goals against / match | 1.34 | 1.17 | 1.74 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 32% | 44% | 15% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 15% | 4% | 29% | 35% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 56% | 65% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 48% | 59% | 59% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.81 | 2.24 | 1.32 | 1.14 |
| xG against / match | 1.37 | 1.12 | 1.84 | 2.05 |
| xG difference | 0.44 | 1.12 | -0.51 | -0.90 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.04 | -0.11 | -0.15 | -0.26 |
| xPts / match | 1.61 | 1.98 | 1.14 | 0.94 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.07 | -0.20 | -0.05 | -0.18 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 62% | 70% | 35% | 24% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.31 | 2.19 | 1.58 | 1.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.65 | 0.83 | 0.79 | 0.64 |
| Came back from behind | 43% | 50% | 35% | 23% |
| Leads held | 69% | 65% | 56% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 36% | 42% | 16% | 12% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 44% | 56% | 54% |
| Minutes trailing | 24% | 14% | 28% | 34% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 37 | 43 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 51 | 40 | 40 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 49% | 53% | 58% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 46% | 52% | 56% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.36 | 0.35 | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| Late goals against | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.47 | 0.59 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | 59% | 46% | 46% |
| Shots | 14.9 | 17.3 | 12.4 | 11.4 |
| On target | 5.0 | 6.3 | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 68% | 65% | 59% |
| Big chances created | 3.4 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 6.5 | 3.7 | 3.5 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 25% | 29% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 20% | 21% | 8% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 16.5 | 20.4 | 9.4 | 8.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 54.9 | 61.1 | 39.6 | 38.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 89% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 8.9 | 8.7 | 12.1 | 12.1 |
| Cards | 1.83 | 1.65 | 2.56 | 2.88 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–15'1211
16–30'145
31–45'1818
46–60'149
61–75'1210
76–90'1710
Hamburger SV
0–15'33
16–30'411
31–45'1012
46–60'910
61–75'87
76–90'616
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 47 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.23) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2347
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1747
Late push (76+, level)-0.0813
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.4414
Game state
When ahead+0.1732
When level+0.1847
When behind+0.4321
10 min after conceding+0.1231
10 min after scoring+0.3939
Situations
Against ten men-0.213
At home+0.2723
Away+0.2024
3 days rest or fewer+0.1913
4+ days rest+0.2534
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1216
v mid-tier opponents+0.4711
v bottom-tier opponents+0.497
As favourite+0.4025
Evenly matched+0.2312
As underdog-0.1810
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0947
Conceded when ahead-0.0632
Conceded late (76+)-0.1640
Congested vs rested -0.06 · Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.25
Hamburger SV · 34 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.77
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0634
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0334
Late push (76+, level)+0.0114
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2112
Game state
When ahead-0.3416
When level+0.0634
When behind-0.1323
10 min after conceding-0.3029
10 min after scoring-0.1322
Situations
With ten men+0.016
Against ten men-0.223
At home-0.0717
Away-0.0417
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest-0.0432
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2713
v mid-tier opponents-0.1213
v bottom-tier opponents+0.773
Evenly matched+0.0616
As underdog-0.1517
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2034
Conceded when ahead+0.3816
Conceded late (76+)+0.0129
Congested vs rested -0.28 · Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level -0.18
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 40 85% | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.81 | 1.39 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 11% | 1.6 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 2.28 | 0.95 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.58 | 1.86 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.69 | 2.06 |
Hamburger SV
Current: winless 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 15 44% | 1.4 | 1.47 | 1.4 | 1.45 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 13 38% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.27 | 2.11 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 9% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.56 | 2.41 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.37 | 0.31 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.28Home 74% P 75%6.5Draw 15% P 14%8.0Away 12% P 11%
Double Chance
1.08Bayer Leverkusen or Draw 44%1.11Bayer Leverkusen or Hamburg 43%3.5Draw or Hamburg 14%
Draw No Bet
1.111 85%6.52 15%
Both Teams To Score
1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.28Over 75% P 71%3.75Under 25% P 29%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
3.51.9Over 49% P 42%1.8Under 51% P 58%
4.51.83Over 50% P 27%1.83Under 50% P 73%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 70–80% · away 10–20% · 777 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 75% | 72% | 74% | +2.4 |
| Draw | 14% | 17% | 16% | -1.3 |
| Away | 11% | 11% | 10% | -1.1 |
In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 65%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 477 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 71% | 70% | -1.4 |
Tobias Stieler
- Career
- 284 matches · 16 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.05 (3.83 yellow · 0.1 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.6 · 5.5 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.31
- Cards to home side
- 42%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 69 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.59 | 4.14 | -1.38 | 4 |
| Fouls / match | 21.2 | 22.3 | -1.05 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.0 | 5.4 | +0.86 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.36 | 0.32 | +0.37 | 63 |
| Time added | 7.0 | 6.8 | +0.09 | 56 |
- First card
- 33' on average
- Card timing
- 24% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.19
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 61' | 4 |
| 2026-04-11 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 19' | 5 |
| 2026-03-22 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 1' | 11 |
| 2026-03-19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 19' | 9 |
| 2026-02-28 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 66' | 11 |
| 2026-02-19 | 7 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 4' | 7 |
| 2026-02-08 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 2 | 6' | 7 |
| 2026-01-28 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 26' | 8 |
| 2026-01-24 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 89' | 4 |
| 2025-12-20 · Hamburger SV | – | – | 20 | – | – | 11 |