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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 6
NiceNice
1–1
FT
ParisParis

Momentum

– NiceParis –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
Allianz Riviera, Nice
Capacity
36,178
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,049

Teams

Coaches
Franck Haise · Stéphane Gilli
Position
12 · 11
Formation
3-4-1-2 · 4-3-3

Referee

A. Kherradji

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
20.3° (feels 19.7°)
Wind
3.2
Humidity
51%

Where to watch · 189

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Nice

WLWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 8.02–6.75 · xPts 7.72

  • L H Roma 1–2 xG 1.04–1.06 UEFA EL
  • L A Brest 1–4 xG 2.13–1.67 FRA L1
  • W H Nantes 1–0 xG 1.85–0.69 FRA L1
  • L A Le Havre 1–3 xG 1.06–1.9 FRA L1
  • W H Auxerre 3–1 xG 1.94–1.42 FRA L1

Paris

LLWWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 9 GA 12 · xG 8.18–9.96 · xPts 5.95

  • L H Strasbourg 2–3 xG 1.72–1.96 FRA L1
  • W A Brest 2–1 xG 1.74–2.97 FRA L1
  • W H Metz 3–2 xG 3.08–1.55 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Marseille 2–5 xG 0.83–2.65 FRA L1
  • L A Angers SCO 0–1 xG 0.81–0.83 FRA L1

All meetings · 3 matches since 2025

Nice 01 draws2 Paris

Goals 1–5 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Nice 01 draws2 Paris

Goals 1–5 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Nice 01 draws2 Paris

Goals 1–5 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Recent meetings

  • L Paris 3–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris 1–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 1–1 Paris FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricNice all · 34Nice at home · 17Paris all · 34Paris away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.941.181.291.12
W / D / L7 / 11 / 164 / 8 / 511 / 11 / 124 / 7 / 6
Goals for / match1.091.121.381.12
Goals against / match1.761.591.471.35
Clean sheets18%24%24%24%
Failed to score32%35%26%24%
Both teams scored59%53%62%71%
Over 2.550%41%56%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.241.381.321.12
xG against / match1.711.651.621.64
xG difference-0.47-0.27-0.30-0.52
Finishing vs xG-0.15-0.260.060.00
xPts / match1.121.261.251.11
Points vs xPts-0.18-0.090.040.01
Game state
Scored first38%35%41%47%
PPG when scoring first1.852.332.141.75
PPG when conceding first0.280.440.630.33
Came back from behind24%44%33%25%
Leads held54%67%69%50%
Minutes leading20%25%23%21%
Minutes level48%49%49%58%
Minutes trailing32%26%28%20%
First goal (min)42424141
First goal conceded (min)38384047
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%58%55%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%52%58%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.180.410.24
Late goals against0.350.410.380.41
Style
Possession46%46%50%49%
Shots11.213.011.79.9
On target3.94.44.03.4
Shot conversion10%9%12%11%
Shots inside box65%63%67%64%
Big chances created2.73.22.41.9
Corners5.15.54.43.2
xG from set plays27%27%26%21%
Goals from headers11%16%4%0%
Pressure index9.09.610.58.3
Dominant minutes40.942.646.037.5
Pass accuracy82%82%84%84%
Fouls12.412.210.610.4
Cards2.122.002.351.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Nice

0–15'59
16–30'67
31–45'813
46–60'79
61–75'410
76–90'712

Paris

0–15'73
16–30'99
31–45'59
46–60'510
61–75'76
76–90'1413

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Nice · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: when behind +0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.092

Game state

When level+0.174
When behind+0.403
10 min after conceding+0.023

Situations

At home+0.252
Away+0.242
4+ days rest+0.254

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.432
v bottom-tier opponents+0.082
Evenly matched+0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.084

Behind vs level +0.23

Paris · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)-0.364
Late push (76+, level)-0.313

Game state

When ahead-0.062
When level-0.154
10 min after scoring-0.242

Situations

At home-0.212
Away-0.042
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.082
v bottom-tier opponents-0.162
As favourite-0.162

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.222
Conceded late (76+)-0.194

Ahead vs level +0.09

Nice

Current: winless 12 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 21%0.861.291.861.331.64
3-4-2-16 18%1.171.01.51.611.26
5-4-15 15%0.60.61.00.891.23
3-4-1-24 12%1.751.51.00.951.66
3-4-33 9%1.332.03.01.23.1

Paris

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 29%1.51.92.01.421.79
5-4-18 24%1.00.750.881.041.42
4-2-3-17 21%1.431.571.01.341.09
4-1-4-13 9%2.02.671.671.962.36
4-5-12 6%0.50.01.51.052.0

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 45% P 45%3.5Draw 27% P 27%3.3Away 28% P 28%

Double Chance

1.33Nice or Draw 35% P 36%1.28Nice or Paris FC 37% P 37%1.7Draw or Paris FC 28% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 60%2.2No 42% P 40%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 54%2.1Under 45% P 46%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home45%44%43%-0.3
Draw27%28%30%+2.4
Away28%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes60%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%54%+0.8

A. Kherradji

Career
28 matches · 2 seasons
Cards / match
4.04 (3.79 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
27.8 · 6.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.39
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 28 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.044.06-0.1148
Fouls / match27.824.3+1.91
Fouls per card6.96.0+1.17 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.360.36-0.0640
Time added9.46.7+2.04100
First card
26' on average
Card timing
21% in first 30' · 26% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.36

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-21 90 350 3'12
2025-08-29 41 191 45'15
2025-08-17 50 321 19'12
2025-05-17 30 191 34'5
2025-05-02 · Nice 40 350 6'12
2025-04-18 81 371 12'9
2025-04-13 60 390 18'2
2025-03-14 · Nice 41 320 29'8
2025-03-09 20 220 37'11
2025-02-15 20 231 15'12