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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 10
LorientLorient
1–1
FT
Paris Saint GermainPSG

Momentum

– LorientPSG –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
10

Venue

Stadium
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir, Lorient
Capacity
18,110
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
16,706

Teams

Coaches
Olivier Pantaloni · Luis Enrique
Position
16 · 1
Formation
5-4-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Willy Delajod

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
12.3° (feels 12.0°)
Wind
4.9
Humidity
93%

Where to watch · 245

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Lorient

DWLDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 7.74–7.87 · xPts 6.87

  • L A Angers SCO 0–2 xG 2.13–0.93 FRA L1
  • D H Brest 3–3 xG 1.38–1.58 FRA L1
  • L A Paris 0–2 xG 0.72–1.49 FRA L1
  • W H Monaco 3–1 xG 2.54–1.1 FRA L1
  • D A Le Havre 1–1 xG 0.97–2.76 FRA L1

Paris Saint Germain

WDDWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 16 GA 7 · xG 9.69–7.05 · xPts 8.57

  • W A Brest 3–0 xG 1.83–1.59 FRA L1
  • W A Bayer 04 Leverkusen 7–2 xG 2.37–1.82 UEFA CL
  • D H Strasbourg 3–3 xG 2.63–1.78 FRA L1
  • D A LOSC Lille 1–1 xG 1.42–0.86 FRA L1
  • W A FC Barcelona 2–1 xG 1.45–1.0 UEFA CL

All meetings · 32 matches since 2006

Lorient 78 draws17 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 37–59 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 66% · over 2.5 62%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Lorient 24 draws4 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 13–20 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Lorient 13 draws1 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 7–8 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Paris Saint Germain 2–2 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lorient 1–1 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 1–4 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Paris Saint Germain 0–0 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 1–3 Lorient neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 1–2 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 5–1 Lorient neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lorient 1–1 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lorient 3–2 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 2–0 Lorient neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLorient all · 34Lorient at home · 17Paris Saint Germain all · 34Paris Saint Germain away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.321.762.242.06
W / D / L11 / 12 / 118 / 6 / 324 / 4 / 611 / 2 / 4
Goals for / match1.411.822.181.94
Goals against / match1.501.470.851.00
Clean sheets21%24%53%41%
Failed to score29%6%6%12%
Both teams scored53%71%41%47%
Over 2.544%53%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.621.991.74
xG against / match1.381.180.981.16
xG difference-0.030.431.010.58
Finishing vs xG0.070.210.180.20
xPts / match1.341.611.991.74
Points vs xPts-0.010.160.250.32
Game state
Scored first47%65%85%82%
PPG when scoring first2.192.182.622.50
PPG when conceding first0.531.000.000.00
Came back from behind42%62%14%0%
Leads held65%67%83%79%
Minutes leading26%37%44%37%
Minutes level49%50%45%52%
Minutes trailing25%13%11%11%
First goal (min)37363841
First goal conceded (min)45483846
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%55%55%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%72%55%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.240.530.47
Late goals against0.470.530.240.41
Style
Possession45%46%69%68%
Shots11.311.917.715.2
On target3.94.46.76.4
Shot conversion12%15%12%13%
Shots inside box63%64%63%66%
Big chances created2.02.53.73.8
Corners3.53.26.45.2
xG from set plays33%34%29%26%
Goals from headers6%10%15%18%
Pressure index10.110.627.424.6
Dominant minutes42.843.673.068.8
Pass accuracy84%84%91%91%
Fouls9.59.59.18.6
Cards1.681.711.181.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Lorient

0–15'46
16–30'76
31–45'95
46–60'811
61–75'77
76–90'1316

Paris Saint Germain

0–15'113
16–30'76
31–45'154
46–60'115
61–75'123
76–90'188

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lorient · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.96

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)+0.374
Late push (76+, level)-0.152

Game state

When ahead-0.322
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.963

Situations

At home-0.072
Away-0.182
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.022
Evenly matched-0.232

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.162
Conceded late (76+)-0.064

Ahead vs level -0.18 · Behind vs level +0.28

Paris Saint Germain · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.475
Early press (0-15, level)+0.635
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.203

Game state

When ahead+0.283
When level+0.405
When behind+0.673
10 min after conceding+0.143
10 min after scoring+0.675

Situations

At home+0.582
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.232
v mid-tier opponents+0.472
As favourite+0.475

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.315
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.424

Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.26

Lorient

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-128 82%1.291.391.681.371.46
3-4-34 12%1.751.750.51.680.99
5-4-12 6%1.01.01.00.410.96

Paris Saint Germain

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-333 97%2.32.240.852.030.97
3-5-21 3%0.00.01.00.661.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

10.0Home 9% P 10%6.5Draw 15% P 15%1.25Away 76% P 75%

Double Chance

4.0Lorient or Draw 12% P 12%1.1Lorient or PSG 43% P 43%1.05Draw or PSG 45% P 45%

Draw No Bet

9.01 11%1.072 89%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 52%1.9No 50% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 66% P 65%2.75Under 34% P 35%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 7.5–10% · away 75–77.5% · 163 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home10%9%7%-1.3
Draw15%15%11%-4.1
Away75%76%82%+5.4

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 63%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.565%66%69%+3.2

Willy Delajod

Career
170 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.05 (3.76 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
25.5 · 6.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.43
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 92 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.984.06-0.2336
Fouls / match24.824.3+0.33
Fouls per card6.36.0+0.38 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.36+0.4868
Time added6.96.7+0.2352
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.14

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-23 30 150 8'9
2025-10-05 41 193 24'16
2025-10-02 50 291 1'9
2025-09-28 20 261 41'9
2025-09-14 41 241 40'8
2025-08-27 50 350 31'6
2025-08-24 30 211 84'8
2025-05-17 10 181 84'8
2025-05-10 40 240 48'10
2025-04-25 · Paris Saint Germain 40 200 43'10