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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 10
NantesNantes
3–5
FT
MonacoMonaco

Momentum

– NantesMonaco –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
10

Venue

Stadium
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau, Nantes
Capacity
37,473
Surface
grass
Attendance
33,653

Teams

Coaches
Luís Ferreira de Castro · Sebastien Pocognoli
Position
13 · 6
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-1-4-2

Referee

Jérôme Brisard

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
15.0° (feels 14.3°)
Wind
3.8
Humidity
69%

Where to watch · 237

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Nantes

DDDLW 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 5.27–9.25 · xPts 4.64

  • W A Paris 2–1 xG 0.85–1.07 FRA L1
  • L H LOSC Lille 0–2 xG 0.69–3.17 FRA L1
  • D A Brest 0–0 xG 0.35–1.43 FRA L1
  • D A Toulouse 2–2 xG 1.45–2.27 FRA L1
  • D H Rennes 2–2 xG 1.93–1.32 FRA L1

Monaco

DDDDW 1W 4D 0L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 11.78–6.79 · xPts 9.52

  • W H Toulouse 1–0 xG 2.93–0.86 FRA L1
  • D H Tottenham Hotspur 0–0 xG 2.79–1.04 UEFA CL
  • D A Angers SCO 1–1 xG 1.34–2.1 FRA L1
  • D H Nice 2–2 xG 3.32–1.2 FRA L1
  • D H Manchester City 2–2 xG 1.41–1.59 UEFA CL

All meetings · 31 matches since 2005

Nantes 39 draws19 Monaco

Goals 26–59 · 2.74 per match · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Nantes 05 draws5 Monaco

Goals 14–31 · 4.5 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Nantes 01 draws4 Monaco

Goals 7–21 · 5.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L Monaco 3–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nantes 3–5 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 7–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nantes 2–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 4–0 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nantes 3–3 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nantes 2–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 4–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nantes 0–0 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Monaco 1–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricNantes all · 33Nantes at home · 16Monaco all · 34Monaco away · 17
Results
Matches33163417
Points per game0.700.751.591.29
W / D / L5 / 8 / 203 / 3 / 1016 / 6 / 126 / 4 / 7
Goals for / match0.881.131.761.59
Goals against / match1.581.691.591.82
Clean sheets21%19%21%12%
Failed to score42%31%21%29%
Both teams scored46%50%65%71%
Over 2.546%44%65%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.101.221.631.50
xG against / match1.491.401.431.65
xG difference-0.38-0.190.20-0.15
Finishing vs xG-0.22-0.090.140.09
xPts / match1.131.271.491.30
Points vs xPts-0.44-0.520.10-0.01
Game state
Scored first27%31%44%35%
PPG when scoring first2.002.002.531.83
PPG when conceding first0.100.180.821.00
Came back from behind9%17%33%30%
Leads held56%60%84%67%
Minutes leading19%25%28%22%
Minutes level50%40%51%54%
Minutes trailing30%36%21%25%
First goal (min)37354347
First goal conceded (min)43394747
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%50%63%63%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%52%61%64%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.190.350.29
Late goals against0.580.630.410.53
Style
Possession42%44%54%53%
Shots11.312.112.512.9
On target3.33.54.44.4
Shot conversion8%9%14%12%
Shots inside box65%63%73%73%
Big chances created1.82.13.02.8
Corners3.74.05.15.2
xG from set plays36%34%25%24%
Goals from headers14%11%12%11%
Pressure index8.28.312.311.3
Dominant minutes36.237.350.047.4
Pass accuracy78%78%83%83%
Fouls12.712.513.013.2
Cards2.122.062.442.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Nantes

0–15'66
16–30'18
31–45'98
46–60'57
61–75'34
76–90'519

Monaco

0–15'55
16–30'76
31–45'1010
46–60'127
61–75'1412
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Nantes

No pressure profile yet.

Monaco · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.006
Early press (0-15, level)+0.306

Game state

When ahead-0.165
When level+0.216
When behind+0.122
10 min after conceding-0.413
10 min after scoring+0.236

Situations

At home-0.072
Away+0.024
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest+0.024

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242
As favourite+0.013
Evenly matched+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.235
Conceded late (76+)+0.025

Congested vs rested -0.07 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.10

Nantes

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-1-4-110 30%0.50.51.10.91.38
4-3-310 30%0.91.22.11.081.94
5-3-23 9%0.00.01.670.771.19
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.672.01.071.2
4-2-3-12 6%1.52.01.02.41.5

Monaco

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 41%1.571.641.291.471.31
4-2-3-17 21%1.861.711.141.731.2
3-1-4-23 9%2.03.03.02.472.15
4-4-22 6%3.03.51.52.121.25
4-2-2-22 6%0.50.51.50.920.66

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.5Home 21% P 20%4.0Draw 24% P 24%1.7Away 55% P 56%

Double Chance

2.1Nantes or Draw 22% P 22%1.22Nantes or Monaco 38% P 38%1.18Draw or Monaco 40% P 40%

Draw No Bet

3.51 27%1.282 73%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 56%2.1No 44% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 56%2.2Under 43% P 44%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 21%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 55–57.5% · 338 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home20%19%20%+0.6
Draw24%25%22%-3.1
Away56%56%59%+2.5

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.556%56%56%-0.2

Jérôme Brisard

Career
207 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
4.0 (3.73 yellow · 0.2 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.35
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 89 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.914.06-0.3828
Fouls / match23.424.3-0.39
Fouls per card6.16.0+0.13 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.360.36-0.0344
Time added7.46.7+0.5988
First card
32' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.1

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-18 30 211 26'10
2025-09-24 50 150 40'5
2025-09-22 40 230 18'8
2025-08-31 50 290 1'10
2025-08-24 62 250 6'10
2025-08-21 51 280 8'8
2025-08-14 71 321 31'15
2025-05-17 51 262 82'14
2025-05-03 · Monaco –– 27– –11
2025-04-19 40 221 15'4