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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 10
Le HavreLe Havre
1–0
FT
BrestBrest

Momentum

– Le HavreBrest –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
10

Venue

Stadium
Stade Océane, Le Havre
Capacity
25,181
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,484

Teams

Coaches
Didier Digard · Eric Roy
Position
14 · 12
Formation
3-1-4-2 · 4-3-3

Referee

Benoît Millot

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
13.1° (feels 12.5°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
77%

Where to watch · 185

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Le Havre

DDDLW 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 6.26–6.69 · xPts 6.87

  • W A Auxerre 1–0 xG 0.95–1.02 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Marseille 2–6 xG 0.42–3.23 FRA L1
  • D H Rennes 2–2 xG 1.73–0.87 FRA L1
  • D A Metz 0–0 xG 0.4–0.59 FRA L1
  • D H Lorient 1–1 xG 2.76–0.97 FRA L1

Brest

WWDDL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 7.47–6.52 · xPts 7.71

  • L H Paris Saint Germain 0–3 xG 1.59–1.83 FRA L1
  • D A Lorient 3–3 xG 1.58–1.38 FRA L1
  • D H Nantes 0–0 xG 1.43–0.35 FRA L1
  • W A Angers SCO 2–0 xG 1.19–0.83 FRA L1
  • W H Nice 4–1 xG 1.67–2.13 FRA L1

All meetings · 7 matches since 2023

Le Havre 10 draws6 Brest

Goals 3–10 · 1.86 per match · BTTS 29% · over 2.5 29%

Last 10 · 7 matches

Le Havre 10 draws6 Brest

Goals 3–10 · 1.86 per match · BTTS 29% · over 2.5 29%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Le Havre 10 draws4 Brest

Goals 2–7 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Le Havre 1–2 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 2–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Le Havre 1–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Le Havre 0–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 2–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 1–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Le Havre 1–2 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLe Havre all · 34Le Havre at home · 17Brest all · 34Brest away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.031.351.150.76
W / D / L7 / 14 / 135 / 8 / 410 / 9 / 153 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match0.941.181.260.88
Goals against / match1.291.061.621.88
Clean sheets24%24%26%12%
Failed to score41%35%32%41%
Both teams scored50%59%47%47%
Over 2.532%41%50%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.331.290.91
xG against / match1.531.171.541.66
xG difference-0.360.16-0.25-0.75
Finishing vs xG-0.24-0.15-0.03-0.02
xPts / match1.191.501.280.95
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.15-0.13-0.19
Game state
Scored first35%35%47%35%
PPG when scoring first2.082.671.941.33
PPG when conceding first0.290.500.380.45
Came back from behind28%50%21%23%
Leads held58%83%56%38%
Minutes leading14%18%24%15%
Minutes level60%58%44%45%
Minutes trailing26%24%32%41%
First goal (min)41393547
First goal conceded (min)38343338
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%55%49%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%33%51%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.240.240.24
Late goals against0.260.120.320.47
Style
Possession47%47%43%42%
Shots10.912.011.28.6
On target3.63.93.52.5
Shot conversion9%10%11%10%
Shots inside box62%62%63%63%
Big chances created2.02.22.21.5
Corners4.34.83.93.1
xG from set plays31%38%36%42%
Goals from headers19%15%21%13%
Pressure index9.912.68.16.1
Dominant minutes43.951.436.732.6
Pass accuracy80%81%78%78%
Fouls13.713.412.712.9
Cards2.031.941.851.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Le Havre

0–15'46
16–30'46
31–45'611
46–60'56
61–75'76
76–90'69

Brest

0–15'98
16–30'612
31–45'77
46–60'86
61–75'511
76–90'811

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Le Havre · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: at home +0.15

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.144
Early press (0-15, level)-0.064
Late push (76+, level)-0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.102

Game state

When level+0.084
When behind+0.212
10 min after conceding+0.113
10 min after scoring+0.212

Situations

At home+0.153
4+ days rest+0.144

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.102
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog+0.102

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.364

Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.12

Brest · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: when level +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.184
Early press (0-15, level)+0.434
Late push (76+, level)+1.122
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead-0.192
When level+0.654
When behind-0.073
10 min after conceding-0.204
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home+0.142
Away+0.212
4+ days rest+0.184

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.212
Evenly matched+0.313

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.124
Conceded when ahead+0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.204

Ahead vs level -0.84 · Behind vs level -0.72

Le Havre

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-37 21%0.860.571.141.231.31
4-1-3-26 18%1.00.671.171.361.68
4-1-4-15 15%0.61.01.61.221.26
4-2-3-15 15%1.21.61.41.511.35
3-4-1-24 12%0.750.751.01.191.9

Brest

Current: winless 1 · conceding 13

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%1.421.381.421.351.38
4-3-35 15%0.21.02.21.512.04
4-1-4-12 6%0.51.53.50.512.69
4-4-21 3%3.02.00.01.791.34
3-4-31 3%0.00.01.00.271.95

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.75Home 35% P 33%3.1Draw 31% P 31%2.75Away 35% P 36%

Double Chance

1.44Le Havre or Draw 32% P 32%1.36Le Havre or Brest 34% P 34%1.4Draw or Brest 33% P 34%

Draw No Bet

2.01 46%1.722 54%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 50%1.95No 48% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 41%1.66Under 57% P 59%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 35–37.5% · 691 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%34%34%+0.5
Draw31%30%27%-2.5
Away36%36%38%+2.0

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.541%41%41%-0.4

Benoît Millot

Career
284 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.14 (3.93 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
25.5 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.28
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 83 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.994.06-0.2140
Fouls / match25.824.3+0.86
Fouls per card6.56.0+0.71 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.36-0.5924
Time added7.06.7+0.3060
First card
35' on average
Card timing
19% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-26 50 300 22'15
2025-10-03 30 290 45'6
2025-09-14 10 172 45'12
2025-08-24 · Brest 10 240 63'14
2025-05-03 50 220 14'7
2025-04-20 · Brest –– 22– 45'9
2025-04-13 20 250 37'2
2025-03-15 51 240 12'6
2025-03-02 · Brest 30 281 34'8
2025-02-16 61 270 4'10