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Bundesliga · Matchweek 34

Momentum

SVWBVB
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
34

Venue

Stadium
Wohninvest Weserstadion, Bremen
Capacity
42,100
Surface
grass
Attendance
41,800

Teams

Coaches
Daniel Thioune · Niko Kovač
Position
15 · 2
Formation
4-1-4-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Bastian Dankert

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
11.8° (feels 10.8°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
67%

Where to watch · 402

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Werder Bremen

LWDLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 5.68–10.42 · xPts 4.67

  • L A TSG Hoffenheim 0–1 xG 0.95–1.59 GER BI
  • L H FC Augsburg 1–3 xG 1.04–2.36 GER BI
  • D A VfB Stuttgart 1–1 xG 1.03–2.04 GER BI
  • W H Hamburger SV 3–1 xG 1.68–0.64 GER BI
  • L A FC Köln 1–3 xG 0.98–3.79 GER BI

Borussia Dortmund

LLWLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 7.46–7.25 · xPts 7.17

  • W H Eintracht Frankfurt 3–2 xG 1.79–1.18 GER BI
  • L A Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–1 xG 0.72–2.55 GER BI
  • W H SC Freiburg 4–0 xG 2.87–0.5 GER BI
  • L A TSG Hoffenheim 1–2 xG 0.86–2.35 GER BI
  • L H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–1 xG 1.21–0.67 GER BI

All meetings · 40 matches since 2005

Werder Bremen 87 draws25 Borussia Dortmund

Goals 45–79 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Werder Bremen 12 draws7 Borussia Dortmund

Goals 8–20 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Werder Bremen 02 draws3 Borussia Dortmund

Goals 3–9 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Werder Bremen 0–2 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Dortmund 3–0 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Werder Bremen 0–0 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Werder Bremen 1–2 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Dortmund 1–0 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Werder Bremen 0–2 Borussia Dortmund neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Dortmund 2–3 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Borussia Dortmund 4–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Werder Bremen 1–2 Borussia Dortmund neutral GER BI · Regular Season
MetricWerder Bremen all · 34Werder Bremen at home · 17Borussia Dortmund all · 34Borussia Dortmund away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.941.122.151.88
W / D / L8 / 8 / 185 / 4 / 822 / 7 / 59 / 5 / 3
Goals for / match1.091.122.061.76
Goals against / match1.761.821.001.06
Clean sheets18%18%44%35%
Failed to score38%35%6%6%
Both teams scored47%47%50%59%
Over 2.553%53%56%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.211.421.831.40
xG against / match1.581.351.251.42
xG difference-0.370.070.58-0.02
Finishing vs xG-0.12-0.300.230.36
xPts / match1.211.471.691.37
Points vs xPts-0.27-0.350.460.51
Game state
Scored first29%29%76%76%
PPG when scoring first2.102.602.502.38
PPG when conceding first0.430.501.000.25
Came back from behind25%33%54%40%
Leads held62%71%79%69%
Minutes leading16%17%42%36%
Minutes level41%38%46%52%
Minutes trailing43%46%12%12%
First goal (min)52543944
First goal conceded (min)35334858
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half70%74%54%60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half57%52%68%72%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.590.590.53
Late goals against0.320.290.350.53
Style
Possession51%54%53%51%
Shots13.115.413.111.4
On target4.14.74.84.2
Shot conversion8%7%16%16%
Shots inside box62%63%74%77%
Big chances created1.71.93.22.5
Corners4.64.95.33.4
xG from set plays24%23%36%34%
Goals from headers19%32%23%27%
Pressure index12.617.016.812.0
Dominant minutes47.860.455.446.4
Pass accuracy82%82%83%82%
Fouls9.910.311.611.6
Cards2.472.591.912.24

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Werder Bremen

0–15'27
16–30'49
31–45'510
46–60'48
61–75'815
76–90'1411

Borussia Dortmund

0–15'92
16–30'54
31–45'185
46–60'85
61–75'106
76–90'2012

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Werder Bremen · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.133
Early press (0-15, level)+0.063

Game state

When level-0.183
When behind+0.412
10 min after conceding-0.493
10 min after scoring-0.302

Situations

Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.133

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.472
As underdog-0.133

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.202

Ahead vs level -0.41 · Behind vs level +0.60

Borussia Dortmund · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.014
Early press (0-15, level)-0.394
Late push (76+, level)-0.062

Game state

When ahead+0.154
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.432
10 min after scoring+0.384

Situations

At home+0.093
4+ days rest-0.053

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.062
As favourite+0.093

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.054
Conceded when ahead-0.184
Conceded late (76+)-0.374

Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.34

Werder Bremen

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-115 44%1.01.22.071.121.76
3-4-2-16 18%0.51.172.171.221.4
4-3-33 9%2.332.331.01.651.78
3-5-23 9%0.330.01.01.21.19
4-1-4-13 9%1.01.01.331.111.63

Borussia Dortmund

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 6 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 74%2.122.081.01.721.35
3-4-34 12%2.52.00.751.870.97
3-5-23 9%3.02.330.672.960.8
3-5-1-11 3%0.00.01.01.210.67
3-4-1-21 3%1.03.03.01.561.77

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.25Home 29% P 28%4.0Draw 24% P 24%2.0Away 47% P 47%

Double Chance

1.8Werder Bremen or Draw 26%1.22Werder Bremen or Borussia Dortmund 39%1.33Draw or Borussia Dortmund 35%

Draw No Bet

2.371 39%1.532 61%

Both Teams To Score

1.36Yes 69%3.0No 31%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.4Over 68% P 68%3.0Under 32% P 32%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

2.52.1Over 44% P 43%1.66Under 56% P 57%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 45–47.5% · 218 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home28%28%34%+6.0
Draw24%26%22%-3.6
Away47%46%44%-2.4

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 59%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.568%69%69%+0.6

Bastian Dankert

Career
206 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.13 (3.94 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 65 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.894.15-0.7222
Fouls / match22.922.3+0.46
Fouls per card6.25.4+1.24 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.33-1.657
Time added6.26.8-0.7615
First card
38' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-03 20 160 57'8
2026-04-18 10 140 40'5
2026-04-04 40 230 42'7
2026-03-14 · Borussia Dortmund 14 9
2026-03-01 50 201 31'10
2026-02-14 · Werder Bremen 40 161 28'9
2026-01-25 30 141 62'7
2026-01-10 20 170 19'5
2025-11-29 · Werder Bremen 61 220 39'8
2025-11-08 10 120 36'5