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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 10
NiceNice
2–0
FT
LOSC LilleLOSC Lille

Momentum

– NiceLOSC Lille –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
10

Venue

Stadium
Allianz Riviera, Nice
Capacity
36,178
Surface
grass
Attendance
22,441

Teams

Coaches
Franck Haise · Bruno Génésio
Position
8 · 5
Formation
3-4-1-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Bastien Dechepy

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
17.0° (feels 16.4°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
60%

Where to watch · 187

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Nice

LDWLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 9 · xG 5.79–11.46 · xPts 4.14

  • W A Rennes 2–1 xG 0.42–1.75 FRA L1
  • L A Celta de Vigo 1–2 xG 1.39–1.51 UEFA EL
  • W H Olympique Lyonnais 3–2 xG 1.26–3.69 FRA L1
  • D A Monaco 2–2 xG 1.2–3.32 FRA L1
  • L A Fenerbahçe 1–2 xG 1.53–1.2 UEFA EL

LOSC Lille

WDWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 13 GA 6 · xG 9.12–8.1 · xPts 7.39

  • W H Metz 6–1 xG 2.44–1.19 FRA L1
  • L H PAOK 3–4 xG 1.54–1.93 UEFA EL
  • W A Nantes 2–0 xG 3.17–0.69 FRA L1
  • D H Paris Saint Germain 1–1 xG 0.86–1.42 FRA L1
  • W A Roma 1–0 xG 1.11–2.87 UEFA EL

All meetings · 41 matches since 2005

Nice 1319 draws9 LOSC Lille

Goals 48–45 · 2.27 per match · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 32%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Nice 44 draws2 LOSC Lille

Goals 16–11 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Nice 13 draws1 LOSC Lille

Goals 7–6 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D LOSC Lille 0–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 2–0 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 2–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 2–2 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D LOSC Lille 2–2 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 1–1 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 1–0 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W LOSC Lille 1–2 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 1–3 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W LOSC Lille 0–4 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricNice all · 34Nice at home · 17LOSC Lille all · 34LOSC Lille away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.941.181.791.88
W / D / L7 / 11 / 164 / 8 / 518 / 7 / 910 / 2 / 5
Goals for / match1.091.121.531.65
Goals against / match1.761.591.091.18
Clean sheets18%24%38%41%
Failed to score32%35%29%35%
Both teams scored59%53%38%29%
Over 2.550%41%38%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.241.381.581.46
xG against / match1.711.651.041.20
xG difference-0.47-0.270.540.26
Finishing vs xG-0.15-0.26-0.050.19
xPts / match1.121.261.711.52
Points vs xPts-0.18-0.090.090.36
Game state
Scored first38%35%53%59%
PPG when scoring first1.852.332.672.80
PPG when conceding first0.280.440.790.50
Came back from behind24%44%40%29%
Leads held54%67%86%91%
Minutes leading20%25%26%34%
Minutes level48%49%52%45%
Minutes trailing32%26%22%21%
First goal (min)42424834
First goal conceded (min)38384440
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%58%71%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%52%62%60%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.180.680.71
Late goals against0.350.410.210.18
Style
Possession46%46%56%55%
Shots11.213.013.612.4
On target3.94.44.64.5
Shot conversion10%9%11%13%
Shots inside box65%63%70%66%
Big chances created2.73.22.82.4
Corners5.15.55.75.1
xG from set plays27%27%30%30%
Goals from headers11%16%10%11%
Pressure index9.09.615.214.5
Dominant minutes40.942.661.459.8
Pass accuracy82%82%85%85%
Fouls12.412.210.710.9
Cards2.122.002.412.76

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Nice

0–15'59
16–30'67
31–45'813
46–60'79
61–75'410
76–90'712

LOSC Lille

0–15'53
16–30'54
31–45'57
46–60'99
61–75'57
76–90'237

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Nice · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: when behind +0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.082

Game state

When level+0.174
When behind+0.413
10 min after conceding+0.023

Situations

At home+0.262
Away+0.242
4+ days rest+0.254

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.432
v bottom-tier opponents+0.082
Evenly matched+0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.084

Behind vs level +0.23

LOSC Lille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.055
Early press (0-15, level)+0.255

Game state

When ahead-0.065
When level+0.025
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.385

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.182
As favourite+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.265
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.26

Nice

Current: winless 12 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 21%0.861.291.861.331.64
3-4-2-16 18%1.171.01.51.611.26
5-4-15 15%0.60.61.00.891.23
3-4-1-24 12%1.751.51.00.951.66
3-4-33 9%1.332.03.01.23.1

LOSC Lille

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%1.931.550.91.580.98
4-3-32 6%0.50.52.00.861.28
5-4-11 3%0.01.04.01.963.0
4-3-1-21 3%1.01.01.00.640.59
4-4-21 3%3.04.02.03.730.93

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.8Home 25% P 24%3.8Draw 25% P 24%1.9Away 50% P 52%

Double Chance

1.8Nice or Draw 26% P 24%1.28Nice or Lille 37% P 38%1.28Draw or Lille 37% P 38%

Draw No Bet

2.621 35%1.442 65%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 62%2.37No 39% P 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 61%2.3Under 41% P 39%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49% P 46%1.8Under 51% P 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 50–52.5% · 348 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home24%24%27%+3.4
Draw24%25%29%+3.7
Away52%51%44%-7.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes62%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.6

Bastien Dechepy

Career
99 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
4.14 (3.87 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
25.1 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.41
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 82 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.34.06+0.4376
Fouls / match24.624.3+0.23
Fouls per card5.86.0-0.34 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.36+0.4972
Time added6.56.7-0.0536
First card
36' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.21

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-18 31 291 34'11
2025-09-28 61 250 1'7
2025-09-14 31 211 23'9
2025-08-24 40 200 22'9
2025-08-07 40 250 53'8
2025-07-24 60 342 21'6
2025-05-10 70 290 51'6
2025-03-16 50 322 37'9
2025-02-22 30 292 5'5
2025-02-14 40 210 25'11