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Bundesliga · Matchweek 34

Momentum

SGEVFB
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
34

Venue

Stadium
Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main
Capacity
58,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
59,400

Teams

Coaches
Riera · Sebastian Hoeneß
Position
8 · 4
Formation
4-1-4-1 · 3-4-1-2

Referee

Tobias Welz

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
14.8° (feels 13.4°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
41%

Where to watch · 402

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Eintracht Frankfurt

WLDLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 5.28–9.83 · xPts 4.29

  • L A Borussia Dortmund 2–3 xG 1.18–1.79 GER BI
  • L H Hamburger SV 1–2 xG 0.71–0.69 GER BI
  • D A FC Augsburg 1–1 xG 1.25–2.22 GER BI
  • L H RB Leipzig 1–3 xG 1.26–2.53 GER BI
  • W A VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 xG 0.88–2.59 GER BI

VfB Stuttgart

WLDDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 13 GA 9 · xG 11.31–8.66 · xPts 8.76

  • W H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–1 xG 3.07–0.58 GER BI
  • D A TSG Hoffenheim 3–3 xG 1.67–2.18 GER BI
  • D H Werder Bremen 1–1 xG 2.04–1.03 GER BI
  • L A FC Bayern München 2–4 xG 1.17–4.23 GER BI
  • W H Hamburger SV 4–0 xG 3.36–0.64 GER BI

All meetings · 36 matches since 2005

Eintracht Frankfurt 119 draws16 VfB Stuttgart

Goals 55–67 · 3.39 per match · BTTS 72% · over 2.5 69%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt 43 draws3 VfB Stuttgart

Goals 17–17 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt 21 draws2 VfB Stuttgart

Goals 8–10 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfB Stuttgart 3–2 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfB Stuttgart 2–3 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfB Stuttgart 3–0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfB Stuttgart 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfB Stuttgart 2–3 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
MetricEintracht Frankfurt all · 34Eintracht Frankfurt at home · 17VfB Stuttgart all · 34VfB Stuttgart away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.291.471.821.35
W / D / L11 / 11 / 127 / 4 / 618 / 8 / 86 / 5 / 6
Goals for / match1.791.712.092.41
Goals against / match1.911.591.441.94
Clean sheets21%35%32%18%
Failed to score9%6%9%0%
Both teams scored74%59%62%82%
Over 2.568%65%74%100%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.481.801.61
xG against / match1.501.241.541.89
xG difference-0.150.240.26-0.28
Finishing vs xG0.450.230.280.80
xPts / match1.311.561.581.30
Points vs xPts-0.02-0.080.240.05
Game state
Scored first50%59%53%53%
PPG when scoring first1.942.202.331.89
PPG when conceding first0.630.431.270.75
Came back from behind43%33%56%46%
Leads held55%64%75%54%
Minutes leading25%22%32%34%
Minutes level46%49%47%36%
Minutes trailing29%29%21%30%
First goal (min)41494038
First goal conceded (min)35343838
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%69%54%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%63%53%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.410.650.76
Late goals against0.560.290.500.53
Style
Possession55%54%58%57%
Shots12.013.215.213.8
On target4.65.36.16.0
Shot conversion15%13%14%18%
Shots inside box67%68%66%66%
Big chances created2.52.73.32.9
Corners4.75.45.75.5
xG from set plays28%32%24%26%
Goals from headers12%10%9%8%
Pressure index12.813.419.220.8
Dominant minutes48.552.461.559.6
Pass accuracy83%84%84%84%
Fouls10.410.19.69.9
Cards2.062.121.911.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Eintracht Frankfurt

0–15'59
16–30'118
31–45'1110
46–60'119
61–75'1010
76–90'1319

VfB Stuttgart

0–15'66
16–30'126
31–45'1511
46–60'95
61–75'74
76–90'2217

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Eintracht Frankfurt · 3 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.76

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.183
Early press (0-15, level)-0.023

Game state

When ahead+0.253
When level-0.193
When behind+0.102
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.763

Situations

Away+0.042
4+ days rest+0.183

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.223
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.253

Ahead vs level +0.45 · Behind vs level +0.29

VfB Stuttgart · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.07) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.29

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.074
Early press (0-15, level)-0.144
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead+0.132
When level+0.174
When behind-0.072
10 min after conceding-0.154
10 min after scoring+0.294

Situations

At home+0.152
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.003

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.193
As favourite+0.152

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.044
Conceded when ahead+0.192
Conceded late (76+)-0.124

Congested vs rested +0.26 · Ahead vs level -0.03 · Behind vs level -0.24

Eintracht Frankfurt

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-110 29%1.51.71.61.211.39
3-4-2-110 29%0.71.52.51.321.98
4-1-4-14 12%2.02.51.751.791.21
4-3-34 12%1.01.251.51.380.87
4-5-12 6%1.53.53.01.551.11

VfB Stuttgart

Current: winless 1 · scoring 10 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-121 62%1.812.141.621.751.74
3-4-2-16 18%1.671.831.01.590.99
3-4-1-25 15%2.02.21.22.091.45
4-2-2-21 3%3.03.02.02.820.88
4-4-21 3%1.01.01.01.751.72

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.6Home 26% P 26%4.33Draw 22% P 22%1.83Away 52% P 52%

Double Chance

1.83Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw 26%1.2Eintracht Frankfurt or VfB Stuttgart 39%1.33Draw or VfB Stuttgart 35%

Draw No Bet

2.621 35%1.442 65%

Both Teams To Score

1.3Yes 72%3.4No 28%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.3Over 73% P 70%3.5Under 27% P 30%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 21%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54% P 64%2.0Under 46% P 36%
4.52.1Over 44% P 46%1.66Under 56% P 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–30% · away 50–55% · 108 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home26%26%20%-5.5
Draw22%23%24%+1.0
Away52%51%56%+4.5

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 64%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.570%69%69%+0.6

Tobias Welz

Career
167 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.16 (3.96 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 4.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.41
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 50 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.564.14+0.7682
Fouls / match23.322.3+0.77
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.37 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.280.32-0.5622
Time added6.96.8-0.0144
First card
26' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-02 40 190 14'5
2026-04-19 70 201 21'6
2026-04-05 21 180 85'5
2026-03-14 60 230 32'7
2026-02-27 50 190 15'10
2026-02-13 50 150 9'8
2026-01-23 20 280 7'7
2026-01-17 70 220 16'6
2025-12-20 70 300 45'10
2025-11-29 70 160 11'7