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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 5
NantesNantes
2–2
FT
RennesRennes

Momentum

– NantesRennes –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
5

Venue

Stadium
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau, Nantes
Capacity
37,473
Surface
grass
Attendance
31,337

Teams

Coaches
Luís Ferreira de Castro · Habib Beye
Position
14 · 6
Formation
4-1-4-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Mathieu Vernice

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
23.7° (feels 23.8°)
Wind
8.5
Humidity
64%

Where to watch · 192

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Nantes

LLWL 1W 0D 3L · 3 pts (0.75 ppg) · GF 1 GA 3 · xG 1.63–6.01 · xPts 2.16

  • L A Nice 0–1 xG 0.69–1.85 FRA L1
  • W H Auxerre 1–0 xG 0.24–1.03 FRA L1
  • L A Strasbourg 0–1 xG 0.51–1.76 FRA L1
  • L H Paris Saint Germain 0–1 xG 0.19–1.37 FRA L1

Rennes

WLDW 2W 1D 1L · 7 pts (1.75 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 5.07–8.02 · xPts 4.4

  • W H Olympique Lyonnais 3–1 xG 2.46–1.22 FRA L1
  • D A Angers SCO 1–1 xG 1.56–1.22 FRA L1
  • L A Lorient 0–4 xG 0.09–3.29 FRA L1
  • W H Olympique Marseille 1–0 xG 0.97–2.28 FRA L1

All meetings · 32 matches since 2005

Nantes 59 draws18 Rennes

Goals 25–48 · 2.28 per match · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Nantes 21 draws7 Rennes

Goals 8–18 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Nantes 11 draws3 Rennes

Goals 5–9 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Rennes 2–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nantes 2–2 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Rennes 2–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nantes 1–0 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nantes 0–3 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Rennes 3–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nantes 0–1 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Rennes 3–0 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nantes 2–1 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Rennes 1–0 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricNantes all · 33Nantes at home · 16Rennes all · 34Rennes away · 17
Results
Matches33163417
Points per game0.700.751.741.47
W / D / L5 / 8 / 203 / 3 / 1017 / 8 / 97 / 4 / 6
Goals for / match0.881.131.741.71
Goals against / match1.581.691.471.94
Clean sheets21%19%29%35%
Failed to score42%31%18%18%
Both teams scored46%50%59%47%
Over 2.546%44%71%76%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.101.221.561.40
xG against / match1.491.401.541.73
xG difference-0.38-0.190.02-0.33
Finishing vs xG-0.22-0.090.180.30
xPts / match1.131.271.431.20
Points vs xPts-0.44-0.520.310.27
Game state
Scored first27%31%56%71%
PPG when scoring first2.002.002.261.83
PPG when conceding first0.100.181.080.60
Came back from behind9%17%40%14%
Leads held56%60%71%54%
Minutes leading19%25%36%42%
Minutes level50%40%41%35%
Minutes trailing30%36%23%23%
First goal (min)37353731
First goal conceded (min)43394037
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%50%54%45%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%52%62%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.190.350.18
Late goals against0.580.630.290.41
Style
Possession42%44%54%52%
Shots11.312.114.112.5
On target3.33.55.04.5
Shot conversion8%9%12%14%
Shots inside box65%63%62%65%
Big chances created1.82.12.42.0
Corners3.74.06.05.5
xG from set plays36%34%29%30%
Goals from headers14%11%19%7%
Pressure index8.28.314.112.7
Dominant minutes36.237.351.951.4
Pass accuracy78%78%84%84%
Fouls12.712.512.311.8
Cards2.122.061.822.06

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Nantes

0–15'66
16–30'18
31–45'98
46–60'57
61–75'34
76–90'519

Rennes

0–15'78
16–30'151
31–45'510
46–60'1211
61–75'810
76–90'1210

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Nantes

No pressure profile yet.

Rennes · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: when level +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)+0.245
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.014
When level+0.555
10 min after conceding-0.433
10 min after scoring-0.024

Situations

At home-0.123
Away+0.832
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.252
v bottom-tier opponents+0.142
As favourite+0.444

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.095
Conceded when ahead+0.174
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.54

Nantes

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-1-4-110 30%0.50.51.10.91.38
4-3-310 30%0.91.22.11.081.94
5-3-23 9%0.00.01.670.771.19
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.672.01.071.2
4-2-3-12 6%1.52.01.02.41.5

Rennes

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-218 53%1.51.561.721.41.61
4-4-26 18%2.02.331.832.01.29
4-3-35 15%2.01.60.61.471.07
4-2-3-12 6%3.03.00.51.352.23
3-1-4-21 3%1.01.01.02.180.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.0Home 24% P 23%3.5Draw 27% P 27%1.95Away 49% P 50%

Double Chance

1.8Nantes or Draw 26% P 25%1.28Nantes or Rennes 36% P 36%1.22Draw or Rennes 38% P 38%

Draw No Bet

2.751 34%1.42 66%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 52%1.95No 48% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 48%1.8Under 53% P 52%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 47.5–50% · 385 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home23%24%22%-2.1
Draw27%27%28%+1.0
Away50%49%50%+1.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 50%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Mathieu Vernice

Career
66 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.64 (4.29 yellow · 0.23 red)
Fouls / match
26.9 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.39
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 61 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.524.06+0.8788
Fouls / match26.924.3+1.43
Fouls per card6.06.0+0.01 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.460.36+0.9188
Time added7.36.7+0.5280
First card
29' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.33

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-08-17 40 290 31'9
2025-07-24 90 300 11'8
2025-05-10 20 252 39'3
2025-04-27 81 250 43'9
2025-04-19 –– 17– –6
2025-03-30 40 280 22'6
2025-03-08 · Rennes 50 170 34'8
2025-03-02 41 200 17'8
2025-02-08 · Rennes 60 190 12'7
2025-01-19 40 170 17'5