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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 5
ParisParis
2–3
FT
StrasbourgStrasbourg

Momentum

– ParisStrasbourg –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
5

Venue

Stadium
Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
Capacity
15,097
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
17,912

Teams

Coaches
Stéphane Gilli · Liam Rosenior
Position
10 · 5
Formation
4-1-4-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

François Letexier

Where to watch · 194

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Paris

LLWW 2W 0D 2L · 6 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 6.46–8.0 · xPts 4.7

  • W A Brest 2–1 xG 1.74–2.97 FRA L1
  • W H Metz 3–2 xG 3.08–1.55 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Marseille 2–5 xG 0.83–2.65 FRA L1
  • L A Angers SCO 0–1 xG 0.81–0.83 FRA L1

Strasbourg

DWWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 7.99–5.35 · xPts 8.73

  • W H Le Havre 1–0 xG 1.34–0.72 FRA L1
  • L A Monaco 2–3 xG 1.54–1.83 FRA L1
  • W A Brøndby IF 3–2 xG 1.02–2.15 UEFA ECL
  • W H Nantes 1–0 xG 1.76–0.51 FRA L1
  • D H Brøndby IF 0–0 xG 2.33–0.15 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Paris 01 draws1 Strasbourg

Goals 2–3 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Paris 01 draws1 Strasbourg

Goals 2–3 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Paris 01 draws1 Strasbourg

Goals 2–3 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • D Strasbourg 0–0 Paris FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris 2–3 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricParis all · 34Paris at home · 17Strasbourg all · 34Strasbourg away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.291.471.561.35
W / D / L11 / 11 / 127 / 4 / 615 / 8 / 116 / 5 / 6
Goals for / match1.381.651.711.65
Goals against / match1.471.591.381.65
Clean sheets24%24%26%12%
Failed to score26%29%18%18%
Both teams scored62%53%65%76%
Over 2.556%65%65%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.321.531.461.42
xG against / match1.621.601.331.61
xG difference-0.30-0.070.13-0.19
Finishing vs xG0.060.120.240.23
xPts / match1.251.391.441.25
Points vs xPts0.040.080.120.10
Game state
Scored first41%35%56%41%
PPG when scoring first2.142.672.052.00
PPG when conceding first0.630.800.920.89
Came back from behind33%40%31%40%
Leads held69%88%65%60%
Minutes leading23%25%26%21%
Minutes level49%40%52%46%
Minutes trailing28%34%22%34%
First goal (min)41414144
First goal conceded (min)40323935
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%54%57%57%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%52%62%61%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.590.410.59
Late goals against0.380.350.350.35
Style
Possession50%52%54%56%
Shots11.713.511.510.9
On target4.04.54.64.2
Shot conversion12%12%15%15%
Shots inside box67%69%69%69%
Big chances created2.42.83.02.8
Corners4.45.54.23.5
xG from set plays26%30%23%26%
Goals from headers4%7%16%21%
Pressure index10.512.714.212.2
Dominant minutes46.054.554.752.8
Pass accuracy84%84%88%88%
Fouls10.610.811.112.6
Cards2.352.821.942.41

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Paris

0–15'73
16–30'99
31–45'59
46–60'510
61–75'76
76–90'1413

Strasbourg

0–15'47
16–30'106
31–45'115
46–60'914
61–75'103
76–90'1412

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paris · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)-0.364
Late push (76+, level)-0.313

Game state

When ahead-0.062
When level-0.154
10 min after scoring-0.242

Situations

At home-0.212
Away-0.042
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.082
v bottom-tier opponents-0.162
As favourite-0.162

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.222
Conceded late (76+)-0.194

Ahead vs level +0.09

Strasbourg · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.044
Early press (0-15, level)+0.114
Late push (76+, level)-0.532

Game state

When ahead+0.393
When level-0.044
When behind-0.063
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+1.023

Situations

At home+0.082
Away+0.002
4+ days rest+0.044

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.053
Evenly matched-0.022
As underdog+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.053
Conceded late (76+)+0.044

Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.02

Paris

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 29%1.51.92.01.421.79
5-4-18 24%1.00.750.881.041.42
4-2-3-17 21%1.431.571.01.341.09
4-1-4-13 9%2.02.671.671.962.36
4-5-12 6%0.50.01.51.052.0

Strasbourg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 12

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.591.761.471.61.46
3-4-2-110 29%1.11.61.41.551.24
4-4-1-12 6%1.52.02.01.021.73
5-3-21 3%3.01.00.00.740.21
3-5-21 3%0.01.02.00.621.57

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.35Home 40% P 40%3.4Draw 28% P 28%3.0Away 32% P 32%

Double Chance

1.36Paris FC or Draw 34% P 34%1.3Paris FC or Strasbourg 36% P 36%1.53Draw or Strasbourg 30% P 30%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 59%2.2No 42% P 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 53%2.0Under 47% P 47%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home40%41%41%-0.1
Draw28%28%26%-1.9
Away32%31%33%+2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes59%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%54%+0.8

François Letexier

Career
253 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
4.35 (4.09 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
23.3 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.39
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 86 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.444.06+0.7184
Fouls / match22.924.3-0.68
Fouls per card5.26.0-1.21 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.36+0.2056
Time added7.26.7+0.4472
First card
31' on average
Card timing
19% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.36

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-16 10 211 42'8
2025-08-31 41 270 22'12
2025-08-19 40 200 52'10
2025-08-17 · Paris 31 240 10'10
2025-08-12 51 261 2'8
2025-05-17 21 230 43'4
2025-04-20 70 250 24'9
2025-04-16 50 331 4'12
2025-04-11 10 160 81'7
2025-03-11 10 120 48'5