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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 5
Olympique MarseilleOM
1–0
FT
Paris Saint GermainPSG

Momentum

– OMPSG –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
5

Venue

Stadium
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
Capacity
67,395
Surface
grass
Attendance
66,190

Teams

Coaches
Roberto De Zerbi · Luis Enrique
Position
8 · 1
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Jérôme Brisard

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
22.9° (feels 23.1°)
Wind
9.2
Humidity
70%

Where to watch · 221

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Olympique Marseille

LWLWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 10 GA 6 · xG 9.35–9.2 · xPts 7.97

  • L A Real Madrid 1–2 xG 1.12–3.99 UEFA CL
  • W H Lorient 4–0 xG 1.85–0.19 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Lyonnais 0–1 xG 1.46–3.23 FRA L1
  • W H Paris 5–2 xG 2.65–0.83 FRA L1
  • L A Rennes 0–1 xG 2.28–0.97 FRA L1

Paris Saint Germain

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 14 GA 3 · xG 10.77–4.7 · xPts 10.59

  • W H Atalanta 4–0 xG 3.24–0.73 UEFA CL
  • W H Lens 2–0 xG 1.23–1.18 FRA L1
  • W A Toulouse 6–3 xG 2.75–2.36 FRA L1
  • W H Angers SCO 1–0 xG 2.18–0.24 FRA L1
  • W A Nantes 1–0 xG 1.37–0.19 FRA L1

All meetings · 41 matches since 2005

Olympique Marseille 107 draws24 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 39–75 · 2.78 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 61%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Olympique Marseille 11 draws8 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 3–23 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Olympique Marseille 10 draws4 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 2–13 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Paris Saint Germain 5–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 1–0 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 0–3 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 0–2 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 4–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 0–3 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 1–0 Olympique Marseille neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Olympique Marseille neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 0–0 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricOlympique Marseille all · 34Olympique Marseille at home · 17Paris Saint Germain all · 34Paris Saint Germain away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.742.182.242.06
W / D / L18 / 5 / 1111 / 4 / 224 / 4 / 611 / 2 / 4
Goals for / match1.852.412.181.94
Goals against / match1.321.180.851.00
Clean sheets26%29%53%41%
Failed to score24%6%6%12%
Both teams scored50%65%41%47%
Over 2.562%71%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.701.781.991.74
xG against / match1.201.050.981.16
xG difference0.490.741.010.58
Finishing vs xG0.160.630.180.20
xPts / match1.691.831.991.74
Points vs xPts0.040.340.250.32
Game state
Scored first59%71%85%82%
PPG when scoring first2.402.422.622.50
PPG when conceding first0.791.600.000.00
Came back from behind31%67%14%0%
Leads held72%69%83%79%
Minutes leading38%47%44%37%
Minutes level41%40%45%52%
Minutes trailing21%14%11%11%
First goal (min)36363841
First goal conceded (min)46463846
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%61%55%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half69%70%55%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.710.530.47
Late goals against0.440.590.240.41
Style
Possession57%58%69%68%
Shots15.115.817.715.2
On target5.76.36.76.4
Shot conversion12%15%12%13%
Shots inside box64%64%63%66%
Big chances created3.03.43.73.8
Corners5.25.66.45.2
xG from set plays26%26%29%26%
Goals from headers10%12%15%18%
Pressure index17.619.427.424.6
Dominant minutes58.361.073.068.8
Pass accuracy87%87%91%91%
Fouls12.712.99.18.6
Cards2.532.411.181.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Olympique Marseille

0–15'95
16–30'106
31–45'73
46–60'1010
61–75'106
76–90'1715

Paris Saint Germain

0–15'113
16–30'76
31–45'154
46–60'115
61–75'123
76–90'188

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Olympique Marseille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.064

Game state

When level+0.245
When behind-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.563

Situations

At home+0.282
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.105

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.173
As favourite+0.282
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.325

Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.27

Paris Saint Germain · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: when behind +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.475
Early press (0-15, level)+0.635
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.203

Game state

When ahead+0.283
When level+0.405
When behind+0.673
10 min after conceding+0.143
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home+0.582
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.232
v mid-tier opponents+0.472
As favourite+0.475

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.325
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.424

Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.26

Olympique Marseille

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%2.172.441.171.91.23
3-4-2-19 26%1.441.671.441.521.09
3-4-1-22 6%1.51.01.01.310.95
3-5-1-11 3%1.01.01.01.811.38
3-2-4-11 3%0.00.01.02.280.97

Paris Saint Germain

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-333 97%2.32.240.852.030.97
3-5-21 3%0.00.01.00.661.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.0Home 24% P 24%3.9Draw 24% P 25%1.83Away 52% P 51%

Double Chance

1.9Marseille or Draw 25% P 24%1.25Marseille or PSG 37% P 38%1.22Draw or PSG 38% P 38%

Draw No Bet

3.01 31%1.362 69%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 60%2.2No 42% P 40%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 50–52.5% · 348 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home24%24%27%+3.4
Draw25%25%29%+3.7
Away51%51%44%-7.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes60%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Jérôme Brisard

Career
207 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
4.0 (3.73 yellow · 0.2 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.35
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 89 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.914.06-0.3628
Fouls / match23.424.3-0.38
Fouls per card6.16.0+0.12 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.360.36-0.0444
Time added7.46.7+0.5988
First card
32' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.1

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-08-31 50 290 1'10
2025-08-24 62 250 6'10
2025-08-21 51 280 8'8
2025-08-14 71 321 31'15
2025-05-17 51 262 82'14
2025-05-03 –– 27– –11
2025-04-19 · Olympique Marseille 40 221 15'4
2025-04-12 30 260 64'4
2025-03-29 71 311 27'9
2025-03-16 41 220 3'7