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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 6
StrasbourgStrasbourg
1–2
FT
Olympique MarseilleOM

Momentum

– StrasbourgOM –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Capacity
29,200
Surface
grass
Attendance
23,262

Teams

Coaches
Liam Rosenior · Roberto De Zerbi
Position
4 · 6
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Jérémie Pignard

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
10.6° (feels 10.1°)
Wind
2.9
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 207

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Strasbourg

WWLWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 7 · xG 7.62–6.92 · xPts 7.55

  • W A Paris 3–2 xG 1.96–1.72 FRA L1
  • W H Le Havre 1–0 xG 1.34–0.72 FRA L1
  • L A Monaco 2–3 xG 1.54–1.83 FRA L1
  • W A Brøndby IF 3–2 xG 1.02–2.15 UEFA ECL
  • W H Nantes 1–0 xG 1.76–0.51 FRA L1

Olympique Marseille

WLWLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 11 GA 5 · xG 8.24–8.89 · xPts 7.54

  • W H Paris Saint Germain 1–0 xG 1.17–0.66 FRA L1
  • L A Real Madrid 1–2 xG 1.12–3.99 UEFA CL
  • W H Lorient 4–0 xG 1.85–0.19 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Lyonnais 0–1 xG 1.46–3.23 FRA L1
  • W H Paris 5–2 xG 2.65–0.83 FRA L1

All meetings · 22 matches since 2005

Strasbourg 111 draws10 Olympique Marseille

Goals 23–41 · 2.91 per match · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Strasbourg 16 draws3 Olympique Marseille

Goals 11–19 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Strasbourg 12 draws2 Olympique Marseille

Goals 5–9 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Olympique Marseille 4–0 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 2–2 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Strasbourg 1–2 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 1–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Strasbourg 1–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 1–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Strasbourg 1–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 2–2 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Strasbourg 2–2 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 4–0 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricStrasbourg all · 34Strasbourg at home · 17Olympique Marseille all · 34Olympique Marseille away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.561.761.741.29
W / D / L15 / 8 / 119 / 3 / 518 / 5 / 117 / 1 / 9
Goals for / match1.711.761.851.29
Goals against / match1.381.121.321.47
Clean sheets26%41%26%24%
Failed to score18%18%24%41%
Both teams scored65%53%50%35%
Over 2.565%65%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.461.501.701.61
xG against / match1.331.051.201.35
xG difference0.130.450.490.25
Finishing vs xG0.240.260.16-0.31
xPts / match1.441.631.691.55
Points vs xPts0.120.130.04-0.26
Game state
Scored first56%71%59%47%
PPG when scoring first2.052.082.402.38
PPG when conceding first0.921.000.790.33
Came back from behind31%17%31%10%
Leads held65%69%72%78%
Minutes leading26%31%38%28%
Minutes level52%59%41%43%
Minutes trailing22%10%21%29%
First goal (min)41383638
First goal conceded (min)39464647
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%57%59%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%63%69%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.240.500.29
Late goals against0.350.350.440.29
Style
Possession54%52%57%56%
Shots11.512.115.114.4
On target4.65.15.75.1
Shot conversion15%15%12%9%
Shots inside box69%70%64%64%
Big chances created3.03.33.02.6
Corners4.24.95.24.8
xG from set plays23%21%26%26%
Goals from headers16%10%10%4%
Pressure index14.216.317.615.8
Dominant minutes54.756.658.355.6
Pass accuracy88%88%87%87%
Fouls11.19.612.712.5
Cards1.941.472.532.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Strasbourg

0–15'47
16–30'106
31–45'115
46–60'914
61–75'103
76–90'1412

Olympique Marseille

0–15'95
16–30'106
31–45'73
46–60'1010
61–75'106
76–90'1715

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Strasbourg · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.044
Early press (0-15, level)+0.114
Late push (76+, level)-0.532

Game state

When ahead+0.393
When level-0.044
When behind-0.063
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+1.023

Situations

At home+0.082
Away+0.002
4+ days rest+0.044

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.053
Evenly matched-0.022
As underdog+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.053
Conceded late (76+)+0.044

Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.02

Olympique Marseille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.064

Game state

When level+0.245
When behind-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.563

Situations

At home+0.282
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.105

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.173
As favourite+0.282
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.325

Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.27

Strasbourg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 12

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.591.761.471.61.46
3-4-2-110 29%1.11.61.41.551.24
4-4-1-12 6%1.52.02.01.021.73
5-3-21 3%3.01.00.00.740.21
3-1-4-21 3%3.01.00.01.340.72

Olympique Marseille

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%2.172.441.171.91.23
3-4-2-19 26%1.441.671.441.521.09
3-4-1-22 6%1.51.01.01.310.95
3-5-1-11 3%1.01.01.01.811.38
3-2-4-11 3%0.00.01.02.280.97

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.25Home 29% P 30%3.5Draw 27% P 27%2.15Away 44% P 43%

Double Chance

1.66Strasbourg or Draw 28% P 28%1.28Strasbourg or Marseille 37% P 37%1.33Draw or Marseille 35% P 35%

Draw No Bet

2.251 41%1.572 59%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 60%2.2No 42% P 40%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 54%2.1Under 45% P 46%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49%1.8Under 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 42.5–45% · 505 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home30%29%23%-5.8
Draw27%28%27%-0.3
Away43%44%50%+6.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes60%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%54%+0.8

Jérémie Pignard

Career
139 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.65 (4.34 yellow · 0.19 red)
Fouls / match
22.8 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 89 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.734.06+1.3192
Fouls / match23.224.3-0.51
Fouls per card4.96.0-1.54 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.510.36+1.3796
Time added6.16.7-0.3524
First card
31' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 26% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.24

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-14 30 180 5'9
2025-08-28 30 170 15'6
2025-08-15 · Olympique Marseille 51 190 26'12
2025-07-22 60 240 19'8
2025-05-17 · Olympique Marseille 60 202 29'6
2025-05-04 30 210 27'9
2025-04-27 60 300 37'6
2025-04-22 20 140 77'5
2025-04-12 · Strasbourg 30 130 56'2
2025-04-06 · Olympique Marseille 50 260 24'6