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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 5
AuxerreAuxerre
1–0
FT
ToulouseToulouse

Momentum

– AuxerreToulouse –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
5

Venue

Stadium
Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, Auxerre
Capacity
18,541
Surface
grass
Attendance
15,262

Teams

Coaches
Christophe Pélissier · Carles Martínez Novell
Position
16 · 9
Formation
5-4-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

Marc Bollengier

Weather

Conditions
heavy intensity rain
Temperature
13.3° (feels 13.1°)
Wind
5.3
Humidity
94%

Where to watch · 195

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Auxerre

WLLL 1W 0D 3L · 3 pts (0.75 ppg) · GF 3 GA 6 · xG 4.51–4.42 · xPts 5.68

  • L H Monaco 1–2 xG 0.72–1.35 FRA L1
  • L A Nantes 0–1 xG 1.03–0.24 FRA L1
  • L A Nice 1–3 xG 1.42–1.94 FRA L1
  • W H Lorient 1–0 xG 1.34–0.89 FRA L1

Toulouse

WWLL 2W 0D 2L · 6 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 5.26–7.19 · xPts 4.45

  • L A LOSC Lille 1–2 xG 0.89–2.49 FRA L1
  • L H Paris Saint Germain 3–6 xG 2.36–2.75 FRA L1
  • W H Brest 2–0 xG 1.19–1.14 FRA L1
  • W A Nice 1–0 xG 0.82–0.8 FRA L1

All meetings · 20 matches since 2005

Auxerre 75 draws8 Toulouse

Goals 17–22 · 1.95 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 20%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Auxerre 33 draws4 Toulouse

Goals 8–13 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Auxerre 13 draws1 Toulouse

Goals 4–5 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Toulouse 0–0 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Auxerre 1–0 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Auxerre 2–2 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Toulouse 2–0 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Toulouse 1–1 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Auxerre 0–5 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Toulouse 1–0 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Auxerre 2–0 Toulouse neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Toulouse 0–1 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Auxerre 1–2 Toulouse neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricAuxerre all · 34Auxerre at home · 17Toulouse all · 33Toulouse away · 16
Results
Matches34173316
Points per game1.001.291.331.25
W / D / L8 / 10 / 166 / 4 / 712 / 8 / 136 / 2 / 8
Goals for / match1.001.061.421.38
Goals against / match1.291.001.391.38
Clean sheets26%41%27%19%
Failed to score47%47%30%25%
Both teams scored41%35%48%56%
Over 2.544%47%54%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.121.271.381.11
xG against / match1.371.171.261.38
xG difference-0.250.100.12-0.26
Finishing vs xG-0.12-0.210.040.26
xPts / match1.231.421.471.24
Points vs xPts-0.23-0.13-0.130.01
Game state
Scored first32%29%39%44%
PPG when scoring first2.273.002.381.86
PPG when conceding first0.220.380.610.78
Came back from behind16%12%38%33%
Leads held62%86%80%67%
Minutes leading18%20%24%24%
Minutes level57%58%45%47%
Minutes trailing25%22%31%29%
First goal (min)31434141
First goal conceded (min)39384044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%67%57%41%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%47%52%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.120.480.38
Late goals against0.350.410.300.38
Style
Possession44%44%42%41%
Shots10.711.512.810.9
On target3.53.84.33.8
Shot conversion9%9%11%13%
Shots inside box65%67%65%60%
Big chances created1.71.81.91.7
Corners4.85.54.53.8
xG from set plays31%37%38%36%
Goals from headers18%22%15%23%
Pressure index8.19.68.67.6
Dominant minutes39.243.138.235.5
Pass accuracy80%79%80%79%
Fouls13.713.414.414.8
Cards2.292.242.583.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Auxerre

0–15'65
16–30'49
31–45'76
46–60'38
61–75'84
76–90'612

Toulouse

0–15'95
16–30'49
31–45'78
46–60'58
61–75'66
76–90'1610

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Auxerre · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.00) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.004
Early press (0-15, level)+0.074
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.443

Game state

When level-0.114
When behind+0.133
10 min after conceding+0.043
10 min after scoring+0.074

Situations

At home-0.012
Away+0.022
4+ days rest+0.004

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.022
v bottom-tier opponents-0.012
As underdog+0.022

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.094

Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.24

Toulouse · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: when level +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)+0.262
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.182

Game state

When level+0.354
When behind+0.033
10 min after conceding-0.264
10 min after scoring+0.392

Situations

At home+0.422
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.204

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.422
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.063

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.044
Conceded late (76+)+0.104

Ahead vs level -0.73 · Behind vs level -0.32

Auxerre

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 9 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-312 35%1.331.251.331.451.19
5-4-19 26%0.780.671.220.881.32
4-2-3-15 15%1.21.41.20.861.56
3-4-2-12 6%0.00.02.00.822.25
4-4-22 6%1.01.01.01.231.29

Toulouse

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 70%1.01.041.391.251.2
3-4-39 27%2.332.220.891.611.24
5-4-11 3%0.03.06.02.362.75

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.4Home 28% P 27%3.25Draw 29% P 29%2.25Away 42% P 43%

Double Chance

1.61Auxerre or Draw 29% P 28%1.33Auxerre or Toulouse 35% P 35%1.3Draw or Toulouse 36% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.251 41%1.572 59%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 53%1.95No 48% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 46%1.66Under 57% P 54%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 42.5–45% · 322 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home27%27%26%-0.8
Draw29%29%32%+2.9
Away43%44%42%-2.0

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 39%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Marc Bollengier

Career
69 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.99 (3.7 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match
25.9 · 6.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.43
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 68 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.04.06-0.1944
Fouls / match25.924.3+0.92
Fouls per card6.66.0+0.75 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.440.36+0.7580
Time added6.76.7+0.0840
First card
37' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.24

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-08-31 40 200 24'7
2025-08-23 10 212 88'10
2025-05-10 · Auxerre 40 310 56'5
2025-04-26 –– 20– –8
2025-04-20 · Toulouse 11 230 27'7
2025-04-05 30 190 15'5
2025-03-30 · Auxerre 40 280 18'5
2025-03-07 · Toulouse 40 330 1'9
2025-02-21 32 221 5'7
2025-02-16 40 260 29'6