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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 5
BrestBrest
4–1
FT
NiceNice

Momentum

– BrestNice –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
5

Venue

Stadium
Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest
Capacity
15,097
Surface
grass
Attendance
14,158

Teams

Coaches
Eric Roy · Franck Haise
Position
17 · 8
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Benoît Bastien

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
19.7° (feels 19.5°)
Wind
10.4
Humidity
67%

Where to watch · 195

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Brest

DLLL 0W 1D 3L · 1 pts (0.25 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 7.01–9.3 · xPts 5.05

  • L H Paris 1–2 xG 2.97–1.74 FRA L1
  • L A Lens 1–3 xG 1.09–4.79 FRA L1
  • L A Toulouse 0–2 xG 1.14–1.19 FRA L1
  • D H LOSC Lille 3–3 xG 1.82–1.59 FRA L1

Nice

LLWLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 6.62–7.2 · xPts 6.63

  • W H Nantes 1–0 xG 1.85–0.69 FRA L1
  • L A Le Havre 1–3 xG 1.06–1.9 FRA L1
  • W H Auxerre 3–1 xG 1.94–1.42 FRA L1
  • L H Toulouse 0–1 xG 0.8–0.82 FRA L1
  • L A Benfica 0–2 xG 0.97–2.37 UEFA CL

All meetings · 20 matches since 2010

Brest 48 draws8 Nice

Goals 18–28 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 35% · over 2.5 40%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Brest 23 draws5 Nice

Goals 8–16 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Brest 12 draws2 Nice

Goals 6–10 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Nice 2–2 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 4–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 6–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 0–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Brest 0–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 0–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 1–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 1–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 0–3 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 2–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricBrest all · 34Brest at home · 17Nice all · 34Nice away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.151.530.940.71
W / D / L10 / 9 / 157 / 5 / 57 / 11 / 163 / 3 / 11
Goals for / match1.261.651.091.06
Goals against / match1.621.351.761.94
Clean sheets26%41%18%12%
Failed to score32%24%32%29%
Both teams scored47%47%59%65%
Over 2.550%47%50%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.291.681.241.11
xG against / match1.541.421.711.78
xG difference-0.250.25-0.47-0.67
Finishing vs xG-0.03-0.03-0.15-0.05
xPts / match1.281.611.120.99
Points vs xPts-0.13-0.08-0.18-0.28
Game state
Scored first47%59%38%41%
PPG when scoring first1.942.301.851.43
PPG when conceding first0.380.200.280.11
Came back from behind21%17%24%8%
Leads held56%70%54%43%
Minutes leading24%33%20%15%
Minutes level44%43%48%47%
Minutes trailing32%24%32%38%
First goal (min)35264242
First goal conceded (min)33273838
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%50%49%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%39%52%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.240.210.24
Late goals against0.320.180.350.29
Style
Possession43%44%46%47%
Shots11.213.911.29.5
On target3.54.53.93.5
Shot conversion11%12%10%11%
Shots inside box63%63%65%66%
Big chances created2.23.02.72.1
Corners3.94.65.14.6
xG from set plays36%33%27%28%
Goals from headers21%25%11%6%
Pressure index8.110.29.08.4
Dominant minutes36.740.740.939.2
Pass accuracy78%78%82%82%
Fouls12.712.612.412.5
Cards1.851.762.122.24

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Brest

0–15'98
16–30'612
31–45'77
46–60'86
61–75'511
76–90'811

Nice

0–15'59
16–30'67
31–45'813
46–60'79
61–75'410
76–90'712

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Brest · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: when level +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.184
Early press (0-15, level)+0.424
Late push (76+, level)+1.122
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead-0.192
When level+0.654
When behind-0.073
10 min after conceding-0.204
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home+0.142
Away+0.212
4+ days rest+0.184

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.212
Evenly matched+0.303

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.124
Conceded when ahead+0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.204

Ahead vs level -0.84 · Behind vs level -0.72

Nice · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: when behind +0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.082

Game state

When level+0.174
When behind+0.413
10 min after conceding+0.023

Situations

At home+0.262
Away+0.242
4+ days rest+0.254

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.432
v bottom-tier opponents+0.082
Evenly matched+0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.084

Behind vs level +0.23

Brest

Current: winless 1 · conceding 13

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%1.421.381.421.351.38
4-3-35 15%0.21.02.21.512.04
4-1-4-12 6%0.51.53.50.512.69
4-2-2-21 3%0.00.02.00.90.43
4-4-21 3%3.02.00.01.791.34

Nice

Current: winless 12 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 21%0.861.291.861.331.64
3-4-2-16 18%1.171.01.51.611.26
5-4-15 15%0.60.61.00.891.23
3-4-1-24 12%1.751.51.00.951.66
3-5-23 9%0.330.671.671.421.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.2Home 30% P 32%3.6Draw 27% P 27%2.2Away 44% P 41%

Double Chance

1.66Brest or Draw 28% P 29%1.28Brest or Nice 37% P 37%1.36Draw or Nice 35% P 34%

Draw No Bet

2.251 41%1.572 59%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 62%2.37No 39% P 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.756 - 8 32%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 40–42.5% · 560 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home32%31%31%-0.2
Draw27%28%24%-4.2
Away41%41%46%+4.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes62%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Benoît Bastien

Career
347 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.35 (4.09 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.37
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 92 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.264.06+0.3472
Fouls / match24.624.3+0.19
Fouls per card5.86.0-0.30 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.36+0.1652
Time added7.36.7+0.5280
First card
31' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.22

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-08-31 31 251 8'12
2025-08-28 50 210 9'9
2025-08-17 20 120 45'9
2025-08-12 110 520 49'7
2025-05-10 60 340 9'9
2025-04-26 10 170 37'8
2025-04-12 30 241 9'7
2025-04-06 21 220 90'10
2025-03-13 91 193 9'8
2025-03-09 · Nice 30 230 4'6